Devon Energy Corporation (NYSE:DVN) Projects Strength As Momentum And Valuation Align

Devon Energy enters early January with constructive momentum and a WMDST valuation that classifies the stock as under-valued. Recent company events and technical positioning suggest a near-term bullish bias tempered by pullback risk.

Recent News

Dec. 30, 2025 — Devon announced President and CEO Clay Gaspar will speak on a panel at the Goldman Sachs Energy, Cleantech & Utilities Conference on Jan. 6, 2026, with a webcast and replay availability. Dec. 11, 2025 — Morgan Stanley maintained an Overweight rating on Devon, publishing a one-year price-target aggregate implying upside versus recent levels. Dec. 29, 2025, and Jan. 2, 2026 — market coverage noted outperformance on those trading days with volume above short-term averages, highlighting relative strength versus key peers.

Technical Analysis

ADX / DI+/DI-: ADX at 31.84 signals a strong trend. DI+ shows a dip & reversal and DI- shows a peak & reversal, which together indicate directional indicators skew bullish and support the constructive momentum referenced above.

MACD: MACD reads 0.28 with a dip & reversal trend, indicating bullish momentum development; MACD remains below the signal line (0.32), so momentum improvement currently lacks a confirmed MACD crossover to extend the move immediately.

MRO (Momentum/Regression Oscillator): MRO sits at 12.33 with a peak & reversal trend. MRO positive implies price currently above the model target and therefore carries an elevated risk of a pullback, a counterforce to the directional bullish signals.

RSI: RSI at 55.57 with a dip & reversal trend indicates moderate bullish pressure without overbought extremes, aligning with a controlled upward bias rather than an exuberant breakout.

Price Structure & Volumes: Price closed at $37.87, above the 20-day ($36.39), 50-day ($35.40) and 200-day ($33.57) averages, and sits near the 1x upper Bollinger band ($37.22). Volume on the most recent session (8.7M) exceeded the 10-day average (6.63M) and 50-day average (7.74M), confirming buying interest. Ichimoku components (Tenkan/Kijun ≈ $36.59/$36.63 and Senkou A/B ≈ $34.28/$34.37) and the SuperTrend lower at $35.15 provide structural support in the mid-$30s that complements the WMDST valuation signal.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability: EBIT totaled $1,037,000,000, producing an EBIT margin of 23.94%. That margin sits above the industry peer mean of 14.89% and the industry peer median of 13.23%. Quarter-over-quarter EBIT margin declined by 20.30% and year-over-year by 17.08%, indicating recent margin compression despite still-elevated absolute margin versus peers.

Revenue & Growth: Reported total revenue equals $4,331,000,000. Point-in-time revenue growth registers 1.10%, while revenue growth quarter-over-quarter fell by 129.07% and year-over-year by 59.85%, reflecting material short-term revenue volatility that pressures margin durability.

Earnings & Cash Flow: Reported EPS came in at $1.04 versus an estimate of $0.94, an EPS surprise of +10.64%. Free cash flow reached $623,000,000 with a free cash flow yield of 2.96%, which sits above the industry peer mean of 1.84% and improved QoQ by 10.32%. Free cash flow generation remains a principal support for the WMDST under-valued determination despite year-over-year contraction measures in some cash metrics.

Balance Sheet and Coverage: Cash and short-term investments equal $1,278,000,000; net debt stands at $7,113,000,000. Debt-to-equity measures 0.56, below the industry peer mean of 0.70, while interest coverage of 8.30 sits above the industry peer mean of 6.98—both indicate leverage and coverage compare favorably to peer averages. Current and quick ratios (0.96 and 0.87) remain below industry peer means (1.24 and 0.97), showing tighter near-term liquidity.

Valuation Metrics: Trailing P/E reads $32.17 with forward P/E $30.70; enterprise multiple ~14.78 and EV-to-revenue ~6.54. Earnings growth stands at +23.81% on the period metric, though earnings growth QoQ and YoY show declines. WMDST values the stock as under-valued, a view supported by above-peer EBIT margin and a free cash flow yield that exceeds the industry peer mean, offset by recent revenue and margin compression.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-09-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-11-05
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-02-04
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 1.8 B
 Operating Cash Flow 745.0 M
 Capital Expenditures -1.07 B
 Change In Working Capital -62.00 M
 Dividends Paid -151.00 M
 Cash Flow Delta -481.00 M
 End Period Cash Flow 1.3 B
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 4.3 B
 Forward Revenue 1.1 B
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 3.2 B
 Depreciation 25.0 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 25.0 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 3.3 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 1.1 B
 EBITDA 1.9 B
 EBIT 1.0 B
 Operating Income 982.0 M
 Interest Income 18.0 M
 Interest Expense 125.0 M
 Net Interest Income -109.00 M
 Income Before Tax 912.0 M
 Tax Provision 219.0 M
 Tax Rate 24.0 %
 Net Income 687.0 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 693.0 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.94
 EPS Actual 1.04
 EPS Difference 0.10
 EPS Surprise 10.638 %
 Forward EPS 1.11
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 31.2 B
 Intangible Assets 753.0 M
 Net Tangible Assets 14.6 B
 Total Current Assets 3.9 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 1.3 B
 Cash 1.3 B
 Net Receivables 1.8 B
 Inventory 361.0 M
 Long-Term Investments 386.0 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 934.0 M
 Short-Term Debt 998.0 M
 Total Current Liabilities 4.0 B
 Net Debt 7.1 B
 Total Debt 8.5 B
 Total Liabilities 15.9 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 15.3 B
 Retained Earnings 9.8 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 24.40
 Shares Outstanding 629.000 M
 Revenue Per-Share 6.89
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 21.0 B
 Enterprise Value 28.3 B
 Enterprise Multiple 14.78
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 13.797 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 9.971 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 63.145
mean: 30.855
median: 28.677
DVN: 14.78
low: -30.741
 EV/R 6.539
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.034
 Asset To Liability 1.967
 Debt To Capital 0.358
 Debt To Assets 0.274
Debt To Assets QoQ -4.402 %
Debt To Assets YoY 14464.894 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.585
DVN: 0.274
mean: 0.225
median: 0.199
low: 0.002
 Debt To Equity 0.557
Debt To Equity QoQ -6.712 %
Debt To Equity YoY 13858.396 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 1.777
mean: 0.696
DVN: 0.557
median: 0.421
low: 0.002
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 1.371
Price To Book QoQ -3.3 %
Price To Book YoY -27.246 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 5.433
median: 1.736
mean: 1.508
DVN: 1.371
low: -1.698
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 32.175
Price To Earnings QoQ -17.811 %
Price To Earnings YoY -13.417 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 161.846
median: 59.729
mean: 56.439
DVN: 32.175
low: -72.568
 PE/G Ratio 1.351
 Price To Sales (P/S) 4.86
Price To Sales QoQ -2.508 %
Price To Sales YoY -27.323 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 41.067
median: 6.142
mean: 5.866
DVN: 4.86
low: 0.013
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 30.7
Forward PE/G 1.289
Forward P/S 19.042
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -17.706
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.138
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 0.626 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -4.724 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.454
median: 0.171
mean: 0.158
DVN: 0.138
low: 0.001
 Receivables Turnover 2.349
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 6.607 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -1.71 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 6.116
DVN: 2.349
mean: 2.131
median: 1.996
low: 0.185
 Inventory Turnover 9.381
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -2.493 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -4.493 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 13.617
DVN: 9.381
mean: 2.819
median: 2.449
low: 0.169
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 38.851
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 22.573
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -10.91 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 27.751 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 168.196
DVN: 22.573
median: 1.08
mean: -1.655
low: -100.341
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio -24.749
 CapEx To Revenue -0.246
 CapEx To Depreciation -42.68
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 22.7 B
 Net Invested Capital 23.7 B
 Invested Capital 23.7 B
 Net Tangible Assets 14.6 B
 Net Working Capital -175.00 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.316
 Current Ratio 0.957
Current Ratio QoQ -21.724 %
Current Ratio YoY -13.98 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 3.911
mean: 1.236
median: 1.193
DVN: 0.957
low: 0.331
 Quick Ratio 0.867
Quick Ratio QoQ -23.224 %
Quick Ratio YoY -14.235 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 3.668
mean: 0.972
median: 0.892
DVN: 0.867
low: 0.285
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 4.462
 Cost Of Debt 1.083 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 8.296
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -18.78 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -30.034 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 20.571
DVN: 8.296
mean: 6.978
median: 6.237
low: -10.268
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.184
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 26.18
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 4.55
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.22
 Dividend Rate 0.24
 Dividend Yield 0.007
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -0.538 %
 Revenue Growth 1.097 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -129.067 %
Revenue Growth YoY -59.846 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 37.34 %
median: 4.2 %
mean: 4.149 %
DVN: 1.097 %
low: -20.802 %
 Earnings Growth 23.81 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -177.864 %
Earnings Growth YoY -208.296 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 200.0 %
DVN: 23.81 %
median: 14.634 %
mean: 10.058 %
low: -250.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 25.491 %
Gross Margin QoQ -1.973 %
Gross Margin YoY -22.172 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 81.109 %
DVN: 25.491 %
mean: 24.256 %
median: 22.601 %
low: -15.694 %
 EBIT Margin 23.944 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -20.298 %
EBIT Margin YoY -17.083 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 96.372 %
DVN: 23.944 %
mean: 14.886 %
median: 13.227 %
low: -70.544 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 22.674 %
Return On Sales QoQ -0.983 %
Return On Sales YoY -21.481 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 88.305 %
DVN: 22.674 %
mean: 13.499 %
median: 11.014 %
low: -22.163 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 623.0 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 2.96 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 10.324 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -128.285 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 20.745 %
DVN: 2.96 %
mean: 1.84 %
median: 1.607 %
low: -13.048 %
 Free Cash Growth 8.726 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -120.436 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -101.327 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 279.983 %
mean: 16.045 %
median: 15.075 %
DVN: 8.726 %
low: -454.42 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.907
 Cash Flow Margin 17.202 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.084
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 2.195 %
Return On Assets QoQ -23.917 %
Return On Assets YoY -25.085 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 6.589 %
DVN: 2.195 %
median: 1.226 %
mean: 1.063 %
low: -6.854 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 3.815 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.045
Return On Equity QoQ -25.013 %
Return On Equity YoY -21.294 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.13
DVN: 0.045
median: 0.029
mean: 0.025
low: -0.061
 DuPont ROE 4.518 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 3.32 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -21.809 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -102.267 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 8.109 %
DVN: 3.32 %
median: 2.588 %
mean: 2.576 %
low: -6.505 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term bias favors constructive price action. Directional indicators and the position above key moving averages support continued upside, while MRO positive and proximity to the upper Bollinger band signal heightened pullback risk. Structural support clusters reside in the mid-$30s (SuperTrend lower ≈ $35.15; Ichimoku cloud base ≈ $34.28–$34.37). Corporate catalysts include CEO participation at the Goldman Sachs conference on Jan. 6, 2026 and the next scheduled report on Feb. 4, 2026; both could increase volatility and influence momentum. Fundamentals—above-peer EBIT margin and a free cash flow yield above the industry peer mean—underpin the WMDST under-valued assessment but do not negate short-term consolidation risk driven by recent QoQ and YoY declines in revenue and margins.

About Devon Energy Corporation

Devon Energy Corporation (NYSE:DVN) explores, develops, and produces oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids within the United States. Headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, Devon Energy strategically targets prolific basins such as the Delaware, Eagle Ford, Anadarko, Williston, and Powder River Basins. The company employs advanced technologies and innovative methods to optimize resource extraction, aiming to enhance shareholder value. Founded in 1971, Devon Energy emphasizes operational excellence, sustainability, and community involvement. The company demonstrates disciplined financial management and strategic investments to foster growth and resilience in the evolving energy landscape. Devon Energy commits to environmental stewardship by actively seeking to reduce its carbon footprint while ensuring the safe and efficient delivery of energy resources. As a key player in the energy sector, Devon Energy remains dedicated to providing energy solutions that adapt to the changing needs of society.



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