Bill Holdings, Inc (NYSE:BILL) Shows Bearish Momentum But Valuation Signals Rebound

BILL entered the week with weakening technical momentum while fundamentals show operating progress and a cash-funded valuation cushion. Near-term direction hinges on upcoming corporate catalysts and mean-reversion potential.

Recent News

On November 6, 2025 the company announced a $300 million share repurchase program and related corporate actions. On November 11–12, 2025 multiple outlets reported that Bill Holdings explored strategic options, including a potential sale. On January 13, 2026 the company scheduled fiscal second-quarter 2026 results for February 5, 2026.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators: ADX at 32.98 registers a strong trend strength; DI+ shows a peak & reversal while DI- shows a dip & reversal, signaling that sellers regained control and directional momentum favors downside pressure.

MACD: MACD at -2.19 with a peak & reversal and a signal line at -1.45 indicates bearish momentum, with MACD below its signal line and momentum having rolled over.

Price vs moving averages and cloud: The $41.63 close sits below the 12-day EMA ($46.17), 26-day EMA ($48.66) and 200-day average ($47.84), and beneath the Ichimoku Senkou A ($52.01) and Senkou B ($49.51), projecting short-to-intermediate resistance at higher moving-average and cloud levels.

MRO: MRO at -32.85 (peak & reversal) registers negative territory, which signals that current price lies below the model target and creates structural upside pressure toward valuation convergence.

RSI: RSI at 44.72 with a peak & reversal indicates recent weakening from higher ranges without reaching oversold extremes, leaving room for a measured bounce or continued consolidation depending on catalyst flow.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue and growth: Total revenue stands at $395,741,000 with revenue growth reported at 3.23%. Quarterly revenue growth shows a QoQ decline of 53.92%, while revenue growth YoY registered -24.85%, reflecting near-term volatility in top-line momentum.

Profitability: Operating margin registered -2.994% while EBIT margin measured 0.99%. EBIT margin falls substantially below the industry peer mean of 36.22% and the industry peer median of 45.06% within an industry peer range spanning about -105.65% to 76.32%.

Earnings: Reported EPS came in at $0.61 versus an estimate of $0.51, producing an earnings surprise of 19.61%. Trailing P/E reads negative due to GAAP losses, while forward P/E stands near 92.30, reflecting elevated near-term expectations relative to forward earnings.

Cash, leverage and liquidity: Cash and short-term investments total $2,314,967,000 while net debt measures $766,142,000, leaving net cash-adjusted liquidity that supports the announced repurchase program. Current ratio equals 1.67 and cash ratio equals 0.53, indicating coverage for short-term obligations without aggressive balance-sheet strain.

Cash flow and returns: Free cash flow equals $82,262,000 and free cash flow yield at 1.64% exceeds the industry peer mean of 0.48%, providing valuation support. Return-on-equity and return-on-assets remain marginally negative at approximately -0.076% and -0.029% respectively, reflecting GAAP loss dynamics despite operational cash conversion.

Valuation view: WMDST values the stock as under-valued. Valuation context shows an enterprise value near $4.63 billion against strong cash balances and a free-cash-flow profile that compares favorably to the industry peer mean, offering a basis for upside should revenue trends stabilize and margins expand.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-09-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-11-06
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-02-05
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 3.6 B
 Operating Cash Flow 96.9 M
 Capital Expenditures -14.59 M
 Change In Working Capital 11.4 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta -10.69 M
 End Period Cash Flow 3.5 B
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 395.7 M
 Forward Revenue -2.18 B
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 77.0 M
 Depreciation 3.8 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 23.5 M
 Research and Development 80.3 M
 Total Operating Expenses 407.6 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 318.7 M
 EBITDA 27.4 M
 EBIT 3.9 M
 Operating Income -11.85 M
 Interest Income 25.2 M
 Interest Expense 6.7 M
 Net Interest Income 18.4 M
 Income Before Tax -2.81 M
 Tax Provision 149.0 K
 Tax Rate 21.0 %
 Net Income -2.96 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations -2.96 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.51
 EPS Actual 0.61
 EPS Difference 0.10
 EPS Surprise 19.608 %
 Forward EPS 0.64
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 10.2 B
 Intangible Assets 2.6 B
 Net Tangible Assets 1.3 B
 Total Current Assets 7.3 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 2.3 B
 Cash 1.1 B
 Net Receivables 32.1 M
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments 34.2 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 7.0 M
 Short-Term Debt 33.4 M
 Total Current Liabilities 4.4 B
 Net Debt 766.1 M
 Total Debt 1.9 B
 Total Liabilities 6.3 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 3.9 B
 Retained Earnings -1.60 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 38.13
 Shares Outstanding 101.815 M
 Revenue Per-Share 3.89
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 5.0 B
 Enterprise Value 4.6 B
 Enterprise Multiple 168.791
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -4.957 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 27.28 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 725.943
BILL: 168.791
mean: 90.441
median: 78.121
low: -500.562
 EV/R 11.699
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.614
 Asset To Liability 1.619
 Debt To Capital 0.331
 Debt To Assets 0.189
Debt To Assets QoQ 7.465 %
Debt To Assets YoY 75.547 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 1.164
BILL: 0.189
mean: 0.171
median: 0.095
low: 0.001
 Debt To Equity 0.495
Debt To Equity QoQ 9.273 %
Debt To Equity YoY 103.645 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 2.803
BILL: 0.495
mean: 0.29
median: 0.167
low: -1.761
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 1.294
Price To Book QoQ 10.993 %
Price To Book YoY -8.471 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 32.156
mean: 12.366
median: 10.455
BILL: 1.294
low: -17.466
 Price To Earnings (P/E) -1644.435
Price To Earnings QoQ -2078.479 %
Price To Earnings YoY -1990.179 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 535.496
mean: 145.689
median: 137.28
low: -356.558
BILL: -1644.435
 PE/G Ratio 15.563
 Price To Sales (P/S) 12.692
Price To Sales QoQ 6.656 %
Price To Sales YoY -19.792 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 95.267
median: 48.871
mean: 45.889
BILL: 12.692
low: 1.307
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 92.299
Forward PE/G -0.874
Forward P/S -2.854
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 62.852
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.039
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 0.565 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -0.483 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.414
mean: 0.127
median: 0.124
BILL: 0.039
low: -0.008
 Receivables Turnover 12.28
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -5.496 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 2.745 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA BILL: 12.28
high: 5.69
mean: 1.468
median: 1.265
low: -0.167
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 7.431
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) -7.01
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 226.004
BILL: -7.01
mean: -22.592
median: -38.513
low: -211.399
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.134
 CapEx To Revenue -0.037
 CapEx To Depreciation -3.801
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 5.7 B
 Net Invested Capital 5.7 B
 Invested Capital 5.7 B
 Net Tangible Assets 1.3 B
 Net Working Capital 3.0 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.529
 Current Ratio 1.674
Current Ratio QoQ 6.124 %
Current Ratio YoY 9.44 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 8.127
mean: 1.704
BILL: 1.674
median: 1.401
low: 0.159
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 70.064
 Cost Of Debt 0.288 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 0.582
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 96.409 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -81.382 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 225.0
median: 50.142
mean: 37.779
BILL: 0.582
low: -266.667
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.003
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 14.441
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 0.867 %
 Revenue Growth 3.233 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -53.92 %
Revenue Growth YoY -24.849 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 28.215 %
BILL: 3.233 %
mean: 3.107 %
median: 1.612 %
low: -13.442 %
 Earnings Growth -105.66 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -1861.0 %
Earnings Growth YoY -1103.8 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 200.0 %
mean: 5.1 %
median: 1.918 %
BILL: -105.66 %
low: -181.25 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 80.542 %
Gross Margin QoQ -0.324 %
Gross Margin YoY -1.719 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 90.981 %
BILL: 80.542 %
mean: 72.517 %
median: 69.046 %
low: 26.432 %
 EBIT Margin 0.99 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 193.769 %
EBIT Margin YoY -76.293 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 76.323 %
median: 45.059 %
mean: 36.222 %
BILL: 0.99 %
low: -105.646 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) -2.994 %
Return On Sales QoQ -48.415 %
Return On Sales YoY -171.695 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 76.795 %
median: 48.873 %
mean: 37.559 %
BILL: -2.994 %
low: -133.444 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 82.3 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 1.638 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 9.127 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 13.908 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 10.114 %
BILL: 1.638 %
median: 0.676 %
mean: 0.478 %
low: -10.76 %
 Free Cash Growth 20.127 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -182.647 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 74.094 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 368.524 %
BILL: 20.127 %
median: 0.372 %
mean: -7.418 %
low: -324.945 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -27.772
 Cash Flow Margin 2.902 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings -3.877
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) -0.029 %
Return On Assets QoQ -59.722 %
Return On Assets YoY -129.592 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 13.583 %
median: 4.421 %
mean: 3.726 %
BILL: -0.029 %
low: -19.283 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 0.068 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) -0.001
Return On Equity QoQ -58.011 %
Return On Equity YoY -134.234 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.151
median: 0.076
mean: 0.065
BILL: -0.001
low: -0.395
 DuPont ROE -0.076 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 0.054 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 200.0 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -102.051 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 14.226 %
median: 6.978 %
mean: 5.472 %
BILL: 0.054 %
low: -12.344 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term bias: Technical indicators point to a bearish near-term bias driven by directional strength favoring sellers and momentum that rolled over; short- and medium-term moving averages and the Ichimoku cloud present layered resistance. Offsetting factors: negative MRO and an above-mean free-cash-flow yield create mean-reversion pressure and valuation support if catalysts trigger renewed demand.

Key catalysts and risks: The scheduled fiscal second-quarter 2026 report on February 5, 2026 and continued market discussion of strategic options or board actions represent primary catalysts. Expect elevated volatility around those events; technical structure suggests any recovery requires reclamation of the 12–26 day EMAs and relief in MACD momentum.

About Bill Holdings, Inc.

BILL Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:BILL) designs comprehensive financial technology solutions tailored for small and midsize businesses worldwide. Based in San Jose, California, the company develops a robust platform that streamlines accounts payable and receivable processes, enhancing business transactions and connectivity with suppliers and customers. BILL Holdings leverages automation to eliminate traditional expense reports and optimize cash flow management, thereby increasing operational efficiency. Their cloud-based payments and spend management tools deliver a seamless user experience, supported by extensive onboarding, implementation, and ongoing support services. By integrating advanced artificial intelligence, BILL Holdings’ platform strengthens relationships between suppliers and clients, making it an essential tool for accounting firms, financial institutions, and software companies. Since its founding in 2006, the company has consistently advanced its offerings, rebranding from Bill.com Holdings, Inc. to BILL Holdings, Inc. in February 2023, to better reflect its innovative approach and growth in the dynamic fintech industry.



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