Recent News
Nov 7, 2025 — Sylvamo issued third-quarter results showing adjusted EBITDA of $151 million and adjusted operating earnings of $58 million, with management highlighting volume growth and $60 million-plus in cash returned via buybacks and dividends. Nov 10–11, 2025 — The board adopted a limited‑duration shareholder rights plan after Atlas Holdings’ stand‑still ended, raising the trigger threshold and extending protections through Nov 9, 2026. Nov 17, 2025 — Bank of America upgraded the company to Buy and raised its target; several brokers subsequently adjusted targets and sentiment. Dec 5, 2025 — The consensus one-year price target rose, reflecting recent analyst revisions.
Technical Analysis
ADX / DI+ / DI-: ADX at 32.66 indicates a strong underlying trend strength. DI+ shows a peak & reversal while DI- displays a dip & reversal; both patterns point to a shift toward bearish directional pressure despite the presence of trend strength, which raises the probability of continued downside or consolidation near current levels.
MACD: MACD at 1.24 sits below its signal line of 1.39 with a documented peak & reversal, which signals contracting bullish momentum and ongoing bearish momentum until MACD crosses back above the signal line.
MRO: MRO reads 0.4 and shows a peak & reversal; the positive value indicates price sits slightly above the target implied by the oscillator, which suggests modest downward pressure on price from the oscillator’s perspective.
RSI: RSI at 55.73 with a peak & reversal indicates previous strength losing traction; the reading remains neutral-to-weakly biased and supports a near-term environment prone to pullbacks rather than strong advances.
Price vs. Moving Averages / Ichimoku: Last close $48.87 trades below the 20-day ($49.71) and 200-day ($49.96) averages but above the 50-day ($45.65), creating a mixed map: near-term resistance clustered just above current price while the 50-day average and the super-trend lower ($47.81) provide proximal technical support. Tenkan-sen at $49.80 sits above the market, Kijun-sen at $48.08 offers nearby support.
Bollinger Bands & Volume: Price sits marginally above the lower 1x band ($48.28), suggesting a low-amplitude range. Current single-session volume of ~205,651 falls materially below 10-day and 200-day averages, indicating limited participation behind recent moves and increasing the chance of choppy price behavior until volume returns.
Fundamental Analysis
Earnings and margins: Trailing EPS of $1.44 missed the $1.47 estimate by $0.03, a -2.04% surprise. Operating income $97,000,000 and EBIT $99,000,000 produce an EBIT margin of 11.70%; that margin rose QoQ by 199.74% but declined YoY by 22.66%, implying recent operational improvement versus the prior quarter but weaker profitability versus the year-earlier period.
Top line and cash flow: Total revenue reached $846,000,000 with reported revenue growth of 6.55%; a separate year-over-year growth line reads 90.93% in the dataset. Operating cash flow totaled $87,000,000 and free cash flow $33,000,000, yielding a free cash flow to net income ratio of 57.90% and a free cash flow yield of 1.91%, indicating limited cash generation relative to market capitalization.
Balance sheet and leverage: Total debt stands at $808,000,000 with net debt roughly matching that figure; debt-to-EBITDA runs about 5.46x while interest coverage equals 9.0x. Current ratio 1.52 and quick ratio 0.85 show adequate near-term liquidity but relatively thin immediate coverage. Return on equity sits at 5.83% and return on assets at 2.12%, reflecting modest returns on invested capital.
Valuation context: P/E at 30.41 and forward P/E at 23.81, price-to-book near 1.77, enterprise multiple 16.48, and a dividend yield of ~1.10% create a valuation profile consistent with a company priced for gradual recovery rather than rapid re-rating. WMDST values the stock as priced for modest growth with limited free-cash upside given current cash generation and leverage metrics.
MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
| REPORT PERIOD ENDING: | 2025-09-30 |
| REPORT DATE: | 2025-11-07 |
| NEXT REPORT DATE: | 2026-02-06 |
| CASH FLOW | Begin Period Cash Flow | $ 113.0 M |
| Operating Cash Flow | $ 87.0 M | |
| Capital Expenditures | $ -54.00 M | |
| Change In Working Capital | $ -18.00 M | |
| Dividends Paid | $ -19.00 M | |
| Cash Flow Delta | $ -19.00 M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | $ 94.0 M | |
| INCOME STATEMENT | REVENUE | |
| Total Revenue | $ 846.0 M | |
| Forward Revenue | $ 199.7 M | |
| COSTS | ||
| Cost Of Revenue | $ 624.0 M | |
| Depreciation | $ 49.0 M | |
| Depreciation and Amortization | $ 49.0 M | |
| Research and Development | — | |
| Total Operating Expenses | $ 749.0 M | |
| PROFITABILITY | ||
| Gross Profit | $ 222.0 M | |
| EBITDA | $ 148.0 M | |
| EBIT | $ 99.0 M | |
| Operating Income | $ 97.0 M | |
| Interest Income | $ 2.0 M | |
| Interest Expense | $ 11.0 M | |
| Net Interest Income | $ -9.00 M | |
| Income Before Tax | $ 88.0 M | |
| Tax Provision | $ 31.0 M | |
| Tax Rate | 35.0 % | |
| Net Income | $ 57.0 M | |
| Net Income From Continuing Operations | $ 57.0 M | |
| EARNINGS | ||
| EPS Estimate | $ 1.47 | |
| EPS Actual | $ 1.44 | |
| EPS Difference | $ -0.03 | |
| EPS Surprise | -2.041 % | |
| Forward EPS | $ 1.37 | |
| BALANCE SHEET | ASSETS | |
| Total Assets | $ 2.7 B | |
| Intangible Assets | $ 128.0 M | |
| Net Tangible Assets | $ 849.0 M | |
| Total Current Assets | $ 990.0 M | |
| Cash and Short-Term Investments | $ 94.0 M | |
| Cash | — | |
| Net Receivables | $ 369.0 M | |
| Inventory | $ 434.0 M | |
| Long-Term Investments | $ 487.0 M | |
| LIABILITIES | ||
| Accounts Payable | $ 383.0 M | |
| Short-Term Debt | $ 30.0 M | |
| Total Current Liabilities | $ 653.0 M | |
| Net Debt | $ 808.0 M | |
| Total Debt | $ 808.0 M | |
| Total Liabilities | $ 1.7 B | |
| EQUITY | ||
| Total Equity | $ 977.0 M | |
| Retained Earnings | $ 2.5 B | |
| VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS | EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS | |
| Book Value Per-Share | $ 24.80 | |
| Shares Outstanding | 39.400 M | |
| Revenue Per-Share | $ 21.47 | |
| VALUATION | Market Capitalization | $ 1.7 B |
| Enterprise Value | $ 2.4 B | |
| Enterprise Multiple | 16.482 | |
| Enterprise Multiple QoQ | -53.097 % | |
| Enterprise Multiple YoY | -3.152 % | |
| Enterprise Multiple IPRWA | — | |
| EV/R | 2.883 | |
| CAPITAL STRUCTURE | ||
| Asset To Equity | 2.767 | |
| Asset To Liability | 1.566 | |
| Debt To Capital | 0.453 | |
| Debt To Assets | 0.299 | |
| Debt To Assets QoQ | -1.9 % | |
| Debt To Assets YoY | 1888.889 % | |
| Debt To Assets IPRWA | — | |
| Debt To Equity | 0.827 | |
| Debt To Equity QoQ | -2.446 % | |
| Debt To Equity YoY | 1702.179 % | |
| Debt To Equity IPRWA | — | |
| PRICE-BASED VALUATION | ||
| Price To Book (P/B) | 1.766 | |
| Price To Book QoQ | -14.064 % | |
| Price To Book YoY | -50.657 % | |
| Price To Book IPRWA | — | |
| Price To Earnings (P/E) | 30.409 | |
| Price To Earnings QoQ | -78.379 % | |
| Price To Earnings YoY | -9.278 % | |
| Price To Earnings IPRWA | — | |
| PE/G Ratio | 0.105 | |
| Price To Sales (P/S) | 2.039 | |
| Price To Sales QoQ | -17.832 % | |
| Price To Sales YoY | -41.313 % | |
| Price To Sales IPRWA | — | |
| FORWARD MULTIPLES | ||
| Forward P/E | 23.809 | |
| Forward PE/G | 0.082 | |
| Forward P/S | 6.036 | |
| EFFICIENCY | OPERATIONAL | |
| Operating Leverage | 33.494 | |
| ASSET & SALES | ||
| Asset Turnover Ratio | 0.315 | |
| Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ | 5.084 % | |
| Asset Turnover Ratio YoY | -9.375 % | |
| Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA | — | |
| Receivables Turnover | 2.331 | |
| Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ | 9.484 % | |
| Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY | -3.637 % | |
| Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA | — | |
| Inventory Turnover | 1.504 | |
| Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ | -9.784 % | |
| Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY | -10.535 % | |
| Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA | — | |
| Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) | 39.153 | |
| CASH CYCLE | ||
| Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) | 44.571 | |
| Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ | 2.169 % | |
| Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY | 6.295 % | |
| Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA | — | |
| CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT | ||
| Cash Conversion Ratio | 2.51 | |
| CapEx To Revenue | -0.064 | |
| CapEx To Depreciation | -1.102 | |
| CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE | CAPITAL STRUCTURE | |
| Total Capital | $ 1.8 B | |
| Net Invested Capital | $ 1.8 B | |
| Invested Capital | $ 1.8 B | |
| Net Tangible Assets | $ 849.0 M | |
| Net Working Capital | $ 337.0 M | |
| LIQUIDITY | ||
| Cash Ratio | 0.144 | |
| Current Ratio | 1.516 | |
| Current Ratio QoQ | -1.462 % | |
| Current Ratio YoY | -11.922 % | |
| Current Ratio IPRWA | — | |
| Quick Ratio | 0.851 | |
| Quick Ratio QoQ | -6.941 % | |
| Quick Ratio YoY | -24.76 % | |
| Quick Ratio IPRWA | — | |
| COVERAGE & LEVERAGE | ||
| Debt To EBITDA | 5.459 | |
| Cost Of Debt | 0.882 % | |
| Interest Coverage Ratio | 9.0 | |
| Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ | 219.355 % | |
| Interest Coverage Ratio YoY | -13.699 % | |
| Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA | — | |
| Operating Cash Flow Ratio | 0.104 | |
| TIMING / LIQUIDITY | ||
| Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) | 53.752 | |
| DIVIDENDS | ||
| Dividend Coverage Ratio | 3.0 | |
| Dividend Payout Ratio | 0.333 | |
| Dividend Rate | $ 0.48 | |
| Dividend Yield | 0.011 | |
| PERFORMANCE | GROWTH | |
| Asset Growth Rate | 1.312 % | |
| Revenue Growth | 6.549 % | |
| Revenue Growth QoQ | -299.118 % | |
| Revenue Growth YoY | 90.933 % | |
| Revenue Growth IPRWA | — | |
| Earnings Growth | 289.189 % | |
| Earnings Growth QoQ | -734.353 % | |
| Earnings Growth YoY | 1144.787 % | |
| Earnings Growth IPRWA | — | |
| MARGINS | ||
| Gross Margin | 26.241 % | |
| Gross Margin QoQ | 35.298 % | |
| Gross Margin YoY | -4.443 % | |
| Gross Margin IPRWA | — | |
| EBIT Margin | 11.702 % | |
| EBIT Margin QoQ | 199.744 % | |
| EBIT Margin YoY | -22.657 % | |
| EBIT Margin IPRWA | — | |
| Return On Sales (ROS) | 11.466 % | |
| Return On Sales QoQ | 203.494 % | |
| Return On Sales YoY | -24.217 % | |
| Return On Sales IPRWA | — | |
| CASH FLOW | ||
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) | $ 33.0 M | |
| Free Cash Flow Yield | 1.913 % | |
| Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ | -1994.059 % | |
| Free Cash Flow Yield YoY | -46.097 % | |
| Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA | — | |
| Free Cash Growth | -1750.0 % | |
| Free Cash Growth QoQ | 1802.174 % | |
| Free Cash Growth YoY | -2003.519 % | |
| Free Cash Growth IPRWA | — | |
| Free Cash To Net Income | 0.579 | |
| Cash Flow Margin | 8.038 % | |
| Cash Flow To Earnings | 1.193 | |
| VALUE & RETURNS | ||
| Economic Value Added | $ 0.03 | |
| Return On Assets (ROA) | 2.123 % | |
| Return On Assets QoQ | 275.088 % | |
| Return On Assets YoY | -37.96 % | |
| Return On Assets IPRWA | — | |
| Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) | 4.829 % | |
| Return On Equity (ROE) | 0.058 | |
| Return On Equity QoQ | 273.018 % | |
| Return On Equity YoY | -42.46 % | |
| Return On Equity IPRWA | — | |
| DuPont ROE | 5.889 % | |
| Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) | 3.605 % | |
| Return On Invested Capital QoQ | 174.771 % | |
| Return On Invested Capital YoY | -107.03 % | |
| Return On Invested Capital IPRWA | — | |