REX American Resources Corporation (NYSE:REX) Signals Momentum As Ethanol Expansion Advances

REX shows expanding operational momentum while valuation reads fair-valued; near-term bias leans bullish but carries measurable pullback risk tied to momentum indicators and low volume.

Technical Analysis

Directional Indicators (ADX/DI+/DI-): ADX registers 24.47, indicating an emerging trend strength. DI+ at 21.73 carried a dip-and-reverse, a bullish development; DI- at 11.98 also carried a dip-and-reverse, which reflects increased bearish pressure on directional downside. Net directional bias favors the upside given DI+ above DI- while ADX confirms only an emerging trend.

MACD: MACD reads 0.41 with the MACD line rising above the signal at 0.37; the cross above the signal line signals bullish momentum and supports continuation of the current upward price bias.

MRO (Momentum/Regression Oscillator): MRO at 28.81 paired with a peak-and-reversal indicates bearish pressure coming from a price that sits above the WMDST target, suggesting elevated risk of a near-term pullback toward technical supports.

RSI and Short-Term Price Structure: RSI at 54.59 and rising signals mild bullish momentum without clear overbought conditions. Price at $34.13 sits above the 12-day EMA ($33.80), 20-day average ($33.57), 50-day average ($32.76) and the 200-day average ($26.71), reflecting short-to-intermediate bullish structure.

Bollinger Bands & Ichimoku: Price trades near the upper 1x standard-deviation band ($34.26), which limits immediate upside room. Ichimoku Tenkan at $33.92 and Kijun at $33.87 track just below current price, providing a nearby dynamic support band.

Volume & Volatility: Daily volume at 69,701 sits well below the 10-day average of 264,537 and the 200-day average of 229,676, reducing conviction behind recent moves. 42-day and 52-week volatility both read 2%, indicating low realized price variability while beta (42-day 0.69; 52-week 0.68) shows below-market sensitivity.

Support/Resistance Context: SuperTrend lower at $32.04 provides a nearby structural support level. Short-term resistance appears near the upper Bollinger band ($34.26–$34.95 range) and market consensus target mean of $37.89 serves as a mid-term upside reference.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue Growth: Trailing revenue growth reads -40.35% year-over-year while quarter-over-quarter revenue growth shows a 75.31% increase; the YoY decline reflects commodity-price and volume dynamics while the QoQ spike signals sequential recovery in sales activity.

Profitability: EBIT margin at 15.90% sits above the industry peer mean of 9.68% and marginally above the industry peer median of 15.30%, indicating stronger operating profitability than the peer average. Gross margin at 20.57% falls below the industry peer mean of 30.96 and below the industry peer median of 34.82%, highlighting cost-of-sales pressure relative to peers despite healthy operating margin performance.

Cash, Liquidity, Leverage: Cash and short-term investments total $335,541,000 while market capitalization reads $1,024,229,837 and enterprise value equals $711,627,837. Current ratio stands at 7.16x and quick ratio at 6.68x, reflecting robust short-term liquidity compared with typical sector norms. Total debt equals $22,939,000, placing debt-to-assets at 3.06% and debt-to-equity at 4.05%, both indicating very low financial leverage.

Cash Flow & Capital Allocation: Operating cash flow reads $51,239,000 and free cash flow registers $24,510,000, producing a free cash flow yield of 2.39%, slightly above the industry peer mean of 2.04%. Free cash to net income stands at 104.69%, showing cash-based earnings quality that supports ongoing capital investment and buybacks noted earlier in the year.

Returns: Return on equity at 4.13% sits above the industry peer mean of 2.54% and below the industry peer high; return on assets reads 3.23% and exceeds the industry peer mean of 0.60%, reflecting efficient asset utilization relative to peers.

Other Valuation Metrics: Forward P/E stands at a multiple of 53.06, close to the industry peer mean multiple of 52.01; enterprise multiple reads 20.95, below the industry peer mean of 31.78. WMDST values the stock as fair-valued, with strong liquidity and low leverage offsetting compressed gross margins and a high forward multiple.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-10-31
REPORT DATE: 2025-11-26
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-02-25
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 241.0 M
 Operating Cash Flow 51.2 M
 Capital Expenditures -26.73 M
 Change In Working Capital 17.9 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 31.0 M
 End Period Cash Flow 272.0 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 175.6 M
 Forward Revenue 35.1 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 139.5 M
 Depreciation 6.0 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 6.0 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 147.7 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 36.1 M
 EBITDA 34.0 M
 EBIT 27.9 M
 Operating Income 27.9 M
 Interest Income 3.2 M
 Interest Expense
 Net Interest Income 3.2 M
 Income Before Tax 35.5 M
 Tax Provision 8.0 M
 Tax Rate 22.529 %
 Net Income 23.4 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 27.5 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate
 EPS Actual
 EPS Difference
 EPS Surprise
 Forward EPS 0.57
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 750.1 M
 Intangible Assets
 Net Tangible Assets 566.9 M
 Total Current Assets 411.7 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 335.5 M
 Cash 272.0 M
 Net Receivables 27.4 M
 Inventory 27.7 M
 Long-Term Investments 1.3 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 33.6 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 57.5 M
 Net Debt
 Total Debt 22.9 M
 Total Liabilities 93.9 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 566.9 M
 Retained Earnings 566.6 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 17.21
 Shares Outstanding 32.938 M
 Revenue Per-Share 5.33
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 1.0 B
 Enterprise Value 711.6 M
 Enterprise Multiple 20.955
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -48.412 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 70.455 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 158.339
median: 43.595
mean: 31.783
REX: 20.955
low: -39.178
 EV/R 4.052
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.323
 Asset To Liability 7.992
 Debt To Capital 0.039
 Debt To Assets 0.031
Debt To Assets QoQ -12.828 %
Debt To Assets YoY 273.839 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.538
mean: 0.441
median: 0.422
low: 0.19
REX: 0.031
 Debt To Equity 0.04
Debt To Equity QoQ -10.169 %
Debt To Equity YoY 289.788 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 2.248
mean: 1.503
median: 1.474
low: 0.322
REX: 0.04
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 1.807
Price To Book QoQ 16.089 %
Price To Book YoY 27.386 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 8.573
median: 2.725
mean: 2.58
REX: 1.807
low: 1.053
 Price To Earnings (P/E)
Price To Earnings QoQ
Price To Earnings YoY
Price To Earnings IPRWA
 PE/G Ratio
 Price To Sales (P/S) 5.832
Price To Sales QoQ 8.874 %
Price To Sales YoY 27.389 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 8.995
REX: 5.832
median: 5.085
mean: 4.593
low: 2.861
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 53.059
Forward PE/G
Forward P/S 29.219
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 22.667
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.242
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 6.468 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -3.38 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA REX: 0.242
high: 0.222
mean: 0.159
median: 0.148
low: 0.132
 Receivables Turnover 6.72
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 11.892 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -10.48 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA REX: 6.72
high: 5.315
mean: 3.107
median: 2.63
low: 2.136
 Inventory Turnover 4.704
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 1.328 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 1.407 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA REX: 4.704
high: 1.544
mean: 1.314
median: 1.287
low: 1.024
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 13.579
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 16.14
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -28.725 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 16.389 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 69.41
median: 25.952
mean: 19.109
REX: 16.14
low: -19.889
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.496
 CapEx To Revenue -0.152
 CapEx To Depreciation -4.424
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 566.9 M
 Net Invested Capital 566.9 M
 Invested Capital 566.9 M
 Net Tangible Assets 566.9 M
 Net Working Capital 354.2 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 5.837
 Current Ratio 7.162
Current Ratio QoQ -31.989 %
Current Ratio YoY -27.874 %
Current Ratio IPRWA REX: 7.162
high: 1.851
mean: 0.865
median: 0.819
low: 0.657
 Quick Ratio 6.68
Quick Ratio QoQ -30.97 %
Quick Ratio YoY -27.912 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA REX: 6.68
high: 1.383
mean: 0.404
median: 0.392
low: 0.284
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 0.675
 Cost Of Debt 25.593 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 3.557
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 243.903 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -10.677 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 5.907
median: 4.229
REX: 3.557
mean: 3.352
low: -16.907
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.815
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 16.198
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 7.06 %
 Revenue Growth 10.76 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 7531.206 %
Revenue Growth YoY -40.345 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 34.275 %
REX: 10.76 %
mean: 8.748 %
median: 7.599 %
low: -9.809 %
 Earnings Growth
Earnings Growth QoQ
Earnings Growth YoY
Earnings Growth IPRWA
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 20.573 %
Gross Margin QoQ 127.829 %
Gross Margin YoY -9.334 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 37.333 %
median: 34.819 %
mean: 30.957 %
REX: 20.573 %
low: 20.042 %
 EBIT Margin 15.896 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 210.469 %
EBIT Margin YoY -11.061 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 17.896 %
REX: 15.896 %
median: 15.3 %
mean: 9.677 %
low: -25.861 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 15.896 %
Return On Sales QoQ 210.469 %
Return On Sales YoY -11.061 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 18.201 %
median: 17.489 %
REX: 15.896 %
mean: 15.07 %
low: 1.741 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 24.5 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 2.393 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -453.994 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 5.326 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 2.662 %
median: 2.471 %
REX: 2.393 %
mean: 2.041 %
low: -1.145 %
 Free Cash Growth -527.003 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 1079.505 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 52.636 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 135.026 %
median: -24.806 %
mean: -115.121 %
REX: -527.003 %
low: -629.771 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 1.047
 Cash Flow Margin 26.659 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 2.0
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.05
 Return On Assets (ROA) 3.228 %
Return On Assets QoQ 216.471 %
Return On Assets YoY -8.06 %
Return On Assets IPRWA REX: 3.228 %
high: 1.364 %
median: 1.26 %
mean: 0.602 %
low: -3.26 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 4.031 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.041
Return On Equity QoQ 216.961 %
Return On Equity YoY -4.839 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.049
median: 0.044
REX: 0.041
mean: 0.025
low: -0.082
 DuPont ROE 4.208 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 3.815 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 232.607 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -157.541 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA REX: 3.815 %
high: 2.475 %
median: 2.337 %
mean: 1.555 %
low: -3.646 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term price bias tilts bullish given the MACD cross above its signal line, price trading above key moving averages, and an emerging ADX reading. However, MRO at 28.81 with a peak-and-reversal warns of elevated downside risk from short-term momentum exhaustion, and the current low trading volume weakens breakout conviction.

  • Primary bias: Bullish continuation favored if price holds above dynamic supports around $33.80–$33.87 (12-day EMA / Ichimoku lines) and the structural SuperTrend lower at $32.04.
  • Risk factors: A decisive drop below $32.04 would validate MRO-derived pullback risk and open the path toward broader range support near the reported 52-week low reference.
  • Reference levels: Short-term resistance cluster near $34.26–$34.95; market consensus price target mean sits at $37.89 with a high target at $52.40 and a low target at $23.65.

Valuation stance: WMDST assigns a fair-valued designation. Strong cash balances, low leverage and above-mean EBIT margin support that valuation, while compressed gross margins and elevated forward multiple create conditional upside that depends on sustainable margin improvement and project execution.

About REX American Resources Corporation

REX American Resources Corporation (NYSE:REX) produces and markets ethanol and its by-products across the United States. Founded in 1980 and based in Dayton, Ohio, the company delivers a range of products including ethanol, corn, distillers grains, and distillers corn oil. REX American Resources also supplies gasoline and natural gas, catering to the energy sector’s diverse needs. The company provides dry distillers grains with solubles, serving as a protein-rich component in animal feed. Originally known as REX Stores Corporation, the company rebranded in 2010 to better reflect its focus on renewable energy resources. Through its subsidiaries, REX American Resources maintains a commitment to sustainable energy production and agricultural innovation, contributing significantly to the renewable fuels market.



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