Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (NYSE:MSGE) Projects Continued Venue-Driven Momentum Into Near Term

Madison Square Garden Entertainment shows strong event-driven momentum while fundamental cash-flow and leverage metrics constrain valuation upside; technical indicators favor near-term strength with caution for a pullback.

Recent News

On January 22, 2026, reports confirmed a 30-night Harry Styles residency at Madison Square Garden running from August 26 to October 31, 2026, with staged ticket-sale windows announced. On December 10, 2025, MSGE announced the New York Philharmonic will perform at Radio City Music Hall using the newly installed Sphere Immersive Sound system. The 2025 Christmas Spectacular closed the Rockettes’ 100th anniversary season with the highest attendance in 25 years, and citywide activations marked the centennial earlier in November 2025.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 47.35 signals very strong trend strength in the stock; trend strength increases the relevance of directional indicators for near-term price bias.

DI+ sits at 35.16 and shows an increasing trend, which provides bullish directional pressure; DI- at 10.35 displayed a dip-and-reversal, a bearish signal that suggests renewed selling pressure has emerged after a prior decline in DI-. The coexistence of a rising DI+ and a DI- dip-and-reversal indicates directional contest, with ADX confirming the contest carries significant strength.

MACD reads 2.17 with the MACD line above the signal line at 1.87 and a rising MACD trend, representing bullish momentum and a recent bullish crossover relative to the signal line.

MRO at 37.61 sits positive, indicating the price sits above the model target and therefore carries potential for a correction; the magnitude suggests a material distance above target that increases the probability of mean reversion pressure.

RSI at 66.24 and rising places momentum near overbought territory without yet exceeding common overbought thresholds; rising RSI supports continued upside but raises the risk of a short-term pullback if momentum cools.

Price relationships reinforce trend bias: the close at $61.24 sits above the 20-day average $57.71, 50-day average $52.86, and 200-day average $42.83, with the 12-day EMA rising and the 26-day EMA below current price — a configuration that supports near-term bullish price action. Price trades just below the 52-week high $61.64 and above the 1x Bollinger upper band $60.77 while remaining below the 2x upper band $63.83, suggesting the move carries upward momentum yet shows signs of stretching.

Volume at 255,872 registers below the 10-day average 358,740 and below the 200-day average 327,404, which reduces conviction for breakout moves; a low-volume advance increases the sensitivity of price to reversals. Short-term support sits near the super trend lower at $57.18 and Ichimoku support levels (Senkou A $50.44, Senkou B $48.70), giving traders observable reference points for downside staging.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Total revenue for the period stands at $154,138,000 with gross profit $52,148,000 and a gross margin of 33.832%. Operating income registers negative at -$23,211,000 and EBIT at -$30,463,000, producing an EBIT margin of -19.76% versus an industry peer mean of 25.48% and an industry peer median of 34.43%; the company operates with a materially lower EBIT margin relative to the industry peer mean and median.

EPS actual equals -$0.29 against an estimate of -$0.59, producing an EPS surprise of 50.85%, which demonstrates recent earnings outperformance versus consensus estimates. Forward EPS stands at $0.49, with a forward P/E of 74.38 derived from that projection.

Cash and short-term investments total $43,017,000 while operating cash flow sits at -$27,011,000 and free cash flow at -$31,078,000, producing a free cash flow yield of -1.71%; cash generation shows negative operating and free cash flows during the reported period despite sizable cash balances at period start and end. The cash conversion cycle measures 36.55 days, and the company logged a change in working capital of -$17,812,000.

Total debt equals $1,200,833,000 with net debt $556,232,000 and debt-to-assets at 71.91%; debt-to-capital stands at 101.12% and debt-to-EBITDA at -79.89, reflecting leverage that materially exceeds typical peer leverage levels. Total equity appears negative at -$13,300,0 00, producing a negative book value per share $-0.28 and a P/B ratio of -136.78 versus an industry peer mean P/B of 17.97 and median of 20.44; negative equity drives the negative P/B and complicates standard valuation comparisons.

Revenue growth shows a YoY increase of 96.91% but a QoQ decline of 10.02%; operating margin YoY improves 1.48% while quarter-over-quarter operating margin falls 234.79% (reported as -2.34792 in change factor terms). Return on equity prints 2.04% with ROE QoQ up 142.22% but ROE YoY down 170.73%. Asset turnover at 0.0904 trails the industry peer mean 0.2198, reflecting lower asset efficiency.

Valuation: WMDST values the stock as under-valued based on the provided WMDST model. The valuation assessment reflects event pipeline strength and revenue recovery prospects against elevated leverage, negative operating profitability, and negative cash-flow metrics that cap valuation expansion until operational cash-flow turns positive.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-11-06
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-02-05
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 89.5 M
 Operating Cash Flow -27.01 M
 Capital Expenditures -4.07 M
 Change In Working Capital -17.81 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta -45.94 M
 End Period Cash Flow 43.5 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 154.1 M
 Forward Revenue -32.97 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 102.0 M
 Depreciation 15.4 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 15.4 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 177.3 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 52.1 M
 EBITDA -15.03 M
 EBIT -30.46 M
 Operating Income -23.21 M
 Interest Income 881.0 K
 Interest Expense 11.7 M
 Net Interest Income -10.83 M
 Income Before Tax -42.17 M
 Tax Provision -14.99 M
 Tax Rate 35.555 %
 Net Income -27.18 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations -27.18 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate -0.59
 EPS Actual -0.29
 EPS Difference 0.30
 EPS Surprise 50.847 %
 Forward EPS 0.49
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 1.7 B
 Intangible Assets 132.8 M
 Net Tangible Assets -146.14 M
 Total Current Assets 237.1 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 43.0 M
 Cash 43.0 M
 Net Receivables 66.8 M
 Inventory 3.8 M
 Long-Term Investments 1.9 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 12.1 M
 Short-Term Debt 30.5 M
 Total Current Liabilities 502.4 M
 Net Debt 556.2 M
 Total Debt 1.2 B
 Total Liabilities 1.7 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity -13.30 M
 Retained Earnings 153.0 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share -0.28
 Shares Outstanding 47.460 M
 Revenue Per-Share 3.25
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 1.8 B
 Enterprise Value 3.0 B
 Enterprise Multiple -198.062
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -405.9 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -129.612 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 188.029
median: 66.78
mean: 66.258
low: -24.203
MSGE: -198.062
 EV/R 19.314
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity -125.552
 Asset To Liability 0.992
 Debt To Capital 1.011
 Debt To Assets 0.719
Debt To Assets QoQ 3.841 %
Debt To Assets YoY 6768.481 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 1.012
MSGE: 0.719
median: 0.272
mean: 0.246
low: 0.02
 Debt To Equity -90.288
Debt To Equity QoQ -171.401 %
Debt To Equity YoY 12770.918 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 8.856
mean: 0.67
median: 0.579
low: -4.796
MSGE: -90.288
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) -136.785
Price To Book QoQ -183.059 %
Price To Book YoY 79.214 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 27.088
median: 20.436
mean: 17.967
low: -1.867
MSGE: -136.785
 Price To Earnings (P/E) -66.866
Price To Earnings QoQ -134.356 %
Price To Earnings YoY -356.268 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 354.485
median: 165.293
mean: 153.043
MSGE: -66.866
low: -173.324
 PE/G Ratio 0.25
 Price To Sales (P/S) 11.803
Price To Sales QoQ 82.418 %
Price To Sales YoY 24.215 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 33.43
mean: 19.272
MSGE: 11.803
median: 11.465
low: 0.165
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 74.378
Forward PE/G -0.278
Forward P/S -55.173
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 5.832
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.09
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -37.949 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -26.833 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.689
mean: 0.22
median: 0.211
MSGE: 0.09
low: 0.043
 Receivables Turnover 2.038
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -25.232 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 1.745 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 8.063
median: 7.318
mean: 6.462
MSGE: 2.038
low: 1.025
 Inventory Turnover 26.088
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -33.32 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -12.758 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA MSGE: 26.088
high: 18.007
mean: 10.887
median: 9.661
low: 1.31
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 44.781
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 36.548
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ 52.059 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 13.857 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 64.386
MSGE: 36.548
mean: -58.172
low: -120.049
median: -120.049
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio -0.581
 CapEx To Revenue -0.026
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.264
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 555.5 M
 Net Invested Capital 585.9 M
 Invested Capital 585.9 M
 Net Tangible Assets -146.14 M
 Net Working Capital -265.27 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.086
 Current Ratio 0.472
Current Ratio QoQ -17.51 %
Current Ratio YoY 8.977 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 2.85
mean: 1.375
median: 1.341
MSGE: 0.472
low: 0.379
 Quick Ratio 0.465
Quick Ratio QoQ -17.728 %
Quick Ratio YoY 9.18 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 2.748
median: 1.87
mean: 1.664
MSGE: 0.465
low: 0.361
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA -79.89
 Cost Of Debt 0.627 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio -2.602
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -213.343 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 227.209 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 20.883
median: 20.883
mean: 16.131
MSGE: -2.602
low: -16.147
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio -0.005
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 10.803
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -4.0 %
 Revenue Growth -36.429 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -10.023 %
Revenue Growth YoY 96.914 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 14.763 %
median: 5.087 %
mean: 4.83 %
low: -19.193 %
MSGE: -36.429 %
 Earnings Growth -267.647 %
Earnings Growth QoQ 200.379 %
Earnings Growth YoY -111.895 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 310.0 %
median: 8.775 %
mean: -5.645 %
MSGE: -267.647 %
low: -350.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 33.832 %
Gross Margin QoQ -20.816 %
Gross Margin YoY -1.168 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 86.664 %
median: 51.934 %
mean: 46.008 %
MSGE: 33.832 %
low: 2.57 %
 EBIT Margin -19.763 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -276.898 %
EBIT Margin YoY 225.853 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 35.466 %
median: 34.428 %
mean: 25.478 %
low: -16.541 %
MSGE: -19.763 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) -15.059 %
Return On Sales QoQ -234.792 %
Return On Sales YoY 148.293 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 34.07 %
median: 34.07 %
mean: 26.422 %
MSGE: -15.059 %
low: -21.003 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -31.08 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield -1.708 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -149.767 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 597.143 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 6.823 %
mean: 0.632 %
median: 0.445 %
MSGE: -1.708 %
low: -3.158 %
 Free Cash Growth -157.716 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 228.5 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -340.069 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 228.358 %
mean: -12.543 %
median: -14.79 %
MSGE: -157.716 %
low: -265.486 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 1.144
 Cash Flow Margin -1.543 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.087
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) -1.594 %
Return On Assets QoQ -430.021 %
Return On Assets YoY -135.861 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 5.943 %
median: 5.943 %
mean: 3.823 %
MSGE: -1.594 %
low: -8.033 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) -2.609 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 2.043
Return On Equity QoQ 142.224 %
Return On Equity YoY -170.726 %
Return On Equity IPRWA MSGE: 2.043
high: 0.125
median: 0.125
mean: 0.081
low: -0.212
 DuPont ROE 1440.202 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) -3.35 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -226.846 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -106.389 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 8.325 %
median: 8.325 %
mean: 5.845 %
low: -1.898 %
MSGE: -3.35 %

Six-Week Outlook

Technical momentum and a cluster of venue-driven catalysts (notably large-scale residencies and high-attendance seasonal programming) favor continued upside attempts in the near term; ADX confirms trend strength, MACD shows a bullish crossover, and price trades above major moving averages. However, MRO positive and RSI approaching overbought territory raise the probability of a corrective pullback, particularly given below-average volume on recent advances and materially negative cash-flow and leverage metrics on the fundamental side. Use the super trend lower at $57.18 and the 20-day average $57.71 as reference supports; sustained trading above these levels would keep the technical path constructive while deterioration below them would increase downside risk as mean-reversion forces and balance-sheet constraints reassert themselves.

About Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp.

Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (NYSE:MSGE) delivers live entertainment experiences through its extensive network of iconic venues and productions. The company produces and hosts a diverse array of events, including concerts, sporting events, family shows, and performing arts. Key venues under its management include Madison Square Garden, The Theater at Madison Square Garden, Radio City Music Hall, the Beacon Theatre, and The Chicago Theatre. MSGE also owns and produces the renowned Christmas Spectacular Starring the Radio City Rockettes, showcasing its commitment to high-quality entertainment. Additionally, the company engages in entertainment and sports bookings, offering a wide range of concerts, family shows, special events, and sporting events to audiences. Established in 2022 and headquartered in New York, New York, Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. continues to play a significant role in the live entertainment industry, leveraging its historical venues and popular productions to attract diverse audiences.



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