Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp. (NYSE:ESP) Doubles Down On Cash Returns As Backlog Expands

Espey accelerated cash returns and operational capacity while delivering mixed top-line signals, leaving near-term momentum tilted but exposed to mean reversion. Technicals show bullish breadth but limited trend strength; fundamentals show improving profitability alongside weaker revenue trends.

Recent News

On September 8, 2025 the Board declared a special cash dividend of $0.75 per share in addition to the regular $0.25 quarterly dividend, payable September 26 to holders of record September 19. On October 22, 2025 the company announced completion and start-up of full-scale production and testing at its expanded Magnetics Center of Excellence, beginning commercial operations at the new facility.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators (ADX / DI+ / DI-): ADX reads 17.01, below 20, which indicates no established trend; DI+ at 22.27 trending higher while DI- at 13.29 trends lower, which favors a bullish directional bias but without strong trend strength. That combination supports upside attempts while keeping breakouts fragile relative to the valuation view that labels the stock over-valued.

MACD: MACD at 0.44 sits above the signal line at -0.02 and shows an increasing trajectory, which constitutes a bullish momentum signal and supports near-term upside continuation into the moving-average band.

MRO: MRO at 24.76 with a peak-and-reversal reading indicates the current price stands above the model target and faces downward pressure; that divergence between momentum and target-based pressure increases risk of a corrective pullback against the bullish MACD and DI readings.

RSI and price vs averages: RSI at 52.21 and rising signals balanced buying momentum rather than overbought extremes. Price closed at $42.53, trading above the 12-day EMA ($39.75), 20-day average ($39.18), 50-day average ($38.42) and 200-day average ($37.55), which supports short-term upside; however the close sits marginally above the 2x Bollinger upper band ($42.30), increasing likelihood of a reversion event that would conflict with an over-valued equity assessment.

Volume and volatility: Current volume at 6,143 undercuts 10-, 50- and 200-day averages (10-day 12,996; 50-day 18,396; 200-day 24,356), which reduces confidence in breakout strength. Beta measures low market sensitivity (42-day 0.24, 52-week 0.53) and 42-day volatility at 2% implies limited short-term amplitude, consistent with thin-volume moves.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Recent results and cash allocation: For the three months ended September 30, 2025 net sales totaled $9,092,876 versus $10,443,218 a year earlier, a YoY revenue decline of -12.93%. Net income rose to $2,169,836 from $1,598,317 YoY, a gain of +35.76%; diluted EPS moved from $0.61 to $0.76, a +24.59% increase. Management reported backlog near $141.1 million versus roughly $94.6 million a year earlier, reflecting substantial book-to-bill and pipeline expansion.

Profitability and margins: Operating margin and EBIT margin at 22.72% place Espey above the industry peer mean operating/EBIT margin of ~19.85% and above the industry median of ~21.38%, while gross margin at 35.38% sits below the industry peer mean of ~43.91%. QoQ dynamics show compression (EBIT margin QoQ -17.17%), while YoY margin expansion runs +38.00% for EBIT, supporting the valuation premium embedded in multiples.

Cash, leverage and cash conversion: Cash and short-term investments total $46,908,700 against a market capitalization of $117,983,801, providing material liquidity. Current ratio 2.38 and quick ratio 1.76 both exceed the industry peer mean and median, indicating ample near-term coverage of liabilities. Cash conversion cycle at 327.53 days sits at the high end of the industry peer range (peer mean ~93.93 days, peer high ~328.79 days), highlighting working-capital tied up in inventory and receivables.

Returns, efficiency and coverage: Return on equity at 4.26% and return on assets at 2.65% register above industry peer means; interest coverage near 14.17x offers strong buffer on interest obligations. Asset turnover at 0.1109 lags the industry peer mean (~0.1533), reflecting lower sales leverage of invested assets and consistent with the long cash conversion cycle.

Capital allocation and cash flow: Free cash flow totaled $4,429,521 with a free cash flow yield of 3.75%, above the industry peer mean free cash flow yield of ~1.27%. Dividend activity expanded sharply: the September 8 special dividend $0.75 plus the regular $0.25 raised the annualized cash return; dividend payout ratio reads 126.40% with dividend coverage 79.12%, reflecting payouts that exceed the most recent quarterly EPS on a simple annualization basis and warrant monitoring within the capital allocation context.

Valuation summary: Price multiples present a mixed picture: trailing P/E ~52.92 and P/S ~12.98, while price-to-book near 2.31 sits below the industry peer mean book multiple. Forward EPS at $0.0025 and forward P/E near 17,892 reflect an anomalously small forward EPS figure that inflates the forward multiple. WMDST values the stock as over-valued, a conclusion that aligns with high trailing multiples, positive margin divergence, and significant cash on the balance sheet that the company has begun returning to shareholders.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-09-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-11-12
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-02-11
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 18.9 M
 Operating Cash Flow 5.7 M
 Capital Expenditures -1.29 M
 Change In Working Capital 3.2 M
 Dividends Paid -2.74 M
 Cash Flow Delta 3.4 M
 End Period Cash Flow 22.2 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 9.1 M
 Forward Revenue 7.7 K
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 5.9 M
 Depreciation 117.9 K
 Depreciation and Amortization 117.9 K
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 7.0 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 3.2 M
 EBITDA 2.2 M
 EBIT 2.1 M
 Operating Income 2.1 M
 Interest Income 472.4 K
 Interest Expense
 Net Interest Income 472.4 K
 Income Before Tax 2.6 M
 Tax Provision 387.7 K
 Tax Rate 15.159 %
 Net Income 2.2 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 2.2 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.67
 EPS Actual 0.76
 EPS Difference 0.09
 EPS Surprise 13.433 %
 Forward EPS 0.00
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 84.8 M
 Intangible Assets
 Net Tangible Assets 51.0 M
 Total Current Assets 80.7 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 46.9 M
 Cash 22.2 M
 Net Receivables 6.4 M
 Inventory 21.1 M
 Long-Term Investments
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 3.4 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 33.9 M
 Net Debt
 Total Debt
 Total Liabilities 33.9 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 51.0 M
 Retained Earnings 31.0 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 17.38
 Shares Outstanding 2.934 M
 Revenue Per-Share 3.10
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 118.0 M
 Enterprise Value
 Enterprise Multiple
Enterprise Multiple QoQ
Enterprise Multiple YoY
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA
 EV/R
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.664
 Asset To Liability 2.505
 Debt To Capital
 Debt To Assets
Debt To Assets QoQ
Debt To Assets YoY
Debt To Assets IPRWA
 Debt To Equity
Debt To Equity QoQ
Debt To Equity YoY
Debt To Equity IPRWA
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 2.314
Price To Book QoQ -4.894 %
Price To Book YoY 30.839 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 9.111
mean: 4.249
median: 3.684
ESP: 2.314
low: -1.835
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 52.919
Price To Earnings QoQ 0.0 %
Price To Earnings YoY 41.047 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 157.791
mean: 88.896
median: 81.953
ESP: 52.919
low: -33.071
 PE/G Ratio
 Price To Sales (P/S) 12.975
Price To Sales QoQ 0.624 %
Price To Sales YoY 80.274 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 31.268
mean: 16.222
median: 15.39
ESP: 12.975
low: 0.276
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 17892.532
Forward PE/G
Forward P/S 15356.475
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 4.101
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.111
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -12.185 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -39.37 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.442
mean: 0.153
median: 0.12
ESP: 0.111
low: 0.026
 Receivables Turnover 1.303
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -4.91 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -14.817 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 3.065
mean: 1.753
median: 1.616
ESP: 1.303
low: 0.264
 Inventory Turnover 0.302
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -10.723 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -23.56 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.298
mean: 1.041
median: 1.038
ESP: 0.302
low: 0.236
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 70.03
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 327.528
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ 30.528 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 43.736 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 328.786
ESP: 327.528
median: 95.441
mean: 93.932
low: -31.206
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.194
 CapEx To Revenue -0.142
 CapEx To Depreciation -10.948
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 51.0 M
 Net Invested Capital 51.0 M
 Invested Capital 51.0 M
 Net Tangible Assets 51.0 M
 Net Working Capital 46.9 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 1.385
 Current Ratio 2.384
Current Ratio QoQ -10.348 %
Current Ratio YoY -32.88 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 8.334
ESP: 2.384
mean: 1.336
median: 1.155
low: 0.876
 Quick Ratio 1.762
Quick Ratio QoQ -13.113 %
Quick Ratio YoY -22.315 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 7.533
ESP: 1.762
mean: 0.905
median: 0.72
low: 0.65
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA
 Cost Of Debt
 Interest Coverage Ratio 14.167
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -21.512 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 20.156 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 45.333
ESP: 14.167
mean: 10.072
median: 4.289
low: -60.965
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.031
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 47.261
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.791
 Dividend Payout Ratio 1.264
 Dividend Rate 0.93
 Dividend Yield 0.023
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 7.243 %
 Revenue Growth -5.245 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -23.52 %
Revenue Growth YoY -47.847 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 44.942 %
median: 6.444 %
mean: 4.939 %
ESP: -5.245 %
low: -27.734 %
 Earnings Growth 0.0 %
Earnings Growth QoQ
Earnings Growth YoY -100.0 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 52.778 %
median: 6.18 %
mean: 1.596 %
ESP: 0.0 %
low: -57.669 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 35.379 %
Gross Margin QoQ -9.986 %
Gross Margin YoY 31.913 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 71.841 %
median: 48.879 %
mean: 43.913 %
ESP: 35.379 %
low: -22.872 %
 EBIT Margin 22.718 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -17.169 %
EBIT Margin YoY 38.003 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 30.674 %
ESP: 22.718 %
median: 21.38 %
mean: 19.847 %
low: -128.385 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 22.718 %
Return On Sales QoQ -17.169 %
Return On Sales YoY 38.003 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 25.804 %
ESP: 22.718 %
median: 20.227 %
mean: 20.164 %
low: -37.774 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 4.4 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 3.754 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 407.297 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 289.419 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 11.554 %
ESP: 3.754 %
mean: 1.271 %
median: 1.127 %
low: -2.711 %
 Free Cash Growth 383.949 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -520.646 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -633.752 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA ESP: 383.949 %
high: 128.865 %
mean: 7.506 %
median: -13.818 %
low: -244.737 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 2.041
 Cash Flow Margin 11.628 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.487
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added
 Return On Assets (ROA) 2.647 %
Return On Assets QoQ -31.407 %
Return On Assets YoY -5.464 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 4.472 %
ESP: 2.647 %
mean: 1.959 %
median: 1.506 %
low: -13.934 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 4.052 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.043
Return On Equity QoQ -26.175 %
Return On Equity YoY 13.161 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.147
ESP: 0.043
mean: 0.037
median: 0.031
low: -0.055
 DuPont ROE 4.262 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 3.438 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -24.089 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -158.669 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 5.346 %
ESP: 3.438 %
mean: 2.92 %
median: 2.483 %
low: -2.217 %

Six-Week Outlook

Expect a technically driven, range-bound window with a bullish tilt but elevated reversion risk. Bullish signals (DI+ rising, DI- falling, MACD above its signal line, price above short- and medium-term moving averages) support attempts to extend gains; low ADX and a peak MRO indicate trend fragility and meaningful risk of pullback toward moving-average support. Thin volume and a close above the 2x Bollinger band increase the probability of consolidation or a corrective retracement. Swing traders should anticipate episodic upside attempts offset by intermittent mean reversion, with momentum signals determining whether follow-through leads to a durable breakout or a fade back toward the moving-average corridor.

About Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp.

Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp. (NYSE:ESP) designs and manufactures power electronics with a primary focus on military and industrial applications. Established in 1928 and based in Saratoga Springs, New York, the company produces a range of electronic equipment, including power supplies, converters, transformers, and distribution equipment. These products support systems used in locomotives, shipboard power, radar, and mobile power solutions. Espey provides a comprehensive array of services, covering design, development, environmental testing, and metal fabrication. The company excels in delivering customized solutions that meet stringent specifications, catering to a diverse clientele that includes industrial manufacturers, defense contractors, and government agencies both in the U.S. and internationally. In addition to complete systems, Espey manufactures individual components such as inductors and printed circuit boards. Their commitment to quality and innovation ensures they remain a reliable partner in the defense and industrial sectors, offering dependable and efficient solutions that support critical operations worldwide.



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