Sphere Entertainment Co. (NYSE:SPHR) Signals Continued Revenue Momentum Despite Short-Term Momentum Loss

Strong ticket demand and share repurchases support a constructive operational narrative, while technical indicators show weakening momentum that could compress near-term upside.

Recent News

On November 4, 2025, Sphere Entertainment reported third-quarter results for the period ended September 30, 2025, noting total revenue of $262.5 million and segment highlights including the August 28 debut of The Wizard of Oz at Sphere and sponsorship agreements with Zoox and Lenovo; the release also disclosed $50 million of share repurchases year-to-date. On September 12, 2025, the company announced an additional $22.5 million repurchase of Class A shares, bringing 2025 buybacks to $50 million. On November 5, 2025, a major bank maintained an Overweight rating on the stock. On November 17, 2025, aggregate analyst targets shifted, producing a revised average one-year price target near the mid-$60s to $70s range.

Technical Analysis

ADX reads 42.66, indicating a very strong directional environment; strength does not imply direction but signals that price moves possess notable momentum.

DI+ shows a decreasing trend while DI- shows an increasing trend, which signals rising selling pressure against previously stronger buying pressure and biases near-term directional odds toward downside pressure.

MACD currently at 3.57 and the MACD signal at 3.82, with the MACD trend decreasing, indicates bearish momentum; the indicator sits below its signal line, reinforcing waning upside momentum.

MRO at 34.42 and trending higher signals price sits above the model target and carries elevated downside potential as momentum mean-reverts toward target levels.

RSI at 64.26 and trending down indicates reduced upward stamina after a recent push; the indicator remains below classic overbought thresholds but shows momentum cooling.

Price sits at $76.00 with the 12-day EMA increasing and the 20-day average at $76.00; the 50-day ($66.16) and 200-day ($45.53) averages lie well below current price, indicating a persistent longer-term upward tilt even as short-term momentum softens.

Ichimoku components display TenkanSen (72.73) above KijunSen (69.83), a bullish configuration that supports continuation of the multi-week trend, while price remains inside the upper Bollinger band range below the 1x upper band ($78.97), leaving limited short-term upside before volatility expands.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue totaled $282.7 million for the indicated period; reported EBIT reached $299,617,000, producing an EBIT margin of 105.99%, well above the industry peer mean EBIT margin of 18.37% and above the industry peer median of 15.43%.

Operating income registered a loss of $45,571,000, yielding an operating margin of -16.12%, below the industry peer mean operating margin of 15.66% and indicating material operating-level expense absorption despite strong top-line performance.

Net income reported at $151,816,000 contrasts with an operating loss, reflecting non-operating gains or adjustments. EPS came in at -$1.12 versus an estimate of -$1.87, producing an EPS surprise of +40.11% relative to the estimate.

Gross margin stands at 53.55% with QoQ improvement of 22.889% and YoY improvement of 18.175%, showing strong margin generation at the gross level. Cash on hand totals $355,661,000 with a cash ratio near 67.50% and a current ratio of 1.13, providing liquidity buffers while operating cash flow swung negative at -$59,059,000 for the period and free cash flow finished at -$73,711,000, yielding a free cash flow yield of -4.97%.

Leverage metrics show total debt of $1,018,612,000, debt to EBITDA of 2.66x and net debt around $533,673,000; interest coverage sits at 11.59x but trended lower QoQ and YoY, reflecting higher interest or lower operating income pressure. Debt-to-assets sits at 24.26% and debt-to-equity at 0.44, within the provided industry peer range on the lower side of leverage extremes.

Return metrics: return on equity at 6.56% and return on assets at 3.51% both exceed the industry peer means provided, signaling reasonable capital returns given current net income. Revenue growth shows modest YoY movement (≈0.75% reported elsewhere but YoY revenue change -1.05%), while earnings growth shows a large YoY jump of +220.49% driven by comparatives.

Valuation multiples display a trailing P/E of 10.86; forward EPS sits negative at -$1.545 producing a negative forward P/E. Price-to-book at 0.64 sits below the industry peer mean book multiple of 1.82. EV/Revenue and enterprise multiples remain moderate with an enterprise multiple near 5.60 and enterprise value near $2.147 billion. WMDST values the stock as over-valued based on the combined cash-flow profile, negative near-term free cash flow, and market multiple dynamics.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-11-04
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-02-03
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 478.2 M
 Operating Cash Flow -59.06 M
 Capital Expenditures -14.65 M
 Change In Working Capital -81.04 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta -109.28 M
 End Period Cash Flow 368.9 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 282.7 M
 Forward Revenue -25.89 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 131.3 M
 Depreciation 82.3 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 83.9 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 328.2 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 151.4 M
 EBITDA 383.5 M
 EBIT 299.6 M
 Operating Income -45.57 M
 Interest Income 4.1 M
 Interest Expense 25.9 M
 Net Interest Income -21.78 M
 Income Before Tax 273.8 M
 Tax Provision 121.9 M
 Tax Rate 21.0 %
 Net Income 151.8 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 151.8 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate -1.87
 EPS Actual -1.12
 EPS Difference 0.75
 EPS Surprise 40.107 %
 Forward EPS -1.54
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 4.2 B
 Intangible Assets 435.3 M
 Net Tangible Assets 1.9 B
 Total Current Assets 595.4 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 355.7 M
 Cash 355.7 M
 Net Receivables 151.2 M
 Inventory 12.8 M
 Long-Term Investments 190.0 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 14.8 M
 Short-Term Debt 58.8 M
 Total Current Liabilities 526.9 M
 Net Debt 533.7 M
 Total Debt 1.0 B
 Total Liabilities 1.9 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 2.3 B
 Retained Earnings -149.98 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 64.27
 Shares Outstanding 35.999 M
 Revenue Per-Share 7.85
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 1.5 B
 Enterprise Value 2.1 B
 Enterprise Multiple 5.597
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -97.888 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -94.73 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 93.343
median: 49.238
mean: 47.084
SPHR: 5.597
low: -186.007
 EV/R 7.594
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.815
 Asset To Liability 2.227
 Debt To Capital 0.306
 Debt To Assets 0.243
Debt To Assets QoQ -26.196 %
Debt To Assets YoY 36.734 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.821
mean: 0.248
SPHR: 0.243
median: 0.215
low: 0.052
 Debt To Equity 0.44
Debt To Equity QoQ -35.489 %
Debt To Equity YoY 25.196 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 5.795
SPHR: 0.44
mean: 0.41
median: 0.387
low: -4.209
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 0.641
Price To Book QoQ 17.928 %
Price To Book YoY 9.267 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 5.639
median: 1.909
mean: 1.821
SPHR: 0.641
low: -16.988
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 10.865
Price To Earnings QoQ -175.572 %
Price To Earnings YoY -135.502 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 154.782
median: 71.746
mean: 71.579
SPHR: 10.865
low: -45.988
 PE/G Ratio -0.033
 Price To Sales (P/S) 5.248
Price To Sales QoQ 26.428 %
Price To Sales YoY 1.222 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 23.442
mean: 10.211
median: 8.81
SPHR: 5.248
low: 0.515
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E -23.697
Forward PE/G 0.071
Forward P/S -57.303
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -658.895
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.065
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 15.472 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.24
mean: 0.122
median: 0.121
SPHR: 0.065
low: 0.012
 Receivables Turnover 1.804
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 34.23 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 10.057
mean: 3.287
median: 1.821
SPHR: 1.804
low: 0.522
 Inventory Turnover 10.108
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -54.106 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 32.888
SPHR: 10.108
median: 7.125
mean: 6.95
low: 0.88
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 50.592
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 44.063
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -1.028 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 190.646
median: 96.783
SPHR: 44.063
mean: -11.918
low: -217.211
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 4.128
 CapEx To Revenue -0.052
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.178
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 3.1 B
 Net Invested Capital 3.2 B
 Invested Capital 3.2 B
 Net Tangible Assets 1.9 B
 Net Working Capital 68.5 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.675
 Current Ratio 1.13
Current Ratio QoQ 112.297 %
Current Ratio YoY 79.303 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 2.845
SPHR: 1.13
mean: 1.105
median: 0.722
low: 0.163
 Quick Ratio 1.106
Quick Ratio QoQ 111.513 %
Quick Ratio YoY 77.884 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 2.058
SPHR: 1.106
mean: 0.698
median: 0.659
low: 0.151
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 2.656
 Cost Of Debt 1.647 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 11.585
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -499.104 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -570.693 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA SPHR: 11.585
high: 10.286
median: 8.331
mean: 8.016
low: -4.435
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.433
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 14.017
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -5.589 %
 Revenue Growth 0.75 %
Revenue Growth QoQ
Revenue Growth YoY -105.027 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 561.795 %
mean: 48.414 %
SPHR: 0.75 %
median: 0.123 %
low: -51.919 %
 Earnings Growth -333.125 %
Earnings Growth QoQ 845.196 %
Earnings Growth YoY 22049.269 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 100.0 %
median: 11.034 %
mean: -1.342 %
low: -296.875 %
SPHR: -333.125 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 53.545 %
Gross Margin QoQ 22.889 %
Gross Margin YoY 18.175 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 94.732 %
SPHR: 53.545 %
median: 38.554 %
mean: 38.364 %
low: 19.303 %
 EBIT Margin 105.993 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -490.931 %
EBIT Margin YoY -537.337 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA SPHR: 105.993 %
high: 37.584 %
mean: 18.368 %
median: 15.429 %
low: -10.851 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) -16.121 %
Return On Sales QoQ -40.541 %
Return On Sales YoY -33.483 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 21.104 %
mean: 15.662 %
median: 15.412 %
SPHR: -16.121 %
low: -31.277 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -73.71 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield -4.968 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 419.122 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 13.321 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 7.703 %
mean: 0.962 %
median: 0.907 %
low: -1.643 %
SPHR: -4.968 %
 Free Cash Growth 561.441 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ
Free Cash Growth YoY -418.635 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA SPHR: 561.441 %
high: 209.793 %
median: -61.378 %
mean: -61.663 %
low: -305.995 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -0.486
 Cash Flow Margin 80.651 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.502
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 3.512 %
Return On Assets QoQ
Return On Assets YoY -463.938 %
Return On Assets IPRWA SPHR: 3.512 %
high: 3.109 %
median: 2.682 %
mean: 2.546 %
low: -8.698 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 8.159 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.066
Return On Equity QoQ -271.511 %
Return On Equity YoY -440.176 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.347
SPHR: 0.066
median: 0.048
mean: 0.046
low: -0.26
 DuPont ROE 6.814 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 7.39 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -520.843 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -142.272 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA SPHR: 7.39 %
high: 4.377 %
mean: 2.252 %
median: 1.904 %
low: -2.034 %

Six-Week Outlook

Operational momentum from ticketed residencies and sponsorships supports a medium-term constructive bias, but multiple short-term technical indicators signal a heightened risk of a consolidation or pullback. Very strong ADX combined with decreasing DI+, increasing DI-, a falling MACD and a positive MRO suggest price may correct toward short-term support, while moving averages and Ichimoku structure preserve a trend-level upside bias. Expect volatility to remain elevated; traders should watch for renewed MACD improvement or a reversal in DI+/DI- to confirm re-acceleration, while failure of the 12-day EMA to hold would likely extend pressure toward the mid-range of recent averages.

About Sphere Entertainment Co.

Sphere Entertainment Co. (NYSE:SPHR) develops and delivers live entertainment and media experiences across the United States. The company operates through two primary segments: Sphere and MSG Networks. The Sphere segment harnesses advanced technologies to craft immersive, multi-sensory entertainment experiences on a grand scale. Meanwhile, the MSG Networks segment manages regional sports and entertainment networks, offering a direct-to-consumer streaming service that enhances viewer engagement. Originally known as Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp., the company rebranded to Sphere Entertainment Co. in April 2023. Established in 2006, Sphere Entertainment Co. maintains its headquarters in New York, New York, continuing to innovate within the entertainment industry.



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