AngloGold Ashanti Limited (NYSE:AU) Accelerates Cash-Led Run Into Near Term

Strong free-cash-flow generation and elevated margins underpin a near-term bullish cash narrative, even as momentum indicators signal cooling. Valuation sits in a fair-valued band amid mixed growth signals.

Recent News

Jan 27, 2026 — AngloGold agreed a strategic investment and investor-rights arrangement with Gold X2 through a charity flow-through placement, taking roughly a 9.9% stake and forming a joint technical committee. Feb 2, 2026 — market commentary noted a price uptick on thin volume with no company-specific catalyst. Feb 10, 2026 — coverage highlighted stronger cash generation and heightened dividend expectations after recent quarterly cash flows and interim dividend actions.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators (ADX/DI+/DI-): ADX at 21.57 indicates an emerging trend rather than strong directional conviction. DI+ at 33.0 has peak-and-reversed, a bearish signal under directional rules, while DI- at 22.48 is decreasing, a bullish signal; together they imply the trend’s directional momentum recently softened after a prior bullish push.

MACD: MACD at $3.66 sits marginally below the signal line at $3.67 with a peak-and-reversal pattern, indicating waning bullish momentum and short-term bearish pressure until MACD crosses back above the signal line.

MRO (Momentum/Regression Oscillator): MRO at 30.36 has peaked and reversed. A positive MRO above zero suggests price currently trades above the model target and faces a higher likelihood of downward pressure while the oscillator unwinds.

RSI: RSI at 59.84 has peak-and-reversed, signaling a recent loss of upward momentum from over the midrange and a higher chance of near-term consolidation or pullback.

Price Versus Moving Averages and Bands: Price closed at $109.82, above the 12-day EMA of $105.45 (which is increasing), the 20-day average $104.76, the 50-day average $94.58 and the 200-day average $67.07, reflecting a clear multi-horizon uptrend. The close sits near the 1x upper Bollinger band ($112.11), implying price trades close to short-term upper range and may test mean reversion.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Earnings & Per-Share Metrics: Reported EPS of $1.32 fell $0.05 short of the $1.37 estimate, an EPS surprise of -3.65%. Forward EPS sits at $2.228, producing a forward P/E of 82.83 while the trailing P/E equals 49.31.

Profitability: EBIT equals $1,138,000,000 and EBIT margin registers at 47.08%, well above the industry peer mean of 28.39% and industry peer median of 32.31%. EBIT margin rose by 5.61% quarter-over-quarter and by 61.01% year-over-year, supporting a stronger operating earnings profile versus recent history.

Cash Generation & Balance Sheet: Free cash flow totaled $1,077,000,000 with a free-cash-flow yield of 3.28%, above the industry peer mean of 1.25%. Cash and short-term investments equal $2,546,000,000 and operating cash flow reached $1,419,000,000, producing a cash conversion ratio of 0.868. Current ratio at 2.58 and quick ratio at 1.98 exceed the industry peer mean current ratio of 2.34, indicating comfortable near-term liquidity.

Leverage & Coverage: Total debt equals $2,315,000,000; debt-to-assets stands at 15.60%, slightly above the industry peer mean of 12.42% but well within the provided peer range. Interest coverage near 14.05x and debt-to-EBITDA about 2.03x reflect ample earnings coverage for interest and modest leverage relative to cash generation.

Growth & Efficiency: Total revenue equals $2,417,000,000 with YoY revenue change of -1.15% and QoQ contraction larger in the short run. Asset turnover sits at 0.1669, marginally above the industry peer mean of 0.1494, while return on equity equals 8.70% and return on assets equals 4.62%—both improved materially year-over-year but still moderate in absolute terms.

Dividends: Dividend yield equals 1.71% with a payout ratio of 84.01% and dividend coverage of 1.19, indicating a high payout relative to earnings and limited incremental cushion for distribution increases absent sustained cash flow.

Valuation: WMDST values the stock as fair-valued. Trailing P/E at 49.31 sits below the industry peer mean of 68.96 and roughly in line with the industry peer median of 48.99. Price-to-book equals 4.27, above the industry peer mean book multiple of 3.37. Strong free cash flow and elevated margins counterbalance high forward multiples and modest revenue contraction, producing a mixed but defensible fair-valued stance.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-09-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-11-11
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-02-10
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 2.0 B
 Operating Cash Flow 1.4 B
 Capital Expenditures -342.00 M
 Change In Working Capital -707.00 M
 Dividends Paid -562.00 M
 Cash Flow Delta 546.0 M
 End Period Cash Flow 2.5 B
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 2.4 B
 Forward Revenue 1.0 B
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 1.2 B
 Depreciation
 Depreciation and Amortization
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 1.4 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 1.2 B
 EBITDA 1.1 B
 EBIT 1.1 B
 Operating Income 1.0 B
 Interest Income 43.0 M
 Interest Expense 81.0 M
 Net Interest Income -38.00 M
 Income Before Tax 1.1 B
 Tax Provision 242.0 M
 Tax Rate 22.895 %
 Net Income 669.0 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 669.0 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 1.37
 EPS Actual 1.32
 EPS Difference -0.05
 EPS Surprise -3.65 %
 Forward EPS 2.23
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 14.8 B
 Intangible Assets 105.0 M
 Net Tangible Assets 7.6 B
 Total Current Assets 4.5 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 2.5 B
 Cash 2.5 B
 Net Receivables 404.0 M
 Inventory 1.1 B
 Long-Term Investments 281.0 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 925.0 M
 Short-Term Debt 110.0 M
 Total Current Liabilities 1.8 B
 Net Debt
 Total Debt 2.3 B
 Total Liabilities 5.3 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 7.7 B
 Retained Earnings 7.1 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 15.23
 Shares Outstanding 504.887 M
 Revenue Per-Share 4.79
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 32.9 B
 Enterprise Value 32.6 B
 Enterprise Multiple 28.677
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 22.748 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 18.513 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 157.603
mean: 51.74
AU: 28.677
median: 26.722
low: -220.72
 EV/R 13.502
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.929
 Asset To Liability 2.809
 Debt To Capital 0.231
 Debt To Assets 0.156
Debt To Assets QoQ -4.644 %
Debt To Assets YoY 563.435 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.574
AU: 0.156
mean: 0.124
median: 0.103
low: 0.001
 Debt To Equity 0.301
Debt To Equity QoQ -3.439 %
Debt To Equity YoY 500.159 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 2.001
AU: 0.301
mean: 0.23
median: 0.17
low: 0.001
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 4.274
Price To Book QoQ 26.001 %
Price To Book YoY 52.379 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 8.202
AU: 4.274
mean: 3.37
median: 2.585
low: 0.704
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 49.314
Price To Earnings QoQ 35.561 %
Price To Earnings YoY 21.838 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 163.615
mean: 68.959
AU: 49.314
median: 48.994
low: -173.761
 PE/G Ratio 8.806
 Price To Sales (P/S) 13.598
Price To Sales QoQ 32.17 %
Price To Sales YoY 75.153 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 28.634
median: 15.547
mean: 14.447
AU: 13.598
low: 0.628
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 82.833
Forward PE/G 14.792
Forward P/S 104.829
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -3.845
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.167
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -6.078 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -3.921 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.462
AU: 0.167
median: 0.153
mean: 0.149
low: 0.006
 Receivables Turnover 5.762
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -5.269 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 3.949 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 43.106
mean: 6.834
median: 6.561
AU: 5.762
low: 1.388
 Inventory Turnover 1.173
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -1.608 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -0.819 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.678
AU: 1.173
median: 1.1
mean: 1.061
low: 0.336
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 15.838
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 29.62
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -14.615 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 50.68 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 277.604
mean: 71.036
median: 68.586
AU: 29.62
low: -2045.19
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.868
 CapEx To Revenue -0.141
 CapEx To Depreciation
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 9.7 B
 Net Invested Capital 9.8 B
 Invested Capital 9.8 B
 Net Tangible Assets 7.6 B
 Net Working Capital 2.8 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 1.447
 Current Ratio 2.581
Current Ratio QoQ -13.573 %
Current Ratio YoY 33.546 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 12.496
AU: 2.581
median: 2.458
mean: 2.336
low: 0.005
 Quick Ratio 1.98
Quick Ratio QoQ -10.815 %
Quick Ratio YoY 47.233 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 2.957
AU: 1.98
median: 1.507
mean: 1.469
low: 0.315
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 2.034
 Cost Of Debt 2.7 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 14.049
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -43.287 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 35.338 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 49.212
mean: 24.226
median: 21.14
AU: 14.049
low: -194.931
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.806
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 62.552
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 1.19
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.84
 Dividend Rate 1.11
 Dividend Yield 0.017
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 5.004 %
 Revenue Growth -1.145 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -104.663 %
Revenue Growth YoY -114.375 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 121.571 %
mean: 5.193 %
median: 3.893 %
AU: -1.145 %
low: -4.838 %
 Earnings Growth 5.6 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -86.681 %
Earnings Growth YoY -57.999 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 257.143 %
median: 10.0 %
AU: 5.6 %
mean: -0.757 %
low: -150.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 49.317 %
Gross Margin QoQ 0.735 %
Gross Margin YoY 35.919 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 83.6 %
AU: 49.317 %
median: 45.333 %
mean: 36.459 %
low: -5.37 %
 EBIT Margin 47.083 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 5.612 %
EBIT Margin YoY 61.012 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 55.997 %
AU: 47.083 %
median: 32.305 %
mean: 28.386 %
low: -25.528 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 42.449 %
Return On Sales QoQ 3.891 %
Return On Sales YoY 45.164 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 51.244 %
AU: 42.449 %
median: 35.56 %
mean: 28.969 %
low: -31.756 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1.1 B
 Free Cash Flow Yield 3.277 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 23.381 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 11.881 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 11.174 %
AU: 3.277 %
median: 1.802 %
mean: 1.245 %
low: -7.163 %
 Free Cash Growth 61.228 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 5.033 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -38.41 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 537.296 %
AU: 61.228 %
median: -14.298 %
mean: -71.722 %
low: -339.64 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 1.61
 Cash Flow Margin 33.554 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 2.121
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 4.619 %
Return On Assets QoQ -4.998 %
Return On Assets YoY 77.791 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 6.16 %
AU: 4.619 %
median: 2.605 %
mean: 2.087 %
low: -14.746 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 8.703 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.087
Return On Equity QoQ -3.558 %
Return On Equity YoY 61.022 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.115
AU: 0.087
median: 0.055
mean: 0.031
low: -0.432
 DuPont ROE 8.857 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 8.931 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 1.373 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -128.761 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 9.171 %
AU: 8.931 %
median: 4.1 %
mean: 3.419 %
low: -12.191 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term momentum likely slows: momentum indicators that have peaked (MACD, MRO, RSI) point to a higher probability of consolidation or a corrective leg after the recent run. Short-term moving averages and the rising 12-day EMA provide underlying directional support, so expect price to trade in a range defined by short-term support near recent EMAs and resistance near the upper Bollinger band while volume remains below longer-term averages. Key resolve for directional continuation requires renewed MACD strength above its signal line and an MRO rollover back toward zero; absent that, volatility and tightening ranges appear most probable over the next six weeks.

About AngloGold Ashanti Limited

AngloGold Ashanti Limited (NYSE:AU) mines and produces gold, with a history stretching back to 1944. Headquartered in Greenwood Village, Colorado, the company operates across Africa, Australia, and the Americas. AngloGold Ashanti explores and extracts gold, while also recovering by-products like silver and sulphuric acid. The Geita mine, located in Tanzania’s Lake Victoria goldfields, highlights its strategic asset portfolio. AngloGold Ashanti prioritizes sustainable mining practices, focusing on safety, environmental stewardship, and community engagement. The company emphasizes operational efficiency and innovation, maintaining its competitive edge in the mining industry. AngloGold Ashanti consistently seeks new opportunities to expand its global footprint, aiming to deliver value to shareholders while positively impacting the communities and environments where it operates. As a prominent player in the gold mining sector, the company remains committed to growth and sustainability in an ever-evolving market.



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