Howmet Aerospace Inc. (NYSE:HWM) Accelerates Growth After Strategic Fastener Acquisition

Howmet’s recent deal-making and fresh debt funding push near-term revenue capacity higher while valuation metrics signal elevated investor expectations. Operational cash flow and margin strength underpin expansion but multiple expansion raises near-term price vulnerability.

Recent News

On December 22, 2025 Howmet announced a definitive agreement to acquire Consolidated Aerospace Manufacturing (CAM) from Stanley Black & Decker for approximately $1.8 billion; the company projected CAM revenue of $485–$495 million for FY2026 and adjusted EBITDA margin above 20%.

On February 17, 2026 Howmet priced a $1.2 billion multi‑tranche public notes offering to finance the planned CAM acquisition, consisting of three tranches maturing from 2028–2036 with coupons in the mid‑3% to mid‑4% range.

Company filings note a small bolt‑on purchase—Brunner Manufacturing Co., Inc.—closed on February 6, 2026, and reiterate the CAM transaction’s expected close in the first half of 2026, subject to customary approvals.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 33.39 indicates a strong trend; directional indicators show DI+ 33.50 rising while DI‑ 13.56 falls, creating a bullish directional profile that supports a continued upside bias into near‑term catalysts.

MACD sits at 10.93, above its signal line at 7.69 and trending higher, which represents a bullish momentum cross above the signal line and confirms the current positive momentum phase.

Price trades above the 20‑/50‑/200‑day averages (price close $260.95 vs 20‑day $239.01, 50‑day $218.68, 200‑day $192.89), with the close near and slightly above the reported 52‑week high; the placement above key averages reinforces upside bias but increases sensitivity to mean reversion.

MRO registers 31.19 (positive), signaling price sits above the model target and therefore carries contraction risk consistent with an elevated valuation posture.

RSI at 63.28 and rising shows momentum strength without reaching classic overbought extremes; short‑term strength remains intact while watches for RSI >70 as a nearer‑term exhaustion cue.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue reached $2.168 billion for the period ending 2025‑12‑31 with reported record fourth quarter revenue and notable year‑over‑year gains; net income totaled $372 million. The company cited stronger commercial and defense aerospace demand and noted a one‑time pension annuitization charge in the quarter.

Profitability: operating margin at 25.923% and EBIT margin at 21.541% sit above the industry peer mean EBIT margin of 16.707%, indicating superior near‑term operating conversion versus the industry peer mean. QoQ EBIT margin contracted roughly 15.42% while YoY EBIT margin fell about 5.71%, reflecting recent cost or mix pressures despite strong absolute margins.

Growth: revenue growth YoY equals 23.92% and revenue growth QoQ equals 115.62%, signaling significant recent top‑line acceleration; earnings growth shows strong QoQ and YoY jumps (earnings growth QoQ ~139.45%, YoY ~149.14%).

Cash and leverage: operating cash flow $564 million and free cash flow $530 million produce a free cash flow yield of 0.63%. Net debt stands near $2.308 billion with debt/EBITDA of 5.95; the company proceeded with a targeted $1.2 billion debt issuance to help fund the CAM acquisition. The incremental debt program plus $600 million planned borrowings and cash on hand tie directly to the acquisition financing plan.

Capital markets multiples: P/E at 199.20, P/B at 15.71, and P/S at 38.78 sit noticeably above their respective industry peer means (P/E industry peer mean ~98.93; P/B industry peer mean ~5.11; P/S industry peer mean ~12.04), reflecting rich market pricing and elevated expectations. WMDST values the stock as over‑valued based on its composite valuation framework and the current multiple expansion.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-12-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-02-12
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-05-14
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 660.0 M
 Operating Cash Flow 564.0 M
 Capital Expenditures -124.00 M
 Change In Working Capital 169.0 M
 Dividends Paid -50.00 M
 Cash Flow Delta 83.0 M
 End Period Cash Flow 743.0 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 2.2 B
 Forward Revenue 785.5 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 1.4 B
 Depreciation 73.0 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 73.0 M
 Research and Development 10.0 M
 Total Operating Expenses 1.6 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 756.0 M
 EBITDA 540.0 M
 EBIT 467.0 M
 Operating Income 562.0 M
 Interest Income 7.0 M
 Interest Expense 37.0 M
 Net Interest Income -30.00 M
 Income Before Tax 430.0 M
 Tax Provision 58.0 M
 Tax Rate 13.488 %
 Net Income 372.0 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 372.0 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.97
 EPS Actual 1.05
 EPS Difference 0.08
 EPS Surprise 8.247 %
 Forward EPS 1.34
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 11.2 B
 Intangible Assets 4.5 B
 Net Tangible Assets 874.0 M
 Total Current Assets 3.8 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 742.0 M
 Cash 742.0 M
 Net Receivables 779.0 M
 Inventory 1.8 B
 Long-Term Investments 126.0 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 845.0 M
 Short-Term Debt 191.0 M
 Total Current Liabilities 1.8 B
 Net Debt 2.3 B
 Total Debt 3.2 B
 Total Liabilities 5.8 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 5.4 B
 Retained Earnings 4.1 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 13.32
 Shares Outstanding 402.000 M
 Revenue Per-Share 5.39
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 84.1 B
 Enterprise Value 86.6 B
 Enterprise Multiple 160.281
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 23.97 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 71.511 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA HWM: 160.281
high: 137.577
mean: 62.021
median: 59.052
low: 0.356
 EV/R 39.922
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.088
 Asset To Liability 1.919
 Debt To Capital 0.375
 Debt To Assets 0.287
Debt To Assets QoQ -4.165 %
Debt To Assets YoY 50322.807 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.367
HWM: 0.287
mean: 0.271
median: 0.258
low: 0.003
 Debt To Equity 0.6
Debt To Equity QoQ -8.893 %
Debt To Equity YoY 45029.323 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 1.021
median: 0.606
HWM: 0.6
mean: 0.593
low: 0.003
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 15.707
Price To Book QoQ 5.995 %
Price To Book YoY 47.989 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 17.452
HWM: 15.707
mean: 5.111
median: 3.738
low: -8.298
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 199.196
Price To Earnings QoQ 1.146 %
Price To Earnings YoY 25.154 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 235.389
HWM: 199.196
mean: 98.935
median: 84.204
low: 22.275
 PE/G Ratio 18.924
 Price To Sales (P/S) 38.783
Price To Sales QoQ 7.452 %
Price To Sales YoY 53.583 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 43.211
HWM: 38.783
mean: 12.036
median: 7.253
low: 1.653
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 147.454
Forward PE/G 14.009
Forward P/S 107.039
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -3.231
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.194
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 3.165 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 8.086 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.432
HWM: 0.194
mean: 0.186
median: 0.15
low: 0.007
 Receivables Turnover 2.607
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 10.584 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -0.312 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 9.75
mean: 4.246
median: 3.897
HWM: 2.607
low: 0.608
 Inventory Turnover 0.738
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 1.214 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 7.192 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 6.44
mean: 2.031
median: 1.437
HWM: 0.738
low: 0.041
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 34.997
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 102.583
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ 1.697 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -0.632 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 264.697
HWM: 102.583
mean: 100.222
median: 43.483
low: -6.466
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 1.08
 CapEx To Revenue -0.057
 CapEx To Depreciation -1.699
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 8.2 B
 Net Invested Capital 8.4 B
 Invested Capital 8.4 B
 Net Tangible Assets 874.0 M
 Net Working Capital 2.0 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.419
 Current Ratio 2.134
Current Ratio QoQ -9.324 %
Current Ratio YoY -1.687 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 7.56
HWM: 2.134
mean: 1.449
median: 1.188
low: 0.914
 Quick Ratio 1.09
Quick Ratio QoQ -4.225 %
Quick Ratio YoY 10.911 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 4.29
HWM: 1.09
mean: 0.964
median: 0.894
low: 0.405
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 5.95
 Cost Of Debt 0.975 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 12.622
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -12.218 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 16.867 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 20.526
HWM: 12.622
mean: 9.483
median: 7.208
low: -4.154
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.318
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 60.232
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 7.44
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.134
 Dividend Rate 0.12
 Dividend Yield 0.001
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 0.018 %
 Revenue Growth 3.782 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 115.621 %
Revenue Growth YoY 23.919 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 25.079 %
median: 7.83 %
mean: 6.105 %
HWM: 3.782 %
low: -6.237 %
 Earnings Growth 10.526 %
Earnings Growth QoQ 139.445 %
Earnings Growth YoY 149.136 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 47.826 %
HWM: 10.526 %
mean: -0.672 %
median: -8.156 %
low: -16.547 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 34.871 %
Gross Margin QoQ 11.727 %
Gross Margin YoY 9.537 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 59.751 %
HWM: 34.871 %
mean: 20.967 %
median: 19.461 %
low: 5.405 %
 EBIT Margin 21.541 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -15.416 %
EBIT Margin YoY -5.708 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 37.49 %
HWM: 21.541 %
mean: 16.707 %
median: 11.003 %
low: -6.397 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 25.923 %
Return On Sales QoQ -0.085 %
Return On Sales YoY 13.473 %
Return On Sales IPRWA HWM: 25.923 %
high: 23.071 %
median: 10.71 %
mean: 8.328 %
low: -6.397 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 530.0 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.63 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 12.299 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -20.455 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 3.808 %
mean: 1.51 %
median: 1.251 %
HWM: 0.63 %
low: -0.544 %
 Free Cash Growth 25.296 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 10.15 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -81.028 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 322.482 %
mean: 39.593 %
HWM: 25.296 %
median: -17.658 %
low: -285.652 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 1.425
 Cash Flow Margin 26.015 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.516
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 3.328 %
Return On Assets QoQ -3.954 %
Return On Assets YoY 11.678 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 5.166 %
HWM: 3.328 %
mean: 2.282 %
median: 1.99 %
low: -0.304 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 4.964 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.069
Return On Equity QoQ -8.167 %
Return On Equity YoY -0.43 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.086
HWM: 0.069
mean: 0.029
median: 0.025
low: -0.048
 DuPont ROE 7.126 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 4.808 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -3.859 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -107.753 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 5.625 %
HWM: 4.808 %
median: 3.889 %
mean: 3.3 %
low: -0.522 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near‑term directional bias favors continuation of the recent upside while momentum indicators stay positive; key catalysts include the CAM acquisition closing and debt offering settlement. Elevated multiples and a positive MRO warn that price sits above model targets and remains vulnerable to a corrective pullback if execution or financing details shift. Traders should expect volatility around transaction‑timing updates and the next scheduled company disclosures, with support visible near the super trend lower at $240.12 and resistance clustered near recent highs around $260–$270.

About Howmet Aerospace Inc.

Howmet Aerospace Inc. (NYSE:HWM) develops advanced engineered solutions for the aerospace and transportation industries. Headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, the company operates globally, with a presence in the United States, Europe, Asia, and other regions. Howmet Aerospace structures its business into four main segments: Engine Products, Fastening Systems, Engineered Structures, and Forged Wheels. In the Engine Products segment, Howmet Aerospace creates airfoils and seamless rolled rings that are crucial for aircraft engines and industrial gas turbines. The Fastening Systems division manufactures durable fasteners for aerospace applications, as well as tools and components for commercial and industrial uses. The Engineered Structures segment focuses on producing titanium ingots, aluminum and nickel forgings, and precision-machined components for aerospace and defense sectors. The Forged Wheels segment delivers high-quality forged aluminum wheels designed for heavy-duty trucks and commercial transportation. Founded in 1888, Howmet Aerospace leverages its long-standing expertise and cutting-edge technology to meet the dynamic needs of its global clients, emphasizing excellence, innovation, and sustainability in its operations.



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