Xometry, Inc. (NASDAQ:XMTR) Extends Profitability Momentum Amid Elevated Valuation

Robust top-line expansion and improving profitability contrast with a valuation profile that WMDST classifies as over-valued, producing a cautiously constructive near-term posture.

Recent News

On November 19, 2025 Xometry appeared on the 2025 Deloitte Technology Fast 500 list, marking its sixth consecutive year on that ranking and highlighting multi-year revenue growth through its AI‑driven marketplace.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 15.24 indicates no strong trend; low trend strength reduces the reliability of any breakout given the current elevated valuation.

DI+ at 25.82 shows a dip & reversal, a bullish directional signal signaling renewed buyer influence on short-term directional movement.

DI- at 18.74 shows a peak & reversal, which also reads bullish because DI- has rolled lower and selling pressure eased; the combination of DI+ and DI- patterns points to a short-term bullish directional bias despite weak ADX.

MACD at 0.97 with a dip & reversal denotes bullish momentum development; MACD sits slightly below its 1.00 signal line, so the momentum uptick lacks a confirmed MACD crossover at present.

MRO at 25.48 sits positive and signals the market price sits above the model target, implying an elevated potential for mean reversion toward the model estimate over coming sessions.

RSI at 55.83 with a dip & reversal shows modest bullish momentum without overstretched readings.

Price trades above the 200‑day average ($40.97), the 50‑day average ($56.06), and the 20‑day average ($59.34), which supports near‑term upside; the 12‑day EMA recently showed a dip & reversal, consistent with short‑term bullish resumption.

Ichimoku components (Senkou A $57.27, Senkou B $56.80) place the current price above the cloud, reinforcing a bullish bias for trend continuation while the close at $61.51 sits at and slightly above the 1x Bollinger upper band ($61.31), indicating limited short‑term stretch that could invite a pullback or consolidation.

Volume at ~1.25M exceeds the 10‑day average (~887k) and the 50/200‑day averages, suggesting conviction behind the recent directional moves and supporting continued near‑term follow‑through if volume sustains.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue reached $180.7M with YoY revenue growth at 62.81% and QoQ revenue growth at 45.76%, signaling strong top‑line expansion that underpins recent operating improvements.

Gross profit reached $72.0M and gross margin measured 39.86%, up slightly year‑over‑year. Gross margin sits below the industry peer mean of 61.28% and below the industry peer median of 59.94%, indicating margin performance lag versus peers despite recent improvement.

Operating results remain mixed: EBIT at -$10.34M and EBITDA at -$5.34M produce an EBIT margin of -5.72%, with EBIT margin down -63.20% QoQ and down -9.77% YoY. The company reported EPS actual of $0.11 versus an estimate of $0.10, a 10% EPS surprise.

Cash and liquidity present strength: cash and short‑term investments total $224.52M and the cash ratio stands at 2.38, while the current ratio sits at 3.62, supporting operational flexibility during continued investment and expansion.

Leverage and coverage show residual strain: total debt $333.46M and net debt $306.10M produce a debt‑to‑equity around 122.61% and debt‑to‑assets about 47.71%. Interest coverage remains negative at -8.09x, reflecting operating losses on a GAAP basis and limited earnings cushion for interest obligations.

Cash flow dynamics show operating cash flow of $5.79M and free cash flow of -$1.66M; the cash conversion ratio reads 0.73 and cash conversion cycle ~9.72 days, indicating efficient working‑capital turns despite negative free cash flow in the period.

Valuation multiples look elevated on an absolute basis: P/B about 8.95x, P/S roughly 13.47x, trailing P/E ~433x and forward P/E ~645x. The current valuation as determined by WMDST classifies the stock as over‑valued given these stretched multiples relative to fundamentals and current profitability metrics.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-09-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-11-04
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-02-03
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 16.8 M
 Operating Cash Flow 5.8 M
 Capital Expenditures -7.45 M
 Change In Working Capital -1.03 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 4.1 M
 End Period Cash Flow 20.8 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 180.7 M
 Forward Revenue -38.17 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 108.7 M
 Depreciation 5.0 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 5.0 M
 Research and Development 12.5 M
 Total Operating Expenses 191.7 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 72.0 M
 EBITDA -5.34 M
 EBIT -10.34 M
 Operating Income -11.01 M
 Interest Income 2.1 M
 Interest Expense 1.3 M
 Net Interest Income 861.0 K
 Income Before Tax -11.61 M
 Tax Provision -17.00 K
 Tax Rate 0.146 %
 Net Income -11.60 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations -11.60 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.10
 EPS Actual 0.11
 EPS Difference 0.01
 EPS Surprise 10.0 %
 Forward EPS 0.19
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 698.9 M
 Intangible Assets 293.2 M
 Net Tangible Assets -21.26 M
 Total Current Assets 341.1 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 224.5 M
 Cash 20.8 M
 Net Receivables 98.9 M
 Inventory 4.2 M
 Long-Term Investments 459.0 K
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 46.2 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 94.1 M
 Net Debt 306.1 M
 Total Debt 333.5 M
 Total Liabilities 425.8 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 272.0 M
 Retained Earnings -423.38 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 5.33
 Shares Outstanding 51.033 M
 Revenue Per-Share 3.54
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 2.4 B
 Enterprise Value 2.5 B
 Enterprise Multiple -476.451
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 373.45 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 293.955 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 233.502
median: 89.291
mean: 76.16
low: -157.273
XMTR: -476.451
 EV/R 14.068
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.57
 Asset To Liability 1.641
 Debt To Capital 0.551
 Debt To Assets 0.477
Debt To Assets QoQ -2.123 %
Debt To Assets YoY 2336.823 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.973
XMTR: 0.477
mean: 0.255
median: 0.154
low: 0.01
 Debt To Equity 1.226
Debt To Equity QoQ -1.01 %
Debt To Equity YoY 2811.66 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 2.365
XMTR: 1.226
mean: 0.561
median: 0.24
low: 0.011
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 8.948
Price To Book QoQ 22.142 %
Price To Book YoY 207.095 %
Price To Book IPRWA XMTR: 8.948
high: 8.082
median: 6.089
mean: 5.162
low: -5.143
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 433.485
Price To Earnings QoQ 21.229 %
Price To Earnings YoY -53.327 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA XMTR: 433.485
high: 195.274
mean: 136.523
median: 120.234
low: -155.476
 PE/G Ratio 19.507
 Price To Sales (P/S) 13.465
Price To Sales QoQ 10.497 %
Price To Sales YoY 107.741 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 19.465
median: 14.113
XMTR: 13.465
mean: 11.956
low: 0.544
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 645.291
Forward PE/G 29.038
Forward P/S -174.856
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -5.286
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.261
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 10.476 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 24.858 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.477
XMTR: 0.261
mean: 0.146
median: 0.105
low: 0.015
 Receivables Turnover 1.946
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 3.182 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 2.705 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 4.54
XMTR: 1.946
median: 1.627
mean: 1.548
low: 0.816
 Inventory Turnover 24.493
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 8.992 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -9.143 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA XMTR: 24.493
high: 3.452
mean: 1.05
median: 0.805
low: 0.107
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 46.9
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 9.718
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ 19.679 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -77.03 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 140.744
median: 25.754
mean: 25.418
XMTR: 9.718
low: -59.548
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.732
 CapEx To Revenue -0.041
 CapEx To Depreciation -1.49
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 598.9 M
 Net Invested Capital 598.9 M
 Invested Capital 598.9 M
 Net Tangible Assets -21.26 M
 Net Working Capital 247.0 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 2.385
 Current Ratio 3.623
Current Ratio QoQ -7.33 %
Current Ratio YoY -21.141 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 7.122
XMTR: 3.623
mean: 1.051
median: 0.738
low: 0.428
 Quick Ratio 3.578
Quick Ratio QoQ -7.172 %
Quick Ratio YoY -21.276 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 16.179
mean: 4.011
XMTR: 3.578
low: 2.584
median: 2.584
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA -62.492
 Cost Of Debt 0.382 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio -8.088
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -62.16 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 6.881 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 27.361
median: 12.24
mean: 8.976
XMTR: -8.088
low: -17.094
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio -0.148
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 41.34
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 1.723 %
 Revenue Growth 11.177 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 45.762 %
Revenue Growth YoY 62.811 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 16.022 %
XMTR: 11.177 %
mean: 0.574 %
median: -0.168 %
low: -13.715 %
 Earnings Growth 22.222 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -93.651 %
Earnings Growth YoY -107.407 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 95.714 %
XMTR: 22.222 %
mean: -0.541 %
median: -2.299 %
low: -96.296 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 39.858 %
Gross Margin QoQ -0.596 %
Gross Margin YoY 1.17 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 89.116 %
mean: 61.275 %
median: 59.941 %
XMTR: 39.858 %
low: 8.097 %
 EBIT Margin -5.72 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -63.196 %
EBIT Margin YoY -9.765 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 34.343 %
mean: 22.556 %
median: 18.179 %
XMTR: -5.72 %
low: -95.399 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) -6.092 %
Return On Sales QoQ -3.76 %
Return On Sales YoY -3.897 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 33.558 %
mean: 22.675 %
median: 18.196 %
XMTR: -6.092 %
low: -43.421 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -1.66 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield -0.068 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -81.769 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -92.601 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 11.737 %
mean: 1.098 %
median: 0.734 %
XMTR: -0.068 %
low: -6.965 %
 Free Cash Growth -77.578 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 296.069 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 107.04 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 388.604 %
mean: 18.318 %
median: -7.033 %
XMTR: -77.578 %
low: -210.38 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.143
 Cash Flow Margin -7.723 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.204
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) -1.674 %
Return On Assets QoQ -56.395 %
Return On Assets YoY 11.377 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 2.96 %
median: 2.362 %
mean: 1.696 %
XMTR: -1.674 %
low: -8.842 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) -1.709 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) -0.043
Return On Equity QoQ -56.383 %
Return On Equity YoY 31.808 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.129
median: 0.036
mean: 0.032
XMTR: -0.043
low: -0.097
 DuPont ROE -4.276 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) -1.723 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -59.286 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -153.609 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 5.914 %
median: 3.446 %
mean: 2.731 %
XMTR: -1.723 %
low: -6.684 %

Six-Week Outlook

Momentum indicators lean modestly bullish while ADX implies a contained directional environment; expect price action to favor continuation attempts punctuated by short consolidations. A mean‑reversion risk exists given MRO positive and price marginally above the upper Bollinger band.

Key technical reference levels: near‑term resistance aligns with the super trend upper at $64.29 and the short‑term ceiling set by the 1x Bollinger upper band around $61.31; support resides near the 20‑ to 50‑day averages ($59.34 and $56.06) and ichimoku support near $57.27. Volume strength will determine whether bulls sustain advances above recent highs or force a pullback toward those moving‑average supports.

Volatility measures remain moderate (42‑day volatility 6%) so expect measured intraday swings rather than abrupt breakouts absent new catalysts. Traders focusing on short swings should watch for momentum confirmations (sustained volume above average and a MACD crossover) or MRO‑driven mean reversion signals before extrapolating moves; current valuation and leverage metrics counsel caution when sizing exposure.

About Xometry, Inc.

Xometry, Inc. (NASDAQ:XMTR) develops an innovative online marketplace that connects buyers with custom-manufactured parts and assemblies across the United States and internationally. The company provides a wide range of services, including computer numerical control (CNC) manufacturing, sheet metal forming, and cutting. Xometry also offers 3D printing solutions such as fused deposition modeling, direct metal laser sintering, and stereolithography, among others. Additionally, the company handles die casting, stamping, injection molding, urethane casting, tube cutting, and bending, along with finishing services, rapid prototyping, and high-volume production services. Serving diverse industries like aerospace, healthcare, robotics, industrial, defense, energy, automotive, government, education, and consumer goods, Xometry delivers tailored solutions to meet specific manufacturing needs. Originally incorporated as NextLine Manufacturing Corp. in 2013, the company rebranded to Xometry, Inc. in June 2015. Headquartered in North Bethesda, Maryland, Xometry leverages its extensive network of manufacturing partners to provide efficient and reliable services to its clients.



© 2025 WMDST — The World’s Most Dangerous Swing Trader. All rights reserved.