Devon Energy Corporation (NYSE:DVN) Positions For Near-Term Upside After Merger Deal

Merger headlines and improving momentum set a bullish near-term price bias, while cash-flow metrics and a WMDST valuation labeled under-valued underpin longer-horizon support.

Recent News

On Feb. 2–3, 2026, major outlets reported Devon Energy agreed an all‑stock merger with Coterra Energy valuing the combined group at roughly $58 billion; Devon shareholders will own about 54% of the combined company and the transaction drives scale in the Delaware Basin with an expected close during 2026.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators (ADX / DI+ / DI-): ADX registers 30.83, indicating a strong trend; DI+ reads 33.10 and shows an increasing trajectory, while DI- reads 14.66 and trends downward — a clear bullish directional profile that favors continued near-term upside.

MACD: MACD sits at 1.20 with the signal line at 0.75 and the MACD trend increasing; the MACD currently trades above its signal line, signaling bullish momentum expansion.

MRO (Momentum/Regression Oscillator): MRO registers 7.06, a positive reading that places price above the model target and signals potential mean reversion pressure that could cap rapid gains even as momentum runs higher.

RSI: RSI at 60.06 with an increasing trend indicates modestly elevated momentum without overbought extremes, compatible with further upside before a technical pullback becomes likely.

Price Versus Moving Averages & Bands: Last close at $43.39 exceeds the 50‑day ($37.29) and 200‑day ($34.16) averages and sits near the upper Bollinger band (upper 2× std at $43.53), reflecting an elevated short‑term bias that raises the chance of consolidation around current levels.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability: EBIT of $1,037,000,000 and EBITDA of $1,916,000,000 yield an EBIT margin of 23.94%, above the industry peer mean of 16.565% and industry peer median of 13.511%, showing stronger operating conversion versus peers. EBIT margin declined QoQ by 20.30% and declined YoY by 17.08%.

Revenue & Growth: Total revenue at $4,331,000,000 with reported revenue growth of 1.10%; the provided year‑over‑year revenue change reads -59.85% while quarter‑over‑quarter revenue change reads -129.07% (as reported). Gross margin registers 25.49% with a YoY contraction of 22.17%.

Earnings & Cash Flow: Reported EPS of $1.04 versus an estimate of $0.94 produced an EPS surprise of 10.64%. Operating cash flow reached $1,690,000,000 and free cash flow totaled $623,000,000, yielding a free cash flow yield of 2.96%, above the industry peer mean free cash flow yield of 1.915% and indicating relative cash‑flow strength despite margin variability.

Leverage & Coverage: Total debt at $8,549,000,000 produces net debt of $7,113,000,000; debt/EBITDA stands at 4.46x and debt-to-equity at 55.69%. Interest coverage reads 8.30x but shows QoQ and YoY declines. Capital discipline shows via dividends paid of $151,000,000 with dividend payout ratio of 21.98% and dividend coverage of 4.55x.

Returns & Efficiency: Return on equity equals 4.48% and return on invested capital equals 3.32%, both down on recent periods; asset turnover sits at 0.138, near the industry peer mean of 0.158. Working capital metrics show a current ratio of 0.96 and quick ratio of 0.87, indicating lean short‑term liquidity.

Valuation: Price multiples include P/E of 32.17 and forward P/E of 30.70; enterprise value to revenue and comparable multiples place the enterprise multiple at 14.78 and EV/EBIT around 6.54. The current WMDST valuation tags the stock as under‑valued, a conclusion supported by positive free cash flow yield above the industry peer mean and a stronger‑than‑peer EBIT margin, balanced against elevated leverage and variable growth metrics.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-09-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-11-05
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-02-04
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 1.8 B
 Operating Cash Flow 1.7 B
 Capital Expenditures -1.07 B
 Change In Working Capital -62.00 M
 Dividends Paid -151.00 M
 Cash Flow Delta -481.00 M
 End Period Cash Flow 1.3 B
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 4.3 B
 Forward Revenue 902.8 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 3.2 B
 Depreciation 25.0 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 25.0 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 3.3 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 1.1 B
 EBITDA 1.9 B
 EBIT 1.0 B
 Operating Income 982.0 M
 Interest Income 18.0 M
 Interest Expense 125.0 M
 Net Interest Income -109.00 M
 Income Before Tax 912.0 M
 Tax Provision 219.0 M
 Tax Rate 24.0 %
 Net Income 687.0 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 693.0 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.94
 EPS Actual 1.04
 EPS Difference 0.10
 EPS Surprise 10.638 %
 Forward EPS 0.91
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 31.2 B
 Intangible Assets 753.0 M
 Net Tangible Assets 14.6 B
 Total Current Assets 3.9 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 1.3 B
 Cash 1.3 B
 Net Receivables 1.8 B
 Inventory 361.0 M
 Long-Term Investments 386.0 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 934.0 M
 Short-Term Debt 998.0 M
 Total Current Liabilities 4.0 B
 Net Debt 7.1 B
 Total Debt 8.5 B
 Total Liabilities 15.9 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 15.3 B
 Retained Earnings 9.8 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 24.40
 Shares Outstanding 629.000 M
 Revenue Per-Share 6.89
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 21.0 B
 Enterprise Value 28.3 B
 Enterprise Multiple 14.78
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 13.797 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 9.971 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 63.145
mean: 30.221
median: 28.677
DVN: 14.78
low: -21.01
 EV/R 6.539
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.034
 Asset To Liability 1.967
 Debt To Capital 0.358
 Debt To Assets 0.274
Debt To Assets QoQ -4.402 %
Debt To Assets YoY 14464.894 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.585
DVN: 0.274
mean: 0.236
median: 0.217
low: 0.002
 Debt To Equity 0.557
Debt To Equity QoQ -6.712 %
Debt To Equity YoY 13858.396 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 2.458
mean: 0.753
DVN: 0.557
median: 0.55
low: 0.002
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 1.371
Price To Book QoQ -3.3 %
Price To Book YoY -27.246 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 5.854
median: 1.772
mean: 1.58
DVN: 1.371
low: -1.698
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 32.175
Price To Earnings QoQ -17.811 %
Price To Earnings YoY -13.417 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 161.846
median: 59.729
mean: 54.548
DVN: 32.175
low: -72.568
 PE/G Ratio 1.351
 Price To Sales (P/S) 4.86
Price To Sales QoQ -2.508 %
Price To Sales YoY -27.323 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 41.067
median: 6.142
mean: 5.965
DVN: 4.86
low: 0.013
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 30.7
Forward PE/G 1.289
Forward P/S 19.042
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -17.706
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.138
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 0.626 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -4.724 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.454
median: 0.167
mean: 0.158
DVN: 0.138
low: 0.001
 Receivables Turnover 2.349
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 6.607 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -1.71 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 6.26
DVN: 2.349
mean: 2.326
median: 2.125
low: 0.185
 Inventory Turnover 9.381
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -2.493 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -4.493 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 19.661
DVN: 9.381
mean: 2.845
median: 2.449
low: 0.169
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 38.851
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 22.573
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -10.91 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 27.751 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 168.196
DVN: 22.573
median: 4.283
mean: -1.806
low: -120.578
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio -24.749
 CapEx To Revenue -0.246
 CapEx To Depreciation -42.68
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 22.7 B
 Net Invested Capital 23.7 B
 Invested Capital 23.7 B
 Net Tangible Assets 14.6 B
 Net Working Capital -175.00 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.316
 Current Ratio 0.957
Current Ratio QoQ -21.724 %
Current Ratio YoY -13.98 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 3.911
mean: 1.208
median: 1.193
DVN: 0.957
low: 0.331
 Quick Ratio 0.867
Quick Ratio QoQ -23.224 %
Quick Ratio YoY -14.235 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 2.792
mean: 0.927
median: 0.892
DVN: 0.867
low: 0.285
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 4.462
 Cost Of Debt 1.083 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 8.296
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -18.78 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -30.034 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 20.571
DVN: 8.296
median: 7.171
mean: 7.011
low: -10.268
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.184
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 26.18
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 4.55
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.22
 Dividend Rate 0.24
 Dividend Yield 0.007
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -0.538 %
 Revenue Growth 1.097 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -129.067 %
Revenue Growth YoY -59.846 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 37.34 %
mean: 4.4 %
median: 4.2 %
DVN: 1.097 %
low: -20.802 %
 Earnings Growth 23.81 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -177.864 %
Earnings Growth YoY -208.296 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 200.0 %
DVN: 23.81 %
median: 14.634 %
mean: 11.201 %
low: -250.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 25.491 %
Gross Margin QoQ -1.973 %
Gross Margin YoY -22.172 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 81.109 %
DVN: 25.491 %
mean: 25.459 %
median: 22.601 %
low: -15.694 %
 EBIT Margin 23.944 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -20.298 %
EBIT Margin YoY -17.083 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 96.372 %
DVN: 23.944 %
mean: 16.565 %
median: 13.511 %
low: -70.544 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 22.674 %
Return On Sales QoQ -0.983 %
Return On Sales YoY -21.481 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 47.608 %
DVN: 22.674 %
mean: 14.715 %
median: 11.348 %
low: -22.163 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 623.0 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 2.96 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 10.324 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -128.285 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 20.745 %
DVN: 2.96 %
mean: 1.915 %
median: 1.607 %
low: -13.208 %
 Free Cash Growth 8.726 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -120.436 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -101.327 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 279.983 %
mean: 15.866 %
median: 15.075 %
DVN: 8.726 %
low: -454.42 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.907
 Cash Flow Margin 17.202 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.084
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 2.195 %
Return On Assets QoQ -23.917 %
Return On Assets YoY -25.085 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 6.589 %
DVN: 2.195 %
median: 1.226 %
mean: 1.144 %
low: -3.499 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 3.815 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.045
Return On Equity QoQ -25.013 %
Return On Equity YoY -21.294 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.131
DVN: 0.045
median: 0.029
mean: 0.028
low: -0.061
 DuPont ROE 4.518 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 3.32 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -21.809 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -102.267 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 11.798 %
DVN: 3.32 %
mean: 2.774 %
median: 2.588 %
low: -6.505 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near‑term bias favors continuation of the upward move: bullish directional indicators, MACD momentum above its signal line, and price trading above key moving averages create a higher probability of further gains into the next six weeks. MRO’s positive reading and price sitting near the upper Bollinger band increase the likelihood of intermittent consolidation or pullbacks that could form higher‑timeframe bases. Watch volatility and volume expansion around merger‑related announcements; any news that changes expected deal timing, structure, or synergies represents the primary catalyst that could materially widen intraperiod price swings.

About Devon Energy Corporation

Devon Energy Corporation (NYSE:DVN) explores, develops, and produces oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids within the United States. Headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, Devon Energy strategically targets prolific basins such as the Delaware, Eagle Ford, Anadarko, Williston, and Powder River Basins. The company employs advanced technologies and innovative methods to optimize resource extraction, aiming to enhance shareholder value. Founded in 1971, Devon Energy emphasizes operational excellence, sustainability, and community involvement. The company demonstrates disciplined financial management and strategic investments to foster growth and resilience in the evolving energy landscape. Devon Energy commits to environmental stewardship by actively seeking to reduce its carbon footprint while ensuring the safe and efficient delivery of energy resources. As a key player in the energy sector, Devon Energy remains dedicated to providing energy solutions that adapt to the changing needs of society.



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