Zumiez Inc. (NASDAQ:ZUMZ) Shows Bullish Momentum Suggesting Near-Term Upside Potential

Zumiez enters the period with WMDST valuing the stock as under-valued and operational metrics showing mixed improvement across sales and margins. Recent technical momentum and a constructive retail calendar support a positive near-term profile.

Recent News

October 2025: F1 Academy’s Hello Kitty collaboration will include a limited merchandise collection sold through select retail partners and online platforms, with reporting indicating curated pieces will appear on Zumiez’s retail channels and e-commerce.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 27.99 indicates a strong underlying trend; that strength raises the probability the current directional signals persist into the near term.

DI+ sits at 26.92 with a dip & reversal reading, which signals bullish directional momentum; simultaneously DI- at 15.03 with a peak & reversal reading confirms falling negative-direction pressure, reinforcing a bullish directional read.

MACD at 0.54 sits above the MACD signal line at 0.50 and the MACD shows a dip & reversal; the cross above the signal line constitutes a bullish momentum confirmation that aligns with the directional indicators.

MRO registers 18.93 and shows a peak & reversal. Because MRO is positive, the price sits above the model target and mean-reversion pressure exists; the peak & reversal increases the risk of a short-term pullback from current levels before any further advance.

RSI reads 60.98 with a dip & reversal. That level signals bullish momentum without a classic overbought extreme, supporting continuation of recent strength while leaving room before a potential exhaustion move.

Price relationships reinforce the bullish bias: the close at $24.06 exceeds the 20-day average ($22.43), 50-day average ($21.22), and 200-day average ($15.94). The 12-day EMA shows a dip & reversal consistent with momentum resumption. SuperTrend lower support sits near $21.61 and Bollinger upper bands cluster around $24.00, so the current price trading marginally above the two-standard-deviation upper band suggests near-term extension with reversion risk.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue and sales: total revenue stands at $214,275,000 with revenue growth reported at 16.24%; however year‑over‑year revenue growth provided at -12.16% and quarter‑over‑quarter revenue growth at -147.81% indicate timing disparities across reporting windows that require careful period alignment when comparing trends. Comparable sales commentary in the company release showed modest comparable gains through the quarter and an improved third-quarter-to-date trajectory.

Profitability: operating (EBIT) registers $107,000 and operating margin equals 0.05%. QoQ operating‑margin change equals -100.46% and YoY operating‑margin change equals -126.74%, reflecting margin compression over those measurement windows. Industry peer mean operating margin measures near 13.625% while the industry peer median lies near 14.333%, leaving Zumiez materially below peer central tendency on operating margin.

Cash generation and liquidity: free cash flow totaled $9,485,000, producing a free cash flow yield of 3.74%. Operating cash flow reached $12,583,000 and cash plus short-term investments equal $106,740,000. Current ratio sits at 1.76 and quick ratio at 0.84, signaling a positive short-term liquidity buffer versus immediate liabilities.

Balance sheet and leverage: total debt $208,723,000 against total equity $292,437,000 yields debt-to-equity of 71.37% and debt-to-assets of 33.48%. Debt-to-EBITDA reads 38.46, reflecting leverage relative to EBITDA at its current magnitude.

Margins and unit economics: gross margin equals 35.48%, improving QoQ by 18.23% and YoY by 3.86%, which supports gross-profit resilience even as operating leverage remains muted. Inventory on hand stands at $157,722,000 with days‑inventory outstanding at 108.8 days and a modest inventory-turnover ratio near 0.90x.

Earnings per share: reported EPS actual was $-0.06 versus an estimate of $-0.11, producing a $0.05 upside and an EPS surprise ratio of 45.46%. Forward EPS sits at $0.2025 with a forward PE near 66.96, reflecting limited near-term earnings power baked into forward prices.

Valuation and WMDST view: market capitalization equals $253,801,893 while enterprise value totals $355,784,893 and enterprise multiple registers at 65.56. Price-to-book at 0.87 and price-to-sales at 1.18 combine with a WMDST valuation calling the stock under-valued. That valuation judgment reflects a mix of elevated cash balances, improving gross margins, and a still-recovering bottom line; the balance sheet shows capacity to fund initiatives while operating profitability catches up.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-07-31
REPORT DATE: 2025-09-04
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2025-12-03
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 71.8 M
 Operating Cash Flow 12.6 M
 Capital Expenditures -3.10 M
 Change In Working Capital -12.12 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 12.8 M
 End Period Cash Flow 84.7 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 214.3 M
 Forward Revenue -186.43 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 138.3 M
 Depreciation 5.3 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 5.3 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 214.2 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 76.0 M
 EBITDA 5.4 M
 EBIT 107.0 K
 Operating Income 107.0 K
 Interest Income 753.0 K
 Interest Expense
 Net Interest Income 753.0 K
 Income Before Tax 912.0 K
 Tax Provision 1.9 M
 Tax Rate 21.0 %
 Net Income -1.00 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations -1.00 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate -0.11
 EPS Actual -0.06
 EPS Difference 0.05
 EPS Surprise 45.455 %
 Forward EPS 0.20
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 623.4 M
 Intangible Assets 30.2 M
 Net Tangible Assets 262.2 M
 Total Current Assets 300.8 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 106.7 M
 Cash 78.8 M
 Net Receivables 22.0 M
 Inventory 157.7 M
 Long-Term Investments 12.1 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 69.2 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 171.0 M
 Net Debt
 Total Debt 208.7 M
 Total Liabilities 331.0 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 292.4 M
 Retained Earnings 100.7 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 16.98
 Shares Outstanding 17.221 M
 Revenue Per-Share 12.44
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 253.8 M
 Enterprise Value 355.8 M
 Enterprise Multiple 65.558
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -380.261 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -26.71 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 180.924
ZUMZ: 65.558
mean: 64.053
median: 59.255
low: -68.779
 EV/R 1.66
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.132
 Asset To Liability 1.884
 Debt To Capital 0.416
 Debt To Assets 0.335
Debt To Assets QoQ -0.594 %
Debt To Assets YoY 78.599 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 1.051
median: 0.516
mean: 0.489
ZUMZ: 0.335
low: 0.086
 Debt To Equity 0.714
Debt To Equity QoQ 5.575 %
Debt To Equity YoY 81.854 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 4.701
median: 1.374
mean: 1.345
ZUMZ: 0.714
low: -2.674
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 0.868
Price To Book QoQ 8.84 %
Price To Book YoY -39.327 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 11.685
mean: 5.369
median: 4.947
ZUMZ: 0.868
low: -5.158
 Price To Earnings (P/E) -247.091
Price To Earnings QoQ 1357.409 %
Price To Earnings YoY -58.172 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 279.007
mean: 89.15
median: 82.476
low: -89.111
ZUMZ: -247.091
 PE/G Ratio 2.674
 Price To Sales (P/S) 1.184
Price To Sales QoQ -8.26 %
Price To Sales YoY -45.58 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 18.293
median: 10.724
mean: 9.546
ZUMZ: 1.184
low: 0.22
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 66.964
Forward PE/G -0.725
Forward P/S -1.361
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -6.192
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.351
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 17.33 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 10.594 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.661
ZUMZ: 0.351
mean: 0.334
median: 0.329
low: 0.084
 Receivables Turnover 11.62
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -33.44 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 1.017 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 104.964
mean: 14.602
ZUMZ: 11.62
median: 9.92
low: 0.289
 Inventory Turnover 0.899
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 3.294 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -0.749 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.29
ZUMZ: 0.899
mean: 0.742
median: 0.658
low: 0.197
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 7.853
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 74.834
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ 33.684 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 8.29 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 351.932
ZUMZ: 74.834
median: 36.054
mean: 21.656
low: -107.374
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 1.651
 CapEx To Revenue -0.014
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.582
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 292.4 M
 Net Invested Capital 292.4 M
 Invested Capital 292.4 M
 Net Tangible Assets 262.2 M
 Net Working Capital 129.8 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.624
 Current Ratio 1.759
Current Ratio QoQ -8.135 %
Current Ratio YoY -2.712 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 4.244
ZUMZ: 1.759
mean: 1.193
median: 1.038
low: 0.071
 Quick Ratio 0.836
Quick Ratio QoQ -6.451 %
Quick Ratio YoY -10.015 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 2.26
ZUMZ: 0.836
mean: 0.345
median: 0.141
low: 0.054
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 38.46
 Cost Of Debt 0.122 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 0.338
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -100.538 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -127.226 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 52.0
median: 16.506
mean: 14.42
ZUMZ: 0.338
low: -17.385
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.055
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 41.783
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 4.054 %
 Revenue Growth 16.237 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -147.805 %
Revenue Growth YoY -12.161 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 40.558 %
ZUMZ: 16.237 %
mean: 9.772 %
median: 3.992 %
low: -16.233 %
 Earnings Growth -92.405 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -54.092 %
Earnings Growth YoY -3.088 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 285.714 %
median: 8.108 %
mean: 3.169 %
ZUMZ: -92.405 %
low: -300.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 35.477 %
Gross Margin QoQ 18.229 %
Gross Margin YoY 3.858 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 97.069 %
median: 47.073 %
mean: 42.855 %
ZUMZ: 35.477 %
low: 10.882 %
 EBIT Margin 0.05 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -100.464 %
EBIT Margin YoY -126.738 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 20.894 %
median: 14.438 %
mean: 13.789 %
ZUMZ: 0.05 %
low: -3.927 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 0.05 %
Return On Sales QoQ -100.464 %
Return On Sales YoY -126.738 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 20.742 %
median: 14.333 %
mean: 13.625 %
ZUMZ: 0.05 %
low: -3.927 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 9.5 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 3.737 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -136.598 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -3113.71 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 10.42 %
ZUMZ: 3.737 %
mean: 1.092 %
median: 0.763 %
low: -13.337 %
 Free Cash Growth -139.028 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -6.63 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 42.849 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 535.911 %
median: -33.254 %
mean: -59.177 %
ZUMZ: -139.028 %
low: -670.853 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -9.466
 Cash Flow Margin 4.413 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings -9.438
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.02
 Return On Assets (ROA) -0.164 %
Return On Assets QoQ -92.94 %
Return On Assets YoY 28.125 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 4.767 %
median: 4.135 %
mean: 3.213 %
ZUMZ: -0.164 %
low: -6.658 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 0.024 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) -0.003
Return On Equity QoQ -92.856 %
Return On Equity YoY 29.434 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.115
median: 0.068
mean: 0.064
ZUMZ: -0.003
low: -0.041
 DuPont ROE -0.339 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 0.029 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -100.479 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -99.865 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 17.9 %
mean: 9.913 %
median: 9.135 %
ZUMZ: 0.029 %
low: -2.348 %

Six-Week Outlook

Technical momentum and directional indicators favor continued upside into the next six weeks, provided momentum holds above near-term support. Immediate upside faces structural caps at the 52-week high ($24.37) and the average price target mean ($23.56) sits slightly below the current close, which may compress near-term upside expectations. Positive MACD and DI+ readings support continuation, while a positive MRO and the price trading near the upper Bollinger band raise the probability of a short pullback or consolidation before extension.

Fundamental context suggests any momentum run likely requires sustained improvement in operating margin or clearer earnings durability to widen valuation multiples meaningfully; the company’s cash position and modest free cash flow yield reduce balance-sheet risk over the swing timeframe. Watch volume relative to the 10‑ and 50‑day averages for confirmation of directional conviction; elevated volume would support breakout persistence, while fading volume increases pullback probability.

About Zumiez Inc.

Zumiez Inc. (NASDAQ:ZUMZ) delivers a diverse range of apparel, footwear, accessories, and hardgoods tailored for young men and women. The company curates an extensive selection of skateboards, snowboards, bindings, and related equipment, catering to the active lifestyle of its target demographic. With a robust retail presence, Zumiez Inc. manages stores across the United States, Canada, Europe, and Australia, operating under the brand names Zumiez, Blue Tomato, and Fast Times. Their digital footprint extends through e-commerce platforms such as zumiez.com, zumiez.ca, blue-tomato.com, and fasttimes.com.au, enhancing accessibility and customer engagement. Founded in 1978 and headquartered in Lynnwood, Washington, Zumiez Inc. maintains a commitment to offering quality products that resonate with the youth culture.



© 2025 WMDST — The World’s Most Dangerous Swing Trader. All rights reserved.