AngloGold Ashanti Limited (NYSE:AU) Accelerates Cash Returns Amid Valuation Reset

AngloGold Ashanti projects sustained cash generation while dividend policy shifts to return capital aggressively; balance-sheet strength underpins a fair-valued assessment. Near-term technical momentum suggests upside, but momentum oscillators warn of a short-term consolidation risk.

Recent News

On February 20, 2026 the company declared an interim dividend of 173 US cents per share with NYSE ex-dividend and record dates of March 13, 2026 and a payment date of March 27, 2026. The announcement formalized higher cash returns for 2025 and set the timetable for currency conversions and regional payment mechanics for shareholders.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators show a bullish bias: DI+ registered at 34.4 with a dip-and-reversal, while DI- fell to 19.2; ADX at 24.46 signals an emerging trend strength that supports continuation of recent upside. This combination aligns with a near-term bullish price bias tied to persistent fundamental cash flows and the company’s dividend timetable.

MACD sits at 5.05 with the MACD line above the signal line (signal 3.96) and a dip-and-reversal in the MACD trend, representing a confirmed bullish momentum crossover that increases the probability of additional near-term gains.

MRO reads 24.18 and shows a peak-and-reversal. Because the MRO is positive, price currently sits above model targets and therefore carries a risk of mean reversion; that dynamic creates a countervailing pressure against uninterrupted upward moves despite the MACD signal.

RSI at 61.4 with a dip-and-reversal indicates sustained momentum without extreme overbought readings; price moved above the 20-day average and sits above the upper Bollinger 1x band (upper 1x = $117.16), which suggests short-term over-extension and a higher probability of consolidation or a corrective leg before a fresh advance.

Price relationships strengthen the technical picture: closing price $124.70 exceeds the 20-day average $109.16 and the 200-day average $69.24, supported by rising short-term EMAs (12-day EMA $111.90, increasing). Ichimoku levels (Tenkan $110.92, Kijun $108.61, Senkou A $90.09) sit well below price, reinforcing the near-term bullish bias while highlighting the distance to equilibrium that the MRO flags as correction risk.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability and margins remain the primary fundamental strengths. EBIT stands at $1,138,000,000 and EBIT margin equals 47.08%, above the industry peer mean of 28.39% and the industry peer median of 32.31%, and below the industry peer high of 55.997%. Operating margin sits at 42.45% and gross margin at 49.32%, both materially stronger than typical peer means, reflecting elevated realized gold prices and operational leverage.

Cash generation and liquidity show resilience: cash balance $2,546,000,000, operating cash flow $1,419,000,000, and free cash flow $1,077,000,000 produce a free cash flow yield of 3.28%, which sits above the industry peer mean of 1.25%. The company converted operating earnings into cash efficiently (cash flow to earnings ~212%), supporting the increased dividend program and the $875m Q4 interim payout scheduling.

Capital structure and solvency metrics indicate flexibility: total debt $2,315,000,000, debt/EBITDA ~2.03 and interest coverage ~14.05x. Current ratio 2.58 and quick ratio 1.98 provide ample near-term liquidity. Debt-to-assets 15.60% and debt-to-equity 0.30x maintain conservative leverage relative to historical mining-sector norms.

Market multiples and valuation context show mixed signals. Price/earnings sits at 49.31, roughly in line with the industry peer median of 48.99 and below the industry peer mean of 68.96. Price/book at 4.27 stands above the industry peer mean of 3.37 and the median of 2.58, while enterprise value relative to revenue and forward metrics show elevated multiples consistent with a market that priced in stronger gold realizations. WMDST values the stock as fair-valued given high margins, robust cash flow, and matching market multiples.

Earnings detail: reported EPS $1.90 versus an estimate of $1.94, producing an EPS surprise of -2.06%. Revenue totaled $2,417,000,000 and production gains reported across several assets supported margin expansion; management confirmed strong free cash flow for the year and a materially increased dividend program.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-09-30
REPORT DATE: 2026-02-19
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-05-21
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 2.0 B
 Operating Cash Flow 1.4 B
 Capital Expenditures -342.00 M
 Change In Working Capital -707.00 M
 Dividends Paid -562.00 M
 Cash Flow Delta 546.0 M
 End Period Cash Flow 2.5 B
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 2.4 B
 Forward Revenue 972.7 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 1.2 B
 Depreciation
 Depreciation and Amortization
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 1.4 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 1.2 B
 EBITDA 1.1 B
 EBIT 1.1 B
 Operating Income 1.0 B
 Interest Income 43.0 M
 Interest Expense 81.0 M
 Net Interest Income -38.00 M
 Income Before Tax 1.1 B
 Tax Provision 242.0 M
 Tax Rate 22.895 %
 Net Income 669.0 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 669.0 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 1.94
 EPS Actual 1.90
 EPS Difference -0.04
 EPS Surprise -2.062 %
 Forward EPS 2.13
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 14.8 B
 Intangible Assets 105.0 M
 Net Tangible Assets 7.6 B
 Total Current Assets 4.5 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 2.5 B
 Cash 2.5 B
 Net Receivables 404.0 M
 Inventory 1.1 B
 Long-Term Investments 281.0 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 925.0 M
 Short-Term Debt 110.0 M
 Total Current Liabilities 1.8 B
 Net Debt
 Total Debt 2.3 B
 Total Liabilities 5.3 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 7.7 B
 Retained Earnings 7.1 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 15.23
 Shares Outstanding 504.887 M
 Revenue Per-Share 4.79
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 32.9 B
 Enterprise Value 32.6 B
 Enterprise Multiple 28.677
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 22.748 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 18.513 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 157.603
mean: 51.74
AU: 28.677
median: 26.722
low: -220.72
 EV/R 13.502
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.929
 Asset To Liability 2.809
 Debt To Capital 0.231
 Debt To Assets 0.156
Debt To Assets QoQ -4.644 %
Debt To Assets YoY 563.435 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.574
AU: 0.156
mean: 0.124
median: 0.103
low: 0.001
 Debt To Equity 0.301
Debt To Equity QoQ -3.439 %
Debt To Equity YoY 500.159 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 2.001
AU: 0.301
mean: 0.23
median: 0.17
low: 0.001
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 4.274
Price To Book QoQ 26.001 %
Price To Book YoY 52.379 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 8.202
AU: 4.274
mean: 3.37
median: 2.585
low: 0.704
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 49.314
Price To Earnings QoQ 35.561 %
Price To Earnings YoY 21.838 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 163.615
mean: 68.959
AU: 49.314
median: 48.994
low: -173.761
 PE/G Ratio 8.806
 Price To Sales (P/S) 13.598
Price To Sales QoQ 32.17 %
Price To Sales YoY 75.153 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 28.634
median: 15.547
mean: 14.447
AU: 13.598
low: 0.628
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 82.833
Forward PE/G 14.792
Forward P/S 104.829
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -3.845
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.167
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -6.078 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -3.921 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.462
AU: 0.167
median: 0.153
mean: 0.149
low: 0.006
 Receivables Turnover 5.762
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -5.269 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 3.949 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 43.106
mean: 6.834
median: 6.561
AU: 5.762
low: 1.388
 Inventory Turnover 1.173
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -1.608 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -0.819 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.678
AU: 1.173
median: 1.1
mean: 1.061
low: 0.336
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 15.838
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 29.62
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -14.615 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 50.68 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 277.604
mean: 71.036
median: 68.586
AU: 29.62
low: -2045.19
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.868
 CapEx To Revenue -0.141
 CapEx To Depreciation
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 9.7 B
 Net Invested Capital 9.8 B
 Invested Capital 9.8 B
 Net Tangible Assets 7.6 B
 Net Working Capital 2.8 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 1.447
 Current Ratio 2.581
Current Ratio QoQ -13.573 %
Current Ratio YoY 33.546 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 12.496
AU: 2.581
median: 2.458
mean: 2.336
low: 0.005
 Quick Ratio 1.98
Quick Ratio QoQ -10.815 %
Quick Ratio YoY 47.233 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 2.957
AU: 1.98
median: 1.507
mean: 1.469
low: 0.315
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 2.034
 Cost Of Debt 2.7 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 14.049
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -43.287 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 35.338 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 49.212
mean: 24.226
median: 21.14
AU: 14.049
low: -194.931
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.806
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 62.552
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 1.19
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.84
 Dividend Rate 1.11
 Dividend Yield 0.017
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 5.004 %
 Revenue Growth -1.145 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -104.663 %
Revenue Growth YoY -114.375 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 121.571 %
mean: 5.193 %
median: 3.893 %
AU: -1.145 %
low: -4.838 %
 Earnings Growth 5.6 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -86.681 %
Earnings Growth YoY -57.999 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 257.143 %
median: 10.0 %
AU: 5.6 %
mean: -0.757 %
low: -150.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 49.317 %
Gross Margin QoQ 0.735 %
Gross Margin YoY 35.919 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 83.6 %
AU: 49.317 %
median: 45.333 %
mean: 36.459 %
low: -5.37 %
 EBIT Margin 47.083 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 5.612 %
EBIT Margin YoY 61.012 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 55.997 %
AU: 47.083 %
median: 32.305 %
mean: 28.386 %
low: -25.528 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 42.449 %
Return On Sales QoQ 3.891 %
Return On Sales YoY 45.164 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 51.244 %
AU: 42.449 %
median: 35.56 %
mean: 28.969 %
low: -31.756 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1.1 B
 Free Cash Flow Yield 3.277 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 23.381 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 11.881 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 11.174 %
AU: 3.277 %
median: 1.802 %
mean: 1.245 %
low: -7.163 %
 Free Cash Growth 61.228 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 5.033 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -38.41 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 537.296 %
AU: 61.228 %
median: -14.298 %
mean: -71.722 %
low: -339.64 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 1.61
 Cash Flow Margin 33.554 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 2.121
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 4.619 %
Return On Assets QoQ -4.998 %
Return On Assets YoY 77.791 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 6.16 %
AU: 4.619 %
median: 2.605 %
mean: 2.087 %
low: -14.746 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 8.703 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.087
Return On Equity QoQ -3.558 %
Return On Equity YoY 61.022 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.115
AU: 0.087
median: 0.055
mean: 0.031
low: -0.432
 DuPont ROE 8.857 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 8.931 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 1.373 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -128.761 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 9.171 %
AU: 8.931 %
median: 4.1 %
mean: 3.419 %
low: -12.191 %

Six-Week Outlook

Momentum indicators (DI+, MACD, rising short-term EMAs) favor continued upside pressure over the next six weeks, particularly around catalyst windows tied to the March 13 ex-dividend date and March 27 payment. The positive free cash flow profile and the announced interim dividend should sustain investor interest and buying tilt around corporate-action dates.

Countervailing factors include a positive MRO in peak-and-reversal and price sitting above the 1x Bollinger band, which elevates the chance of a short-term retracement or consolidation before a sustained trend continuation. ADX near 24.5 suggests the trend remains emergent rather than firmly established, so expect elevated intraday and swing volatility as the market digests dividend flows and any post-declaration positioning.

Overall, the technical setup implies a bias toward higher levels conditioned on no material change to operational cash flows; valuation on a WMDST basis remains fair-valued given robust margins and cash generation balanced against elevated market multiples and a partially stretched short-term technical position.

About AngloGold Ashanti Limited

AngloGold Ashanti Limited (NYSE:AU) mines and produces gold, with a history stretching back to 1944. Headquartered in Greenwood Village, Colorado, the company operates across Africa, Australia, and the Americas. AngloGold Ashanti explores and extracts gold, while also recovering by-products like silver and sulphuric acid. The Geita mine, located in Tanzania’s Lake Victoria goldfields, highlights its strategic asset portfolio. AngloGold Ashanti prioritizes sustainable mining practices, focusing on safety, environmental stewardship, and community engagement. The company emphasizes operational efficiency and innovation, maintaining its competitive edge in the mining industry. AngloGold Ashanti consistently seeks new opportunities to expand its global footprint, aiming to deliver value to shareholders while positively impacting the communities and environments where it operates. As a prominent player in the gold mining sector, the company remains committed to growth and sustainability in an ever-evolving market.



© 2026 WMDST — The World’s Most Dangerous Swing Trader. All rights reserved.