Biglari Holdings Inc. (NYSE:BH) Rebounds Toward Valuation Gap After Insider Buying

Balance-sheet strength and insider purchases contrast with weak short-term momentum, suggesting the next move will depend on whether operational margins improve or technical selling intensifies.

Recent News

In January 2026 the chairman disclosed open-market purchases totaling 2,221 Class B shares across early-December trades. Early December 2025 coverage noted rising relative-strength ratings for both Class A and Class B shares and highlighted improving price performance, while commentary flagged no immediate technical buy zone and cited flat EPS with roughly 10% reported sales growth in the most recent quarter.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators show mixed but biased downside: DI+ sits at 19.38 and trends lower, a bearish signal, while DI– at 20.81 displays a dip-and-reversal pattern that the indicator rules associate with renewed selling pressure. ADX reads 14.46, reflecting no established trend and limiting follow-through risk from the directional split.

MACD at -1.03 and described as a peak-and-reversal indicates bearish momentum; the MACD sits below the signal line (signal = 3.65), reinforcing declining momentum rather than a fresh bullish crossover.

MRO registers 9.67 and trends down; the positive MRO implies price sits above the model target and therefore carries potential for a corrective move lower if momentum persists.

RSI at 53.36 with a peak-and-reversal pattern points to a neutral-to-weak momentum state leaning lower after a short-term peak; the reading avoids oversold/overbought extremes but aligns with other momentum signals suggesting limited upside conviction.

Price structure shows the close at $375.02 below the 12-day EMA ($394.41), the 20-day average ($399.24) and the 26-day EMA ($397.21), while remaining above the 200-day average ($325.27). Short-term moving averages and Ichimoku components (Tenkan: $394.99; Kijun: $424.48) sit above price, indicating short-term resistance clustered in the $395–$425 area and favoring range-bound to lower action unless momentum reverses.

Bollinger bands place price inside the 1x band range ($385.48–$413.00), implying limited immediate volatility expansion; recent volume metrics show above-average trading (10-day avg ~117,821 vs. latest volume 129,844), which supports conviction in directional moves when either momentum or fundamentals shift.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Operations delivered $99.74 million in revenue and $39.06 million gross profit, producing a gross margin of 39.17%, which sits above the industry peer mean of roughly 32.49%. Operating margin reached 9.12% but trails the industry peer mean of ~12.25%.

EBIT registered a loss of $5.215 million, translating to an EBIT margin of -5.23%; that compares unfavorably to the industry peer mean margin of about 11.98% and the peer median near 9.83%, though the company’s margin sits comfortably above the industry peer low of roughly -20.91%. QoQ and YoY dynamics show material deterioration: EBIT margin declined about 107.83% QoQ and about 110.52% YoY, reflecting operating volatility and one-time items that depressed operating profitability versus recent periods.

Net income totaled a loss of $5.291 million; EBITDA remained positive at $4.33 million, implying operating cash generation before non‑cash and non‑recurring items. Free cash flow stands at $22.30 million with a free-cash-flow yield of 2.15%, above the industry peer mean of about 0.39%, but free-cash-flow growth shows contraction (down ~43.46% YoY), signaling less expansionary cash generation versus prior periods.

Balance-sheet metrics show robust liquidity: $272,485,000 in cash and $369,169,000 in cash and short-term investments, a current ratio of 282.70% and a cash ratio of 258.23%, providing a substantial cushion for operating cycles. Receivables and inventory turnover remain normal for the restaurant segment (receivables turnover ~4.71; inventory turnover ~14.61), and the cash-conversion-cycle sits at about -14.18 days, indicating efficient working-capital turns relative to typical peers.

Leverage presents nuance: total debt approximates $347.17 million with debt-to-assets of 32.16%, below the industry peer mean of ~76.17% and the peer median, while debt-to-EBITDA sits at 80.2x—an elevated multiple that reflects depressed EBITDA and warrants monitoring if operating cash declines. Interest coverage reads -2.23x, signaling negative coverage driven by current operating losses at the EBIT line.

Valuation metrics sit below peer averages: price-to-book at 1.79 versus a peer mean near 8.85 and price-to-sales around 10.40 versus a peer mean near 23.68, consistent with WMDST’s determination that the stock appears under-valued on a relative price basis given balance-sheet strength and cash reserves. Enterprise multiple shows an elevated 234x, a function of current market cap and low operating earnings; reconcile this against strong cash holdings when considering enterprise-value-based comparisons.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-09-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-11-07
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-02-06
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 33.5 M
 Operating Cash Flow
 Capital Expenditures -8.95 M
 Change In Working Capital 9.3 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 239.7 M
 End Period Cash Flow 273.2 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 99.7 M
 Forward Revenue 27.2 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 60.7 M
 Depreciation
 Depreciation and Amortization
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 90.6 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 39.1 M
 EBITDA 4.3 M
 EBIT -5.21 M
 Operating Income 9.1 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 2.3 M
 Net Interest Income -2.34 M
 Income Before Tax -7.55 M
 Tax Provision -2.26 M
 Tax Rate 29.939 %
 Net Income -5.29 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations -5.29 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate
 EPS Actual
 EPS Difference
 EPS Surprise
 Forward EPS -1.86
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 1.1 B
 Intangible Assets 76.2 M
 Net Tangible Assets 504.0 M
 Total Current Assets 404.1 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 369.2 M
 Cash 272.5 M
 Net Receivables 21.2 M
 Inventory 3.9 M
 Long-Term Investments 12.2 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 27.8 M
 Short-Term Debt 20.9 M
 Total Current Liabilities 143.0 M
 Net Debt
 Total Debt 347.2 M
 Total Liabilities 499.2 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 580.3 M
 Retained Earnings 640.1 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 187.01
 Shares Outstanding 3.103 M
 Revenue Per-Share 32.14
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 1.0 B
 Enterprise Value 1.0 B
 Enterprise Multiple 234.406
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 1947.665 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 2975.673 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA BH: 234.406
high: 190.151
median: 155.361
mean: 130.432
low: -123.294
 EV/R 10.176
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.86
 Asset To Liability 2.162
 Debt To Capital 0.374
 Debt To Assets 0.322
Debt To Assets QoQ 121.411 %
Debt To Assets YoY 1837.349 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 1.761
mean: 0.762
median: 0.355
BH: 0.322
low: 0.009
 Debt To Equity 0.598
Debt To Equity QoQ 181.067 %
Debt To Equity YoY 2407.46 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 5.029
mean: 0.694
BH: 0.598
median: 0.577
low: -1.807
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 1.787
Price To Book QoQ 17.183 %
Price To Book YoY 98.514 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 11.273
median: 10.033
mean: 8.847
BH: 1.787
low: -0.864
 Price To Earnings (P/E)
Price To Earnings QoQ
Price To Earnings YoY
Price To Earnings IPRWA
 PE/G Ratio
 Price To Sales (P/S) 10.397
Price To Sales QoQ 16.411 %
Price To Sales YoY 73.517 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 42.809
median: 26.401
mean: 23.685
BH: 10.397
low: 0.237
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E -161.48
Forward PE/G
Forward P/S 38.075
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 123.074
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.103
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -13.651 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -4.944 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.425
median: 0.224
mean: 0.217
BH: 0.103
low: 0.008
 Receivables Turnover 4.713
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 2.092 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 5.712 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 147.269
median: 30.434
mean: 26.131
BH: 4.713
low: 0.156
 Inventory Turnover 14.611
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 2.589 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -1.925 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 61.844
mean: 19.137
BH: 14.611
median: 8.017
low: 0.944
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 19.36
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) -14.181
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ 1.286 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -5.609 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 10.518
median: 5.16
mean: 1.354
low: -8.282
BH: -14.181
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.382
 CapEx To Revenue -0.09
 CapEx To Depreciation 0.0
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 795.2 M
 Net Invested Capital 816.1 M
 Invested Capital 816.1 M
 Net Tangible Assets 504.0 M
 Net Working Capital 261.2 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 2.582
 Current Ratio 2.827
Current Ratio QoQ 104.523 %
Current Ratio YoY 91.714 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 4.054
BH: 2.827
median: 2.686
mean: 2.345
low: 0.245
 Quick Ratio 2.799
Quick Ratio QoQ 107.743 %
Quick Ratio YoY 94.388 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA BH: 2.799
high: 2.632
mean: 1.602
median: 1.318
low: 0.19
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 80.177
 Cost Of Debt 0.693 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio -2.231
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -106.947 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -108.081 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 56.842
mean: 7.459
median: 6.219
BH: -2.231
low: -17.322
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.219
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 39.725
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 25.003 %
 Revenue Growth -0.876 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -114.908 %
Revenue Growth YoY 8.82 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 4.142 %
median: 1.869 %
mean: 1.102 %
BH: -0.876 %
low: -14.622 %
 Earnings Growth
Earnings Growth QoQ
Earnings Growth YoY
Earnings Growth IPRWA
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 39.167 %
Gross Margin QoQ 0.159 %
Gross Margin YoY 1.34 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 48.853 %
BH: 39.167 %
mean: 32.493 %
median: 25.208 %
low: 0.705 %
 EBIT Margin -5.229 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -107.83 %
EBIT Margin YoY -110.516 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 27.788 %
mean: 11.984 %
median: 9.83 %
BH: -5.229 %
low: -20.911 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 9.12 %
Return On Sales QoQ 47.477 %
Return On Sales YoY -81.659 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 27.861 %
mean: 12.247 %
median: 9.795 %
BH: 9.12 %
low: -15.482 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 22.3 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 2.15 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -51.014 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 215.712 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 4.283 %
BH: 2.15 %
mean: 0.39 %
median: 0.256 %
low: -3.849 %
 Free Cash Growth -43.463 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -111.93 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -68.204 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 250.173 %
mean: -29.769 %
BH: -43.463 %
median: -46.982 %
low: -347.626 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -4.215
 Cash Flow Margin 0.0 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings -5.905
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) -0.545 %
Return On Assets QoQ -109.056 %
Return On Assets YoY -114.2 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 7.903 %
mean: 1.492 %
median: 1.128 %
BH: -0.545 %
low: -9.078 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) -0.557 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) -0.009
Return On Equity QoQ -110.552 %
Return On Equity YoY -117.085 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.235
median: 0.019
mean: 0.007
BH: -0.009
low: -0.178
 DuPont ROE -0.905 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) -0.448 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -105.184 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -98.408 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 6.942 %
median: 3.797 %
mean: 3.579 %
BH: -0.448 %
low: -7.241 %

Six-Week Outlook

Expect a period of consolidation with asymmetric drivers: abundant liquidity and visible insider purchases provide an underpin for valuation, while technical momentum and negative short-term indicators favor occasional pullbacks into the $365–$400 band. Watch for confirmation of operating-margin improvement in near-term reports and any uptick in MACD momentum or DI+ recovery to shift the near-term balance toward sustained rally attempts. Given current volatility measures and average-to-higher short-term beta, traders should anticipate range-bound swings and prioritize event-driven catalysts (operational results or new share purchases) over trend-following signals.

About Biglari Holdings Inc.

Biglari Holdings Inc. (NYSE:BH) represents a diversified conglomerate headquartered in San Antonio, Texas. Originally founded in 1934 as The Steak n Shake Company, it rebranded in 2010 to reflect its expansion beyond the restaurant industry. Biglari Holdings develops and franchises American dining establishments under the Steak n Shake and Western Sizzlin brands, delivering a blend of traditional and modern dining experiences. In addition to its restaurant operations, Biglari Holdings diversifies its portfolio with strategic investments in several industries. The company maintains a significant presence in the insurance sector, offering commercial trucking insurance and related services. It also participates in the energy sector, managing oil and natural gas properties in the Gulf of Mexico, which highlights its involvement in energy exploration and production. Furthermore, Biglari Holdings owns MAXIM magazine, integrating traditional publishing with innovative media licensing. This diverse business mix underscores the company’s strategic investment approach, utilizing its expertise across various sectors to enhance shareholder value. Biglari Holdings consistently seeks new opportunities, reinforcing its status as a dynamic and multifaceted enterprise.



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