PDF Solutions, Inc. (NASDAQ:PDFS) Poised To Moderate Gains Amid Cooling Momentum

PDF Solutions shows short-term strength but multiple momentum signals indicate a likely consolidation phase ahead. Fundamentals show revenue breadth and margin improvement while cash flow and leverage merit attention.

Recent News

On November 18, 2025 the company announced speakers and the agenda for its Users Conference and Analyst Day to be held December 3–4, 2025 in Santa Clara. On December 2, 2025 the company confirmed the Analyst Day webcast and presentation availability. On January 26, 2026 the company scheduled fourth-quarter and fiscal‑year 2025 results for release after market close on February 12, 2026.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 29.03 signals a strong underlying trend; that strength increases the odds that short-term directional moves carry follow‑through into the coming weeks and affects the pace of consolidation relative to moving averages.

DI+ sits at 31.43 with a peak‑and‑reversal pattern, a bearish directional read that implies recent upside momentum has lost some lift. DI− at 14.28 and trending down reads as bullish for the background trend because downward DI− relieves downside pressure.

MACD currently at 1.46 sits above its signal line (1.30), which registers as a bullish cross, even though the MACD trend shows a peak‑and‑reversal pattern that signals waning momentum; together this implies bullish bias with diminishing momentum.

MRO at 26.78 and increasing indicates the market price trades above the modeled target, implying mean‑reversion pressure that could push price lower unless fresh buying restores alignment with valuation drivers.

RSI near 59.8 with a peak‑and‑reversal signal points to cooling upside momentum after a recent advance rather than an immediate overbought reading, supporting the case for a consolidation phase around current levels.

Price trades above the 12‑day EMA (33.67), 20‑day average (33.44) and 50‑day average (29.57), with the 12‑day EMA rising; that configuration provides short‑term support and ties the current price to the valuation band reflected in WMDST’s fair‑value assessment.

Volume at ~212,674 trails recent averages, suggesting current moves lack conviction; elevated 42‑day beta (1.95) implies outsized reaction potential to catalyst events during any near‑term trend continuation or pullback.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Total revenue reached $57,115,000 for the period ending 2025‑09‑30, with YoY revenue change down 8.63% but quarter‑over‑quarter revenue up 25.97%, indicating sequential acceleration versus the year‑ago comparison. Gross margin held at 72.27%, supporting healthy unit economics for the software and services mix.

Operating margin at 8.45% improved markedly versus prior periods (operating margin QoQ up 291.43% and YoY up 85.09%), and EBIT of $4,725,000 produced an EBIT margin of 8.27%. That EBIT margin falls below the industry peer mean of 33.952% and below the industry peer median of 35.717%, highlighting room to close the gap versus peers.

EPS delivered $0.64 versus an estimate of $0.22, a $0.42 beat representing roughly a 191% surprise. Forward EPS sits at $0.2681 with forward PE about 85.91x, while trailing PE equals 39.12x; those multiples reflect investor expectations for growth but stretch relative to operating profitability.

Free cash flow came in negative at −$3,038,000 and free cash flow yield stands at −0.31%, with free cash growth down roughly 77.9% year‑over‑year. Cash and short‑term investments total $35.88M against net debt of $31.68M, producing a modest liquidity cushion but a debt‑to‑EBITDA of about 9.3x, which signals elevated leverage relative to cash earnings.

Asset turnover at 0.143 sits below the industry peer mean of 0.1927, reflecting lower revenue intensity per asset. The current ratio equals 2.21, slightly above the industry peer mean of 2.1637, indicating adequate near‑term liquidity. Interest coverage at 3.82 provides some buffer on interest expense but remains modest versus typical SaaS/high‑margin peers.

WMDST values the stock as fair‑valued. That view reflects a mix of stable gross margins and sequential revenue acceleration offset by negative free cash flow, elevated leverage versus operating earnings, and rich forward multiples which together support a neutral valuation stance absent a material improvement in cash generation or margin expansion.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-09-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-11-06
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-02-05
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 37.4 M
 Operating Cash Flow 3.3 M
 Capital Expenditures -6.33 M
 Change In Working Capital -9.55 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta -1.53 M
 End Period Cash Flow 35.9 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 57.1 M
 Forward Revenue 116.9 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 15.8 M
 Depreciation 1.1 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 3.2 M
 Research and Development 15.4 M
 Total Operating Expenses 52.3 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 41.3 M
 EBITDA 7.9 M
 EBIT 4.7 M
 Operating Income 4.8 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 1.2 M
 Net Interest Income -1.24 M
 Income Before Tax 3.5 M
 Tax Provision 2.2 M
 Tax Rate 21.0 %
 Net Income 1.3 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 1.3 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.22
 EPS Actual 0.64
 EPS Difference 0.42
 EPS Surprise 190.909 %
 Forward EPS 0.27
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 406.4 M
 Intangible Assets 151.0 M
 Net Tangible Assets 113.4 M
 Total Current Assets 146.1 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 35.9 M
 Cash 35.9 M
 Net Receivables 74.9 M
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments 1.9 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 14.7 M
 Short-Term Debt 2.2 M
 Total Current Liabilities 66.1 M
 Net Debt 31.7 M
 Total Debt 73.8 M
 Total Liabilities 142.0 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 264.4 M
 Retained Earnings -94.58 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 6.75
 Shares Outstanding 39.507 M
 Revenue Per-Share 1.46
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 980.6 M
 Enterprise Value 1.0 B
 Enterprise Multiple 128.272
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -39.525 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -55.851 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 178.043
PDFS: 128.272
mean: 93.029
median: 91.699
low: -238.397
 EV/R 17.832
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.537
 Asset To Liability 2.862
 Debt To Capital 0.218
 Debt To Assets 0.182
Debt To Assets QoQ -4.094 %
Debt To Assets YoY 3171.351 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.465
median: 0.198
PDFS: 0.182
mean: 0.17
low: 0.006
 Debt To Equity 0.279
Debt To Equity QoQ -2.939 %
Debt To Equity YoY 3836.248 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 1.221
mean: 0.422
median: 0.347
PDFS: 0.279
low: -0.599
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 3.709
Price To Book QoQ 11.893 %
Price To Book YoY -24.628 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 17.585
median: 14.913
mean: 13.476
PDFS: 3.709
low: -3.904
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 39.123
Price To Earnings QoQ -65.896 %
Price To Earnings YoY -67.96 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 286.125
mean: 121.692
median: 115.727
PDFS: 39.123
low: -348.115
 PE/G Ratio 0.165
 Price To Sales (P/S) 17.169
Price To Sales QoQ 4.04 %
Price To Sales YoY -32.664 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 64.674
median: 41.776
mean: 34.925
PDFS: 17.169
low: 1.791
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 85.911
Forward PE/G 0.363
Forward P/S 9.076
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 24.953
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.143
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 8.139 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -6.587 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.351
median: 0.198
mean: 0.193
PDFS: 0.143
low: 0.0
 Receivables Turnover 0.792
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 1.782 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -12.035 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.511
median: 1.451
mean: 1.417
PDFS: 0.792
low: 0.591
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 115.201
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 50.2
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 563.683
median: 276.99
mean: 265.084
PDFS: 50.2
low: 26.743
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.714
 CapEx To Revenue -0.111
 CapEx To Depreciation -5.51
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 329.7 M
 Net Invested Capital 331.9 M
 Invested Capital 331.9 M
 Net Tangible Assets 113.4 M
 Net Working Capital 80.0 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.543
 Current Ratio 2.211
Current Ratio QoQ -6.55 %
Current Ratio YoY -33.302 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 9.548
PDFS: 2.211
median: 2.207
mean: 2.164
low: 0.914
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 9.293
 Cost Of Debt 1.323 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 3.817
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 261.024 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 172.154 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 192.143
median: 39.833
mean: 36.249
PDFS: 3.817
low: -164.857
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.105
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 65.002
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 3.903 %
 Revenue Growth 10.414 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 25.971 %
Revenue Growth YoY -8.625 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 45.385 %
PDFS: 10.414 %
median: 1.101 %
mean: 0.902 %
low: -45.156 %
 Earnings Growth 236.842 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -2586.791 %
Earnings Growth YoY 509.021 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA PDFS: 236.842 %
high: 133.333 %
mean: -2.314 %
median: -6.077 %
low: -200.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 72.266 %
Gross Margin QoQ 1.464 %
Gross Margin YoY -1.141 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 89.855 %
PDFS: 72.266 %
mean: 52.195 %
median: 51.627 %
low: 4.626 %
 EBIT Margin 8.273 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 225.965 %
EBIT Margin YoY 81.187 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 43.012 %
median: 35.717 %
mean: 33.952 %
PDFS: 8.273 %
low: -46.404 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 8.451 %
Return On Sales QoQ 291.431 %
Return On Sales YoY 85.085 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 41.661 %
median: 32.842 %
mean: 32.558 %
PDFS: 8.451 %
low: -50.057 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -3.04 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield -0.31 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -80.745 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -178.283 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 3.193 %
median: 0.795 %
mean: 0.64 %
PDFS: -0.31 %
low: -2.559 %
 Free Cash Growth -77.891 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -97.599 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -61.238 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 288.936 %
mean: -1.584 %
median: -31.87 %
PDFS: -77.891 %
low: -368.087 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -2.348
 Cash Flow Margin 12.119 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 5.349
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 0.325 %
Return On Assets QoQ 10.922 %
Return On Assets YoY -55.418 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 7.255 %
mean: 5.347 %
median: 5.244 %
PDFS: 0.325 %
low: -8.379 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 1.388 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.005
Return On Equity QoQ 9.888 %
Return On Equity YoY -46.674 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.225
mean: 0.126
median: 0.112
PDFS: 0.005
low: -0.16
 DuPont ROE 0.496 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 1.125 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 252.665 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -203.496 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 10.936 %
median: 10.871 %
mean: 8.606 %
PDFS: 1.125 %
low: -2.31 %

Six-Week Outlook

Momentum signals suggest a high probability of near‑term consolidation rather than a decisive breakout. The trend strength reading supports directional bias, but MACD and RSI peak‑and‑reversal patterns combined with a positive and rising MRO imply mean‑reversion risk. Short‑term support aligns near the rising 12‑day EMA ($33.67) and the super trend lower at $32.86; the immediate upside target cluster tracks the analyst price‑target mean near $34.91. Low volume relative to moving averages reduces conviction for further rapid advances, while elevated short‑term beta increases the risk of sharper, volatility‑driven moves if catalysts arrive. Monitor momentum signals and cash‑flow updates from the upcoming results for the next clear directional cue.

About PDF Solutions, Inc.

PDF Solutions, Inc. (NASDAQ:PDFS) develops proprietary software and intellectual property products tailored for integrated circuit design and electrical measurement. The company delivers a suite of tools and methodologies, including Exensio software products, which enhance manufacturing analytics by storing data in a unified environment. This facilitates engineers in identifying and analyzing production yield, performance, and reliability issues. PDF Solutions also provides systems for process control, test operations, and assembly operations, enabling device manufacturers to manage data throughout the product lifecycle. In addition, the company offers Design-For-Inspection (DFI) systems, including on-chip instruments and non-contact e-beam tools, as well as the Characterization Vehicle (CV) system, which comprises test chips and electrical testers. Their Cimetrix software products empower equipment manufacturers with industry-standard interfaces. PDF Solutions extends its offerings through software-as-a-service, software-related services, and characterization services. The company markets its technologies and services through direct sales, service teams, and strategic partnerships to a diverse clientele, including integrated device manufacturers, fabless semiconductor companies, and electronics manufacturing suppliers. Founded in 1991, PDF Solutions is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.



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