Nutanix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NTNX) Starts $300M Repurchase, Sets Up Near-Term Upside

Nutanix shows improving cash generation and an aggressive $300M accelerated share repurchase that shifts near-term capital allocation toward shareholders while operational metrics support a constructive recovery bias.

Recent News

On December 17, 2025 Nutanix announced a $300 million accelerated share repurchase funded from cash on hand, with initial delivery of roughly 4.97 million shares and final settlement expected before the end of January 2026. The company presented at Barclays’ technology conference on December 11, 2025, updating investors on strategy and partner expansions. Recent product and platform updates emphasize expanded sovereign-cloud controls, on‑premises lifecycle management, and enhanced data-governance features for hybrid cloud deployments.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 42.66 indicates very strong trend strength; that magnitude raises the probability that the current directional move will persist into the near term and therefore amplifies any momentum-driven price moves tied to the company’s buyback activity and cash-flow signals.

Directional indicators show a bullish reversal: DI+ registered a dip-and-reversal while DI- posted a peak-and-reversal, which together imply directional momentum has shifted toward buyers despite DI- still sitting above DI+ in absolute value; the ADX reading increases confidence in the persistence of the new directional bias.

MACD sits negative at -2.96 with a dip-and-reversal trend, indicating momentum has begun to recover from a trough; MACD remains marginally below the signal line (MACD signal -2.95), so momentum appears to be improving but has not yet produced a confirmed crossover.

MRO at -30.33 indicates price below model target and therefore room exists for mean reversion; the MRO’s recent peak-and-reversal movement toward deeper negative values suggests an increasing magnitude of that gap and a heightened potential for upward price reversion to the target level.

RSI at 36.44 with a dip-and-reversal shows the stock sits below neutral momentum and has started to regain buying pressure; the combination of a low RSI and improving MACD supports a near-term recovery bias, particularly if volume confirms moves above the 20‑day and 50‑day averages.

Price sits near the 20‑day average ($40.63) and above the 12‑day EMA ($41.01) on a dip-and-reversal pattern, while the 50‑day ($47.23) and 200‑day ($66.25) averages remain overhead. Bollinger upper/lower bands (1x: $42.75/$38.52) show constrained recent volatility; a breakout above the 1x upper band alongside expanding volume would strengthen the bullish technical case.

 


Fundamental Analysis

WMDST values the stock as under-valued. Operational profitability shows improvement: EBIT equals $68,567,000 and EBIT margin stands at 10.23%, up 38.72% quarter-over-quarter and up 60.85% year-over-year. Compared with the industry peer range, EBIT margin sits above the industry peer low of -23.57% but below the industry peer mean of 48.72% and median of 60.27%.

Revenue totaled $670,576,000 with revenue growth of 2.65% QoQ but a year-over-year decline of 66.23%; sequential strength contrasts with the steep annual comparison and suggests near-term revenue stabilization rather than outright expansion. QoQ revenue growth of 18.57% (provided) supports the view of sequential recovery in demand.

Profitability and cash flow metrics align: net income equals $62,096,000, operating cash flow equals $196,825,000, and free cash flow equals $174,506,000, producing a free cash flow yield of 0.93% and a cash flow to earnings ratio of 281.03% (free cash to net income 2.81x), indicating robust cash conversion from reported earnings.

Balance-sheet metrics show $2,062,196,000 in cash and short‑term investments against net debt of $564,617,000 and a current ratio of 1.89 (up 51.04% YoY). Debt-to-assets equals 44.54% and debt-to-EBITDA sits near 17.03x, reflecting leverage that merits monitoring even as interest coverage remains healthy at 22.91x.

Valuation multiples skew elevated on earnings: trailing PE at 168.61 and forward PE near 152.63 reflect low near‑term earnings per share relative to price, while price-to-sales at 27.91 and enterprise multiple at 208.58 point to rich revenue-based valuation versus absolute cash generation. WMDST’s under-valued assessment relies primarily on cash-generation improvements, the company’s $300M repurchase program, and operational margin expansion rather than on low headline multiples alone.

Earnings detail: reported EPS matched consensus at $0.41 with an EPS surprise ratio about 0.21%, indicating results aligned with expectations for the quarter ended October 31, 2025. The company disclosed that results on November 25, 2025 covered the first quarter of fiscal 2026.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-10-31
REPORT DATE: 2025-11-25
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-02-24
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 769.5 M
 Operating Cash Flow 196.8 M
 Capital Expenditures -22.32 M
 Change In Working Capital 27.5 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 10.9 M
 End Period Cash Flow 780.4 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 670.6 M
 Forward Revenue 398.9 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 87.5 M
 Depreciation
 Depreciation and Amortization 18.4 M
 Research and Development 187.5 M
 Total Operating Expenses 621.2 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 583.1 M
 EBITDA 86.9 M
 EBIT 68.6 M
 Operating Income 49.3 M
 Interest Income 19.8 M
 Interest Expense 3.0 M
 Net Interest Income 16.8 M
 Income Before Tax 65.6 M
 Tax Provision 3.5 M
 Tax Rate 5.304 %
 Net Income 62.1 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 62.1 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.41
 EPS Actual 0.41
 EPS Difference 0.00
 EPS Surprise 0.21 %
 Forward EPS 0.55
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 3.3 B
 Intangible Assets 187.7 M
 Net Tangible Assets -856.28 M
 Total Current Assets 2.6 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 2.1 B
 Cash 780.4 M
 Net Receivables 335.9 M
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments 43.3 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 88.0 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 1.4 B
 Net Debt 564.6 M
 Total Debt 1.5 B
 Total Liabilities 4.0 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity -668.63 M
 Retained Earnings -4.87 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share -2.47
 Shares Outstanding 270.729 M
 Revenue Per-Share 2.48
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 18.7 B
 Enterprise Value 18.1 B
 Enterprise Multiple 208.576
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -26.909 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -27.627 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 798.871
NTNX: 208.576
mean: 69.626
median: 61.115
low: -363.609
 EV/R 27.042
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity -4.971
 Asset To Liability 0.833
 Debt To Capital 1.824
 Debt To Assets 0.445
Debt To Assets QoQ -1.379 %
Debt To Assets YoY 4012.742 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.687
NTNX: 0.445
mean: 0.17
median: 0.087
low: 0.004
 Debt To Equity -2.214
Debt To Equity QoQ 3.714 %
Debt To Equity YoY 6323.876 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 2.989
mean: 0.199
median: 0.147
low: -1.778
NTNX: -2.214
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) -27.991
Price To Book QoQ -0.093 %
Price To Book YoY 12.057 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 39.175
mean: 11.959
median: 9.178
low: -21.803
NTNX: -27.991
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 168.609
Price To Earnings QoQ -13.742 %
Price To Earnings YoY 10.805 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 697.934
NTNX: 168.609
mean: 137.149
median: 99.994
low: -94.028
 PE/G Ratio 15.596
 Price To Sales (P/S) 27.91
Price To Sales QoQ -6.301 %
Price To Sales YoY -3.65 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 101.971
median: 44.141
mean: 44.002
NTNX: 27.91
low: 4.135
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 152.628
Forward PE/G 14.118
Forward P/S 54.481
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 16.002
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.203
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -0.884 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -25.719 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.275
NTNX: 0.203
median: 0.125
mean: 0.123
low: 0.041
 Receivables Turnover 1.99
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -7.36 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -27.87 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.828
NTNX: 1.99
mean: 1.581
median: 1.485
low: 0.601
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 45.852
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC)
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 62.904
NTNX: 0
mean: -69.41
low: -170.216
median: -170.216
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.541
 CapEx To Revenue -0.033
 CapEx To Depreciation 0.0
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 676.4 M
 Net Invested Capital 676.4 M
 Invested Capital 676.4 M
 Net Tangible Assets -856.28 M
 Net Working Capital 1.2 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 1.473
 Current Ratio 1.885
Current Ratio QoQ 2.921 %
Current Ratio YoY 51.043 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 4.448
NTNX: 1.885
median: 1.386
mean: 1.314
low: 0.466
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 17.029
 Cost Of Debt 0.173 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 22.909
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 43.114 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -54.57 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 147.069
median: 66.552
mean: 49.286
NTNX: 22.909
low: -61.95
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.063
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 92.295
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 1.243 %
 Revenue Growth 2.65 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 18.568 %
Revenue Growth YoY -66.233 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 14.586 %
mean: 4.644 %
median: 4.635 %
NTNX: 2.65 %
low: -6.711 %
 Earnings Growth 10.811 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -190.811 %
Earnings Growth YoY -80.54 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 53.741 %
mean: 14.547 %
NTNX: 10.811 %
median: 7.619 %
low: -128.333 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 86.956 %
Gross Margin QoQ -0.242 %
Gross Margin YoY 1.099 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 91.096 %
NTNX: 86.956 %
mean: 70.032 %
median: 68.036 %
low: 49.385 %
 EBIT Margin 10.225 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 38.719 %
EBIT Margin YoY 60.846 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 60.268 %
median: 60.268 %
mean: 48.723 %
NTNX: 10.225 %
low: -23.567 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 7.357 %
Return On Sales QoQ 54.009 %
Return On Sales YoY 15.731 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 47.094 %
median: 47.094 %
mean: 37.593 %
NTNX: 7.357 %
low: -27.164 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 174.5 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.932 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -12.734 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 5.073 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 3.753 %
NTNX: 0.932 %
median: 0.164 %
mean: 0.14 %
low: -1.998 %
 Free Cash Growth -16.014 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -845.878 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -50.355 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 403.227 %
NTNX: -16.014 %
mean: -35.228 %
median: -77.08 %
low: -362.462 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 2.81
 Cash Flow Margin 13.254 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.431
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 1.88 %
Return On Assets QoQ 55.116 %
Return On Assets YoY 35.838 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 8.509 %
median: 5.909 %
mean: 4.655 %
NTNX: 1.88 %
low: -5.229 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 3.563 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) -0.093
Return On Equity QoQ 66.882 %
Return On Equity YoY 112.663 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.205
median: 0.098
mean: 0.096
NTNX: -0.093
low: -0.138
 DuPont ROE -9.11 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 9.599 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 51.189 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -430.658 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 13.9 %
NTNX: 9.599 %
median: 9.056 %
mean: 7.24 %
low: -5.12 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term bias favors recovery: improving momentum indicators (MACD dip-and-reversal, RSI recovery), a strongly positive ADX, and an MRO that signals price below target combine with the $300M accelerated repurchase to create a constructive setup for price mean reversion over the next six weeks. Watch for confirmation via a sustained MACD move above its signal line and expanding volume versus the 10‑day average; those would increase the probability of continued upside toward the 50‑day average.

Risks that could stall the recovery include persistent year-over-year revenue headwinds, leverage dynamics (debt-to-EBITDA), or a reversal in cash-flow conversion. Traders should monitor headline catalysts such as buyback settlement updates, partner announcements, and quarterly performance releases for directional confirmation without relying solely on short-duration momentum signals.

About Nutanix, Inc.

Nutanix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NTNX) develops an enterprise cloud platform that serves a global market, including North America, Europe, the Asia Pacific, the Middle East, Latin America, and Africa. The company offers a hyperconverged infrastructure software stack, integrating virtualization, storage, and networking into a comprehensive solution. Nutanix’s Acropolis Hypervisor delivers enterprise-grade virtualization capabilities, while its Flow Virtual Networking and Flow Network Security enhance network visualization, automate operations, and facilitate virtual private network creation. The Nutanix Kubernetes Engine streamlines the deployment and management of Kubernetes clusters, optimizing cloud-native environments and applications. Nutanix Cloud Clusters and Nutanix Cloud Management provide advanced management, capacity planning, operational analytics, and multicloud orchestration. The company also offers Nutanix Files, a robust network file system, and Nutanix Objects, a S3-compatible object storage service. Nutanix Data Lens ensures data security governance, and the Nutanix database service simplifies database administration. Additionally, Nutanix provides comprehensive product support, consulting, and implementation services. The company’s diverse clientele spans industries such as automotive, education, energy, financial services, healthcare, manufacturing, media, public sector, retail, technology, telecommunications, and service providers. Founded in 2009, Nutanix, Inc. maintains its headquarters in San Jose, California.



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