Landstar System, Inc. (NASDAQ:LSTR) Initiates Special Dividend While Momentum Suggests Near-Term Pullback

Landstar returned a large, one-time cash dividend while technical momentum shows renewed upside — valuation and modest downside signals argue for caution over the coming weeks.

Recent News

On December 3, 2025 the board approved a special one-time cash dividend of $2.00 per share payable January 21, 2026 to holders of record as of January 6, 2026; the company also disclosed share repurchases of approximately 1.28 million shares during fiscal 2025 and substantial cash returned to shareholders during the year.

Technical Analysis

Directional Indicators (ADX / DI+ / DI-): ADX at 28.74 indicates a strong trend. DI+ registered a dip-and-reversal, which reads as bullish; DI- recorded a peak-and-reversal, which also reads as bullish. With DI+ (27.37) clearly above DI- (14.96), directional dominance favors the upside and supports a near-term positive price bias.

MACD: MACD sits at 3.47 with the signal line at 3.32 and shows a dip-and-reversal — this constitutes bullish momentum, and the MACD sitting above the signal line reinforces upside momentum for the short run.

MRO (Momentum/Regression Oscillator): MRO at 5.02 (positive) indicates the market price sits modestly above the model target and therefore creates a tendency toward mean reversion; that suggests any continued advance may encounter selling pressure that trims rallies.

RSI: RSI at 62.2 with a dip-and-reversal indicates renewed upward momentum but a reading above 60 signals the price approaches the higher end of its short-term range, increasing the chance of consolidation or a pullback on faded momentum.

Price, Averages, Bands and Volume: Last close at $161.39 sits above the 20-day average ($155.12), 50-day average ($146.51) and 200-day average ($134.68), and above the 1x upper Bollinger band ($159.67), which signals an extended short-term move. The 12-day EMA shows a dip-and-reversal consistent with the bullish momentum. Volume (326,754) remains below recent averages, indicating moves lack strong conviction and increasing the chance of short-term reversals. SuperTrend lower support near $150.96 offers a nearby technical reference for downside containment.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Earnings and Growth: Reported basic EPS of $0.75 missed the $1.09 estimate, an EPS surprise of -31.19%. Quarter-over-quarter earnings declined by 24.11%, while year-over-year earnings rose by 4.43%. These dynamics show recent margin pressure versus modest annual improvement in profitability.

Revenue and Cash Flow: Reported revenue growth QoQ stands at -100.0% and revenue growth YoY at -100.0%. Cash flow margin and cash flow to earnings both report as 0.0%, indicating no positive cash-flow ratio was recorded in the provided metrics.

Valuation Multiples: Trailing P/E sits at 189.7, which places the multiple above the industry peer mean of 165.17 and well inside the peer range high of 260.53. Forward P/E at 81.15 also sits above the industry peer mean of 46.40 but below the peer high of 101.61. The PEG ratio registers at -4.92 and compares below the industry peer mean of -0.55; that negative PEG reflects depressed forward earnings growth relative to price.

Capital & Returns: Invested capital reports at negative $309.3 million. The company repurchased shares during fiscal 2025 and paid a substantial special dividend, demonstrating capital returns despite the stretched multiples noted above.

Valuation Conclusion: The current valuation as determined by WMDST: over-valued. Elevated trailing and forward multiples, the recent EPS miss, and a positive MRO signal that the market price runs ahead of modeled targets together support a cautious fundamental stance in the near term.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-12-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-01-28
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-04-29
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow
 Operating Cash Flow
 Capital Expenditures
 Change In Working Capital
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta
 End Period Cash Flow
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue
 Forward Revenue
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue
 Depreciation
 Depreciation and Amortization
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit
 EBITDA
 EBIT
 Operating Income
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense
 Net Interest Income
 Income Before Tax
 Tax Provision
 Tax Rate
 Net Income
 Net Income From Continuing Operations
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 1.09
 EPS Actual 0.75
 EPS Difference -0.34
 EPS Surprise -31.193 %
 Forward EPS 1.68
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets
 Intangible Assets
 Net Tangible Assets
 Total Current Assets
 Cash and Short-Term Investments
 Cash
 Net Receivables
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities
 Net Debt
 Total Debt
 Total Liabilities
EQUITY
 Total Equity
 Retained Earnings
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share
 Shares Outstanding
 Revenue Per-Share
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization
 Enterprise Value
 Enterprise Multiple
Enterprise Multiple QoQ
Enterprise Multiple YoY
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA
 EV/R
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity
 Asset To Liability
 Debt To Capital
 Debt To Assets
Debt To Assets QoQ
Debt To Assets YoY
Debt To Assets IPRWA
 Debt To Equity
Debt To Equity QoQ
Debt To Equity YoY
Debt To Equity IPRWA
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B)
Price To Book QoQ
Price To Book YoY
Price To Book IPRWA
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 189.675
Price To Earnings QoQ 78.14 %
Price To Earnings YoY 40.825 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 260.531
LSTR: 189.675
mean: 165.172
median: 34.44
low: -9.844
 PE/G Ratio -4.923
 Price To Sales (P/S)
Price To Sales QoQ
Price To Sales YoY
Price To Sales IPRWA
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 81.146
Forward PE/G -2.106
Forward P/S
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Receivables Turnover
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO)
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC)
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio
 CapEx To Revenue
 CapEx To Depreciation
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital
 Net Invested Capital
 Invested Capital -309.30 M
 Net Tangible Assets
 Net Working Capital
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio
 Current Ratio
Current Ratio QoQ
Current Ratio YoY
Current Ratio IPRWA
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA
 Cost Of Debt 0.646 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO)
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate
 Revenue Growth 0.0 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -100.0 %
Revenue Growth YoY -100.0 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA
 Earnings Growth -38.525 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -2411.038 %
Earnings Growth YoY 443.218 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 66.667 %
mean: -38.193 %
LSTR: -38.525 %
low: -92.992 %
median: -92.992 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin
Gross Margin QoQ
Gross Margin YoY
Gross Margin IPRWA
 EBIT Margin
EBIT Margin QoQ
EBIT Margin YoY
EBIT Margin IPRWA
 Return On Sales (ROS)
Return On Sales QoQ
Return On Sales YoY
Return On Sales IPRWA
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF)
 Free Cash Flow Yield
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA
 Free Cash Growth
Free Cash Growth QoQ
Free Cash Growth YoY
Free Cash Growth IPRWA
 Free Cash To Net Income
 Cash Flow Margin 0.0 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.0
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added
 Return On Assets (ROA)
Return On Assets QoQ
Return On Assets YoY
Return On Assets IPRWA
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
 Return On Equity (ROE)
Return On Equity QoQ
Return On Equity YoY
Return On Equity IPRWA
 DuPont ROE
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC)
Return On Invested Capital QoQ
Return On Invested Capital YoY
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA

Six-Week Outlook

For swing traders: technical momentum currently favors short-term upside, driven by directional indicators and a bullish MACD, but several caution flags limit scope and conviction. Price sits above the 1x Bollinger upper band with low relative volume and a positive MRO, increasing the probability of a near-term consolidation or modest pullback that would trim rallies. Given the company’s stretched valuation and the recent EPS miss, expect range-bound action with brief upside tests and intermittent profit-taking; momentum signals will determine if the short-term trend reasserts or gives way to consolidation. Monitor directional strength and MACD momentum for evidence of sustained continuation before assuming a directional breakout will hold.

About Landstar System, Inc.

Landstar System, Inc. (NASDAQ:LSTR) delivers integrated transportation management solutions across the United States, Canada, Mexico, and internationally. The company operates through two main segments: Transportation Logistics and Insurance. The Transportation Logistics segment provides an extensive range of services, including truckload and less-than-truckload transportation, rail intermodal, air and ocean cargo, expedited delivery, and specialized heavy-haul services. It also facilitates cross-border transportation between the U.S., Canada, and Mexico, and handles project cargo and customs brokerage. Landstar serves diverse industries such as automotive, consumer durables, building products, metals, chemicals, foodstuffs, heavy machinery, retail, electronics, and military equipment. In the Insurance segment, Landstar offers risk and claims management services, along with reinsurance for its independent contractors. The company markets its services through a network of independent commission sales agents and third-party capacity providers. Established in 1991, Landstar System, Inc. maintains its headquarters in Jacksonville, Florida, and continues to support a wide array of industries with its comprehensive transportation and logistics solutions.



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