Seabridge Gold Inc. (NYSE:SA) Advances Permitting While Technical Momentum Suggests Pullback

Seabridge Gold moves several development and permitting items toward 2026 while short-term market momentum shows both bullish breadth and mean-reversion pressure. Operational progress offsets negative earnings but creates a mixed near-term technical profile.

Recent News

Dec 18, 2025 — Company issued a year-end update describing KSM permitting advances and partner due diligence; permit amendment expected in Q1 2026. Dec 16 & Dec 10, 2025 — Announcements described plans to spin out the Courageous Lake project and continued expansion of the Snip North deposit. Nov 12, 2025 — Filed third-quarter 2025 report and MD&A; highlighted KSM field activity, a 24,000‑meter Iskut drill program and completed court hearings on KSM challenges. Oct 29, 2025 — Company announced a $4.4 million tax recovery after a successful BC Supreme Court challenge.

Technical Analysis

ADX stands at 20.01, indicating an emerging trend strength; this suggests directional moves lack robust conviction despite recent price strength and should temper expectations for a sustained breakout.

DI+ registers 27.46 with a dip & reversal, which reads as a bullish shift in directional pressure; DI- shows 16.68 with a peak & reversal, which also aligns with bullish directional confirmation. Those directional indicators support near-term upside bias relative to the valuation backdrop, yet ADX near 20 limits the strength of that advance.

MACD at 1.43 with a dip & reversal sits above its signal line at 1.08, indicating a bullish momentum crossover. That crossover favors further short-term gains but requires confirmation given limited trend strength.

MRO reads 24.17 with a peak & reversal and sits positive; price therefore sits above the calculated target and faces a mean-reversion force that could generate short-term downside pressure against valuation-driven upside.

RSI at 62.27 with a dip & reversal signals weakening upside momentum from mildly overbought levels; that dynamic increases the probability of consolidation or a pullback before any sustained leg higher.

Price closed at $36.37, above the 20‑day average ($32.26), 50‑day average ($29.15) and 200‑day average ($20.03); the 12‑day EMA shows an increasing trajectory. Price trades above the 1x Bollinger upper band ($34.48) but below the 2x upper band ($36.69), indicating short-term extension with room for retracement. Average volumes run higher than multi-horizon means (today’s volume ~1.55M vs. 10‑day avg ~1.21M), supporting conviction behind recent moves while beta (42‑day 0.9; 52‑week 0.75) implies moderate market sensitivity.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability remains negative: net income totaled -$32,270,000 for the period and EPS actual registered -$0.32 versus an estimate of -$0.04, an EPS surprise of -700.0%. EBITDA and EBIT remain negative at -$27,597,000 and -$27,616,000 respectively, reflecting active exploration and development spending rather than operating profitability.

Liquidity shows strength. Cash stands at $103,104,000 with cash and short‑term investments of $111,285,000; the cash ratio equals 2.67 and the current ratio measures 2.99. Current ratio changed -29.41% QoQ and improved 31.04% YoY. Operating cash flow ran -$29,510,000 and free cash flow registered -$54,970,000, yielding a free cash flow yield of -2.44% and a free cash flow growth of 306.27% YoY as reported.

Leverage and capital structure: total debt equals $584,436,000 with net debt of $480,032,000; debt to assets measures 34.24% and debt to equity measures 55.30%. Debt to assets changed -2.46% QoQ while the year-over-year change reported 142,562.50%. Interest expense remains small at $143,000 but interest coverage shows a steep negative ratio reflecting operating losses.

Balance‑sheet multiples: price-to-book stands at 2.13 versus an industry peer mean of 3.47 and an industry peer median of 3.28, placing book valuation below the industry peer mean and median but above the industry peer low. PE ratios sit negative and forward PE remains deeply negative, consistent with operating losses and negative EPS.

Returns trail: return on assets measures -1.93% and return on equity measures -3.05%, both negative and reflecting exploration/development investment stages rather than operating returns. Cash flow to earnings approximates 91.45%, indicating reported losses tie closely to cash dynamics from operations and investing.

Valuation summary: WMDST values the stock as under-valued based on balance‑sheet strength, meaningful cash resources versus market cap ($2.25B) and P/B below the industry peer mean. Negative earnings and negative free cash flow constrain the near-term valuation case, however the company’s project advances and permit progress underpin the WMDST view.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-09-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-11-12
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-02-11
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 121.4 M
 Operating Cash Flow -29.51 M
 Capital Expenditures -52.86 M
 Change In Working Capital 861.0 K
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta -18.28 M
 End Period Cash Flow 103.1 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue
 Forward Revenue
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue
 Depreciation 19.0 K
 Depreciation and Amortization 19.0 K
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 4.7 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit
 EBITDA -27.60 M
 EBIT -27.62 M
 Operating Income -4.67 M
 Interest Income 1.5 M
 Interest Expense 143.0 K
 Net Interest Income 1.4 M
 Income Before Tax -27.76 M
 Tax Provision 4.5 M
 Tax Rate 15.0 %
 Net Income -32.27 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations -32.27 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate -0.04
 EPS Actual -0.32
 EPS Difference -0.28
 EPS Surprise -700.0 %
 Forward EPS -0.03
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 1.7 B
 Intangible Assets
 Net Tangible Assets 1.1 B
 Total Current Assets 124.9 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 111.3 M
 Cash 103.1 M
 Net Receivables
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments 22.1 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 7.7 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 41.8 M
 Net Debt 480.0 M
 Total Debt 584.4 M
 Total Liabilities 650.2 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 1.1 B
 Retained Earnings -227.28 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 10.18
 Shares Outstanding 103.842 M
 Revenue Per-Share
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 2.2 B
 Enterprise Value 2.7 B
 Enterprise Multiple -98.669
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -150.819 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 137.033 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 157.603
mean: 52.627
median: 27.604
SA: -98.669
low: -180.008
 EV/R
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.615
 Asset To Liability 2.625
 Debt To Capital 0.356
 Debt To Assets 0.342
Debt To Assets QoQ -2.464 %
Debt To Assets YoY 142562.5 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.574
SA: 0.342
mean: 0.126
median: 0.103
low: 0.001
 Debt To Equity 0.553
Debt To Equity QoQ -2.364 %
Debt To Equity YoY 138160.0 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 2.001
SA: 0.553
mean: 0.235
median: 0.189
low: 0.001
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 2.129
Price To Book QoQ 36.808 %
Price To Book YoY 18.855 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 8.202
mean: 3.473
median: 3.278
SA: 2.129
low: 0.704
 Price To Earnings (P/E) -67.706
Price To Earnings QoQ -0.0 %
Price To Earnings YoY 22.75 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 163.615
mean: 67.882
median: 48.994
SA: -67.706
low: -173.761
 PE/G Ratio
 Price To Sales (P/S)
Price To Sales QoQ
Price To Sales YoY
Price To Sales IPRWA
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E -369.39
Forward PE/G
Forward P/S
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Receivables Turnover
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO)
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC)
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio
 CapEx To Revenue
 CapEx To Depreciation -2782.316
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 1.6 B
 Net Invested Capital 1.6 B
 Invested Capital 1.6 B
 Net Tangible Assets 1.1 B
 Net Working Capital 83.2 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 2.665
 Current Ratio 2.992
Current Ratio QoQ -29.412 %
Current Ratio YoY 31.036 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 12.496
SA: 2.992
median: 2.458
mean: 2.357
low: 0.005
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA -21.178
 Cost Of Debt 0.021 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio -193.119
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -393.471 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 73.058 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 49.212
mean: 25.336
median: 21.14
low: -56.853
SA: -193.119
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio -0.707
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO)
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 3.8 %
 Revenue Growth
Revenue Growth QoQ
Revenue Growth YoY
Revenue Growth IPRWA
 Earnings Growth 0.0 %
Earnings Growth QoQ
Earnings Growth YoY -100.0 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 257.143 %
median: 5.6 %
SA: 0.0 %
mean: -0.089 %
low: -150.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin
Gross Margin QoQ
Gross Margin YoY
Gross Margin IPRWA
 EBIT Margin
EBIT Margin QoQ
EBIT Margin YoY
EBIT Margin IPRWA
 Return On Sales (ROS)
Return On Sales QoQ
Return On Sales YoY
Return On Sales IPRWA
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -54.97 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield -2.443 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 56.603 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 28.241 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 11.174 %
median: 1.829 %
mean: 1.479 %
SA: -2.443 %
low: -7.163 %
 Free Cash Growth 122.209 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 119.552 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 306.266 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 537.296 %
SA: 122.209 %
median: -14.298 %
mean: -59.239 %
low: -339.64 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 1.703
 Cash Flow Margin
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.914
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) -1.926 %
Return On Assets QoQ -353.088 %
Return On Assets YoY -0.824 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 6.16 %
median: 3.335 %
mean: 2.374 %
SA: -1.926 %
low: -14.746 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) -1.658 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) -0.031
Return On Equity QoQ -352.397 %
Return On Equity YoY -4.353 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.115
median: 0.055
mean: 0.037
SA: -0.031
low: -0.432
 DuPont ROE
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) -1.431 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -356.452 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -102.929 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 9.171 %
median: 4.597 %
mean: 4.036 %
SA: -1.431 %
low: -12.191 %

Six-Week Outlook

Directional signals split: DI+ and the MACD crossover favor further short-term upside, while MRO positive with a peak & reversal and RSI dipping from higher readings indicate an elevated risk of consolidation or pullback. Price extension above the 20‑day band and elevated volume increase the probability of a corrective leg that would test short-term support near the super trend lower ($32.82) and the 20‑day average. A persistence of partner and permitting headlines into Q1 2026 could re-energize directional breadth; absent fresh bullish news, expect rangebound action with periodic selloffs that relieve short-term overextension before any sustained trend develops.

About Seabridge Gold Inc.

Seabridge Gold Inc. (NYSE:SA) acquires and explores mineral properties in North America, with a primary emphasis on gold. The company actively investigates potential deposits of gold, copper, silver, and molybdenum. Seabridge Gold’s portfolio includes several significant projects, such as the KSM Project in British Columbia, which ranks among the world’s largest undeveloped gold projects. Established in 1979 and headquartered in Toronto, Canada, Seabridge Gold focuses on increasing its resource base through exploration and strategic acquisitions. By advancing its projects through various stages of development, the company aims to enhance shareholder value. Seabridge Gold’s commitment to responsible mining practices underscores its operations, ensuring environmental stewardship and community engagement. The company continues to evaluate opportunities to expand its asset base and strengthen its position in the precious metals sector.



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