Suburban Propane Partners, L.P. (NYSE:SPH) Issues Long-Term Notes And Eases Near-Term Refinancing Pressure

Refinancing extends maturities and reduces near-term debt rollover risk while leverage and cash-generation weakness keep upside tethered to improving operating cash flow. Distribution policy and debt service capacity remain the primary fundamentals driving valuation.

Recent News

Dec. 8, 2025: Company priced a private offering of $350 million aggregate principal of 6.500% senior notes due 2035. Dec. 22, 2025: Issuance of $350 million 6.500% Senior Notes due 2035 completed; proceeds plus revolver borrowings funded redemption of the 5.875% senior notes due 2027, with redemption scheduled Jan. 7, 2026. Jan. 21–22, 2026: Fiscal Q1 results conference call scheduled for Feb. 5 and the Board declared a quarterly distribution of $0.325 per common unit, payable Feb. 10, 2026.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 18.18 indicates no established directional trend, implying limited conviction for a sustained breakout or breakdown versus recent price ranges; this weak trend context constrains conviction around valuation re-ratings in the near term.

Directional indicators show DI+ 16.31 decreasing (bearish) while DI- 12.73 decreasing (bullish); the simultaneous decreases suggest waning directional pressure rather than a clear push higher, reinforcing the ADX reading that momentum lacks strong direction.

MACD sits at 0.26 below its signal line at 0.27 with a recorded peak-and-reversal pattern, signifying a shift toward bearish momentum; that shift increases the risk of short-term caps on price appreciation despite longer-term fundamentals.

MRO reads -1.62 (negative), which implies price currently sits below WMDST’s target framework and therefore contains some upward potential; the recent MRO peak-and-reversal history, however, tempers the immediacy of that potential.

RSI at 57.59 with a peak-and-reversal signal shows momentum topping from recent gains and aligns with MACD’s bearish momentum signal, suggesting near-term consolidation around current levels rather than sustained extension.

Price sits above the 200-day average ($18.53) and marginally above the 20-day average ($20.16), with the 12-day EMA trending higher; that configuration supports the valuation view but, given the weak ADX and bearish MACD, implies the current premium to long-term averages may stall. Near-term technical support clusters around the super trend lower at $19.52 and the 20-day average; upside remains capped near analyst mean targets unless momentum indicators reassert bullish direction.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue totaled $370,386,000 with revenue growth of 75.226% (total period) and revenue growth YoY at -4.698%, while QoQ revenue growth declined -5.01248%. Gross profit reached $239,547,000 and gross margin measured 64.675%, with gross margin YoY up 6.758% and essentially flat QoQ.

Operating income $67,651,000 produced an operating margin of 18.265% and EBIT of $65,767,000 yields an EBIT margin of 17.756%; EBIT margin QoQ declined -315.905% while EBIT margin YoY rose 67.415%—the absolute margins remain solid for the business, but QoQ compression requires monitoring for seasonal effects or cost shifts.

Net income $45,780,000 and EPS actual $0.70 missed the estimate of $0.75 by $0.05, an EPS surprise ratio of -6.667%. Forward EPS sits at $0.5125, translating to a forward P/E of 36.44. Trailing P/E stands at 27.27, below the industry peer mean of 60.89 and below the peer median of 31.74, indicating the market prices Suburban Propane at a lower multiple than most peers.

PEG ratio shows -0.11876 while the industry peer mean PEG reads 1.07512 (peer median 0.23759), reflecting negative or unusual near-term growth dynamics embedded in current earnings expectations relative to peers. Earnings growth metrics show an overall earnings growth of -2.2963% with earnings growth YoY positive at 60.045% but QoQ down -270.37%—a divergence that highlights strong year-over-year seasonality against weaker sequential momentum.

Leverage and liquidity present constraints: total debt $1,434,945,000, net debt $1,321,221,000, debt-to-equity 2.29x (229.14%), and debt-to-EBITDA about 17.37x. Interest coverage around 3.33x provides some buffer, but free cash flow negative at -$67,471,000 and operating cash flow negative at -$47,666,000 create pressure on near-term discretionary capital. Cash on hand sits at $1,284,000 with a cash ratio of 0.47% and current ratio 0.866, signaling constrained short-term liquidity that the recent long-term note issuance addresses by pushing out maturities.

Dividend metrics: declared quarterly distribution $0.325 (annualized $1.30) yields approximately 1.69%; dividend payout ratio about 46.745% with dividend coverage ratio 2.14x. The completed refinancing and distribution declaration preserve the distribution cadence while decreasing near-term rollover risk, but sustained coverage depends on restoring positive operating cash flow.

WMDST values the stock as fair-valued. The valuation balances a below-peer trailing P/E, a depressed PEG, high leverage multiples, and negative free cash flow; absent improvement in operating cash generation, valuation upside would require demonstrable cash-flow recovery or lower leverage over time.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-12-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-02-05
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-05-07
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 11.8 M
 Operating Cash Flow -47.67 M
 Capital Expenditures -19.80 M
 Change In Working Capital -115.39 M
 Dividends Paid -21.40 M
 Cash Flow Delta -196.00 K
 End Period Cash Flow 11.6 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 370.4 M
 Forward Revenue 68.8 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 130.8 M
 Depreciation 16.9 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 16.9 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 302.7 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 239.5 M
 EBITDA 82.6 M
 EBIT 65.8 M
 Operating Income 67.7 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 19.8 M
 Net Interest Income -19.76 M
 Income Before Tax 46.0 M
 Tax Provision 231.0 K
 Tax Rate 0.502 %
 Net Income 45.8 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 45.8 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.75
 EPS Actual 0.70
 EPS Difference -0.05
 EPS Surprise -6.667 %
 Forward EPS 0.51
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 2.4 B
 Intangible Assets 1.3 B
 Net Tangible Assets -1.26 B
 Total Current Assets 236.0 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 1.3 M
 Cash 1.3 M
 Net Receivables 129.3 M
 Inventory 69.3 M
 Long-Term Investments 79.4 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 47.9 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 272.6 M
 Net Debt 1.3 B
 Total Debt 1.4 B
 Total Liabilities 1.8 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 626.2 M
 Retained Earnings
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 9.44
 Shares Outstanding 66.329 M
 Revenue Per-Share 5.58
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 1.3 B
 Enterprise Value 2.7 B
 Enterprise Multiple 32.673
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -98.42 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -29.889 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA
 EV/R 7.289
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 3.826
 Asset To Liability 1.354
 Debt To Capital 0.696
 Debt To Assets 0.599
Debt To Assets QoQ 3.43 %
Debt To Assets YoY -0.864 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA
 Debt To Equity 2.291
Debt To Equity QoQ 3.146 %
Debt To Equity YoY -13.297 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 2.022
Price To Book QoQ 0.674 %
Price To Book YoY -8.588 %
Price To Book IPRWA
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 27.27
Price To Earnings QoQ -180.657 %
Price To Earnings YoY -56.244 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 95.037
mean: 60.889
low: 31.743
median: 31.743
SPH: 27.27
 PE/G Ratio -0.119
 Price To Sales (P/S) 3.418
Price To Sales QoQ -39.892 %
Price To Sales YoY 5.843 %
Price To Sales IPRWA
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 36.437
Forward PE/G -0.159
Forward P/S 18.415
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -6.358
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.158
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 72.189 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -1.522 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Receivables Turnover 3.727
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 31.712 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -4.393 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Inventory Turnover 1.83
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 64.469 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -27.884 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 24.485
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 55.118
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -9.312 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 218.475 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio -10.117
 CapEx To Revenue -0.053
 CapEx To Depreciation -1.174
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 1.9 B
 Net Invested Capital 1.9 B
 Invested Capital 1.9 B
 Net Tangible Assets -1.26 B
 Net Working Capital -36.61 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.005
 Current Ratio 0.866
Current Ratio QoQ 57.664 %
Current Ratio YoY 23.986 %
Current Ratio IPRWA
 Quick Ratio 0.612
Quick Ratio QoQ 100.118 %
Quick Ratio YoY 18.9 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 17.366
 Cost Of Debt 1.422 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 3.329
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -429.47 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 64.888 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.037
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 56.803
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 2.139
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.467
 Dividend Rate 0.32
 Dividend Yield 0.017
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 4.333 %
 Revenue Growth 75.226 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -501.248 %
Revenue Growth YoY -4.698 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA
 Earnings Growth -229.63 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -270.37 %
Earnings Growth YoY 60.045 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 55.172 %
mean: 55.172 %
low: -30.921 %
median: -30.921 %
SPH: -229.63 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 64.675 %
Gross Margin QoQ -0.034 %
Gross Margin YoY 6.758 %
Gross Margin IPRWA
 EBIT Margin 17.756 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -315.905 %
EBIT Margin YoY 67.415 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA
 Return On Sales (ROS) 18.265 %
Return On Sales QoQ -330.415 %
Return On Sales YoY 72.214 %
Return On Sales IPRWA
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -67.47 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield -5.329 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -331.293 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 326.661 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA
 Free Cash Growth -343.569 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 422.594 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 85.728 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA
 Free Cash To Net Income -1.474
 Cash Flow Margin 2.726 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.221
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 1.951 %
Return On Assets QoQ -228.018 %
Return On Assets YoY 133.933 %
Return On Assets IPRWA
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 3.098 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.073
Return On Equity QoQ -224.549 %
Return On Equity YoY 105.25 %
Return On Equity IPRWA
 DuPont ROE 7.476 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 3.358 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -542.424 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY 25.345 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA

Six-Week Outlook

Expect limited directional conviction given ADX below trend thresholds, with momentum indicators suggesting near-term consolidation or modest downside pressure after a recent momentum peak. Key technical supports to watch cluster near $19.52 (super trend lower) and the 20-day average at $20.16; failure of those levels would likely extend consolidation toward the analyst mean target of $18.65. Debt refinancing into 2035 reduces near-term rollover risk, which should limit severe downside from a liquidity shock, but negative free cash flow and high debt-to-EBITDA keep volatility elevated. Swing traders should monitor MACD crossing back above its signal line and a re-acceleration in ADX as confirmations before expecting a sustained move higher; absent those, expect range-bound action with periodic tests of the lower support band and occasional spikes toward the analyst high target near $27.22 if operating cash metrics improve materially.

About Suburban Propane Partners, L.P.

Suburban Propane Partners, L.P. (NYSE:SPH) distributes and markets propane, renewable propane, fuel oil, and refined fuels across the United States. Through its Propane segment, the company supplies propane for residential uses such as space heating, water heating, cooking, and clothes drying, as well as for industrial applications including motor fuel for vehicles and equipment. The Fuel Oil and Refined Fuels segment delivers fuel oil, diesel, kerosene, and gasoline to residential and commercial customers, primarily for heating purposes. In the Natural Gas and Electricity segment, Suburban Propane markets natural gas and electricity to customers in deregulated markets in New York and Pennsylvania. The All Other segment provides sales, installation, and maintenance services for home comfort equipment, including heating systems, air cleaners, and space heaters. Serving a diverse customer base, including residential, commercial, industrial, and agricultural sectors, Suburban Propane Partners, L.P. maintains a strong presence on the east and west coasts, as well as in the Midwest and Alaska. Founded in 1945, the company is headquartered in Whippany, New Jersey.



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