Landstar System, Inc. (NASDAQ:LSTR) Signals Near-Term Upside After Special Dividend and Analyst Upgrades

Landstar enters 2026 with a bullish technical posture and company actions that support near-term upside, while fundamentals and WMDST valuation point to lofty price levels versus intrinsic metrics.

Recent News

On December 3–4, 2025 the Board declared a one-time cash dividend of $2.00 per share payable January 21, 2026, and disclosed $1,281,863 shares repurchased for roughly $180.9 million during fiscal 2025, with about $434 million in cash and short-term investments reported as of September 27, 2025. On January 9–10, 2026 several brokerages adjusted price targets: Susquehanna raised its target to $160 and TD Cowen moved its target to $150, alongside other firms issuing neutral/hold-level commentary.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 33.38 signals a strong directional environment; the strength supports continuation of recent momentum rather than a trendless market.

DI+ shows a dip & reversal and DI- shows a peak & reversal; those directional moves together produce a bullish directional setup that favors upward price bias in the near term.

MACD at 4.07 with a dip & reversal currently trades above its signal line at 3.59; the MACD crossing above the signal line qualifies as a bullish momentum signal, reinforcing short-term positive momentum versus the current valuation.

MRO reads 8.11 with a dip & reversal and, because MRO sits positive, price currently stands above the modeled target and carries potential for downside toward the target if momentum slows; this contrasts with other bullish indicators and highlights vulnerability to mean reversion.

RSI at 63.11 and increasing shows momentum leaning higher but staying below typical overbought thresholds; momentum retains room to run before extreme readings demand caution.

Price at $155.70 trades above the 12-day EMA $147.82 (12-day EMA trend increasing), above the 20-day average $146.06 and above the 50- and 200-day averages ($135.62 and $133.18 respectively); the price sits above the upper Bollinger 2x band at $155.45, indicating a short-term extension beyond normal volatility bands that may amplify pullback risk.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue shows contraction: revenue growth stands at -0.49% overall, quarter-over-quarter change reads -109.65%, and year-over-year revenue growth registers -45.77%. Operating margin (EBIT margin) measures 4.41%, up 1.61 percentage points QoQ but down 9.60 percentage points YoY.

Net income equals $19,364,000 while operating income equals $53,137,000; EPS came in at $1.22 versus an estimate of $1.23, an EPS shortfall of $0.01 representing an EPS surprise of -0.81%.

Profitability and returns remain modest: return on equity registers 2.18% and return on assets 1.15%, both below the industry peer mean levels (ROE industry peer mean ~5.42%; ROA industry peer mean ~1.57%). Operating/EBIT margin at 4.41% sits below the industry peer mean of 8.24% and below the industry peer median of 7.95%.

Balance sheet and cash metrics show strength: cash and short-term investments reach $434,418,000, cash conversion ratio equals 192.55% and free cash flow totals $86,043,000, producing a free cash flow yield of 1.93% that sits slightly above the industry peer mean of 1.82%. Debt levels remain modest with debt-to-equity at 14.08% and debt-to-EBITDA near 1.94x.

Market multiples reflect elevated price expectations: P/E at 106.48 and forward P/E near 77.39 both trade above the industry peer mean P/E (~65.07) and industry peer median; price-to-book at 5.02 sits above the industry peer mean of 3.81. Enterprise multiple at 64.23 exceeds the industry peer mean enterprise multiple. Those multiple gaps align with the WMDST valuation verdict.

WMDST values the stock as over-valued based on the combination of stretched multiples versus modest returns and recent margin contraction, despite healthy cash generation and very manageable leverage.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-09-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-10-28
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-01-27
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 359.2 M
 Operating Cash Flow 89.3 M
 Capital Expenditures -3.29 M
 Change In Working Capital 11.8 M
 Dividends Paid -13.86 M
 Cash Flow Delta 16.0 M
 End Period Cash Flow 375.2 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 1.2 B
 Forward Revenue 733.4 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 1.0 B
 Depreciation 11.5 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 11.5 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 1.2 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 158.7 M
 EBITDA 64.6 M
 EBIT 53.1 M
 Operating Income 53.1 M
 Interest Income -217.00 K
 Interest Expense
 Net Interest Income -217.00 K
 Income Before Tax 26.1 M
 Tax Provision 6.7 M
 Tax Rate 25.8 %
 Net Income 19.4 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 19.4 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 1.23
 EPS Actual 1.22
 EPS Difference -0.01
 EPS Surprise -0.813 %
 Forward EPS 1.37
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 1.7 B
 Intangible Assets 34.0 M
 Net Tangible Assets 854.7 M
 Total Current Assets 1.2 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 434.4 M
 Cash 375.2 M
 Net Receivables 696.0 M
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments 120.6 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 402.8 M
 Short-Term Debt 48.0 M
 Total Current Liabilities 619.1 M
 Net Debt
 Total Debt 125.1 M
 Total Liabilities 773.5 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 888.7 M
 Retained Earnings 2.9 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 25.88
 Shares Outstanding 34.345 M
 Revenue Per-Share 35.10
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 4.5 B
 Enterprise Value 4.2 B
 Enterprise Multiple 64.228
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -6.571 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -19.003 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 65.174
LSTR: 64.228
mean: 35.923
median: 35.364
low: -41.64
 EV/R 3.445
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.87
 Asset To Liability 2.149
 Debt To Capital 0.123
 Debt To Assets 0.075
Debt To Assets QoQ -10.88 %
Debt To Assets YoY 160.665 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.772
mean: 0.379
median: 0.287
LSTR: 0.075
low: 0.001
 Debt To Equity 0.141
Debt To Equity QoQ -9.599 %
Debt To Equity YoY 181.862 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 2.857
mean: 1.451
median: 0.809
LSTR: 0.141
low: 0.001
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 5.02
Price To Book QoQ -2.173 %
Price To Book YoY -20.229 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 8.329
LSTR: 5.02
median: 4.683
mean: 3.809
low: 0.234
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 106.475
Price To Earnings QoQ -9.415 %
Price To Earnings YoY -17.034 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 189.606
LSTR: 106.475
mean: 65.068
median: 50.719
low: -68.609
 PE/G Ratio 63.872
 Price To Sales (P/S) 3.701
Price To Sales QoQ -5.22 %
Price To Sales YoY -29.728 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 13.643
LSTR: 3.701
median: 3.46
mean: 3.212
low: 0.942
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 77.393
Forward PE/G 46.426
Forward P/S 4.917
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -2.26
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.717
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 1.104 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 3.752 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.784
LSTR: 0.717
mean: 0.31
median: 0.285
low: 0.017
 Receivables Turnover 1.706
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 0.013 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -0.284 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.965
mean: 1.994
median: 1.944
LSTR: 1.706
low: 0.549
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 53.491
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 18.632
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -31.669 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 97.015
LSTR: 18.632
mean: 18.493
median: 12.525
low: -7.471
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 1.925
 CapEx To Revenue -0.003
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.286
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 888.7 M
 Net Invested Capital 936.7 M
 Invested Capital 936.7 M
 Net Tangible Assets 854.7 M
 Net Working Capital 626.0 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.702
 Current Ratio 2.011
Current Ratio QoQ 0.637 %
Current Ratio YoY -9.108 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 2.063
LSTR: 2.011
median: 1.305
mean: 1.239
low: 0.008
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 1.936
 Cost Of Debt 0.646 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 45.455
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 1.115 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -10.232 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 50.302
LSTR: 45.455
mean: 11.968
median: 6.522
low: -67.891
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.086
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 34.86
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 1.397
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.716
 Dividend Rate 0.40
 Dividend Yield 0.003
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -2.203 %
 Revenue Growth -0.493 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -109.65 %
Revenue Growth YoY -45.765 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 7.099 %
mean: 0.965 %
median: 0.914 %
LSTR: -0.493 %
low: -17.851 %
 Earnings Growth 1.667 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -93.665 %
Earnings Growth YoY -135.243 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 38.596 %
median: 8.889 %
LSTR: 1.667 %
mean: -2.958 %
low: -121.875 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 13.168 %
Gross Margin QoQ 0.765 %
Gross Margin YoY 2.467 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 52.201 %
mean: 17.341 %
median: 16.278 %
LSTR: 13.168 %
low: 3.353 %
 EBIT Margin 4.408 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 1.614 %
EBIT Margin YoY -9.598 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 23.115 %
mean: 8.242 %
median: 7.948 %
LSTR: 4.408 %
low: -124.368 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 4.408 %
Return On Sales QoQ 1.614 %
Return On Sales YoY -9.598 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 23.115 %
median: 8.424 %
mean: 8.063 %
LSTR: 4.408 %
low: -56.543 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 86.0 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 1.929 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 1868.367 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 63.06 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 6.576 %
median: 2.04 %
LSTR: 1.929 %
mean: 1.817 %
low: -9.344 %
 Free Cash Growth 1747.606 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -2013.235 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 1930.282 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA LSTR: 1747.606 %
high: 323.982 %
mean: -127.532 %
median: -234.921 %
low: -455.228 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 4.443
 Cash Flow Margin 4.4 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 2.739
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 1.152 %
Return On Assets QoQ -53.037 %
Return On Assets YoY -59.565 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 3.09 %
median: 1.842 %
mean: 1.566 %
LSTR: 1.152 %
low: -7.152 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 5.094 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.022
Return On Equity QoQ -52.057 %
Return On Equity YoY -55.756 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.088
mean: 0.054
median: 0.045
LSTR: 0.022
low: -0.129
 DuPont ROE 2.138 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 4.209 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 4.132 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -143.917 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 5.768 %
LSTR: 4.209 %
mean: 3.057 %
median: 2.714 %
low: -4.511 %

Six-Week Outlook

Technicals present a bullish near-term bias: strong ADX, DI+/DI- directional reversals, MACD crossing above its signal line, rising short-term EMAs, and RSI below overbought territory support continuation of upward price pressure over the coming six weeks. Offsetting that bias, MRO positive and price trading above the upper Bollinger 2x band indicate the stock sits extended relative to the modeled target and to typical volatility bands, increasing the chance of a corrective pullback toward moving-average support if momentum weakens.

Traders should weigh the immediate bullish technical alignment against stretched valuations and recent YoY revenue and margin declines; the next several weeks likely favor momentum-driven moves, while fundamental signals underpin vulnerability to re-pricing if revenue or margin trends fail to improve.

About Landstar System, Inc.

Landstar System, Inc. (NASDAQ:LSTR) delivers integrated transportation management solutions across the United States, Canada, Mexico, and internationally. The company operates through two main segments: Transportation Logistics and Insurance. The Transportation Logistics segment provides an extensive range of services, including truckload and less-than-truckload transportation, rail intermodal, air and ocean cargo, expedited delivery, and specialized heavy-haul services. It also facilitates cross-border transportation between the U.S., Canada, and Mexico, and handles project cargo and customs brokerage. Landstar serves diverse industries such as automotive, consumer durables, building products, metals, chemicals, foodstuffs, heavy machinery, retail, electronics, and military equipment. In the Insurance segment, Landstar offers risk and claims management services, along with reinsurance for its independent contractors. The company markets its services through a network of independent commission sales agents and third-party capacity providers. Established in 1991, Landstar System, Inc. maintains its headquarters in Jacksonville, Florida, and continues to support a wide array of industries with its comprehensive transportation and logistics solutions.



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