TE Connectivity Ltd. (NYSE:TEL) Projects Near-Term Upside After Strong Q4 Results

TE Connectivity shows operational momentum from record quarterly sales alongside near-term technical pressure that could compress gains. Fundamentals support a value-biased case while short-term indicators warn of a modest pullback risk.

Recent News

On October 29, 2025 TE Connectivity reported fiscal fourth-quarter results that delivered 17% sales growth year-over-year and noted full-year records in sales, operating margin, and cash generation.

TE announced an Investor Day scheduled for November 20, 2025, where senior management planned to present strategy and outlook to investors.

Market commentary across December highlighted elevated short-term volatility for the stock, with notable intraday declines on December 12 and continued weakness on December 16–17 as broader market pressure weighed on shares.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 17.1 indicates no established trend; this metric reduces confidence in momentum-based breakout scenarios and favors range-sensitive tactics given the current valuation support.

Directional indicators present a bearish configuration: DI+ shows a peak-and-reversal while DI– shows a dip-and-reversal, which together signal selling pressure has gained advantage over buying pressure into the very near term.

MACD stands at –0.22 below its signal line at 0.40 and shows a peak-and-reversal; that combination signals bearish momentum and suggests short-term momentum has shifted toward downside pressure versus the recent rally.

MRO reads 12.9 and registers a peak-and-reversal; the positive oscillator indicates the price sits above the model target and, given the recent reversal, implies room for a corrective move back toward fair value estimates.

RSI at 54.67 with a peak-and-reversal reflects fading buying intensity rather than oversold conditions; momentum has trimmed from recent highs, supporting the case for a pullback before any resumption of advance.

Price trades below the 20-day and 50-day averages (both near $232) while remaining above the 200-day average of $188. That configuration signals near-term weakness overlaid on a longer-term uptrend, which may constrain downside but allow for transient consolidation around short-term support levels.

Bollinger bands place the lower 1x standard-deviation band at $224.97 and the price at $222.73, indicating a move slightly below the nearer-term band and suggesting elevated short-term volatility that could attract mean-reverting flows.

Ichimoku components (Tenkan at $234.28, Kijun at $231.54, Senkou A at $234.43, Senkou B at $223.99) place the price below the cloud boundary, reinforcing near-term bearish bias while leaving the long-run base intact given the 200-day average tailwind.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue expanded strongly: year-over-year revenue growth reached 30.25% while quarter-over-quarter revenue growth registered 17.93%, reflecting robust top-line momentum across segments and supporting the valuation case.

Operating efficiency shows strength: operating margin at 19.81% and EBIT margin at 19.28% sit above the industry peer mean operating margin of 15.75% and the industry peer mean EBIT margin of 16.52%, respectively. EBIT margin improved QoQ by 3.86% but ticked down YoY by 0.64%, indicating near-term margin expansion alongside modest annual variability.

Profitability ratios favor the company versus peers: return on equity at 5.15% exceeds the industry peer mean of 4.95%, while return on assets at 2.63% sits above the industry peer mean of 1.72%, signaling efficient capital deployment relative to the peer set.

Cash generation remains solid: free cash flow hit $957 million with a free cash flow yield of 1.72%, above the industry peer mean free cash flow yield of 0.93%, supporting capital returns and acquisition financing flexibility.

Leverage and coverage present a mixed but manageable profile: debt to EBITDA stands near 5.23x and net debt approximates $5.03 billion, while interest coverage exceeds 31x, indicating ample earnings coverage of interest but a leverage multiple that requires monitoring if acquisition activity accelerates.

Shareholder returns carry modest yield and sustainable coverage: quarterly dividend equals $0.7166 per share with a dividend payout ratio of 33.23% and dividend coverage near 3.01, supporting continued cash returns without straining operating cash flows.

Valuation context: WMDST values the stock as under-valued. Price multiples show a P/E of 76.59 below the industry peer mean P/E of 90.59 and a price-to-book ratio of 4.49 that sits below the industry peer mean of 6.24 while remaining close to the industry peer median, supporting a valuation narrative of relative discount given durable cash generation.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-10-29
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-01-28
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 2.6 B
 Operating Cash Flow 1.2 B
 Capital Expenditures -230.00 M
 Change In Working Capital 144.0 M
 Dividends Paid -212.00 M
 Cash Flow Delta -1.88 B
 End Period Cash Flow 672.0 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 4.5 B
 Forward Revenue 1.2 B
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 2.9 B
 Depreciation 216.0 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 216.0 M
 Research and Development 211.0 M
 Total Operating Expenses 3.6 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 1.6 B
 EBITDA 1.1 B
 EBIT 874.0 M
 Operating Income 898.0 M
 Interest Income 17.0 M
 Interest Expense 28.0 M
 Net Interest Income -11.00 M
 Income Before Tax 846.0 M
 Tax Provision 208.0 M
 Tax Rate 24.586 %
 Net Income 638.0 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 638.0 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 2.27
 EPS Actual 2.23
 EPS Difference -0.04
 EPS Surprise -1.762 %
 Forward EPS 2.25
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 24.9 B
 Intangible Assets 9.5 B
 Net Tangible Assets 2.8 B
 Total Current Assets 7.6 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 672.0 M
 Cash 672.0 M
 Net Receivables 3.4 B
 Inventory 2.8 B
 Long-Term Investments 887.0 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 2.0 B
 Short-Term Debt 851.0 M
 Total Current Liabilities 5.0 B
 Net Debt 5.0 B
 Total Debt 5.7 B
 Total Liabilities 12.3 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 12.4 B
 Retained Earnings 13.3 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 41.85
 Shares Outstanding 295.840 M
 Revenue Per-Share 15.33
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 55.6 B
 Enterprise Value 60.6 B
 Enterprise Multiple 55.581
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 18.86 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 20.964 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 259.951
median: 77.876
mean: 68.828
TEL: 55.581
low: -219.031
 EV/R 13.362
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.008
 Asset To Liability 2.015
 Debt To Capital 0.315
 Debt To Assets 0.229
Debt To Assets QoQ -3.459 %
Debt To Assets YoY 320.0 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.807
median: 0.296
mean: 0.26
TEL: 0.229
low: 0.002
 Debt To Equity 0.46
Debt To Equity QoQ -0.947 %
Debt To Equity YoY 365.352 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 2.082
median: 0.7
mean: 0.668
TEL: 0.46
low: -0.922
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 4.487
Price To Book QoQ 29.496 %
Price To Book YoY 25.271 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 12.594
mean: 6.243
median: 4.785
TEL: 4.487
low: -8.439
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 76.589
Price To Earnings QoQ 14.119 %
Price To Earnings YoY -1.577 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 287.529
mean: 90.587
median: 89.742
TEL: 76.589
low: -207.154
 PE/G Ratio 0.015
 Price To Sales (P/S) 12.254
Price To Sales QoQ 21.227 %
Price To Sales YoY 7.753 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 42.058
median: 16.035
mean: 15.593
TEL: 12.254
low: 0.0
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 69.533
Forward PE/G 0.013
Forward P/S 47.032
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 1.447
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.187
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 3.967 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 7.371 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.479
mean: 0.194
TEL: 0.187
median: 0.17
low: 0.001
 Receivables Turnover 1.369
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 0.863 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -0.863 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.906
mean: 1.522
median: 1.497
TEL: 1.369
low: 0.267
 Inventory Turnover 1.08
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 5.03 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 12.693 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.529
median: 1.184
TEL: 1.08
mean: 1.022
low: 0.063
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 66.656
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 93.311
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -2.026 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -10.109 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 272.391
mean: 102.265
TEL: 93.311
median: 88.157
low: -85.228
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 1.733
 CapEx To Revenue -0.051
 CapEx To Depreciation -1.065
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 17.2 B
 Net Invested Capital 18.1 B
 Invested Capital 18.1 B
 Net Tangible Assets 2.8 B
 Net Working Capital 2.6 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.135
 Current Ratio 1.525
Current Ratio QoQ 0.798 %
Current Ratio YoY 1.15 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 7.762
mean: 2.261
median: 2.016
TEL: 1.525
low: 0.034
 Quick Ratio 0.957
Quick Ratio QoQ -11.29 %
Quick Ratio YoY -2.925 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 7.334
mean: 1.748
median: 1.456
TEL: 0.957
low: 0.201
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 5.227
 Cost Of Debt 0.373 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 31.214
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -43.173 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -27.221 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 52.785
TEL: 31.214
mean: 11.508
median: 10.714
low: -130.23
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.114
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 65.735
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 3.009
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.332
 Dividend Rate 0.72
 Dividend Yield 0.004
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 5.115 %
 Revenue Growth 9.438 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 17.931 %
Revenue Growth YoY 3025.166 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 79.411 %
mean: 10.104 %
median: 10.065 %
TEL: 9.438 %
low: -43.951 %
 Earnings Growth 5250.0 %
Earnings Growth QoQ 68152.73 %
Earnings Growth YoY 195212.5 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA TEL: 5250.0 %
high: 200.0 %
median: 26.316 %
mean: 18.987 %
low: -133.333 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 35.289 %
Gross Margin QoQ 0.207 %
Gross Margin YoY 1.309 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 98.998 %
mean: 39.845 %
median: 36.34 %
TEL: 35.289 %
low: -49.356 %
 EBIT Margin 19.277 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 3.858 %
EBIT Margin YoY -0.644 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 123.871 %
TEL: 19.277 %
median: 17.271 %
mean: 16.521 %
low: -211.309 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 19.806 %
Return On Sales QoQ 6.708 %
Return On Sales YoY 2.082 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 43.501 %
TEL: 19.806 %
mean: 15.751 %
median: 14.837 %
low: -352.254 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 957.0 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 1.723 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 70.594 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -9.029 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 4.857 %
TEL: 1.723 %
mean: 0.934 %
median: 0.912 %
low: -16.248 %
 Free Cash Growth 126.241 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -439.842 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 118.308 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 364.739 %
TEL: 126.241 %
median: 32.081 %
mean: 12.778 %
low: -329.708 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 1.5
 Cash Flow Margin 12.528 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.89
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 2.63 %
Return On Assets QoQ 4596.429 %
Return On Assets YoY 4.948 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 17.834 %
TEL: 2.63 %
mean: 1.718 %
median: 1.671 %
low: -36.426 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 4.397 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.052
Return On Equity QoQ 4671.296 %
Return On Equity YoY 13.602 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.433
TEL: 0.052
mean: 0.05
median: 0.044
low: -0.601
 DuPont ROE 5.215 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 3.646 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 39.854 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -101.367 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 8.434 %
TEL: 3.646 %
mean: 3.115 %
median: 3.068 %
low: -15.502 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term technicals favor consolidation or a modest pullback as momentum indicators have peaked and directional indicators turned bearish; mean reversion toward short-term averages appears likely before any renewed advance. Fundamentals and cash generation provide a valuation floor that should limit downside beyond transient volatility, particularly given a 200-day average well below current price and a recorded improvement in margins.

Expect a trading range biased toward the downside initially, with potential for stabilization if operating margins and free-cash-flow metrics remain at or above current levels; watch for volume-confirmed support near prior short-term bands and any signs of MACD reversing back above its signal line, which would indicate momentum recovery rather than merely a technical bounce.

About TE Connectivity Ltd.

TE Connectivity Ltd. (NYSE:TEL) develops and manufactures connectivity and sensor solutions that serve a wide array of industries worldwide. The company operates through three main segments: Transportation Solutions, Industrial Solutions, and Communications Solutions. TE Connectivity produces a diverse range of products, including antennas, cable assemblies, connectors, fiber optics, heat shrink tubing, and sensors. Additionally, the company provides electromagnetic compatibility solutions, energy and power products, and wire protection and management solutions. TE Connectivity offers various services such as 3D printing for production, electrical installation training, and medical device design services. They also conduct automotive webinars and provide machine tooling service and repair. Their vast product and service offerings cater to industries including automotive, aerospace, data centers, energy solutions, industrial machinery, medical technologies, and more. Founded in 1941 and headquartered in Ballybrit, Ireland, TE Connectivity continues to support sectors like 5G and wireless equipment, automation and control, connected home, defense and military, and IoT connectivity, among others. The company, previously known as Tyco Electronics Ltd., rebranded to TE Connectivity plc in March 2011.



© 2025 WMDST — The World’s Most Dangerous Swing Trader. All rights reserved.