EZCORP, Inc (NASDAQ:EZPW) Poised To Reprice Upward After Balance-Sheet Cleanup

EZCORP shows a mixed technical posture with short-term pressure while fundamentals and cash reserves support a revaluation opportunity. Operational cash flow, margin expansion, and a WMDST under-valued appraisal frame the stock’s near-term story.

Recent News

Oct 6, 2025 — Canaccord Genuity raised its price target on EZCORP and reiterated a buy view. Oct 8, 2025 — Weiss Ratings reaffirmed a buy designation on the company. Oct 14, 2025 — several brokerages published updated target-price coverage, averaging near $19.00. Nov 10, 2025 — aggregation of analyst targets showed an average one-year target around $20.33 based on recent coverage updates.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators show a meaningful trend strength: ADX at 26.25 indicates a strong directional move rather than a flat market, supporting the presence of momentum in recent sessions.

DI+ sits at 33.14 with a peak-and-reversal pattern, which reads bearish for short-term directional bias because DI+ has rolled from recent highs. DI- at 18.19 shows a dip-and-reversal toward higher readings, reinforcing bearish directional pressure.

MACD registers at 0.59 with the signal at 0.55; the indicator currently lies above its signal line (a bullish technical cross), but the MACD trend shows a peak-and-reversal, which signals waning bullish momentum and potential loss of upward acceleration.

MRO at 33.41 sits positive, indicating the current price sits above the model target and therefore carries downside pressure; the MRO trend shows a peak-and-reversal consistent with decelerating strength.

RSI at 59.62 with a peak-and-reversal pattern points to recent exhaustion near the upper-neutral band and a short-term bias toward mean reversion rather than further overbought extension.

Price sits at $19.78, above the 200-day average of $15.97 but below the 20-day average of $20.25 and the Tenkan-sen at $20.25, which creates a split timeframe picture: long-term support from multi-month averages while short-term momentum shows mild weakness. Price currently trades just above the lower Bollinger band ($19.63), indicating limited immediate downside cushion inside the band range.

Volume at 995,707 lags the 10-day average of 1,785,611, which reduces conviction behind recent moves. Short-term volatility (42-day beta ~1.05) exceeds the subdued 52-week beta of 0.31, suggesting recent trading runs hotter than the year-long baseline.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue trends show strong year-over-year growth: YoY revenue growth registers at 78.03% while QoQ revenue growth reads 445.44%, signaling sizable recent top-line acceleration. Trailing revenue growth stands at 8.31% on a broader basis.

Profitability expanded: EBIT margin at 13.18% improved 31.84% year-over-year but slipped 5.03% quarter-over-quarter. The company’s EBIT margin sits below the industry peer mean of 40.67% and below the industry peer median of 31.08%, though above the industry peer low of -171.47%.

EPS arrived at $0.34 versus an estimate of $0.30, producing an EPS surprise of 13.33% and showing recent beat-driven earnings momentum. Forward EPS equals $0.428125 with a forward P/E near 51.99.

Valuation multiples reflect elevated earnings multiples alongside moderate balance-sheet backing: trailing P/E at 51.26, P/B about 1.03, enterprise value roughly $1,355,721,792, and EV-to-revenue around 4.03. Free cash flow yield sits at 3.37% while free cash flow growth shows recent declines; free cash flow itself equals $35,745,000 and free cash to net income at 133.86% indicates healthy cash conversion relative to reported net income of $26,704,000.

Liquidity and leverage display asymmetric strength: cash and short-term investments total $469,524,000 and cash ratio at 2.34 with a current ratio of 5.61, providing a large liquidity buffer versus total debt of $764,040,000 and net debt near $48,552,000. Debt-to-EBITDA runs high at 14.53, which reflects the recent debt issuance and legacy obligations rather than operating stress given interest coverage near 5.45.

Return metrics remain modest: ROA about 1.39% and ROE about 2.60%, both showing YoY improvement but still trailing typical high-return peers. Inventory and working-capital dynamics show long inventory days (~170 days) and a cash conversion cycle of ~171 days, consistent with pawn-retail operations.

WMDST values the stock as under-valued based on the firm’s cash flow profile, margin recovery, and the company’s ample cash position that offsets leverage. The valuation gap stems from elevated multiples set against improving cash generation and conservative net-debt levels.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-09-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-11-13
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-02-12
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 487.1 M
 Operating Cash Flow 51.3 M
 Capital Expenditures -15.51 M
 Change In Working Capital 136.0 K
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta -2.36 M
 End Period Cash Flow 484.7 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 336.8 M
 Forward Revenue 82.2 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 138.2 M
 Depreciation 8.2 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 8.2 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 300.1 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 198.6 M
 EBITDA 52.6 M
 EBIT 44.4 M
 Operating Income 36.7 M
 Interest Income 5.3 M
 Interest Expense 8.1 M
 Net Interest Income -2.83 M
 Income Before Tax 36.3 M
 Tax Provision 9.6 M
 Tax Rate 26.362 %
 Net Income 26.7 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 26.7 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.30
 EPS Actual 0.34
 EPS Difference 0.04
 EPS Surprise 13.333 %
 Forward EPS 0.43
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 2.0 B
 Intangible Assets 383.7 M
 Net Tangible Assets 641.8 M
 Total Current Assets 1.1 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 469.5 M
 Cash 469.5 M
 Net Receivables 63.8 M
 Inventory 248.5 M
 Long-Term Investments 30.3 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 22.9 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 200.6 M
 Net Debt 48.6 M
 Total Debt 764.0 M
 Total Liabilities 925.7 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 1.0 B
 Retained Earnings 612.7 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 16.84
 Shares Outstanding 60.892 M
 Revenue Per-Share 5.53
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 1.1 B
 Enterprise Value 1.4 B
 Enterprise Multiple 25.781
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 10.078 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 75.768 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 173.155
median: 173.155
mean: 136.63
EZPW: 25.781
low: -125.735
 EV/R 4.025
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.903
 Asset To Liability 2.108
 Debt To Capital 0.427
 Debt To Assets 0.392
Debt To Assets QoQ -3.244 %
Debt To Assets YoY 467.246 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 1.312
EZPW: 0.392
mean: 0.268
median: 0.174
low: 0.002
 Debt To Equity 0.745
Debt To Equity QoQ -3.206 %
Debt To Equity YoY 481.571 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 13.211
mean: 1.733
median: 1.21
EZPW: 0.745
low: -1.932
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 1.035
Price To Book QoQ 12.771 %
Price To Book YoY 34.575 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 10.089
median: 6.822
mean: 5.062
EZPW: 1.035
low: -2.248
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 51.258
Price To Earnings QoQ 22.15 %
Price To Earnings YoY 17.513 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 109.962
median: 77.528
mean: 65.025
EZPW: 51.258
low: -71.915
 PE/G Ratio 16.917
 Price To Sales (P/S) 3.151
Price To Sales QoQ 7.848 %
Price To Sales YoY 50.004 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 41.472
mean: 13.512
median: 12.002
EZPW: 3.151
low: 0.799
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 51.991
Forward PE/G 17.159
Forward P/S 17.829
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 0.345
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.176
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 4.877 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -10.431 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.444
EZPW: 0.176
median: 0.062
mean: 0.059
low: -0.011
 Receivables Turnover 5.295
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 3.536 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 18.624 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 9.75
EZPW: 5.295
mean: 1.091
median: 0.102
low: -2.698
 Inventory Turnover 0.583
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -0.757 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -10.94 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 17.233
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 170.838
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ 7.337 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 13.167 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 310.617
EZPW: 170.838
mean: 55.076
median: 47.646
low: -382.915
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.364
 CapEx To Revenue -0.046
 CapEx To Depreciation -1.896
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 1.5 B
 Net Invested Capital 1.5 B
 Invested Capital 1.5 B
 Net Tangible Assets 641.8 M
 Net Working Capital 925.4 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 2.341
 Current Ratio 5.614
Current Ratio QoQ -11.083 %
Current Ratio YoY 107.436 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 15.66
EZPW: 5.614
mean: 1.873
median: 1.22
low: 0.212
 Quick Ratio 4.375
Quick Ratio QoQ -12.58 %
Quick Ratio YoY 119.433 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 14.529
 Cost Of Debt 0.786 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 5.453
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 6.842 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -40.682 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 60.461
median: 37.353
mean: 29.203
EZPW: 5.453
low: -16.422
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.06
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 16.205
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 3.619 %
 Revenue Growth 8.307 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 445.437 %
Revenue Growth YoY 78.033 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 35.204 %
mean: 10.771 %
EZPW: 8.307 %
median: 3.192 %
low: -29.515 %
 Earnings Growth 3.03 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -203.026 %
Earnings Growth YoY -76.769 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 169.231 %
mean: 20.98 %
median: 11.111 %
EZPW: 3.03 %
low: -125.455 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 58.956 %
Gross Margin QoQ -0.163 %
Gross Margin YoY -0.984 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 96.421 %
median: 80.514 %
mean: 79.517 %
EZPW: 58.956 %
low: 13.553 %
 EBIT Margin 13.184 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -5.028 %
EBIT Margin YoY 31.84 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 63.819 %
mean: 40.667 %
median: 31.08 %
EZPW: 13.184 %
low: -171.469 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 10.899 %
Return On Sales QoQ -5.84 %
Return On Sales YoY 8.99 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 63.819 %
mean: 41.071 %
median: 30.451 %
EZPW: 10.899 %
low: -80.976 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 35.7 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 3.368 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 18.969 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -14.756 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 35.603 %
EZPW: 3.368 %
median: 2.522 %
mean: 2.281 %
low: -20.828 %
 Free Cash Growth 38.994 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -489.278 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -296.325 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 247.438 %
EZPW: 38.994 %
median: 10.84 %
mean: -18.428 %
low: -200.489 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 1.339
 Cash Flow Margin 3.586 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.452
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 1.393 %
Return On Assets QoQ -2.451 %
Return On Assets YoY 37.648 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 5.974 %
EZPW: 1.393 %
mean: 0.993 %
median: 0.979 %
low: -5.607 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 2.537 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.026
Return On Equity QoQ -2.727 %
Return On Equity YoY 37.851 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.206
median: 0.065
mean: 0.064
EZPW: 0.026
low: -0.123
 DuPont ROE 2.65 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 2.118 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -3.111 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -106.138 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 12.987 %
mean: 2.502 %
median: 2.25 %
EZPW: 2.118 %
low: -6.178 %

Six-Week Outlook

Expect short-term consolidation with bias toward downside momentum while longer-term support anchors near multi-month averages. Technical indicators signal fading bullish momentum: the combination of a MACD peak-and-reversal, MRO above target, DI+ peak-and-reversal, and RSI rolling from a peak suggests pressure toward the 20-day average and the lower Bollinger band in the coming weeks. Simultaneously, ample liquidity, positive YoY revenue growth, and recent EPS beats create a valuation floor that should limit extended drawdowns and favor range-bound recovery attempts toward analyst targets near the low-to-mid $20s over a multi-week horizon.

About EZCORP, Inc.

EZCORP, Inc. (NASDAQ:EZPW) provides pawn services across the United States and Latin America. Established in 1989 and headquartered in Austin, Texas, EZCORP offers pawn loans secured by tangible personal property such as jewelry, electronics, tools, sporting goods, and musical instruments. The company conducts its operations through segments including U.S. Pawn, Latin America Pawn, and Other Investments, ensuring a wide range of financial services. EZCORP excels in retail by selling merchandise forfeited from pawn lending operations or purchased pre-owned from customers. The company enhances customer experience through EZ+, a web-based application enabling users to manage pawn transactions, layaways, and loyalty rewards online. Operating under brands like EZPAWN, Value Pawn & Jewelry, Empeño Fácil, Cash Apoyo Efectivo, GuatePrenda, and MaxiEfectivo, EZCORP commits to delivering accessible financial solutions and quality customer service. With a focus on community engagement and customer satisfaction, EZCORP continues to grow its presence and refine its service offerings in its operational regions.



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