Tapestry, Inc (NYSE:TPR) Accelerates Margin Expansion While Momentum Signals Favor Near-Term Upside

Robust margin gains and industry-leading cash conversion support a constructive fundamental picture, while price momentum and trend strength point to further upside in the weeks ahead—tempered by mean-reversion risk from valuation and momentum exhaustion signals.

Recent News

On January 22, 2026 Tapestry announced it will host its fiscal 2026 second-quarter earnings call on February 5, 2026; the notice flagged the timing and access details for the company’s investor call.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators: ADX at 33.97 signals a strong trend environment currently supporting price continuation; DI+ shows a dip-and-reversal pattern, which reads as bullish, while DI- is decreasing, also supporting the bullish directional bias.

MACD momentum reads bullish: MACD at 5.66 and rising, with the MACD above its 3.34 signal line, indicates accelerating upside momentum and confirms positive price momentum vs. recent averages.

MRO sits positive at 13.63 and trending lower, implying price currently sits above the WMDST target and carries measurable mean-reversion pressure; the magnitude suggests moderate potential for a price pullback toward intrinsic valuation if momentum eases.

RSI at 63.19 with a dip-and-reversal pattern reflects regained buying interest but not extreme overextension; combined with price trading above the 20- and 50-day averages, momentum favors further gains while leaving room for short-term consolidation.

Price structure and bands: Close at $154.67 trades above the 20-day average ($136.31) and well above the 200-day average ($105.94), and approaches the 52-week high of $157.00. Price sits at or above the 1× Bollinger upper band, which, together with the positive MRO, raises short-term mean-reversion risk even as trend indicators remain supportive.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability and margins: EBIT of $714,500,000 yields an EBIT margin of 28.6%, well above the industry peer mean of 12.0% and approaching the peer high of 32.08%. QoQ EBIT margin expanded by 46.8%, and YoY EBIT margin rose by 69.5%, signalling substantial margin leverage versus the prior periods.

Revenue and growth: Reported revenue totaled $2,502,400,000 with a headline revenue growth metric of 46.8%; on a QoQ basis revenue shows a decline of 44.4% while YoY revenue rose 2.6%. These interval-specific moves merit attention to seasonality and period definitions when interpreting the large QoQ swing.

Cash flow and liquidity: Operating cash flow of $1,081,100,000 and free cash flow of $1,037,500,000 produce a free cash flow yield of 4.17%, above the industry peer mean of 0.97%. Cash and short-term investments total $1,077,700,000 and the cash conversion ratio sits at 2.33, indicating efficient conversion of earnings into cash. Current ratio 1.63 and quick ratio 1.10 provide modest short-term liquidity cushion versus operating liabilities.

Leverage and capital structure: Total debt $3,943,700,000 versus total equity $551,200,000 yields debt-to-equity of roughly 7.15x and debt-to-EBITDA of 5.14x, reflecting elevated leverage relative to typical apparel peers; interest expense remains low and interest coverage near 41x, limiting immediate solvency pressure but leaving capital structure sensitivity to earnings swings.

Returns and efficiency: Return on invested capital about 19.5% and return on assets about 8.71% highlight strong capital productivity; return on equity reports at roughly 101.8%, a consequence of relatively small equity base versus earnings and cash flows.

Earnings and valuation multiples: GAAP EPS $2.68 came $0.46 above the $2.22 estimate, a +20.7% surprise. Trailing P/E 45.8 and forward P/E ~65.8 reflect elevated earnings multiples; price-to-book at 45.2 far exceeds the industry peer mean near 6.0. WMDST values the stock as under-valued, which places the company’s momentum and cash-generation profile as key drivers of the valuation gap.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-12-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-02-05
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-05-07
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 719.5 M
 Operating Cash Flow 1.1 B
 Capital Expenditures -43.60 M
 Change In Working Capital 408.7 M
 Dividends Paid -81.30 M
 Cash Flow Delta 333.8 M
 End Period Cash Flow 1.1 B
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 2.5 B
 Forward Revenue 396.9 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 614.0 M
 Depreciation 39.0 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 53.1 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 1.8 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 1.9 B
 EBITDA 767.6 M
 EBIT 714.5 M
 Operating Income 716.4 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 17.4 M
 Net Interest Income -17.40 M
 Income Before Tax 697.1 M
 Tax Provision 135.8 M
 Tax Rate 19.5 %
 Net Income 561.3 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 561.3 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 2.22
 EPS Actual 2.68
 EPS Difference 0.46
 EPS Surprise 20.721 %
 Forward EPS 1.76
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 6.5 B
 Intangible Assets 1.7 B
 Net Tangible Assets -1.13 B
 Total Current Assets 2.8 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 1.1 B
 Cash 1.1 B
 Net Receivables 338.0 M
 Inventory 896.4 M
 Long-Term Investments 146.8 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 564.6 M
 Short-Term Debt 17.1 M
 Total Current Liabilities 1.7 B
 Net Debt 1.3 B
 Total Debt 3.9 B
 Total Liabilities 6.0 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 551.2 M
 Retained Earnings -3.29 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 2.72
 Shares Outstanding 202.700 M
 Revenue Per-Share 12.35
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 24.9 B
 Enterprise Value 27.8 B
 Enterprise Multiple 36.163
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -46.315 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 22.789 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 85.499
median: 85.499
mean: 66.742
TPR: 36.163
low: -26.368
 EV/R 11.093
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 11.849
 Asset To Liability 1.092
 Debt To Capital 0.877
 Debt To Assets 0.604
Debt To Assets QoQ -8.498 %
Debt To Assets YoY 1343.212 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA TPR: 0.604
high: 0.577
median: 0.299
mean: 0.272
low: 0.084
 Debt To Equity 7.155
Debt To Equity QoQ -31.933 %
Debt To Equity YoY 3051.733 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA TPR: 7.155
high: 3.243
median: 0.801
mean: 0.707
low: 0.131
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 45.161
Price To Book QoQ -19.276 %
Price To Book YoY 356.38 %
Price To Book IPRWA TPR: 45.161
high: 6.991
median: 6.991
mean: 6.026
low: 0.514
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 45.823
Price To Earnings QoQ -41.801 %
Price To Earnings YoY 43.373 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 69.625
mean: 49.311
median: 46.829
TPR: 45.823
low: -7.846
 PE/G Ratio 0.486
 Price To Sales (P/S) 9.947
Price To Sales QoQ -24.132 %
Price To Sales YoY 65.129 %
Price To Sales IPRWA TPR: 9.947
high: 8.286
median: 7.923
mean: 7.394
low: 0.408
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 65.826
Forward PE/G 0.699
Forward P/S 63.221
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 2.469
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.388
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 47.369 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 85.464 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.496
TPR: 0.388
mean: 0.34
median: 0.331
low: 0.199
 Receivables Turnover 7.976
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 23.712 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 4.702 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA TPR: 7.976
high: 4.986
mean: 2.581
median: 2.323
low: 1.586
 Inventory Turnover 0.641
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 49.111 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 12.222 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 1.07
median: 0.932
mean: 0.862
TPR: 0.641
low: 0.402
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 11.441
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 107.964
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -8.404 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -12.541 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 338.107
TPR: 107.964
mean: 101.59
median: 95.506
low: 40.976
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 2.33
 CapEx To Revenue -0.017
 CapEx To Depreciation -1.118
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 2.9 B
 Net Invested Capital 2.9 B
 Invested Capital 2.9 B
 Net Tangible Assets -1.13 B
 Net Working Capital 1.1 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.628
 Current Ratio 1.626
Current Ratio QoQ 6.627 %
Current Ratio YoY 2.695 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 4.056
mean: 2.107
median: 2.063
TPR: 1.626
low: 1.061
 Quick Ratio 1.104
Quick Ratio QoQ 18.397 %
Quick Ratio YoY 5.324 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 2.526
median: 1.399
mean: 1.389
TPR: 1.104
low: 0.328
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 5.138
 Cost Of Debt 0.344 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 41.063
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 58.555 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 172.052 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 587.448
mean: 59.4
TPR: 41.063
median: -15.015
low: -35.493
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.441
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 119.691
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 6.904
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.145
 Dividend Rate 0.40
 Dividend Yield 0.003
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 2.635 %
 Revenue Growth 46.803 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -4437.627 %
Revenue Growth YoY 2.566 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 61.21 %
TPR: 46.803 %
mean: 9.266 %
median: 6.032 %
low: -12.144 %
 Earnings Growth 94.203 %
Earnings Growth QoQ 188.153 %
Earnings Growth YoY -1.952 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 660.0 %
TPR: 94.203 %
mean: 18.411 %
median: 8.163 %
low: -44.737 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 75.464 %
Gross Margin QoQ -1.088 %
Gross Margin YoY 1.448 %
Gross Margin IPRWA TPR: 75.464 %
high: 73.981 %
mean: 46.359 %
median: 40.597 %
low: 38.591 %
 EBIT Margin 28.553 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 46.825 %
EBIT Margin YoY 69.514 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 32.08 %
TPR: 28.553 %
mean: 11.999 %
median: 8.095 %
low: 1.476 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 28.629 %
Return On Sales QoQ 48.691 %
Return On Sales YoY 69.966 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 31.384 %
TPR: 28.629 %
mean: 11.899 %
median: 8.095 %
low: -19.556 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1.0 B
 Free Cash Flow Yield 4.168 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 1061.003 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 16.036 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 7.203 %
TPR: 4.168 %
mean: 0.97 %
median: 0.392 %
low: -16.417 %
 Free Cash Growth 1193.641 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -1582.6 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 194.026 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA TPR: 1193.641 %
high: -27.419 %
median: -45.322 %
mean: -214.696 %
low: -647.462 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 1.848
 Cash Flow Margin 30.259 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.349
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 8.706 %
Return On Assets QoQ 105.04 %
Return On Assets YoY 194.221 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 12.202 %
TPR: 8.706 %
mean: 3.324 %
median: 2.109 %
low: -4.85 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 14.841 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 1.018
Return On Equity QoQ 48.042 %
Return On Equity YoY 338.459 %
Return On Equity IPRWA TPR: 1.018
high: 0.238
mean: 0.07
median: 0.056
low: -0.097
 DuPont ROE 118.079 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 19.513 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 107.232 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -141.063 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA TPR: 19.513 %
high: 18.458 %
mean: 5.58 %
median: 3.609 %
low: -6.966 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term bias: Momentum and trend-strength indicators favor continued upside over the next six weeks, with MACD and ADX supporting extension of the current trend and price situated above key moving averages. Counterbalance and risk: positive MRO and price above the upper Bollinger band imply measurable mean-reversion risk; elevated leverage heightens sensitivity to any unexpected earnings or macro downside. What to monitor: watch whether DI+ maintains its dip-and-reversal posture and whether MACD stays above the signal line—loss of those conditions would shift the balance toward consolidation. From a fundamental lens, sustained margin expansion and free-cash-flow generation will remain the primary supports for the current valuation view.

About Tapestry, Inc.

Tapestry, Inc. (NYSE:TPR) designs and markets luxury accessories and lifestyle products across North America, Greater China, and other international markets. The company operates through three distinct segments: Coach, Kate Spade, and Stuart Weitzman. Tapestry, Inc. offers a wide array of women’s handbags and accessories, including small leather goods like mini handbags, money pieces, and cosmetic cases. Additionally, they provide novelty accessories such as travel items, sketchbooks, and key rings. For men, Tapestry, Inc. develops bag collections, including business cases, backpacks, and messenger bags, alongside small leather goods like wallets and belts. The company also produces footwear, watches, fragrances, sunglasses, and ready-to-wear apparel. Their offerings extend to women’s footwear and fragrances, eyewear, jewelry, and seasonal lifestyle apparel, including outerwear and cold weather accessories. Tapestry, Inc. further diversifies its product range with kids’ items, housewares, and home accessories, such as fashion bedding and tableware. The company distributes its products through retail and outlet stores, brand e-commerce platforms, and third-party distributors, maintaining a strong presence under the Coach, Kate Spade, and Stuart Weitzman brands. Founded in 1941 and headquartered in New York, New York, Tapestry, Inc. continues to expand its global footprint.



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