Xometry, Inc. (NASDAQ:XMTR) Signals Near-Term Pullback After Material Expansion

Xometry shows expanding product depth but exhibits technical and cash-flow signals that increase short-term downside pressure on an already over-valued valuation. Fundamentals show revenue momentum alongside negative margins and constrained free cash flow.

Recent News

In December 2025 Xometry added eight new auto-quotable 3D-printing materials to its Instant Quoting Engine and expanded instant quoting for injection molding; the company also rolled out finer control for CNC subprocess selection and looser tolerance options to lower part costs. A January 2026 company release summarized these product and platform enhancements as part of broader marketplace updates supporting complex manufacturing demands.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 16.37 signals no established trend; this lowers conviction for sustained directional moves and raises the likelihood of short, volatile episodes that can amplify valuation re-rating for an over-valued stock.

DI+ registers 22.33 with a peak-and-reversal pattern, while DI- sits at 26.71 with a dip-and-reversal pattern; both directional indicators therefore signal recent bearish directional changes and point toward increased downside pressure relative to current valuation levels.

MACD stands at -0.31 with a peak-and-reversal profile and the signal line at 0.28; MACD negative and below its signal line constitutes bearish momentum, reducing the probability that short-term technical strength will support the present valuation.

MRO reads 16.09 with a peak-and-reversal profile; MRO positive at this magnitude indicates price above target and suggests contraction risk, which reinforces downside bias for a security WMDST values as over-valued.

RSI at 51.06 with a peak-and-reversal profile stays near neutral but reflects a loss of recent upside momentum; coupled with MACD and DI signals, this favors mean-reversion toward lower price levels rather than fresh appreciation that would justify stretched multiples.

Price sits at $55.42 below the 20-day average ($62.15), the 50-day average ($62.09) and the 12-day EMA ($61.58, peak & reversal), indicating short-term price weakness against recent averages and implying technical pressure on the current valuation. Bollinger lower bands (1x = $56.54) sit just above the close, reinforcing proximity to the lower volatility band despite mixed momentum readings. Elevated 42‑day beta (3.56) implies outsized short-term volatility relative to the broader market, increasing execution risk for any re-rating event.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue shows strong top-line momentum: YoY revenue growth 62.81% and QoQ revenue growth 45.76%, supporting the expansion narrative and the recent product additions. Gross margin equals 39.86% and changed only marginally YoY (+1.17 percentage points), indicating core unit economics retain structural strength even while investment continues.

Profitability remains negative. EBIT equals -$10,336,000, with an EBIT margin of -5.72%. QoQ EBIT margin contracted by 63.20% and YoY by 9.77 percentage points. The EBIT margin compares to industry peer mean of 22.53%, industry peer median of 18.18%, and an industry peer range from -31.20% to 34.34%, placing Xometry below the peer mean and median and nearer the lower end of the industry peer range.

Net income equals -$11,597,000 and operating margin stands at -6.09% (YoY change -3.90 percentage points). Free cash flow sits at -$1,657,000 with free cash flow yield of -0.07% and free cash growth that turned negative; operating cash flow totaled $5,792,000 but failed to offset negative investing outflows (capital expenditures $-7,449,000). Cash and short-term investments equal $224,519,000, providing liquidity cushion against near-term cash needs while net debt equals $306,098,000 and total debt $333,455,000, keeping leverage elevated versus equity ($271,964,000) and producing a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.226 (122.6%).

Market multiple profile shows stretched valuations: P/E about 433.48 and forward P/E ~645.29; price-to-sales 13.47 and enterprise-value-to-revenue ~14.07. Price-to-book sits near 8.95 while PEG and forward PEG appear elevated (PEGratio 19.51; forwardPEG 29.04). WMDST values the stock as over-valued, reflecting these multiples versus earnings and cash-flow metrics despite robust revenue growth.

Earnings summary: reported EPS $0.11 vs. estimate $0.10, an EPS surprise of 10%. Forward EPS equals $0.18949, implying a forward EPS profile that still leaves multiples stretched relative to operating performance and cash generation.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-09-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-11-04
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-02-03
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 16.8 M
 Operating Cash Flow 5.8 M
 Capital Expenditures -7.45 M
 Change In Working Capital -1.03 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 4.1 M
 End Period Cash Flow 20.8 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 180.7 M
 Forward Revenue -37.67 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 108.7 M
 Depreciation 5.0 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 5.0 M
 Research and Development 12.5 M
 Total Operating Expenses 191.7 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 72.0 M
 EBITDA -5.34 M
 EBIT -10.34 M
 Operating Income -11.01 M
 Interest Income 2.1 M
 Interest Expense 1.3 M
 Net Interest Income 861.0 K
 Income Before Tax -11.61 M
 Tax Provision -17.00 K
 Tax Rate 0.146 %
 Net Income -11.60 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations -11.60 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.10
 EPS Actual 0.11
 EPS Difference 0.01
 EPS Surprise 10.0 %
 Forward EPS 0.19
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 698.9 M
 Intangible Assets 293.2 M
 Net Tangible Assets -21.26 M
 Total Current Assets 341.1 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 224.5 M
 Cash 20.8 M
 Net Receivables 98.9 M
 Inventory 4.2 M
 Long-Term Investments 459.0 K
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 46.2 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 94.1 M
 Net Debt 306.1 M
 Total Debt 333.5 M
 Total Liabilities 425.8 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 272.0 M
 Retained Earnings -423.38 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 5.33
 Shares Outstanding 51.033 M
 Revenue Per-Share 3.54
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 2.4 B
 Enterprise Value 2.5 B
 Enterprise Multiple -476.451
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 373.45 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 293.955 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 233.502
median: 89.291
mean: 75.918
low: -157.273
XMTR: -476.451
 EV/R 14.068
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.57
 Asset To Liability 1.641
 Debt To Capital 0.551
 Debt To Assets 0.477
Debt To Assets QoQ -2.123 %
Debt To Assets YoY 2336.823 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.973
XMTR: 0.477
mean: 0.255
median: 0.154
low: 0.01
 Debt To Equity 1.226
Debt To Equity QoQ -1.01 %
Debt To Equity YoY 2811.66 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 2.365
XMTR: 1.226
mean: 0.559
median: 0.24
low: 0.011
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 8.948
Price To Book QoQ 22.142 %
Price To Book YoY 207.095 %
Price To Book IPRWA XMTR: 8.948
high: 8.082
median: 6.089
mean: 5.136
low: -5.143
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 433.485
Price To Earnings QoQ 21.229 %
Price To Earnings YoY -53.327 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA XMTR: 433.485
high: 195.274
mean: 136.682
median: 120.234
low: -155.476
 PE/G Ratio 19.507
 Price To Sales (P/S) 13.465
Price To Sales QoQ 10.497 %
Price To Sales YoY 107.741 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 22.61
median: 14.113
XMTR: 13.465
mean: 12.006
low: 0.544
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 645.291
Forward PE/G 29.038
Forward P/S -174.856
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -5.286
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.261
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 10.476 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 24.858 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.477
XMTR: 0.261
mean: 0.145
median: 0.105
low: 0.015
 Receivables Turnover 1.946
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 3.182 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 2.705 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 4.54
XMTR: 1.946
median: 1.611
mean: 1.546
low: 0.816
 Inventory Turnover 24.493
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 8.992 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -9.143 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA XMTR: 24.493
high: 3.901
mean: 1.791
median: 0.805
low: 0.107
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 46.9
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 9.718
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ 19.679 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -77.03 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 140.744
median: 25.754
mean: 25.574
XMTR: 9.718
low: -59.548
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.732
 CapEx To Revenue -0.041
 CapEx To Depreciation -1.49
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 598.9 M
 Net Invested Capital 598.9 M
 Invested Capital 598.9 M
 Net Tangible Assets -21.26 M
 Net Working Capital 247.0 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 2.385
 Current Ratio 3.623
Current Ratio QoQ -7.33 %
Current Ratio YoY -21.141 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 8.632
XMTR: 3.623
mean: 1.072
median: 0.738
low: 0.428
 Quick Ratio 3.578
Quick Ratio QoQ -7.172 %
Quick Ratio YoY -21.276 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 16.179
XMTR: 3.578
mean: 3.503
median: 2.584
low: 2.059
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA -62.492
 Cost Of Debt 0.382 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio -8.088
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -62.16 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 6.881 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 27.361
median: 12.24
mean: 8.947
XMTR: -8.088
low: -17.094
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio -0.148
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 41.34
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 1.723 %
 Revenue Growth 11.177 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 45.762 %
Revenue Growth YoY 62.811 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 21.396 %
XMTR: 11.177 %
mean: 0.687 %
median: -0.168 %
low: -13.715 %
 Earnings Growth 22.222 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -93.651 %
Earnings Growth YoY -107.407 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 95.714 %
XMTR: 22.222 %
mean: -0.653 %
median: -2.299 %
low: -96.296 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 39.858 %
Gross Margin QoQ -0.596 %
Gross Margin YoY 1.17 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 89.116 %
mean: 61.08 %
median: 59.941 %
XMTR: 39.858 %
low: 8.097 %
 EBIT Margin -5.72 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -63.196 %
EBIT Margin YoY -9.765 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 34.343 %
mean: 22.53 %
median: 18.179 %
XMTR: -5.72 %
low: -31.204 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) -6.092 %
Return On Sales QoQ -3.76 %
Return On Sales YoY -3.897 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 33.558 %
mean: 22.596 %
median: 18.196 %
XMTR: -6.092 %
low: -43.421 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -1.66 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield -0.068 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -81.769 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -92.601 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 10.49 %
mean: 1.025 %
median: 0.734 %
XMTR: -0.068 %
low: -6.965 %
 Free Cash Growth -77.578 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 296.069 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 107.04 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 388.604 %
mean: 18.098 %
median: -7.033 %
XMTR: -77.578 %
low: -210.38 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.143
 Cash Flow Margin -7.723 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.204
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) -1.674 %
Return On Assets QoQ -56.395 %
Return On Assets YoY 11.377 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 8.084 %
median: 2.362 %
mean: 1.715 %
XMTR: -1.674 %
low: -8.842 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) -1.709 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) -0.043
Return On Equity QoQ -56.383 %
Return On Equity YoY 31.808 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.129
median: 0.036
mean: 0.032
XMTR: -0.043
low: -0.196
 DuPont ROE -4.276 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) -1.723 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -59.286 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -153.609 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 10.237 %
median: 3.446 %
mean: 2.751 %
XMTR: -1.723 %
low: -6.684 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term price action should remain volatility-prone with a downside bias. Momentum indicators (MACD, DI layers, MRO) and price below short-term averages favor retracement toward lower support areas unless momentum indicators reverse and MACD crosses back above its signal line. Liquidity metrics (cash cushion) reduce immediate solvency risk, but negative free cash flow and elevated leverage increase sensitivity to any revenue slowdowns or margin pressure. Monitor MACD for a bullish cross and MRO moving toward zero to signal stabilization; absent those, expect range breakdowns to coincide with spikes in implied volatility given the 42‑day beta. Swing traders should prioritize confirmed technical turn signals rather than presuming mean reversion for a security WMDST values as over-valued.

About Xometry, Inc.

Xometry, Inc. (NASDAQ:XMTR) develops an innovative online marketplace that connects buyers with custom-manufactured parts and assemblies across the United States and internationally. The company provides a wide range of services, including computer numerical control (CNC) manufacturing, sheet metal forming, and cutting. Xometry also offers 3D printing solutions such as fused deposition modeling, direct metal laser sintering, and stereolithography, among others. Additionally, the company handles die casting, stamping, injection molding, urethane casting, tube cutting, and bending, along with finishing services, rapid prototyping, and high-volume production services. Serving diverse industries like aerospace, healthcare, robotics, industrial, defense, energy, automotive, government, education, and consumer goods, Xometry delivers tailored solutions to meet specific manufacturing needs. Originally incorporated as NextLine Manufacturing Corp. in 2013, the company rebranded to Xometry, Inc. in June 2015. Headquartered in North Bethesda, Maryland, Xometry leverages its extensive network of manufacturing partners to provide efficient and reliable services to its clients.



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