Landstar System, Inc. (NASDAQ:LSTR) Readies Cash Returns While Momentum Softens

Landstar shows a renewed cash-return focus after a large special payout, while technical indicators point to fading near-term momentum against an over-valued baseline.

Recent News

On December 3, 2025 the board declared a one-time cash dividend of $2.00 per share, payable January 21, 2026 to shareholders of record January 6, 2026.

On January 28, 2026 the company confirmed fourth-quarter results and reported quarterly revenue of $1,174 million and basic and diluted EPS of $0.70 for the 2025 fourth quarter.

Technical Analysis

Trend Strength (ADX): ADX at 27.56 signals a strong market trend; coupling that strength with declining DI+ and a DI- dip-and-reversal signals the current strength favors sellers rather than buyers, which pressures near-term price bias.

Directional Indicators (DI+/DI-): DI+ at 24.92 has decreased, a bearish development, while DI- at 16.23 shows a dip-and-reversal that also registers as bearish; together they indicate directional pressure toward lower short-term prices unless buyers regain DI+ momentum.

MACD: MACD sits at 2.92 below its signal line at 3.70, with a peak-and-reversal pattern that signals waning bullish momentum and aligns with a short-term bearish momentum profile.

MRO (Momentum/Regression Oscillator): MRO at -0.37 places price marginally below the model target, indicating modest upside potential to close that gap, but the magnitude remains small and does not offset the broader loss of momentum signaled elsewhere.

RSI: RSI at 59.75 with a peak-and-reversal indicates momentum has pulled back from recent highs without reaching overbought levels, leaving room for mean reversion but showing waning upside impetus.

Price vs Averages and Bands: Last close $150.00 sits below the 20-day average $154.06 and the 12-day EMA $152.66 (the 12-day EMA shows a peak-and-reversal), while remaining above the 200-day average $134.09; short-term bias therefore shows weakness within a longer-term uptrend. Bollinger band edges near $151.59–$156.54 imply current price trades near the lower-to-middle band range, supporting the view of contained short-term downside potential.

Volume & Volatility: Today’s volume 800,756 exceeds the 10-day average 520,236 and 200-day average 418,549, suggesting elevated trading interest during the momentum shift; 42- and 52-week volatility at 2% indicate relatively low realized volatility for the stock.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Earnings and Estimates: Reported EPS $0.75 missed the estimate $1.09 by -$0.34, an EPS surprise of -31.19%, reflecting a material shortfall versus consensus expectations for the quarter.

Earnings Growth: Quarter-over-quarter earnings declined by -24.11%, while year-over-year earnings increased by 4.43%, showing recent quarterly softness against modest annual improvement.

Revenue and Cash Cycle: Reported revenue growth registers at 0.0% with both QoQ and YoY entries at -1.0 (reported values); the cash conversion cycle stands at 0 days with a QoQ change of -1 day, indicating tight working-capital handling.

Capital Structure & Cost: Cost of debt 0.646% shows a low after-tax borrowing cost; invested capital appears as -$309,295,000 in the reported line item and should be reviewed in company filings for context.

Valuation Multiples: Trailing PE sits at 189.68, above the industry peer mean of 165.17 and well above the industry peer median of 34.44; forward PE equals 81.15, above the industry peer mean of 46.40 but below the industry peer high of 101.61. Forward EPS equals $1.677. The company’s PEG ratio stands negative at -4.92 while forward PEG sits at -2.11, reflecting earnings and growth dynamics embedded in current multiples.

Profitability & Returns: Reported earnings growth metric shows an overall negative reading of -38.53% in the provided summary line while the explicit QoQ and YoY percentages above capture recent quarter and annual movement; reconcile these figures with filings for detailed segment breakdowns.

Valuation Assessment: The current valuation as determined by WMDST places the stock as over-valued, a conclusion driven by elevated trailing and forward multiples relative to peer averages combined with the recent earnings miss and mixed growth signals.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-12-31
REPORT DATE: 2026-01-28
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-04-29
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow
 Operating Cash Flow
 Capital Expenditures
 Change In Working Capital
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta
 End Period Cash Flow
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue
 Forward Revenue
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue
 Depreciation
 Depreciation and Amortization
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit
 EBITDA
 EBIT
 Operating Income
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense
 Net Interest Income
 Income Before Tax
 Tax Provision
 Tax Rate
 Net Income
 Net Income From Continuing Operations
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 1.09
 EPS Actual 0.75
 EPS Difference -0.34
 EPS Surprise -31.193 %
 Forward EPS 1.68
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets
 Intangible Assets
 Net Tangible Assets
 Total Current Assets
 Cash and Short-Term Investments
 Cash
 Net Receivables
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities
 Net Debt
 Total Debt
 Total Liabilities
EQUITY
 Total Equity
 Retained Earnings
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share
 Shares Outstanding
 Revenue Per-Share
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization
 Enterprise Value
 Enterprise Multiple
Enterprise Multiple QoQ
Enterprise Multiple YoY
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA
 EV/R
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity
 Asset To Liability
 Debt To Capital
 Debt To Assets
Debt To Assets QoQ
Debt To Assets YoY
Debt To Assets IPRWA
 Debt To Equity
Debt To Equity QoQ
Debt To Equity YoY
Debt To Equity IPRWA
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B)
Price To Book QoQ
Price To Book YoY
Price To Book IPRWA
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 189.675
Price To Earnings QoQ 78.14 %
Price To Earnings YoY 40.825 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 260.531
LSTR: 189.675
mean: 165.172
median: 34.44
low: -9.844
 PE/G Ratio -4.923
 Price To Sales (P/S)
Price To Sales QoQ
Price To Sales YoY
Price To Sales IPRWA
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 81.146
Forward PE/G -2.106
Forward P/S
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Receivables Turnover
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO)
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 0.0
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -100.0 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio
 CapEx To Revenue
 CapEx To Depreciation
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital
 Net Invested Capital
 Invested Capital -309.30 M
 Net Tangible Assets
 Net Working Capital
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio
 Current Ratio
Current Ratio QoQ
Current Ratio YoY
Current Ratio IPRWA
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA
 Cost Of Debt 0.646 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO)
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate
 Revenue Growth 0.0 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -100.0 %
Revenue Growth YoY -100.0 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA
 Earnings Growth -38.525 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -2411.038 %
Earnings Growth YoY 443.218 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 66.667 %
mean: 25.849 %
low: -12.143 %
median: -12.143 %
LSTR: -38.525 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin
Gross Margin QoQ
Gross Margin YoY
Gross Margin IPRWA
 EBIT Margin
EBIT Margin QoQ
EBIT Margin YoY
EBIT Margin IPRWA
 Return On Sales (ROS)
Return On Sales QoQ
Return On Sales YoY
Return On Sales IPRWA
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF)
 Free Cash Flow Yield
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA
 Free Cash Growth
Free Cash Growth QoQ
Free Cash Growth YoY
Free Cash Growth IPRWA
 Free Cash To Net Income
 Cash Flow Margin
 Cash Flow To Earnings
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added
 Return On Assets (ROA)
Return On Assets QoQ
Return On Assets YoY
Return On Assets IPRWA
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
 Return On Equity (ROE)
Return On Equity QoQ
Return On Equity YoY
Return On Equity IPRWA
 DuPont ROE
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC)
Return On Invested Capital QoQ
Return On Invested Capital YoY
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA

Six-Week Outlook

Expect a cautious near-term profile. Technicals skew toward short-term weakness: momentum indicators show a peak-and-reversal pattern, DI+/DI- favor sellers, and price trades below near-term averages despite being above the 200-day trend. Elevated volume around the momentum shift suggests participation in the move rather than quiet consolidation. Fundamental catalysts include the confirmed Q4 results and the recent $2.00 special dividend, which reinforce cash-return orientation but coexist with an EPS miss and elevated multiples under WMDST’s over-valued assessment. Over the next six weeks, price action will likely hinge on whether buyers can restore DI+ and push MACD back above its signal; absent that shift, expect limited upside and a bias toward consolidation or retracement into the mid-$140s support area while the longer-term trend remains intact above the 200-day average.

About Landstar System, Inc.

Landstar System, Inc. (NASDAQ:LSTR) delivers integrated transportation management solutions across the United States, Canada, Mexico, and internationally. The company operates through two main segments: Transportation Logistics and Insurance. The Transportation Logistics segment provides an extensive range of services, including truckload and less-than-truckload transportation, rail intermodal, air and ocean cargo, expedited delivery, and specialized heavy-haul services. It also facilitates cross-border transportation between the U.S., Canada, and Mexico, and handles project cargo and customs brokerage. Landstar serves diverse industries such as automotive, consumer durables, building products, metals, chemicals, foodstuffs, heavy machinery, retail, electronics, and military equipment. In the Insurance segment, Landstar offers risk and claims management services, along with reinsurance for its independent contractors. The company markets its services through a network of independent commission sales agents and third-party capacity providers. Established in 1991, Landstar System, Inc. maintains its headquarters in Jacksonville, Florida, and continues to support a wide array of industries with its comprehensive transportation and logistics solutions.



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