MarketAxess Holdings Inc (NASDAQ:MKTX) Signals Near-Term Strength But Faces Medium-Term Resistance

MarketAxess shows short-term technical pickup while core operating margins and cash metrics support a constructive valuation stance; several momentum indicators, however, imply netting pressure ahead of a sustained breakout.

Recent News

Nov 6, 2025 — MarketAxess released October trading volume statistics showing double-digit ADV growth across client-initiated, portfolio trading and dealer-initiated channels, and cited $12 billion cumulative targeted block trading volume. Dec 4, 2025 — the company announced November volume results and introduced a Closing Auctions protocol, described as the first standardized market-wide fixed-income auction protocol. Oct 1, 2025 — Morgan Stanley maintained Overweight coverage. Nov 9–10, 2025 — Barclays maintained Equal-Weight coverage and published a one-year price-target range update.

Technical Analysis

ADX / DI+ / DI-: ADX at 26.03 signals a meaningful trend strength. DI+ shows a peak & reversal, which signals bearish directional pressure. DI- shows a dip & reversal, which likewise signals bearish directional pressure. Together, these directional indicators imply that recent upside momentum encountered a reversal that could translate into renewed selling pressure unless DI+ stabilizes above DI-.

MACD: MACD stands at 3.56 with the signal line at 3.06; the MACD currently sits above its signal line, which constitutes a bullish crossover signal. The MACD_trend reads peak & reversal, which indicates the underlying momentum has begun to roll over; the immediate bullish crossover conflicts with the momentum rollover and suggests short-lived strength until momentum confirms direction.

MRO: MRO at 0.44 with an increasing trend indicates price currently sits modestly above the model target and carries mild downside potential back toward that target, adding risk to any extension from current levels.

RSI: RSI at 53.17 and increasing reflects constructive short-term momentum without overbought conditions, supporting continued range-bound upside while momentum indicators resolve.

Price vs Moving Averages & Overlays: Price closed at $181.25, above the 12-day EMA (trend: increasing) and above the 50-day average ($170.49), but below the 200-day average ($195.51). Ichimoku Tenkan-Sen ($179.45) and Kijun-Sen ($171.22) lie below the close, offering near-term bullish bias; however the 200-day average remains a medium-term resistance band. Bollinger bands sit with the 20-day average at $181.05 and ±1 stdev bounds roughly $178.93–$183.17, placing the close near the 20-day mean and inside the normal volatility envelope.

Volume & Volatility: Current daily volume (401,029) trails the 10-day average (686,785) and the 50/200-day averages, reducing conviction behind recent moves. Volatility measures (42-day and 52-week) remain subdued at ~2%, supporting range-bound price action absent a volatility breakout.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue & Earnings: Total revenue $208.821 million; YoY revenue growth at -4.85% and QoQ revenue growth at -192.91% indicate contraction over both horizons. EPS actual $1.84 vs estimate $1.68 produced an EPS surprise of 9.52%, reflecting a positive beat on the reported quarter.

Profitability: EBIT $93,810,000 and EBIT margin 44.92%, up 1.06% QoQ and down 0.41% YoY. The EBIT margin sits above the industry peer mean of 44.30% and above the industry peer median of 43.13%, and below the industry peer high of 56.73%, indicating competitive operating efficiency relative to peers.

Cash, Coverage and Capital Allocation: Cash and short-term investments $473,299,000; current ratio 2.50 and cash ratio 0.95 provide ample near-term liquidity. Free cash flow $77,174,000 and free cash flow yield 1.17%, with free cash to net income of 1.13, indicate healthy conversion. Dividend payout ratio 43.19% with dividend coverage 2.32 and dividend yield 0.45% show a modest return of capital profile.

Leverage and Returns: Total debt $66,872,000 producing debt-to-assets 3.32% and debt-to-equity 4.85%, both below the industry peer mean metrics. Interest coverage remains extremely strong at 548.6x. Return on equity 4.95% and return on assets 3.42% sit above the industry peer mean on ROA and ROE, indicating relatively efficient capital use despite revenue compression.

Valuation Metrics: PE ratio 96.67 with forward PE ~93.71 and EV/Revenue ~29.70. Price-to-book 4.79 sits slightly above the industry peer mean book multiple of 4.21 but below the peer high. WMDST values the stock as under-valued, reflecting the combination of margin durability, cash conversion and conservative balance-sheet leverage relative to the prevailing multiples.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-09-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-11-07
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-02-06
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 650.5 M
 Operating Cash Flow 90.2 M
 Capital Expenditures -12.99 M
 Change In Working Capital -26.30 M
 Dividends Paid -29.45 M
 Cash Flow Delta -7.68 M
 End Period Cash Flow 642.8 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 208.8 M
 Forward Revenue 58.5 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 83.9 M
 Depreciation 21.6 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 21.6 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 123.2 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 124.9 M
 EBITDA 115.4 M
 EBIT 93.8 M
 Operating Income 85.6 M
 Interest Income 5.8 M
 Interest Expense 171.0 K
 Net Interest Income 5.7 M
 Income Before Tax 93.6 M
 Tax Provision 25.4 M
 Tax Rate 27.089 %
 Net Income 68.2 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 68.3 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 1.68
 EPS Actual 1.84
 EPS Difference 0.16
 EPS Surprise 9.524 %
 Forward EPS 2.05
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 2.0 B
 Intangible Assets 399.5 M
 Net Tangible Assets 978.9 M
 Total Current Assets 1.2 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 473.3 M
 Cash 473.3 M
 Net Receivables 110.5 M
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments 42.0 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 31.9 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 496.5 M
 Net Debt
 Total Debt 66.9 M
 Total Liabilities 623.7 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 1.4 B
 Retained Earnings 1.5 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 37.11
 Shares Outstanding 37.150 M
 Revenue Per-Share 5.62
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 6.6 B
 Enterprise Value 6.2 B
 Enterprise Multiple 53.746
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -11.385 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -35.326 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 93.582
median: 82.957
mean: 78.702
low: 63.285
MKTX: 53.746
 EV/R 29.699
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.461
 Asset To Liability 3.229
 Debt To Capital 0.046
 Debt To Assets 0.033
Debt To Assets QoQ -5.25 %
Debt To Assets YoY -18.921 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 1.043
mean: 0.301
median: 0.199
low: 0.04
MKTX: 0.033
 Debt To Equity 0.049
Debt To Equity QoQ -2.863 %
Debt To Equity YoY -10.432 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 1.733
mean: 0.517
median: 0.358
MKTX: 0.049
low: 0.045
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 4.794
Price To Book QoQ -12.42 %
Price To Book YoY -32.854 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 6.755
MKTX: 4.794
median: 4.627
mean: 4.206
low: 0.647
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 96.674
Price To Earnings QoQ -14.335 %
Price To Earnings YoY -29.988 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 124.589
median: 106.833
mean: 101.489
MKTX: 96.674
low: -169.228
 PE/G Ratio -26.378
 Price To Sales (P/S) 31.645
Price To Sales QoQ -8.471 %
Price To Sales YoY -33.906 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 52.77
median: 39.433
mean: 37.659
MKTX: 31.645
low: 9.486
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 93.714
Forward PE/G -25.57
Forward P/S 112.903
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 0.792
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.105
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -8.093 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -5.794 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.147
MKTX: 0.105
mean: 0.065
median: 0.065
low: 0.006
 Receivables Turnover 1.866
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -5.422 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -11.916 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.2
MKTX: 1.866
mean: 1.505
median: 1.333
low: 1.033
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 48.889
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 16.357
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -92.259 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 79.134
median: 29.738
mean: 21.007
MKTX: 16.357
low: -18.686
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.281
 CapEx To Revenue -0.062
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.602
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 1.4 B
 Net Invested Capital 1.4 B
 Invested Capital 1.4 B
 Net Tangible Assets 978.9 M
 Net Working Capital 742.4 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.953
 Current Ratio 2.495
Current Ratio QoQ -3.7 %
Current Ratio YoY -30.391 %
Current Ratio IPRWA MKTX: 2.495
high: 1.4
mean: 0.994
median: 0.974
low: 0.005
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 0.58
 Cost Of Debt 0.183 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 548.596
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -21.834 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 103.57 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA MKTX: 548.596
high: 21.228
median: 21.228
mean: 14.648
low: 6.63
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.187
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 32.532
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 2.315
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.432
 Dividend Rate 0.79
 Dividend Yield 0.004
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 1.973 %
 Revenue Growth -4.849 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -192.911 %
Revenue Growth YoY -205.85 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 4.637 %
median: 3.542 %
mean: -0.116 %
MKTX: -4.849 %
low: -7.817 %
 Earnings Growth -3.665 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -100.971 %
Earnings Growth YoY -135.022 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 7.194 %
median: 6.772 %
mean: 1.379 %
MKTX: -3.665 %
low: -63.158 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 59.826 %
Gross Margin QoQ -12.34 %
Gross Margin YoY -14.057 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 83.297 %
median: 71.168 %
mean: 67.421 %
MKTX: 59.826 %
low: 51.639 %
 EBIT Margin 44.924 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 1.062 %
EBIT Margin YoY -0.406 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 56.732 %
MKTX: 44.924 %
mean: 44.3 %
median: 43.133 %
low: 33.814 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 40.982 %
Return On Sales QoQ -2.095 %
Return On Sales YoY -9.145 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 56.425 %
mean: 43.01 %
median: 42.901 %
MKTX: 40.982 %
low: 29.707 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 77.2 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 1.168 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -2.585 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 39.379 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 1.206 %
MKTX: 1.168 %
median: 0.952 %
mean: 0.92 %
low: -0.166 %
 Free Cash Growth -15.192 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -102.457 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -13.775 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 40.361 %
median: 5.491 %
mean: -6.987 %
MKTX: -15.192 %
low: -44.287 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 1.132
 Cash Flow Margin 44.42 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.361
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 3.418 %
Return On Assets QoQ -7.497 %
Return On Assets YoY -11.082 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 6.046 %
MKTX: 3.418 %
mean: 2.129 %
median: 1.958 %
low: -0.039 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 6.182 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.049
Return On Equity QoQ -3.681 %
Return On Equity YoY -4.092 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.07
MKTX: 0.049
median: 0.035
mean: 0.034
low: -0.005
 DuPont ROE 4.932 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 4.962 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -3.501 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -130.662 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 10.289 %
MKTX: 4.962 %
mean: 3.774 %
median: 2.983 %
low: -0.379 %

Six-Week Outlook

Short-term momentum shows the stock can extend modestly: MACD remains marginally above its signal line and the 12-day EMA trend rises, which supports additional upside toward the 20-day upper band. Directional indicators, however, read as peak/rollover on DI+ and a dip/reversal on DI-; those features create a downside bias if momentum confirms the rollover. MRO positive implies price stands above the target model, increasing probability of mean reversion over weeks. The 200-day average at $195.51 represents a key medium-term resistance that likely caps sustained rallies within the next six weeks absent a meaningful volume-led breakout. Monitor momentum confirmation and DI behavior for directional clarity; liquidity metrics and strong margins should limit downside severity relative to peers while technicals resolve.

About MarketAxess Holdings Inc.

MarketAxess Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:MKTX) develops an electronic trading platform tailored for institutional investors and broker-dealers globally. The company provides advanced trading technology that facilitates liquidity access across a diverse range of fixed-income securities, including U.S. high-grade and high-yield bonds, emerging market debt, eurobonds, municipal bonds, and U.S. government bonds. MarketAxess executes bond trades in an all-to-all anonymous trading environment, enhancing corporate bond transactions through its Open Trading protocols. The company also delivers a suite of trading-related products and services, such as composite+ pricing and market data products, which support clients in making informed trading decisions. It offers auto-execution and other execution services for clients with specific workflow needs, alongside connectivity solutions that enable straight-through processing. Additionally, MarketAxess provides technology services designed to optimize trading environments. Beyond trading, the company offers pre-and post-trade services, including trade matching, trade publication, regulatory transaction reporting, and market and reference data across a variety of fixed-income and other products. Established in 2000, MarketAxess Holdings Inc. maintains its headquarters in New York, New York.



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