CVR Energy, Inc. (NYSE:CVI) Reverts Wynnewood Unit, Signaling Near-Term Pressure On Renewables But Operational Stability For Hydrocarbons

CVR Energy shows operational recalibration after reverting a Wynnewood renewable diesel unit to hydrocarbon service and completing turnarounds; near-term price bias reflects reduced renewables exposure amid solid refining and fertilizer margin metrics.

Recent News

Late January 2026 reports confirm CVR completed reversion of the Wynnewood renewable diesel unit back to hydrocarbon processing in December and ceased renewable diesel production, reducing U.S. renewable diesel capacity by roughly 100 million gallons per year; management cited unfavorable renewables economics, feedstock and logistical constraints, and retention of the option to restart renewables if incentives change.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 23.09 indicates an emerging trend in place; strength sits above the no-trend band but below strong-trend readings, implying limited directional conviction for now.

Directional indicators show bearish alignment: DI+ peaked and reversed (bearish) while DI- dipped then reversed (bearish), which signals sellers currently dominate directional pressure and supports a near-term downside bias relative to the current valuation.

MACD reads -0.78 with a signal line at -0.86; the MACD sits above its signal line (a bullish crossover), yet the MACD trend has peaked-and-reversed, which indicates negative momentum recently turning less negative — the net effect: short-lived bullish crossover against a backdrop of waning momentum.

MRO at -2.15 with a peak-and-reversal signal shows price below target with only weak mean-reversion potential; the negative MRO implies limited upside from momentum-normalization alone.

RSI at 37.5 with a peak-and-reversal pattern confirms recent selling pressure without reaching deep oversold territory; this supports a cautious stance for momentum-driven swing trades over the next few weeks.

Price sits at $21.59, below the 50-day average ($25.22) and well under the 200-day average ($29.08), reinforcing shorter-term downside bias versus longer-term averages; the 12-day and 26-day EMAs recently peaked-and-reversed, adding weight to the near-term negative tilt. Bollinger bands show a 20-day average of $23.32 and a 1x lower band near $22.25, indicating the current close trades near the lower short-term volatility band and leaving room for mean-reversion if demand reasserts.

 


Fundamental Analysis

EBIT of $514,000,000 and EBITDA of $626,000,000 produce an EBIT margin of 26.44%, materially above the industry peer mean of 6.249% and near the reported peer high of 30.204%; margin contraction QoQ stands at -5.56% and YoY at -5.41%, reflecting the reversion and turnaround activity that suppressed segment performance. (Industry peer mean and high shown for context.)

Revenue totaled $1,944,000,000 with reported revenue growth of 10.392% (QoQ growth at 48.733% but YoY down 2.526%), indicating recent volume or price improvements quarter-to-quarter while full-year comparatives lag slightly. Gross margin at 28.704% contracted roughly 8.21% YoY, consistent with the renewables reversion and fertilizer turnaround effects on mix and throughput.

Liquidity shows $670,000,000 in cash and short-term investments with a current ratio of 1.96 and quick ratio of 1.28; operating cash flow reached $163,000,000 and free cash flow $120,000,000, producing a free cash flow yield of 3.606% versus an industry peer mean near 2.435% — indicating modest cash generation relative to enterprise value. Net debt stands near $1,133,000,000 with debt-to-EBITDA of 2.97 and debt-to-equity of 2.21, signalling leverage above many peers and constraining capital flexibility until deleveraging continues.

Operationally, nitrogen fertilizer remains a meaningful earnings driver; the company noted reduced nitrogen volumes from a planned turnaround and delayed Coffeyville restart, which contributed to a preliminary fourth-quarter net loss driven by accelerated depreciation from the Wynnewood reversion. Management completed the RDU reversion in December and indicated no planned Petroleum segment turnarounds for 2026.

Valuation metrics present contrasts: enterprise multiple near 7.21 sits below the cited peer mean (~19.38), while P/E registers at ~82.75 and price-to-book at 3.96; WMDST values the stock as over-valued given the combination of high market multiples, elevated leverage, and near-term earnings pressure from the renewables reversion and fertilizer turnaround.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-09-30
REPORT DATE: 2026-02-18
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-05-20
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 596.0 M
 Operating Cash Flow 163.0 M
 Capital Expenditures -43.00 M
 Change In Working Capital -481.00 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 74.0 M
 End Period Cash Flow 670.0 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 1.9 B
 Forward Revenue 28.1 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 1.4 B
 Depreciation 112.0 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 112.0 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 1.4 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 558.0 M
 EBITDA 626.0 M
 EBIT 514.0 M
 Operating Income 516.0 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 25.0 M
 Net Interest Income -25.00 M
 Income Before Tax 489.0 M
 Tax Provision 88.0 M
 Tax Rate 17.9 %
 Net Income 374.0 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 401.0 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate -0.81
 EPS Actual -0.80
 EPS Difference 0.01
 EPS Surprise 1.235 %
 Forward EPS 0.22
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 4.0 B
 Intangible Assets
 Net Tangible Assets 840.0 M
 Total Current Assets 1.5 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 670.0 M
 Cash 670.0 M
 Net Receivables 253.0 M
 Inventory 509.0 M
 Long-Term Investments 408.0 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 437.0 M
 Short-Term Debt 14.0 M
 Total Current Liabilities 755.0 M
 Net Debt 1.1 B
 Total Debt 1.9 B
 Total Liabilities 3.0 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 840.0 M
 Retained Earnings -667.00 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 8.36
 Shares Outstanding 100.531 M
 Revenue Per-Share 19.34
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 3.3 B
 Enterprise Value 4.5 B
 Enterprise Multiple 7.212
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -104.336 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -113.071 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 31.539
median: 25.807
mean: 19.384
CVI: 7.212
low: -53.099
 EV/R 2.322
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 4.752
 Asset To Liability 1.353
 Debt To Capital 0.689
 Debt To Assets 0.465
Debt To Assets QoQ -1.263 %
Debt To Assets YoY 22481.553 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 1.466
median: 0.564
mean: 0.517
CVI: 0.465
low: 0.004
 Debt To Equity 2.211
Debt To Equity QoQ -45.115 %
Debt To Equity YoY 18555.781 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA CVI: 2.211
high: 1.818
median: 1.128
mean: 0.894
low: -3.312
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 3.961
Price To Book QoQ -31.901 %
Price To Book YoY 8.827 %
Price To Book IPRWA CVI: 3.961
high: 2.081
median: 1.057
mean: 0.573
low: -2.254
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 82.75
Price To Earnings QoQ -172.954 %
Price To Earnings YoY -269.286 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 119.893
CVI: 82.75
median: 44.432
mean: 34.827
low: -68.228
 PE/G Ratio -0.302
 Price To Sales (P/S) 1.712
Price To Sales QoQ 11.198 %
Price To Sales YoY 27.696 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 2.658
CVI: 1.712
median: 1.157
mean: 0.945
low: 0.11
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 570.617
Forward PE/G -2.083
Forward P/S 485.179
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -58.115
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.487
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 13.975 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 4.792 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA CVI: 0.487
high: 0.391
median: 0.374
mean: 0.347
low: 0.062
 Receivables Turnover 7.807
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 25.244 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 23.306 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 9.961
CVI: 7.807
mean: 6.54
median: 5.723
low: 2.141
 Inventory Turnover 2.739
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -18.53 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -25.198 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 8.79
mean: 5.242
median: 4.776
CVI: 2.739
low: 1.147
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 11.688
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 14.507
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -1.954 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -7.603 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 94.279
mean: 19.846
median: 14.688
CVI: 14.507
low: -25.082
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 2.689
 CapEx To Revenue -0.022
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.384
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 2.6 B
 Net Invested Capital 2.6 B
 Invested Capital 2.6 B
 Net Tangible Assets 840.0 M
 Net Working Capital 723.0 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.887
 Current Ratio 1.958
Current Ratio QoQ 67.494 %
Current Ratio YoY 46.682 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 3.114
mean: 2.312
median: 2.124
CVI: 1.958
low: 0.045
 Quick Ratio 1.283
Quick Ratio QoQ 71.944 %
Quick Ratio YoY 48.794 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 2.501
mean: 1.778
median: 1.4
CVI: 1.283
low: 0.031
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 2.966
 Cost Of Debt 1.099 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 20.56
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -704.706 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -436.436 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA CVI: 20.56
high: 6.075
mean: 2.394
median: 2.13
low: -0.997
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.592
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 22.426
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 0.201 %
 Revenue Growth 10.392 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 48.733 %
Revenue Growth YoY -252.554 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 13.297 %
median: 11.911 %
CVI: 10.392 %
mean: 8.125 %
low: -18.954 %
 Earnings Growth -273.913 %
Earnings Growth QoQ 237.547 %
Earnings Growth YoY -58.217 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 414.286 %
median: 5.505 %
mean: -2.484 %
CVI: -273.913 %
low: -400.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 28.704 %
Gross Margin QoQ -843.434 %
Gross Margin YoY -820.663 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 47.823 %
CVI: 28.704 %
mean: 12.489 %
median: 8.074 %
low: -0.098 %
 EBIT Margin 26.44 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -556.492 %
EBIT Margin YoY -540.593 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 30.204 %
CVI: 26.44 %
mean: 6.249 %
median: 4.625 %
low: -20.024 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 26.543 %
Return On Sales QoQ -549.424 %
Return On Sales YoY -542.31 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 30.547 %
CVI: 26.543 %
mean: 5.413 %
median: 4.227 %
low: -17.532 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 120.0 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 3.606 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -851.25 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 638.934 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 5.183 %
CVI: 3.606 %
median: 3.496 %
mean: 2.435 %
low: -6.085 %
 Free Cash Growth -1023.077 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 971.262 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -1123.077 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 281.489 %
median: 193.976 %
mean: 123.925 %
low: -432.653 %
CVI: -1023.077 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.321
 Cash Flow Margin 22.994 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.195
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 9.378 %
Return On Assets QoQ -438.678 %
Return On Assets YoY -397.998 %
Return On Assets IPRWA CVI: 9.378 %
high: 1.556 %
mean: 0.886 %
median: 0.824 %
low: -2.344 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 15.879 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.445
Return On Equity QoQ -281.998 %
Return On Equity YoY -342.373 %
Return On Equity IPRWA CVI: 0.445
high: 0.078
mean: 0.026
median: 0.024
low: -0.075
 DuPont ROE 57.275 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 15.966 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -620.404 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -19.974 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 16.003 %
CVI: 15.966 %
mean: 3.43 %
median: 1.72 %
low: -19.245 %

Six-Week Outlook

Expect continued headline sensitivity around the Wynnewood reversion and Coffeyville restart timing; technicals favor a near-term bearish bias with potential short-lived rebounds into the lower Bollinger band or the price20day average. Momentum readings and DI alignment suggest sellers retain control unless volume confirms a sustainable technical reversal. Fundamentals imply limited upside catalysts until fertilizer volumes normalize and renewables economics clarify or incentives re-emerge.

About CVR Energy, Inc.

CVR Energy, Inc. (NYSE:CVI), headquartered in Sugar Land, Texas, plays a significant role in the energy sector, concentrating on petroleum refining and nitrogen fertilizer production. Through its Petroleum segment, CVR Energy refines crude oil into essential products like gasoline, diesel, and other refined fuels. The company operates refineries strategically located in southeast Kansas and Wynnewood, Oklahoma, ensuring a steady supply to a wide range of clients, including retailers, railroads, and farm cooperatives. Its logistics network supports efficient distribution, enhancing its market reach. In the Nitrogen Fertilizer segment, CVR Energy utilizes pet coke gasification technology to manufacture nitrogen-based fertilizers. Facilities in North America and East Dubuque, Illinois, produce ammonia, urea ammonium nitrate (UAN), and other agricultural inputs vital for crop yield enhancement. These products serve both agricultural and industrial markets, underscoring their importance in the agricultural supply chain. As a subsidiary of Icahn Enterprises Holdings L.P., CVR Energy integrates a long-standing legacy with contemporary practices, contributing to the energy and agricultural sectors’ growth and sustainability.



© 2026 WMDST — The World’s Most Dangerous Swing Trader. All rights reserved.