GDS Holdings Limited (NASDAQ:GDS) Seizes Momentum With Strong Margins And Continued Upside Bias

GDS holds operational strength and visible momentum after recent technical turn signals; fundamentals show high profitability alongside leverage that shapes near-term price dynamics.

Recent News

On November 25, 2025, GDS registered a sharp jump in Relative Strength (RS) rating to the low-80s, highlighting improved price performance against peers. On December 21, 2025, analyst consensus price-target averages rose, lifting the one-year mean target modestly above recent trading levels.

Technical Analysis

Trend Strength (ADX & Directional): ADX at 36.87 signals a strong trend strength; DI+ shows a dip & reversal while DI- shows a peak & reversal, both signaling bullish directional alignment that supports the near-term upside bias.

Momentum (MACD): MACD displays a dip & reversal and currently sits at 2.37 above its signal line at 1.86, confirming a bullish momentum shift that reinforces the immediate upward price bias.

MRO (Momentum/Regression Oscillator): MRO reads 35.33 with a peak & reversal; the positive MRO implies price sits above the modeled target and may face mean-reversion pressure, introducing a countervailing factor to momentum-driven gains.

RSI: RSI at 58.93 with a dip & reversal indicates renewed upward momentum without overbought extremes, supporting further appreciation while leaving room before overbought thresholds.

Price vs Moving Averages: Last close $47.14 trades above the 12‑day EMA ($43.36, increasing), the 20‑day average ($43.02), the 50‑day average ($36.80) and the 200‑day average ($33.16), a configuration that favors continued near-term strength; the 12‑day EMA increasing reinforces the momentum interpretation.

Bands, Volatility & Support/Resistance: Price sits between the Bollinger 1x and 2x upper bands (upper1x $45.95; upper2x $48.88), implying elevated near-term volatility and proximity to resistance. SuperTrend lower support at $41.58 offers a defined technical floor for short-term consolidation.

Volume & Beta: Recent volume (~2.52M) sits slightly above the 10‑day average (~2.42M) and higher than 50/200‑day averages, suggesting constructive buying interest on the technical turn; 42‑day beta 1.89 and 52‑week beta 1.55 reflect above‑market volatility that magnifies moves in both directions.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability: EBIT $1,747,123,000 and EBIT margin 60.51% stand markedly above the industry peer range (industry peer mean ~11.69%, median ~11.97%, high ~19.72%), indicating exceptional operating profitability on reported results. Operating margin 12.55% and gross margin 22.14% reflect healthy operating leverage relative to revenue of $2,887,126,000.

Earnings & Surprise: Reported EPS $3.21 versus consensus estimate $‑0.55 produces an EPS surprise of roughly 683.6%, a material beat that materially repositions near-term profitability expectations; the company reported third-quarter results on November 19, 2025.

Revenue and Growth Rates: Revenue growth registered at ‑1.09% year‑over‑year and ‑1.07% quarter‑over‑quarter, indicating slight contraction in top‑line activity despite margin expansion; earnings growth shows a 4.37% annual increase, with QoQ earnings down ~4.91%.

Cash Flow & Liquidity: Operating cash flow $736,502,000 and cash & short‑term investments $13,443,679,000 provide liquidity headroom; cash conversion ratio 27.78% and current ratio 2.51x point to solid near‑term coverage. Free cash flow negative $685,326,000 reflects ongoing capital intensity, though free‑cash growth shows 71.47% YoY improvement.

Leverage: Total debt $46,964,470,000 with net debt $24,373,551,000 produces debt‑to‑assets ~59.74% and debt‑to‑equity ~183.46%, while debt‑to‑EBITDA sits near 18.0x—elevated leverage that increases sensitivity to cash‑flow shifts and supports cautious capitalization monitoring.

Returns: Return on equity ~2.84% and return on assets ~0.92% remain low in absolute terms despite strong EBIT margin, reflecting heavy asset base and capital intensity inherent to data‑center operations; return on invested capital ~2.39% tracks similarly.

Valuation: WMDST values the stock as under‑valued. The valuation reflects a combination of outsized operating margins and elevated leverage; price target mean provided in market data sits near $52.00, offering context for upside potential relative to current levels.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-09-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-11-19
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-02-18
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 13.3 B
 Operating Cash Flow 736.5 M
 Capital Expenditures -1.42 B
 Change In Working Capital -41.82 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 265.3 M
 End Period Cash Flow 13.6 B
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 2.9 B
 Forward Revenue
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 2.2 B
 Depreciation 860.9 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 860.9 M
 Research and Development 8.3 M
 Total Operating Expenses 2.5 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 639.2 M
 EBITDA 2.6 B
 EBIT 1.7 B
 Operating Income 362.4 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 375.5 M
 Net Interest Income -375.47 M
 Income Before Tax 1.4 B
 Tax Provision 181.9 M
 Tax Rate 13.26 %
 Net Income 726.0 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 728.6 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate -0.55
 EPS Actual 3.21
 EPS Difference 3.76
 EPS Surprise 683.636 %
 Forward EPS -0.01
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 78.6 B
 Intangible Assets 5.6 B
 Net Tangible Assets 21.1 B
 Total Current Assets 17.3 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 13.4 B
 Cash 13.4 B
 Net Receivables 2.9 B
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments 3.1 B
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 1.9 B
 Short-Term Debt 2.6 B
 Total Current Liabilities 6.9 B
 Net Debt 24.4 B
 Total Debt 47.0 B
 Total Liabilities 51.8 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 25.6 B
 Retained Earnings -4.63 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share
 Shares Outstanding
 Revenue Per-Share
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization
 Enterprise Value
 Enterprise Multiple
Enterprise Multiple QoQ
Enterprise Multiple YoY
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA
 EV/R
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 3.071
 Asset To Liability 1.517
 Debt To Capital 0.647
 Debt To Assets 0.597
Debt To Assets QoQ -1.011 %
Debt To Assets YoY 715.173 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.964
GDS: 0.597
mean: 0.215
median: 0.125
low: 0.007
 Debt To Equity 1.835
Debt To Equity QoQ -6.345 %
Debt To Equity YoY 466.02 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 3.734
GDS: 1.835
mean: 0.445
median: 0.218
low: -1.168
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B)
Price To Book QoQ
Price To Book YoY
Price To Book IPRWA
 Price To Earnings (P/E) -13.903
Price To Earnings QoQ -80.13 %
Price To Earnings YoY -1117.508 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 222.024
mean: 80.883
median: 69.265
GDS: -13.903
low: -68.555
 PE/G Ratio -0.032
 Price To Sales (P/S)
Price To Sales QoQ
Price To Sales YoY
Price To Sales IPRWA
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E -233.018
Forward PE/G -0.533
Forward P/S
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -685.049
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.037
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -3.711 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -0.381 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.543
median: 0.269
mean: 0.258
low: 0.062
GDS: 0.037
 Receivables Turnover 0.994
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 2.311 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 19.841 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 4.247
mean: 1.604
median: 1.316
GDS: 0.994
low: 0.366
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 91.784
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) -3.259
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 85.55
median: 41.603
mean: 40.606
GDS: -3.259
low: -76.001
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.278
 CapEx To Revenue -0.492
 CapEx To Depreciation -1.651
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 61.8 B
 Net Invested Capital 63.4 B
 Invested Capital 63.4 B
 Net Tangible Assets 21.1 B
 Net Working Capital 10.4 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 1.957
 Current Ratio 2.513
Current Ratio QoQ 25.85 %
Current Ratio YoY 110.565 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 3.07
GDS: 2.513
mean: 1.581
median: 1.42
low: 0.345
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 18.007
 Cost Of Debt 0.687 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 4.653
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 343.19 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 747.073 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 63.267
mean: 20.735
median: 19.06
GDS: 4.653
low: -51.208
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.128
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 95.043
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -0.745 %
 Revenue Growth -0.454 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -106.979 %
Revenue Growth YoY -109.209 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 8.642 %
mean: 0.209 %
GDS: -0.454 %
median: -0.742 %
low: -9.629 %
 Earnings Growth 436.957 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -490.96 %
Earnings Growth YoY -123.54 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA GDS: 436.957 %
high: 93.333 %
mean: -20.112 %
median: -35.53 %
low: -162.5 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 22.141 %
Gross Margin QoQ -6.79 %
Gross Margin YoY -0.045 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 68.885 %
median: 31.887 %
mean: 31.339 %
GDS: 22.141 %
low: 2.919 %
 EBIT Margin 60.514 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 312.755 %
EBIT Margin YoY 510.636 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA GDS: 60.514 %
high: 19.722 %
median: 11.971 %
mean: 11.692 %
low: -9.64 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 12.552 %
Return On Sales QoQ -12.193 %
Return On Sales YoY 26.66 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 18.799 %
GDS: 12.552 %
mean: 12.208 %
median: 10.395 %
low: -5.051 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -685.33 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA
 Free Cash Growth 71.471 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -3.854 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 43.47 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 560.368 %
GDS: 71.471 %
mean: 51.026 %
median: 8.277 %
low: -866.027 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -0.944
 Cash Flow Margin 30.561 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.215
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added
 Return On Assets (ROA) 0.92 %
Return On Assets QoQ -1068.421 %
Return On Assets YoY -486.555 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 5.843 %
median: 1.97 %
mean: 1.908 %
GDS: 0.92 %
low: -5.216 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 2.435 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.028
Return On Equity QoQ -1058.108 %
Return On Equity YoY -374.54 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.176
mean: 0.045
median: 0.043
GDS: 0.028
low: -0.101
 DuPont ROE 2.904 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 2.39 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 371.4 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -128.623 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 9.634 %
mean: 3.595 %
median: 3.447 %
GDS: 2.39 %
low: -1.884 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near‑term setup favors continued upside momentum: directional indicators and MACD show bullish alignment, price trades above key moving averages, and volume volume trends support conviction. Counterbalance arrives from a positive MRO—indicating potential mean reversion—and elevated leverage that increases downside risk on a cash‑flow shock. Expect oscillations around the $41.58 technical support and resistance near the upper Bollinger band (~$48–$49) as key reference points for trend durability over the next six weeks; volatility and beta suggest moves may amplify relative to broader markets.

About GDS Holdings Limited

GDS Holdings Limited (NASDAQ:GDS) develops and manages high-performance data centers across China, addressing the increasing demand for digital infrastructure. Founded in 2001 and headquartered in Shanghai, the company provides a wide range of services, including colocation, managed hosting, and cloud solutions. GDS designs state-of-the-art facilities to meet the critical infrastructure requirements of a diverse client base, which includes cloud service providers, major internet companies, financial institutions, and telecommunications firms. GDS delivers robust and scalable data center solutions, ensuring optimal performance, security, and reliability. The company offers critical facilities space, power, and cooling, along with advanced managed services such as network management and disaster recovery. This enables businesses to concentrate on their core operations while facilitating seamless digital transformation. GDS Holdings emphasizes innovation and sustainability, aligning with the rapid technological advancements and environmental considerations of the modern digital economy. The company remains committed to excellence and continues to expand its presence across China, reinforcing its position as a key player in the global data center industry.



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