Maximus, Inc. (NYSE:MMS) Accelerates Contract Wins While Capital Returns Expand

Maximus enters a near-term phase defined by new government contracts and stepped-up shareholder distributions, supporting a constructive setup for price stability and gradual upside. Operational margins and strong free cash flow underpin the company’s capital-allocation push.

Recent News

On September 30, 2025 Maximus announced a five-year, $62 million renewal to administer Pennsylvania’s Enrollment Assistance Program, expanding services to CHIP recipients and adding digital enhancements. On September 10, 2025 the Board authorized an expansion of the share-repurchase program to $400 million. On October 6, 2025 the Board declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.30 per share payable December 1, 2025. On October 16, 2025 the company won a $31 million contract with the Massachusetts Health Connector to provide enrollment and premium billing services. On November 5, 2025 Maximus received a potential $86 million award to support Air Force cyber command-and-control modernization.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 25.01 indicates a strong directional environment; trend strength supports continuation of the current price bias and gives weight to follow-through on momentum-driven moves tied to news flow and buyback activity.

DI+ shows a peak-and-reversal; that pattern signals a shift away from prior bullish directional dominance and increases the risk of near-term weakness unless buyers reassert control.

DI- sits at 19.38 and is decreasing, a development that favors buyers relative to prior selling pressure and moderates the bearish implication coming from the DI+ reversal.

MACD currently reads 0.19 with the MACD line above its signal at -0.29, creating a recent bullish crossover. Simultaneously, the MACD trend shows a peak-and-reversal, which signals that bullish momentum may have crested and that any follow-through will require new momentum inputs such as contract news or further buybacks.

MRO at 13.92 registers positive, indicating the price sits above the WMDST target and therefore carries a higher probability of downward revision unless cash-flow or contract drivers extend strength.

RSI at 48.52 with a peak-and-reversal character points to neutral momentum that has recently rolled over; price lacks strong overbought or oversold extremes and remains sensitive to catalysts.

Price relationships place the close at $84.57 slightly above the 12-day and 26-day EMAs (~$84.78 and $84.44 respectively) while below the 50-day average ($85.53). The 200-day average rests near $76.51, anchoring longer-term support. Bollinger bands contain the price (upper ~$87.65, lower ~$79.70), and the super-trend lower support near $82.10 provides a defined short-term floor.

Volume runs below the 10-day average, implying limited participation on recent moves; low 42-day beta (~0.25) suggests muted volatility relative to the market, so pronounced directional moves will likely require material news or increased buyback activity to lift participation.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue totaled $1,318,415,000 for the period ending 2025-09-30. Reported revenue shows mixed timing patterns: QoQ revenue growth stands at 126.25% while year-over-year revenue change reads -31.89%, reflecting large period-to-period variability in reported top-line comparisons.

Operating income measured at $122,862,000 and EBIT at $122,899,000 produce an operating/EBIT margin near 9.32%. That margin exceeds the industry peer mean of 5.45% and the industry peer median of 1.97%, indicating relative margin strength versus peers. QoQ EBIT margin contraction registered -24.11% while the YoY change in EBIT margin was +8.86%.

Net income from continuing operations totaled $75,288,000. Diluted EPS came in at $1.62 versus an estimate of $1.67, a miss of $0.05 representing an EPS surprise of roughly -2.99%.

Cash generation remains a key strength: operating cash flow reached $649,372,000 and free cash flow $641,845,000, yielding a free cash flow yield of approximately 14.01%, comfortably above the industry peer mean of 1.35%. Strong free cash flow funded $457 million of common-stock repurchases during the fiscal year and supports the dividend paid this quarter ($0.30 per share).

Leverage metrics show total debt of $1,444,167,000 and net debt near $1,111,922,000. Debt-to-assets registers about 35.49%, slightly above the industry peer mean of 32.50%; debt-to-EBITDA stands near 9.02x, indicating elevated leverage relative to operating cash generation and suggesting sensitivity to margin or EBITDA swings.

Other profitability and capital-efficiency measures: return on equity about 4.50%, return on assets about 1.77%, and asset turnover approximately 0.31. Asset growth contracted roughly -8.80% while cash conversion cycle sits near 33.9 days. Free-cash growth shows positive YoY movement at ~20.30%.

WMDST values the stock as under-valued based on current cash-flow strength, above-mean EBIT margins, and active capital returns, offset by elevated leverage metrics and volatile top-line comparisons across reporting periods.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-09-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-11-20
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-02-19
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 105.4 M
 Operating Cash Flow 649.4 M
 Capital Expenditures -7.53 M
 Change In Working Capital 536.0 M
 Dividends Paid -16.84 M
 Cash Flow Delta 155.1 M
 End Period Cash Flow 260.5 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 1.3 B
 Forward Revenue 326.3 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 984.9 M
 Depreciation 14.2 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 37.2 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 1.2 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 333.6 M
 EBITDA 160.1 M
 EBIT 122.9 M
 Operating Income 122.9 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 22.4 M
 Net Interest Income -22.43 M
 Income Before Tax 100.5 M
 Tax Provision 25.2 M
 Tax Rate 25.062 %
 Net Income 75.3 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 75.3 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 1.67
 EPS Actual 1.62
 EPS Difference -0.05
 EPS Surprise -2.994 %
 Forward EPS 1.36
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 4.1 B
 Intangible Assets 2.5 B
 Net Tangible Assets -860.59 M
 Total Current Assets 1.3 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 222.4 M
 Cash 222.4 M
 Net Receivables 720.5 M
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments 12.5 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 296.9 M
 Short-Term Debt 52.7 M
 Total Current Liabilities 765.2 M
 Net Debt 1.1 B
 Total Debt 1.4 B
 Total Liabilities 2.4 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 1.7 B
 Retained Earnings 1.1 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 30.55
 Shares Outstanding 54.805 M
 Revenue Per-Share 24.06
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 4.6 B
 Enterprise Value 5.8 B
 Enterprise Multiple 36.261
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 18.049 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 2.948 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 190.244
median: 48.181
MMS: 36.261
mean: -0.767
low: -219.035
 EV/R 4.403
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.431
 Asset To Liability 1.699
 Debt To Capital 0.463
 Debt To Assets 0.355
Debt To Assets QoQ -11.065 %
Debt To Assets YoY 3550.823 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.956
MMS: 0.355
mean: 0.325
median: 0.32
low: 0.004
 Debt To Equity 0.863
Debt To Equity QoQ -14.094 %
Debt To Equity YoY 3860.927 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 2.466
median: 1.121
mean: 1.057
MMS: 0.863
low: -1.645
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 2.737
Price To Book QoQ 11.101 %
Price To Book YoY -4.258 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 27.592
mean: 3.575
MMS: 2.737
median: 1.785
low: -9.335
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 63.346
Price To Earnings QoQ 90.904 %
Price To Earnings YoY -13.656 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 517.132
mean: 79.237
median: 64.535
MMS: 63.346
low: -80.57
 PE/G Ratio -1.629
 Price To Sales (P/S) 3.476
Price To Sales QoQ 7.283 %
Price To Sales YoY -13.195 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 28.774
mean: 6.144
median: 4.136
MMS: 3.476
low: 0.079
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 60.635
Forward PE/G -1.559
Forward P/S 14.044
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 11.6
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.309
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -0.732 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -4.514 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.945
median: 0.397
mean: 0.334
MMS: 0.309
low: 0.001
 Receivables Turnover 1.506
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -1.194 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -22.845 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 9.084
mean: 4.39
median: 2.904
MMS: 1.506
low: 0.147
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 60.589
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 33.881
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 18.871 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 132.972
MMS: 33.881
median: 15.133
mean: 11.156
low: -85.326
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 2.703
 CapEx To Revenue -0.006
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.531
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 3.0 B
 Net Invested Capital 3.0 B
 Invested Capital 3.0 B
 Net Tangible Assets -860.59 M
 Net Working Capital 487.8 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.291
 Current Ratio 1.637
Current Ratio QoQ -27.958 %
Current Ratio YoY 10.141 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 6.656
MMS: 1.637
mean: 1.246
median: 0.832
low: 0.014
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 9.022
 Cost Of Debt 1.043 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 5.479
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -25.052 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -2.698 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 30.491
MMS: 5.479
mean: 1.932
median: 1.798
low: -59.14
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.571
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 26.708
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 4.469
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.224
 Dividend Rate 0.31
 Dividend Yield 0.004
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -8.799 %
 Revenue Growth -2.224 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 126.246 %
Revenue Growth YoY -3188.889 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 14.194 %
mean: 2.959 %
median: 2.066 %
MMS: -2.224 %
low: -22.095 %
 Earnings Growth -38.889 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -621.091 %
Earnings Growth YoY 110.29 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 131.373 %
mean: -6.129 %
median: -11.602 %
MMS: -38.889 %
low: -234.091 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 25.299 %
Gross Margin QoQ -5.112 %
Gross Margin YoY 10.346 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 87.689 %
mean: 28.098 %
median: 27.141 %
MMS: 25.299 %
low: -9.25 %
 EBIT Margin 9.322 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -24.106 %
EBIT Margin YoY 8.864 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 32.526 %
MMS: 9.322 %
mean: 5.454 %
median: 1.971 %
low: -105.324 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 9.319 %
Return On Sales QoQ -24.156 %
Return On Sales YoY 8.829 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 29.872 %
MMS: 9.319 %
mean: 8.024 %
median: 5.889 %
low: -43.781 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 641.8 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 14.006 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -408.706 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 459.569 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA MMS: 14.006 %
high: 13.452 %
mean: 1.348 %
median: 1.231 %
low: -18.788 %
 Free Cash Growth -423.827 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -51.675 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 2030.212 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 558.205 %
mean: -0.297 %
median: -32.54 %
low: -345.24 %
MMS: -423.827 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 8.525
 Cash Flow Margin 33.161 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 5.807
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 1.765 %
Return On Assets QoQ -27.871 %
Return On Assets YoY -1.01 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 7.577 %
MMS: 1.765 %
median: 0.39 %
mean: 0.304 %
low: -22.496 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 3.719 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.045
Return On Equity QoQ -24.762 %
Return On Equity YoY 14.311 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.378
MMS: 0.045
mean: 0.014
median: 0.011
low: -0.391
 DuPont ROE 4.368 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 3.061 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -14.473 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -104.964 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 8.725 %
MMS: 3.061 %
median: 0.766 %
mean: 0.574 %
low: -22.633 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term price action should hinge on two catalyst groups: contract awards/divestitures and capital-return execution. The expanded buyback and the $0.30 dividend create a bias toward steadier support, while recent contract wins supply incremental revenue visibility. Technical setup remains mixed — trend strength exists but DI+ peak-and-reversal and MACD peak behavior caution against a clean, conviction-led rally. Expect range-bound trading between the super-trend support near $82 and resistance set by the 50-day average near $85.50; meaningful directional expansion would likely require renewed positive momentum on volume, another sizable contract award, or further repurchase activity announced by the Board.

About Maximus, Inc.

Maximus, Inc. (NYSE:MMS) delivers comprehensive government services both domestically and internationally. The company structures its operations into three primary segments: U.S. Federal Services, U.S. Services, and Outside the U.S. Within the U.S. Services segment, Maximus manages program eligibility and enrollment processes, operates multilingual customer contact centers, and facilitates digital self-service options. This segment also supports employment services, including job readiness, search, and retention, alongside educational and training services. Additionally, it provides technology solutions and project management services. The U.S. Federal Services segment focuses on business process services, eligibility and enrollment, and outreach for federal health and human services programs. It also delivers clinical services and technology solutions, such as application development, modernization, and cybersecurity services. This segment addresses infrastructure and engineering needs through advanced analytics and emerging technologies. Internationally, the Outside the U.S. segment offers business process solutions to governments, handling health and disability assessments, employment services program administration, and wellbeing solutions. Founded in 1975, Maximus, Inc. maintains its headquarters in McLean, Virginia.



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