Bill Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:BILL) Accelerates Profitability Amid Mixed Near-Term Technical Pressure

Recent operational gains and a large share‑repurchase program strengthen the valuation backdrop while short‑term momentum indicators favor caution for near‑term price action.

Recent News

On August 27, 2025 the company reported fiscal 2025 results, citing $1.46B in total revenue, core revenue growth of 16% year‑over‑year, and a new $300M share repurchase authorization; on November 6, 2025 BILL reported Q1 FY26 results showing continued revenue growth and announced several Embed 2.0 partnerships with major platform partners.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators: ADX at 25.32 indicates a strong underlying trend; directional movement reads bearish as DI‑ sits at 27.48 and is increasing while DI+ sits at 14.34 and is decreasing, implying negative directional pressure on price and tying to a cautious near‑term outlook.

MACD: MACD at -1.03 with a declining MACD_trend and a signal line at -0.38 indicates negative and declining momentum, reinforcing the immediate downside bias until a MACD dip‑and‑reverse or a MACD cross above the signal line appears.

MRO: MRO at -24.41 and decreasing signals the price trades below target and suggests material upside potential from mean reversion if momentum indicators turn constructive; current direction strengthens that potential.

RSI and price momentum: RSI at 41.46 and decreasing places momentum below neutral, which could limit immediate upside and favors consolidation unless buying momentum reappears.

Price vs moving averages and bands: The last close at $45.59 sits below the 20‑, 50‑ and 200‑day averages (20d: $49.10; 50d: $50.75; 200d: $49.73), and inside the lower segments of the Bollinger bands (lower 1σ $46.41, lower 2σ $43.72), indicating price beneath typical trend anchors and nearer lower volatility support—this aligns with the bearish directional indicators while leaving room for mean reversion toward those averages.

Volume & volatility: Today’s volume about 4.96M exceeds the 10‑day average (2.56M) and the 50/200‑day averages, showing conviction behind recent moves; 42‑day beta 1.24 and 52‑week beta 1.80 confirm above‑market sensitivity, increasing swing risk for short‑term traders.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue and top‑line growth: Total revenue totaled $383.35M for the period ending 2025‑06‑30. Trailing revenue growth reads 7.02%, with year‑over‑year revenue growth of 9.83% and a quarter‑over‑quarter change of -6.87%, signaling continued expansion on an annual basis but some sequential moderation.

Profitability and margins: Gross margin stands at 80.80%, above the industry peer mean of 72.32% and close to the peer high, reflecting strong product economics. Operating margin at -5.80% improved on a quarter‑over‑quarter basis by 2.79 percentage points but remains negative year‑over‑year by -2.59 percentage points; EBIT margin at 0.34% sits well below the industry peer mean of 34.28%, indicating limited operating leverage at the EBIT line despite strong gross margins.

Earnings and cash generation: GAAP net income totaled a loss of $7.07M, while EBIT came in at $1.292M and EBITDA at $23.178M. EPS actual of $0.61 beat the estimate of $0.51 by $0.10, an EPS surprise of 19.61%. Free cash flow reached $68.48M, producing a free cash flow yield of 1.50%, above the industry peer mean of 0.53% and supporting capital return actions such as the announced repurchase program.

Balance sheet and liquidity: Cash and short‑term investments total $2.218B against total debt of $1.772B, leaving net debt around $676.12M. Current ratio at 1.58 approximates the industry peer mean of 1.69. Debt to assets measures 17.62%, marginally above the industry peer mean of 16.12%, and debt to equity sits at 45.29%, indicating a moderate leverage posture relative to the balance sheet size.

Returns and efficiency: Return on equity registers -0.18% and return on assets -0.07%, both negative and underperforming typical profitable peers; asset turnover at 3.89% remains below the industry peer mean of 12.98%, showing room to improve capital efficiency as revenue scales.

Valuation context: Price multiples sit below peer averages in several measures: P/B at 1.17x under the industry peer mean of 12.08x; PE at 83.12x below the industry peer mean of 139.09x; PEG at 13.85x below the industry peer mean of 17.81x; PS at 11.90x below the industry peer mean of 45.70x. Free cash flow yield above the industry peer mean and substantial cash buffers underpin the firm’s ability to pursue buybacks and investment while maintaining liquidity.

WMDST valuation: WMDST values the stock as under‑valued given the combination of strong gross margins, positive free cash flow yield above peers, and a conservative balance sheet despite negative returns metrics and a thin EBIT margin.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-11-06
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-02-05
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 3.2 B
 Operating Cash Flow 83.8 M
 Capital Expenditures -15.34 M
 Change In Working Capital 4.1 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 379.7 M
 End Period Cash Flow 3.6 B
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 383.3 M
 Forward Revenue -722.42 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 73.6 M
 Depreciation 3.2 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 21.9 M
 Research and Development 90.0 M
 Total Operating Expenses 405.6 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 309.8 M
 EBITDA 23.2 M
 EBIT 1.3 M
 Operating Income -22.25 M
 Interest Income 24.5 M
 Interest Expense 4.4 M
 Net Interest Income 20.2 M
 Income Before Tax -3.07 M
 Tax Provision 4.0 M
 Tax Rate 21.0 %
 Net Income -7.07 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations -7.07 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.51
 EPS Actual 0.61
 EPS Difference 0.10
 EPS Surprise 19.608 %
 Forward EPS 0.52
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 10.1 B
 Intangible Assets 2.6 B
 Net Tangible Assets 1.3 B
 Total Current Assets 7.2 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 2.2 B
 Cash 1.0 B
 Net Receivables 32.3 M
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments 33.2 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 16.3 M
 Short-Term Debt 213.4 M
 Total Current Liabilities 4.6 B
 Net Debt 676.1 M
 Total Debt 1.8 B
 Total Liabilities 6.1 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 3.9 B
 Retained Earnings -1.51 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 38.00
 Shares Outstanding 103.012 M
 Revenue Per-Share 3.72
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 4.6 B
 Enterprise Value 4.1 B
 Enterprise Multiple 177.594
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -41.868 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 73.266 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 634.148
BILL: 177.594
mean: 91.157
median: 82.154
low: -577.222
 EV/R 10.738
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.571
 Asset To Liability 1.636
 Debt To Capital 0.312
 Debt To Assets 0.176
Debt To Assets QoQ -4.339 %
Debt To Assets YoY 12305.634 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 1.095
BILL: 0.176
mean: 0.161
median: 0.098
low: 0.002
 Debt To Equity 0.453
Debt To Equity QoQ -1.172 %
Debt To Equity YoY 14324.841 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 3.008
BILL: 0.453
mean: 0.299
median: 0.176
low: -0.874
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 1.166
Price To Book QoQ -14.472 %
Price To Book YoY -12.8 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 34.07
mean: 12.076
median: 10.727
BILL: 1.166
low: -16.218
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 83.116
Price To Earnings QoQ -19.073 %
Price To Earnings YoY -8.566 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 564.562
mean: 139.093
median: 130.187
BILL: 83.116
low: -357.639
 PE/G Ratio 13.853
 Price To Sales (P/S) 11.9
Price To Sales QoQ -19.18 %
Price To Sales YoY -25.99 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 113.355
median: 48.199
mean: 45.704
BILL: 11.9
low: 1.219
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 90.548
Forward PE/G 15.091
Forward P/S -6.315
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -17.607
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.039
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 4.904 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 3.647 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.416
mean: 0.13
median: 0.129
BILL: 0.039
low: 0.0
 Receivables Turnover 12.994
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 0.795 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 9.536 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA BILL: 12.994
high: 4.687
mean: 1.421
median: 1.257
low: 0.131
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 7.022
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC)
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.145
 CapEx To Revenue -0.04
 CapEx To Depreciation -4.853
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 5.4 B
 Net Invested Capital 5.6 B
 Invested Capital 5.6 B
 Net Tangible Assets 1.3 B
 Net Working Capital 2.7 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.483
 Current Ratio 1.578
Current Ratio QoQ -6.848 %
Current Ratio YoY 1.5 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 9.787
mean: 1.695
BILL: 1.578
median: 1.353
low: 0.079
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 76.488
 Cost Of Debt 0.194 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 0.296
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -125.921 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -88.302 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 181.115
median: 54.034
mean: 37.824
BILL: 0.296
low: -203.84
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.004
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 17.374
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 4.478 %
 Revenue Growth 7.016 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -686.622 %
Revenue Growth YoY 9.831 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 32.808 %
median: 9.099 %
BILL: 7.016 %
mean: 6.944 %
low: -28.474 %
 Earnings Growth 6.0 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -156.001 %
Earnings Growth YoY -220.0 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 157.143 %
BILL: 6.0 %
median: 5.491 %
mean: 4.934 %
low: -200.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 80.804 %
Gross Margin QoQ -0.533 %
Gross Margin YoY -0.276 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 91.297 %
BILL: 80.804 %
mean: 72.317 %
median: 68.585 %
low: 33.069 %
 EBIT Margin 0.337 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -121.983 %
EBIT Margin YoY -90.772 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 74.313 %
median: 43.473 %
mean: 34.275 %
BILL: 0.337 %
low: -124.558 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) -5.804 %
Return On Sales QoQ 278.604 %
Return On Sales YoY -258.927 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 76.082 %
median: 44.901 %
mean: 34.039 %
BILL: -5.804 %
low: -117.376 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 68.5 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 1.501 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -12.529 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 13.454 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 6.936 %
BILL: 1.501 %
median: 0.694 %
mean: 0.528 %
low: -8.108 %
 Free Cash Growth -24.353 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -178.682 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -239.136 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 278.713 %
median: 25.957 %
mean: 12.2 %
BILL: -24.353 %
low: -316.997 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -9.683
 Cash Flow Margin 4.207 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings -2.28
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) -0.072 %
Return On Assets QoQ -40.0 %
Return On Assets YoY -186.747 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 18.439 %
median: 4.609 %
mean: 3.907 %
BILL: -0.072 %
low: -24.058 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 0.024 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) -0.002
Return On Equity QoQ -39.465 %
Return On Equity YoY -198.37 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.214
median: 0.079
mean: 0.07
BILL: -0.002
low: -0.337
 DuPont ROE -0.182 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 0.018 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -123.077 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -102.258 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 14.979 %
median: 7.176 %
mean: 5.598 %
BILL: 0.018 %
low: -13.978 %

Six-Week Outlook

Short‑term technicals favor caution: directional indicators and MACD signal bearish momentum while price sits below major moving averages. The negative RSI and increasing DI‑ suggest pressure that could extend consolidation or produce lower intraday ranges. Offsetting that, a materially negative MRO and solid free cash flow create tangible mean‑reversion potential; a shift in MACD trajectory or a tightening back above the 20‑day average would remove immediate downside bias. Swing traders should monitor MACD behavior, DI+/DI‑ cross dynamics, and volume on advances for confirmation before adjusting exposure, while keeping position sizing mindful of elevated beta and recent volatility.

About Bill Holdings, Inc.

BILL Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:BILL) designs comprehensive financial technology solutions tailored for small and midsize businesses worldwide. Based in San Jose, California, the company develops a robust platform that streamlines accounts payable and receivable processes, enhancing business transactions and connectivity with suppliers and customers. BILL Holdings leverages automation to eliminate traditional expense reports and optimize cash flow management, thereby increasing operational efficiency. Their cloud-based payments and spend management tools deliver a seamless user experience, supported by extensive onboarding, implementation, and ongoing support services. By integrating advanced artificial intelligence, BILL Holdings’ platform strengthens relationships between suppliers and clients, making it an essential tool for accounting firms, financial institutions, and software companies. Since its founding in 2006, the company has consistently advanced its offerings, rebranding from Bill.com Holdings, Inc. to BILL Holdings, Inc. in February 2023, to better reflect its innovative approach and growth in the dynamic fintech industry.



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