Newmont Corporation (NYSE:NEM) Trades Above Averages; Trend Strength Signals Short-Term Cooling

Momentum remains strong around current prices while multiple technical gauges point to near-term consolidation; robust margins and cash generation underpin a fair-valued company-level appraisal.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 40.08 indicates a very strong directional trend in place; the strength reading supports the persistence of recent price action but raises the probability of an extended move resolving into consolidation rather than immediate momentum expansion.

Directional indicators show bearish alignment: DI+ experienced a peak-and-reverse, and DI- registered a dip-and-reversal, together signaling renewed downside dominance among directional flows despite the broader trend strength.

MACD stands at 7.03 and is increasing, with the MACD line above its 5.97 signal line; that crossover conveys continuing bullish momentum in the shorter-term oscillator even as directional indicators shift.

MRO reads 32.93 with a dip-and-reversal; the positive MRO level implies price sits above the model target and faces downside pressure consistent with the dip-and-reversal behavior.

RSI at 67.27 with a peak-and-reverse signals elevated momentum and a heightened risk of a near-term pullback from current levels rather than an immediate breakout continuation.

Price sits well above key averages: the close at $126.93 exceeds the 20-day average $119.62, the 50-day average $102.64, and the 200-day average $76.49; the 12-day EMA is increasing, reinforcing short-term bullish bias while the 20-day standard deviation and Bollinger upper band (1x: $127.22; 2x: $134.82) place current price near the upper volatility band.

Ichimoku components (Tenkan-sen $120.58; Kijun-sen $116.28; Senkou A $93.46; Senkou B $89.08) sit below price, and the super trend lower support at $121.24 provides a proximate reference for consolidation; daily volume above the 50-day average supports conviction behind recent moves without implying continued directional expansion.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Operating performance shows strong margin and cash metrics that align with the current fair valuation. EBIT totaled $2,559,000,000 and EBITDA reached $3,202,000,000, delivering an EBIT margin of 46.33%, above the industry peer mean of 24.245% and inside the industry peer range (low -25.528%, high 55.997%). The EBIT margin contracted QoQ by -22.62% but expanded YoY by +86.31%.

Net income reached $1,832,000,000 and operating cash flow totaled $2,298,000,000, supporting free cash flow of $1,571,000,000 and a free cash flow yield of 1.83%, modestly above the industry peer mean of 1.315%. Free cash flow shows negative growth dynamics YoY and QoQ, with free cash growth YoY at -135.699% and QoQ at -119.397% (interpreted from supplied growth figures).

Balance-sheet metrics emphasize liquidity and low leverage: cash and short-term investments sum to $5,967,000,000, current ratio stands at 2.04 (below the industry peer mean of 2.48013), quick ratio equals 1.558 (near the industry peer mean of 1.51004), and debt-to-assets reads 10.33%, below the industry peer mean of 13.632%.

Return metrics present moderate capital efficiency: return on equity at 5.51% and return on assets at 3.34% both exceed the respective industry peer means (ROE mean 3.039%; ROA mean 1.985%), while asset turnover at 0.1006 remains below the industry peer mean of 0.17077, reflecting the capital-intensive nature of the business after portfolio changes.

Valuation multiples show a premium in earnings multiples but mixed picture overall: trailing PE at 45.95 and forward PE at 74.25, while price-to-book equals 2.585 (below the industry peer mean of 3.7873). EPS reported $1.71 versus an estimate of $1.44, an EPS surprise of +18.75%, supporting near-term investor sentiment toward the shares.

WMDST values the stock as fair-valued based on the combination of elevated margins, strong cash conversion, conservative leverage, and premium earnings multiples relative to forward earnings assumptions.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-09-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-10-23
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-01-22
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 6.2 B
 Operating Cash Flow 2.3 B
 Capital Expenditures -727.00 M
 Change In Working Capital -286.00 M
 Dividends Paid -273.00 M
 Cash Flow Delta -546.00 M
 End Period Cash Flow 5.7 B
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 5.5 B
 Forward Revenue 1.7 B
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 2.6 B
 Depreciation 643.0 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 643.0 M
 Research and Development 40.0 M
 Total Operating Expenses 2.9 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 2.9 B
 EBITDA 3.2 B
 EBIT 2.6 B
 Operating Income 2.6 B
 Interest Income 56.0 M
 Interest Expense 52.0 M
 Net Interest Income 4.0 M
 Income Before Tax 2.5 B
 Tax Provision 787.0 M
 Tax Rate 31.0 %
 Net Income 1.8 B
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 1.8 B
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 1.44
 EPS Actual 1.71
 EPS Difference 0.27
 EPS Surprise 18.75 %
 Forward EPS 2.10
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 54.7 B
 Intangible Assets 2.7 B
 Net Tangible Assets 30.6 B
 Total Current Assets 10.4 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 6.0 B
 Cash 5.6 B
 Net Receivables 1.0 B
 Inventory 2.4 B
 Long-Term Investments 3.5 B
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 832.0 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 5.1 B
 Net Debt
 Total Debt 5.7 B
 Total Liabilities 21.3 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 33.2 B
 Retained Earnings 2.7 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 30.40
 Shares Outstanding 1.093 B
 Revenue Per-Share 5.05
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 85.9 B
 Enterprise Value 85.6 B
 Enterprise Multiple 26.722
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 43.23 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -14.884 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 157.603
mean: 57.649
median: 28.677
NEM: 26.722
low: -220.72
 EV/R 15.49
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.646
 Asset To Liability 2.57
 Debt To Capital 0.145
 Debt To Assets 0.103
Debt To Assets QoQ -25.069 %
Debt To Assets YoY 5092.462 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.574
mean: 0.136
NEM: 0.103
median: 0.102
low: 0.001
 Debt To Equity 0.17
Debt To Equity QoQ -28.203 %
Debt To Equity YoY 4411.406 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 2.001
mean: 0.262
median: 0.189
NEM: 0.17
low: 0.001
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 2.585
Price To Book QoQ 18.576 %
Price To Book YoY 30.822 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 8.202
mean: 3.787
median: 3.406
NEM: 2.585
low: 0.704
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 45.95
Price To Earnings QoQ 18.02 %
Price To Earnings YoY -27.47 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 163.615
mean: 74.734
median: 50.899
NEM: 45.95
low: -173.761
 PE/G Ratio 2.347
 Price To Sales (P/S) 15.547
Price To Sales QoQ 18.092 %
Price To Sales YoY 21.955 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 28.634
NEM: 15.547
median: 15.037
mean: 13.897
low: 0.628
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 74.255
Forward PE/G 3.792
Forward P/S 108.861
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -5.036
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.101
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 4.673 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 22.14 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.462
mean: 0.171
median: 0.167
NEM: 0.101
low: 0.006
 Receivables Turnover 6.561
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -5.978 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 37.409 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 43.106
mean: 6.772
NEM: 6.561
median: 2.553
low: 1.388
 Inventory Turnover 1.1
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -4.451 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -19.132 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.678
NEM: 1.1
mean: 1.063
median: 0.867
low: 0.336
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 13.909
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 68.586
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ 6.417 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 3.049 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 277.604
median: 76.918
NEM: 68.586
mean: 65.914
low: -2045.19
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 1.045
 CapEx To Revenue -0.132
 CapEx To Depreciation -1.131
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 38.4 B
 Net Invested Capital 38.4 B
 Invested Capital 38.4 B
 Net Tangible Assets 30.6 B
 Net Working Capital 5.3 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 1.173
 Current Ratio 2.039
Current Ratio QoQ -8.418 %
Current Ratio YoY 3.904 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 12.496
mean: 2.48
median: 2.458
NEM: 2.039
low: 0.005
 Quick Ratio 1.558
Quick Ratio QoQ -10.528 %
Quick Ratio YoY -4.021 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 2.957
NEM: 1.558
mean: 1.51
median: 1.422
low: 0.315
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 1.765
 Cost Of Debt 0.541 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 49.212
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 0.495 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 269.624 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA NEM: 49.212
high: 47.486
mean: 12.892
median: 11.763
low: -194.931
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.388
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 27.399
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 6.711
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.149
 Dividend Rate 0.25
 Dividend Yield 0.003
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -0.861 %
 Revenue Growth 3.893 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -36.472 %
Revenue Growth YoY -15.59 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 121.571 %
mean: 4.761 %
NEM: 3.893 %
median: 0.769 %
low: -4.838 %
 Earnings Growth 19.58 %
Earnings Growth QoQ 35.972 %
Earnings Growth YoY 56.64 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 257.143 %
NEM: 19.58 %
median: 2.326 %
mean: -7.542 %
low: -150.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 53.041 %
Gross Margin QoQ 4.607 %
Gross Margin YoY 46.786 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 83.6 %
NEM: 53.041 %
mean: 31.982 %
median: 18.577 %
low: -5.37 %
 EBIT Margin 46.325 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -22.618 %
EBIT Margin YoY 86.314 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 55.997 %
NEM: 46.325 %
mean: 24.245 %
median: 10.809 %
low: -25.528 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 47.357 %
Return On Sales QoQ 4.177 %
Return On Sales YoY 90.464 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 51.244 %
NEM: 47.357 %
mean: 23.89 %
median: 10.421 %
low: -31.756 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1.6 B
 Free Cash Flow Yield 1.829 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -25.133 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 39.299 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 11.174 %
NEM: 1.829 %
median: 1.692 %
mean: 1.315 %
low: -7.163 %
 Free Cash Growth -8.129 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -119.397 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -135.699 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 537.296 %
NEM: -8.129 %
median: -44.567 %
mean: -76.44 %
low: -339.64 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.858
 Cash Flow Margin 35.735 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.078
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 3.335 %
Return On Assets QoQ -10.446 %
Return On Assets YoY 102.244 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 6.16 %
NEM: 3.335 %
mean: 1.985 %
median: 1.76 %
low: -14.746 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 5.159 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.055
Return On Equity QoQ -14.085 %
Return On Equity YoY 77.699 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.115
NEM: 0.055
mean: 0.03
median: 0.029
low: -0.432
 DuPont ROE 5.608 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 4.597 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -12.77 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -115.366 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 9.171 %
NEM: 4.597 %
mean: 3.771 %
median: 2.581 %
low: -12.191 %

Six-Week Outlook

Short-term action likely moves into a consolidation phase: trend strength (ADX) and MACD momentum present opposing forces, while MRO and RSI indicate price sits above modeled targets and near overbought territory. Expect price to oscillate within the upper Bollinger band envelope, with support clustered near the super trend lower at $121.24 and the 20-day average around $119.62. Resistance concentrates near the recent 52-week high $132.40 and the 2x Bollinger upper band at $134.82. The combination of high trend strength and elevated oscillator readings favors range-bound impulses punctuated by brief downward retracements rather than a sustained runaway advance over the next six weeks.

About Newmont Corporation

Newmont Corporation (NYSE:NEM) produces and explores gold, positioning itself as a leading player in the global mining industry. The company also investigates and extracts other valuable minerals, including copper, silver, zinc, and lead. Headquartered in Denver, Colorado, Newmont operates a diverse portfolio of assets and projects across multiple continents. Its operations span the United States, Canada, Mexico, and the Dominican Republic in North America, as well as Peru, Suriname, Argentina, and Chile in South America. In the Asia-Pacific region, Newmont maintains a presence in Australia, Papua New Guinea, and Fiji. Additionally, the company extends its reach into Africa with operations in Ghana. Founded in 1916, Newmont leverages its extensive experience and expertise to manage and develop large-scale mining projects. The company remains committed to sustainable and responsible mining practices, ensuring environmental stewardship and community engagement in all its operational regions. Through strategic exploration and production activities, Newmont aims to deliver long-term value to its stakeholders.



© 2026 WMDST — The World’s Most Dangerous Swing Trader. All rights reserved.