Lincoln Educational Services Corporation (NASDAQ:LINC) Reaccelerates Growth And Raises Near‑Term Outlook

Strong top‑line momentum pairs with mixed technical momentum and stretched valuation; near‑term price action will hinge on whether operational leverage sustains recent margin gains. WMDST values the stock as over‑valued.

Recent News

Nov. 11, 2025 — Barrington Research maintained coverage of Lincoln Educational Services with an Outperform rating and published a one‑year price target range implying upside versus the recent share price. The research note reiterated confidence in the company’s growth trajectory following recent operational updates.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators show no established trend: ADX sits at 17.13, indicating a lack of a strong market trend and limiting conviction for breakout directional trades.

DI+ experienced a peak & reversal, a bearish signal that indicates weakened upside pressure. DI‑ has been decreasing, a bullish signal that indicates waning downside pressure; together these DI moves produce a mixed directional picture that aligns with the low ADX.

MACD sits at -0.24 with the MACD line above the signal line (-0.31), which registers as a bullish crossover signal; however, the MACD trend shows a peak & reversal, indicating bearish momentum developing beneath that crossover. The combination suggests short‑term momentum conflict rather than a clear trending thrust.

MRO reads 0.53, a positive value that indicates price currently trades above WMDST’s target framework and therefore carries an increased likelihood of mean reversion toward the target. The oscillator’s small absolute magnitude signals limited immediate pressure but favors downside toward the valuation target.

RSI rests at 46.12 with a peak & reversal pattern, signaling recent loss of upward momentum and a bias toward consolidation or modest downside from current levels.

Price sits near $19.91, below the 50‑day average ($21.33) and the 12‑day EMA ($20.33), and marginally below the 200‑day average ($20.09). Bollinger band mid/upper metrics and the super trend lower support align roughly with $18.89–$21.40, framing a near‑term range that technical indicators suggest will more likely consolidate or drift lower than produce a sustained breakout higher.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue totaled $141,389,000 with revenue growth year‑over‑year of 91.50% and reported revenue growth of 21.39%; the company shows strong top‑line expansion for the period reported. Gross profit measured $84,106,000 and gross margin stands at 59.49% (up 2.57% YoY), supporting operating leverage as student population and tuition mix shift.

EBIT registered $6,285,000 and EBITDA $11,328,000, producing an EBIT margin of 4.45%. EBIT margin improved QoQ by 79.23% but fell YoY by 19.09%. The company’s EBIT margin sits below the industry peer mean of 19.08% and below the industry peer median of 20.41%, indicating margins lag typical peer levels despite recent QoQ improvement.

Earnings per share came in at $0.20 versus an estimate of $0.12, generating an EPS surprise of 66.67% and an EPS beat of $0.08. Forward EPS stands at $0.1525 and forward P/E measures 137.74x, reflecting elevated forward multiples versus current earnings expectations.

Valuation multiples present mixed signals: trailing P/E equals 105.24x (above the industry peer mean of 48.76x), while price‑to‑book sits at 3.58x, below the industry peer mean of 4.18x. Price‑to‑sales registers 4.71x, below the industry peer mean of 11.86x. Free cash flow totaled $2,031,000 with a free cash flow yield of 0.31%, slightly above the industry peer mean of 0.26% but still low in absolute terms. Enterprise multiple reached 74.85x, reflecting elevated valuation relative to operating earnings.

Balance‑sheet and liquidity metrics highlight leverage and working capital pressure: total debt equals $195,727,000 with debt‑to‑equity of 1.05 and debt‑to‑EBITDA of 17.28x. Debt‑to‑assets reads 41.92%, above the industry peer mean of 11.95%. Current ratio stands at 0.81, below the industry peer mean of 1.73, and quick ratio at 0.77 sits marginally below the industry peer low of 0.79. Cash and short‑term investments total $13,480,000 while operating cash flow measured $23,882,000; net working capital remains negative at -$18,547,000. Cash conversion cycle is -28.19 days, which sits well below the industry peer mean of 8.82 days and points to efficient collections and payables timing.

Returns remain modest: return on equity equals 2.04% and return on assets 0.83%, both below their respective industry peer means. Interest coverage equals 6.34x, a positive sign for near‑term servicing of interest but below the industry peer mean of 22.03x.

WMDST valuation assessment: despite robust revenue expansion and a healthy gross margin, elevated P/E and enterprise multiples, thin free cash flow yield, and high leverage produce an over‑valued characterization under WMDST’s framework.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-09-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-11-10
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-02-09
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 16.7 M
 Operating Cash Flow 23.9 M
 Capital Expenditures -21.85 M
 Change In Working Capital -4.51 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta -3.22 M
 End Period Cash Flow 13.5 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 141.4 M
 Forward Revenue 44.9 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 57.3 M
 Depreciation 5.0 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 5.0 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 135.1 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 84.1 M
 EBITDA 11.3 M
 EBIT 6.3 M
 Operating Income 6.3 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 991.0 K
 Net Interest Income -991.00 K
 Income Before Tax 5.3 M
 Tax Provision 1.5 M
 Tax Rate 28.2 %
 Net Income 3.8 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 3.8 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.12
 EPS Actual 0.20
 EPS Difference 0.08
 EPS Surprise 66.667 %
 Forward EPS 0.15
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 466.9 M
 Intangible Assets 10.7 M
 Net Tangible Assets 175.1 M
 Total Current Assets 77.3 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 13.5 M
 Cash 13.5 M
 Net Receivables 51.1 M
 Inventory 3.1 M
 Long-Term Investments 1.3 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 35.1 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 95.9 M
 Net Debt
 Total Debt 195.7 M
 Total Liabilities 281.1 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 185.9 M
 Retained Earnings 86.5 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 5.88
 Shares Outstanding 31.624 M
 Revenue Per-Share 4.47
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 665.6 M
 Enterprise Value 847.9 M
 Enterprise Multiple 74.849
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -35.644 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 91.353 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 84.509
LINC: 74.849
mean: 54.566
median: 52.588
low: -3.858
 EV/R 5.997
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.512
 Asset To Liability 1.661
 Debt To Capital 0.513
 Debt To Assets 0.419
Debt To Assets QoQ -0.861 %
Debt To Assets YoY 1538.023 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.597
LINC: 0.419
mean: 0.119
median: 0.098
low: 0.003
 Debt To Equity 1.053
Debt To Equity QoQ 0.605 %
Debt To Equity YoY 1631.251 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA LINC: 1.053
high: 0.595
mean: 0.226
median: 0.198
low: 0.012
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 3.582
Price To Book QoQ -2.361 %
Price To Book YoY 52.388 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 7.533
mean: 4.184
median: 3.717
LINC: 3.582
low: 0.053
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 105.243
Price To Earnings QoQ -76.039 %
Price To Earnings YoY 7.818 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 122.67
LINC: 105.243
mean: 48.765
median: 32.773
low: -12.376
 PE/G Ratio 0.351
 Price To Sales (P/S) 4.708
Price To Sales QoQ -17.262 %
Price To Sales YoY 34.839 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 21.866
mean: 11.857
median: 10.448
LINC: 4.708
low: 0.093
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 137.739
Forward PE/G 0.459
Forward P/S 14.834
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 5.495
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.309
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 16.147 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 4.138 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.514
LINC: 0.309
mean: 0.2
median: 0.193
low: 0.129
 Receivables Turnover 2.874
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 16.637 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 21.464 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 5.76
LINC: 2.874
median: 2.711
mean: 2.666
low: 0.907
 Inventory Turnover 15.08
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 11.159 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -20.667 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA LINC: 15.08
high: 14.777
mean: 8.179
median: 7.631
low: 3.784
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 31.749
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) -28.187
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ 27.496 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 755.331 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 95.956
mean: 8.82
median: 2.199
low: -14.413
LINC: -28.187
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio -7.623
 CapEx To Revenue -0.155
 CapEx To Depreciation -4.333
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 193.9 M
 Net Invested Capital 193.9 M
 Invested Capital 193.9 M
 Net Tangible Assets 175.1 M
 Net Working Capital -18.55 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.141
 Current Ratio 0.807
Current Ratio QoQ -10.61 %
Current Ratio YoY -48.677 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 4.471
mean: 1.734
median: 1.653
LINC: 0.807
low: 0.807
 Quick Ratio 0.774
Quick Ratio QoQ -9.041 %
Quick Ratio YoY -49.545 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 6.694
mean: 2.045
median: 1.627
low: 0.79
LINC: 0.774
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 17.278
 Cost Of Debt 0.37 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 6.342
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 78.474 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -33.512 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 84.737
median: 27.42
mean: 22.025
LINC: 6.342
low: -1.748
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.078
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 67.343
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 4.386 %
 Revenue Growth 21.391 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -2536.333 %
Revenue Growth YoY 91.504 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 22.509 %
median: 22.509 %
LINC: 21.391 %
mean: 15.824 %
low: -26.045 %
 Earnings Growth 300.0 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -650.005 %
Earnings Growth YoY -140.0 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA LINC: 300.0 %
high: 225.0 %
median: 150.0 %
mean: 115.695 %
low: -300.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 59.486 %
Gross Margin QoQ -0.57 %
Gross Margin YoY 2.566 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 88.469 %
LINC: 59.486 %
median: 58.122 %
mean: 55.495 %
low: 20.91 %
 EBIT Margin 4.445 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 79.234 %
EBIT Margin YoY -19.094 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 29.284 %
median: 20.409 %
mean: 19.078 %
LINC: 4.445 %
low: -51.547 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 4.452 %
Return On Sales QoQ 97.779 %
Return On Sales YoY -18.966 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 27.787 %
median: 20.409 %
mean: 18.924 %
LINC: 4.452 %
low: -51.547 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 2.0 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.305 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -107.749 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -108.853 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 2.953 %
LINC: 0.305 %
mean: 0.262 %
median: 0.229 %
low: -3.352 %
 Free Cash Growth -107.785 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 1298.171 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -126.378 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 181.377 %
median: 37.457 %
mean: 22.47 %
LINC: -107.785 %
low: -186.47 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.535
 Cash Flow Margin 5.278 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.964
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 0.831 %
Return On Assets QoQ 134.085 %
Return On Assets YoY -19.006 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 5.867 %
median: 3.044 %
mean: 2.735 %
LINC: 0.831 %
low: -4.464 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 1.694 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.02
Return On Equity QoQ 137.674 %
Return On Equity YoY -12.124 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.137
median: 0.061
mean: 0.053
LINC: 0.02
low: -0.12
 DuPont ROE 2.073 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 2.327 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 108.326 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -122.987 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 14.048 %
median: 5.742 %
mean: 5.176 %
LINC: 2.327 %
low: -5.963 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near‑term price action should favor consolidation with a mild downside bias absent fresh fundamental catalysts. Low ADX and conflicting DI signals imply range behavior; MACD’s mixed readings plus RSI peak & reversal favor limited upside momentum. The small positive MRO combined with WMDST’s over‑valued assessment increases the probability of mean reversion pressure toward the firm’s valuation target.

Key technical reference points cluster near the super trend lower around $18.89 and the Bollinger upper band/50‑day average near $21.3–$21.4; expect trading to oscillate within that band unless a clear increase in trend strength (ADX rising above 20 with aligned DI direction and confirming MACD momentum) appears. Watch liquidity and leverage metrics reported above; any operational update that meaningfully widens adjusted EBITDA or materially improves free cash flow will alter the near‑term bias more decisively.

About Lincoln Educational Services Corporation

Lincoln Educational Services Corporation (NASDAQ:LINC) delivers career-oriented post-secondary education services across the United States. The company targets high school graduates and working adults, offering a range of programs through its two segments: Campus Operations and Transitional. Lincoln Educational Services provides associate’s degrees, diplomas, and certificates in fields such as automotive technology and skilled trades, which include electrical, HVAC repair, welding, and computerized numerical control. In the health sciences sector, the company educates students in programs for licensed practical nurses, registered nurses, dental assistants, medical assistants, medical administrative assistants, and claims examiners. Additionally, Lincoln Educational Services extends its offerings to hospitality and information technology, with courses in culinary arts, therapeutic massage, cosmetology, aesthetics, and computer systems support. The company operates under several brand names, including Lincoln Technical Institute, Lincoln College of Technology, Lincoln Culinary Institute, and Euphoria Institute of Beauty Arts and Sciences. Founded in 1946, Lincoln Educational Services Corporation is headquartered in Parsippany, New Jersey, and continues to support students in achieving their career goals through comprehensive educational programs.



© 2025 WMDST — The World’s Most Dangerous Swing Trader. All rights reserved.