Valmont Industries, Inc (NYSE:VMI) Strengthens Liquidity And Signals Near-Term Income Support

Corporate actions tightened liquidity while the company maintained shareholder distributions; momentum indicators show a short-lived peak, creating a narrowly bearish near-term technical backdrop against a fundamentally discounted valuation.

Recent News

On September 30, 2025 Valmont announced the timing for its third-quarter 2025 earnings release and the accompanying conference call scheduled for October 21, 2025. In October 2025, market commentary noted renewed technical strength for the stock, with Relative Strength ratings rising above key thresholds and the name trading past a cup-with-handle buy point.

Technical Analysis

The directional indicator set shows a lack of a sustained trend: ADX at 14.57 signals no clear trend strength while both DI+ and DI- behavior skew bearish — DI+ decreasing indicates pressure on upside momentum and DI- exhibiting a dip-and-reversal points to renewed downside participation; together they support near-term price weakness relative to recent trading ranges.

MACD sits below its signal line (MACD 7.52 vs signal 8.01) with a peak-and-reversal pattern; momentum therefore shows a bearish shift and implies the recent advance may stall absent fresh buying interest.

MRO at 30.83 with a peak-and-reversal character indicates the price currently sits above the model target and carries mean-reversion risk toward that target; momentum implies potential for a pullback rather than further immediate appreciation.

RSI at 58.89 with a peak-and-reversal pattern reflects faded upside momentum from recent highs; the indicator does not signal oversold conditions, but it aligns with the other signals that favor consolidation or modest weakening before any renewed advance.

Price sits slightly beneath short-term averages and band edges: close $410.67 versus the 12-day EMA $411.24 and 20-day average $411.70, with Bollinger bands containing price between roughly $405.88 and $417.52. The 200-day average near $341.31 keeps the longer-term trend constructive, but short-term indicators favor a pause or pullback that would test intra-range support near the supertrend lower at $395.43. These short-term technical cues temper upside potential despite longer-term support from the 200-day average.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue totaled $1,050,548,000 with reported revenue growth year-over-year of 32.38% and a shorter-term growth figure of 8.38%, reflecting meaningful top-line expansion over the prior year while quarter-to-quarter movement showed softness. Operating income equaled $129,497,000 and operating margin reached 12.33%, but EBIT of $29,553,000 produced an EBIT margin of 2.81%, below the industry peer mean of 10.94% and below the peer median of 9.646%, indicating compressions at the operating-profit-after-structural-costs level relative to peers.

EBIT margin negotiated a sharp decline sequentially and annually: quarter-over-quarter change -78.72% and year-over-year -80.25%, signaling significant margin pressure in the most recent period versus prior periods.

Reported net income showed a loss of $30,263,000 while EPS printed $4.98, a $0.36 beat versus estimates and an EPS surprise ratio of 7.79%. Free cash flow registered $135,622,000 with a free cash flow yield of 1.93%, which sits above the industry peer mean free cash flow yield of 1.06%, supporting liquidity resilience despite the headline net loss.

Balance-sheet ratios present mixed signals: debt-to-equity at 0.563 compares below the peer mean of 0.668, indicating lower relative leverage, while interest coverage at 2.80 sits well below the peer mean of 15.49, reflecting tighter operating coverage of interest expense. Current ratio at 2.15 and quick ratio at 1.44 provide short-term liquidity cushion, and cash and short-term investments of $208,533,000 bolster immediate funding flexibility.

Valuation metrics show elevated market multiples alongside peer comparisons: trailing PE about 66.18 and forward PE about 70.34 sit below the peer mean PE of 83.81 but remain elevated in absolute terms; price-to-book 4.60 sits below the peer mean of 5.76 while price-to-sales 6.70 sits slightly above the peer mean of 6.24. Enterprise multiple registers at 148.40 against a peer mean near 51.10, reflecting divergence between enterprise-value measures and equity-market multiples.

WMDST values the stock as under-valued, reflecting the combination of positive free cash flow, robust current liquidity, and a market valuation that WMDST considers disconnected from operational earnings quality and short-term margin compression.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-10-21
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-01-20
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 184.4 M
 Operating Cash Flow 167.6 M
 Capital Expenditures -31.99 M
 Change In Working Capital 63.8 M
 Dividends Paid -13.65 M
 Cash Flow Delta 24.1 M
 End Period Cash Flow 208.5 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 1.1 B
 Forward Revenue -751.04 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 729.4 M
 Depreciation 22.3 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 22.3 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 921.1 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 321.2 M
 EBITDA 51.8 M
 EBIT 29.6 M
 Operating Income 129.5 M
 Interest Income 1.6 M
 Interest Expense 10.5 M
 Net Interest Income -8.97 M
 Income Before Tax 19.0 M
 Tax Provision 22.3 M
 Tax Rate 21.0 %
 Net Income -30.26 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations -3.29 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 4.62
 EPS Actual 4.98
 EPS Difference 0.36
 EPS Surprise 7.792 %
 Forward EPS 4.48
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 3.3 B
 Intangible Assets 698.3 M
 Net Tangible Assets 830.6 M
 Total Current Assets 1.7 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 208.5 M
 Cash 208.5 M
 Net Receivables 665.9 M
 Inventory 581.4 M
 Long-Term Investments 228.9 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 385.3 M
 Short-Term Debt 623.0 K
 Total Current Liabilities 809.6 M
 Net Debt 522.1 M
 Total Debt 861.1 M
 Total Liabilities 1.7 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 1.5 B
 Retained Earnings 3.0 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 76.33
 Shares Outstanding 19.306 M
 Revenue Per-Share 52.44
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 7.0 B
 Enterprise Value 7.7 B
 Enterprise Multiple 148.401
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 226.231 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 401.949 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA VMI: 148.401
high: 95.131
median: 53.696
mean: 51.095
low: -67.628
 EV/R 7.32
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.188
 Asset To Liability 1.931
 Debt To Capital 0.36
 Debt To Assets 0.257
Debt To Assets QoQ 0.7 %
Debt To Assets YoY 36153.521 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.774
VMI: 0.257
median: 0.249
mean: 0.226
low: 0.002
 Debt To Equity 0.563
Debt To Equity QoQ 6.725 %
Debt To Equity YoY 33827.108 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 2.025
median: 0.704
mean: 0.668
VMI: 0.563
low: 0.002
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 4.602
Price To Book QoQ 22.771 %
Price To Book YoY 29.78 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 10.918
mean: 5.76
median: 4.996
VMI: 4.602
low: -0.322
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 66.177
Price To Earnings QoQ -6.569 %
Price To Earnings YoY 25.831 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 293.534
mean: 83.814
median: 77.52
VMI: 66.177
low: -53.717
 PE/G Ratio 5.105
 Price To Sales (P/S) 6.698
Price To Sales QoQ 5.931 %
Price To Sales YoY 33.461 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 23.152
VMI: 6.698
mean: 6.236
median: 5.911
low: 0.284
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 70.339
Forward PE/G 5.426
Forward P/S -9.03
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -9.18
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.313
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 8.135 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 4.075 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.628
mean: 0.36
median: 0.348
VMI: 0.313
low: 0.014
 Receivables Turnover 1.576
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 7.444 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 3.249 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 3.98
mean: 1.79
median: 1.728
VMI: 1.576
low: 0.173
 Inventory Turnover 1.257
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 8.37 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 13.726 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 34.314
mean: 16.1
median: 7.771
VMI: 1.257
low: 0.368
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 57.898
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 86.581
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -4.283 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -15.079 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 187.155
VMI: 86.581
mean: 50.41
median: 50.272
low: -27.376
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 1.125
 CapEx To Revenue -0.03
 CapEx To Depreciation -1.437
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 2.3 B
 Net Invested Capital 2.3 B
 Invested Capital 2.3 B
 Net Tangible Assets 830.6 M
 Net Working Capital 934.1 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.258
 Current Ratio 2.154
Current Ratio QoQ -4.88 %
Current Ratio YoY -14.882 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 3.952
VMI: 2.154
mean: 1.605
median: 1.395
low: 0.093
 Quick Ratio 1.436
Quick Ratio QoQ -4.474 %
Quick Ratio YoY -12.04 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 2.807
mean: 1.47
VMI: 1.436
median: 1.186
low: 0.088
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 16.618
 Cost Of Debt 0.966 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 2.803
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -77.873 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -70.005 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 49.953
mean: 15.491
median: 8.89
VMI: 2.803
low: -23.759
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.034
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 49.396
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio -2.217
 Dividend Payout Ratio -0.451
 Dividend Rate 0.71
 Dividend Yield 0.002
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -0.89 %
 Revenue Growth 8.381 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -227.876 %
Revenue Growth YoY 32.38 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 83.442 %
mean: 14.04 %
median: 11.3 %
VMI: 8.381 %
low: -29.363 %
 Earnings Growth 12.963 %
Earnings Growth QoQ 3.704 %
Earnings Growth YoY -5.082 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 192.157 %
mean: 36.455 %
median: 27.757 %
VMI: 12.963 %
low: -129.268 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 30.571 %
Gross Margin QoQ 1.795 %
Gross Margin YoY -0.756 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 53.284 %
VMI: 30.571 %
mean: 21.529 %
median: 19.664 %
low: 1.408 %
 EBIT Margin 2.813 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -78.72 %
EBIT Margin YoY -80.249 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 25.6 %
mean: 10.94 %
median: 9.646 %
VMI: 2.813 %
low: -4.933 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 12.327 %
Return On Sales QoQ -6.748 %
Return On Sales YoY -13.446 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 25.639 %
VMI: 12.327 %
mean: 10.239 %
median: 9.505 %
low: -4.372 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 135.6 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 1.927 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 239.261 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -10.622 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 10.236 %
VMI: 1.927 %
mean: 1.064 %
median: 0.947 %
low: -18.993 %
 Free Cash Growth 289.595 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -465.401 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -76.865 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA VMI: 289.595 %
high: 225.569 %
median: -5.371 %
mean: -75.781 %
low: -337.942 %
 Free Cash To Net Income -4.481
 Cash Flow Margin 2.635 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings -0.915
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) -0.901 %
Return On Assets QoQ -134.614 %
Return On Assets YoY -131.274 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 8.275 %
mean: 2.54 %
median: 2.018 %
VMI: -0.901 %
low: -8.889 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 1.165 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) -0.02
Return On Equity QoQ -137.081 %
Return On Equity YoY -129.202 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.152
mean: 0.065
median: 0.053
VMI: -0.02
low: -0.23
 DuPont ROE -1.913 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 1.033 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -74.194 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -101.465 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 11.354 %
mean: 5.453 %
median: 4.195 %
VMI: 1.033 %
low: -5.909 %

Six-Week Outlook

Expect a narrow window of consolidation with a modest downside bias while short-term momentum indicators unwind from recent peaks. Watch for confirmation of trend strength via renewed DI+ behavior and a MACD cross above its signal line; absent those developments, technical momentum should favor range-bound price action with potential mean reversion toward model targets implied by the MRO and the lower Bollinger band. Fundamental backstops—positive free cash flow, a funded credit facility, and declared shareholder cash return policies—provide support that can limit downside, while the compressed EBIT margin and below-peer interest coverage keep upside contingent on margin recovery or materially stronger operating performance.

About Valmont Industries, Inc.

Valmont Industries, Inc. (NYSE:VMI) manufactures and distributes essential products and services for the infrastructure and agriculture sectors globally. The company operates through two primary segments: Infrastructure and Agriculture. Within the Infrastructure segment, Valmont produces steel, pre-stressed concrete, and composite structures tailored for electrical transmission, substation, and distribution purposes. It designs and engineers metal, steel, wood, aluminum, and composite poles and structures for lighting and transportation needs. Valmont also provides galvanizing, anodizing, painting, and powder coating services to enhance product durability. Additionally, the company offers towers, small cell structures, and components for wireless communication, alongside solar single-axis tracker systems. In the Agriculture segment, Valmont manufactures center pivot components and linear irrigation equipment, catering to agricultural markets under the Valley brand. It supplies parts and tubular products for industrial clients and develops advanced technology solutions for the agricultural sector. Valmont serves a diverse clientele, including municipalities, government entities, commercial lighting manufacturers, contractors, telecommunications, utility companies, and farmers. Established in 1946, Valmont Industries maintains its headquarters in Omaha, Nebraska, and extends its reach across the United States, Australia, Brazil, and other international markets.



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