BayCom Corp (NASDAQ:BCAL) Gains Momentum After Dividend Boost; Near-Term Upside Likely

Dividend increase and constructive short-term momentum support a bullish near-term case despite stretched valuation metrics. Technical signals point to renewed buying interest while fundamentals show mixed growth and elevated valuation.

Recent News

On November 20, 2025 BayCom Corp announced a 20% increase in its quarterly cash dividend to $0.30 per share, payable January 9, 2026 to shareholders of record as of December 11, 2025.

Technical Analysis

ADX 16.82 indicates no trend strength; directional signals therefore carry limited conviction despite directional agreement. DI+ shows a dip & reversal at 20.18 and DI- shows a peak & reversal at 22.73, which together produce bullish directional readings but without strong trend strength given the low ADX.

MACD -0.08 displays a dip & reversal and trades above its signal line (-0.11), representing a bullish momentum shift and supporting the likelihood of near-term upside continuation.

MRO -27.25 registers negative, indicating price below the model target and implying upside potential toward fair-value anchors. The MRO peak & reversal label suggests that the oscillator recently rounded and turned, tempering the signal’s immediacy.

RSI 52.33 shows a dip & reversal and sits near neutral, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions and leaving room for follow-through on momentum signals.

Price at $19.01 trades above the 20-day average ($18.53), above the 50-day average ($18.96), and above the 200-day average ($16.78), which gives moving-average structure to the short- and medium-term bullish case. Price sits between the 1x and 2x upper Bollinger band measures (upper 1x = $18.87; upper 2x = $19.20), signaling proximity to recent resistance.

Ichimoku readings show Tenkan/Kijun at $18.55, Senkou A $19.39 and Senkou B $18.07; price below Senkou A and above Senkou B suggests short-term support around $18.07–$18.55 and an overhead cloud boundary near $19.39.

Volume at 324,517 undercuts the 10-day average (397,388) but exceeds the 50-day (241,811) and 200-day (153,685) averages, indicating session-to-session variability while maintaining above-long-term baseline participation.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Earnings per share registered at $0.50 against an estimate of $0.43, producing an EPS surprise of +16.28%; the date of the report reads 2026-01-28 and the fiscal period ended 2025-12-31. Forward EPS stands at $0.4492 and forward PE at 41.04.

Revenue growth measures conflict by window: an overall revenue growth figure of 2.06% contrasts with a year-over-year revenue change of -89.46% (revenueGrowthYoY -0.89457). Earnings growth shows a modest positive annual figure of 4.17% but registered a sharp quarter-over-quarter decline of -64.16% and a year-over-year change of -100.37%. Present figures therefore reflect recent volatility across quarters despite a small annual earnings uptick.

PE ratio equals $37.02, which sits below the industry peer mean ($57.996) and above the industry peer median ($28.198). Forward PE at $41.04 remains elevated relative to the current earnings run rate. PEG ratio at 8.88 stands above the industry peer mean (-3.145) and above the industry peer median (-19.895), indicating a high multiple relative to reported growth expectations.

Cost of debt measures at 17.27% and cash flow to earnings registers 0.0. Invested capital shows $-221,898,000 on the books. WMDST values the stock as over-valued, a conclusion that blends elevated PE/forward-PE multiples with uneven revenue and quarter-level earnings volatility.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-12-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-01-28
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-04-29
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow
 Operating Cash Flow
 Capital Expenditures
 Change In Working Capital
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta
 End Period Cash Flow
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue
 Forward Revenue
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue
 Depreciation
 Depreciation and Amortization
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit
 EBITDA
 EBIT
 Operating Income
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense
 Net Interest Income
 Income Before Tax
 Tax Provision
 Tax Rate
 Net Income
 Net Income From Continuing Operations
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.43
 EPS Actual 0.50
 EPS Difference 0.07
 EPS Surprise 16.279 %
 Forward EPS 0.45
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets
 Intangible Assets
 Net Tangible Assets
 Total Current Assets
 Cash and Short-Term Investments
 Cash
 Net Receivables
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities
 Net Debt
 Total Debt
 Total Liabilities
EQUITY
 Total Equity
 Retained Earnings
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share
 Shares Outstanding
 Revenue Per-Share
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization
 Enterprise Value
 Enterprise Multiple
Enterprise Multiple QoQ
Enterprise Multiple YoY
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA
 EV/R
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity
 Asset To Liability
 Debt To Capital
 Debt To Assets
Debt To Assets QoQ
Debt To Assets YoY
Debt To Assets IPRWA
 Debt To Equity
Debt To Equity QoQ
Debt To Equity YoY
Debt To Equity IPRWA
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B)
Price To Book QoQ
Price To Book YoY
Price To Book IPRWA
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 37.016
Price To Earnings QoQ 7.256 %
Price To Earnings YoY 18.316 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 90.392
mean: 57.996
BCAL: 37.016
median: 28.198
low: 27.354
 PE/G Ratio 8.883
 Price To Sales (P/S)
Price To Sales QoQ
Price To Sales YoY
Price To Sales IPRWA
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 41.044
Forward PE/G 9.85
Forward P/S
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Receivables Turnover
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO)
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC)
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio
 CapEx To Revenue
 CapEx To Depreciation
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital
 Net Invested Capital
 Invested Capital -221.90 M
 Net Tangible Assets
 Net Working Capital
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio
 Current Ratio
Current Ratio QoQ
Current Ratio YoY
Current Ratio IPRWA
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA
 Cost Of Debt 17.267 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO)
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate
 Revenue Growth 2.055 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 0.0 %
Revenue Growth YoY -89.457 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 11.371 %
BCAL: 2.055 %
mean: 1.354 %
median: -0.957 %
low: -2.627 %
 Earnings Growth 4.167 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -64.164 %
Earnings Growth YoY -100.372 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 36.957 %
BCAL: 4.167 %
mean: -6.978 %
median: -18.987 %
low: -52.381 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin
Gross Margin QoQ
Gross Margin YoY
Gross Margin IPRWA
 EBIT Margin
EBIT Margin QoQ
EBIT Margin YoY
EBIT Margin IPRWA
 Return On Sales (ROS)
Return On Sales QoQ
Return On Sales YoY
Return On Sales IPRWA
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF)
 Free Cash Flow Yield
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA
 Free Cash Growth
Free Cash Growth QoQ
Free Cash Growth YoY
Free Cash Growth IPRWA
 Free Cash To Net Income
 Cash Flow Margin
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.0
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added
 Return On Assets (ROA)
Return On Assets QoQ
Return On Assets YoY
Return On Assets IPRWA
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
 Return On Equity (ROE)
Return On Equity QoQ
Return On Equity YoY
Return On Equity IPRWA
 DuPont ROE
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC)
Return On Invested Capital QoQ
Return On Invested Capital YoY
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA

Six-Week Outlook

Short-term technicals favor a bullish tilt: MACD crossed above its signal and price trades above key moving averages, while the recent dividend increase may attract yield-oriented flows. Low ADX warns that trend strength remains weak, so expect range expansion around $18.50–$19.40 with potential upside toward the analyst target band if momentum extends. Valuation metrics and mixed growth trends could cap sustainable upside beyond that band over the six-week horizon.

About BayCom Corp

Southern California Bancorp (NASDAQ:BCAL) serves as the bank holding company for Bank of Southern California, N.A., delivering a broad range of financial services tailored to meet the needs of individuals, professionals, and small to medium-sized enterprises across California. Headquartered in San Diego, the company offers a comprehensive suite of banking solutions, including checking and savings accounts, money market accounts, and certificates of deposit. Southern California Bancorp supports clients’ financial growth through various lending options, such as home equity lines of credit, business loans, commercial real estate and construction loans, and small business administration loans. The institution enhances financial flexibility by providing personal and business credit cards. In addition to traditional banking services, the company offers innovative solutions like cash vault services, sweep accounts, remote deposit capture, and merchant services. Its digital platforms, including online and mobile banking, enable clients to manage their finances efficiently and conveniently. With a commitment to customer service and community involvement, Southern California Bancorp remains a reliable financial partner in the region.



© 2026 WMDST — The World’s Most Dangerous Swing Trader. All rights reserved.