Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:PARR) Accelerates Renewables Push, Signals Near-Term Upside

Par Pacific steps into larger-scale renewables and logistics positions while core financials and valuation metrics point to persistent undervaluation. Operational momentum and a developing price trend frame potential near-term moves for active traders.

Recent News

Oct. 21, 2025 — Par Pacific announced the successful closing of Hawaii Renewables, LLC, a joint venture to build a renewable fuels facility at the Kapolei refinery; Mitsubishi Corporation and ENEOS Corporation, via Alohi Renewable Energy LLC, acquired a 36.5% equity interest for $100 million while Par Pacific retains controlling interest and will complete and operate the facility. Oct. 21–22, 2025 — The company disclosed the closing of an acquisition of Wyoming Refining Company and related logistics assets in Newcastle, Wyoming, adding 18,000 bpd processing capacity and regional logistics infrastructure.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 20.64 indicates an emerging trend strength that supports continued directional movement without extreme overextension.

DI+ at 28.71 is increasing, a bullish directional signal that aligns with the developing uptrend; DI- at 16.87 is decreasing, which reinforces the same bullish directional picture.

MACD at 1.45 is increasing and stands above its signal line at 1.10, a bullish momentum condition that suggests recent upside momentum may persist in the near term.

MRO at 34.85 sits positive and increasing, indicating the current price trades above the oscillator’s target and that mean-reversion pressure may develop if momentum weakens.

RSI at 58.72 and increasing shows momentum strength without overbought extremes, leaving room for additional appreciation before overbought thresholds near 70.

Short-term EMAs and averages confirm upward price posture: 12-day EMA $39.19 (increasing) remains above the 26-day EMA $37.62, and price $41.21 sits above the 20-day average $38.28, 50-day average $35.91 and 200-day average $24.60, reinforcing trend-based upside bias.

Price trades at the upper Bollinger band region (upper 1x SD $41.24), putting recent action close to short-term resistance; the SuperTrend lower band at $36.54 offers a reference support level for intrarange pullbacks.

Volatility and volume context: 42-day beta 2.11 signals elevated short-term volatility versus the broader market, while current volume (~909,577) trails the 10-day and 50/200-day averages, indicating rallies may require renewed participation to sustain gains.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability and margins: EBIT $98,453,000 and EBITDA $133,165,000 translate to an EBIT margin of 5.20%. That EBIT margin sits below the industry peer mean of 17.21% and below the industry peer median of 13.65%, but remains above the peer low. Operating margin runs 4.66% and gross margin 14.01%.

Growth rates: Total revenue $1,893,438,000 with revenue growth year-over-year of 3.60% and quarter-over-quarter change of -2.79%. Earnings growth shows a YoY increase of 11.77% while QoQ earnings growth declined by 20.50%.

Earnings and cash flow: Reported EPS actual $1.54 versus estimate $0.90 produced an EPS surprise of +71.11%. Operating cash flow totaled $133,578,000 and free cash flow $85,452,000, producing a free cash flow yield of 6.19%, which sits above the industry peer mean of 1.26% and above the industry peer median.

Leverage and coverage: Total debt $1,576,631,000 with net debt $943,278,000. Debt-to-equity stands at 1.37, above the industry peer mean of 0.73 and above the peer median of 0.44 but below the peer high. Debt-to-EBITDA measures about 11.84x. Interest coverage ratio equals 4.45, below the industry peer mean of 6.96, signaling tighter interest service headroom relative to peers.

Capital allocation and balance sheet: Capital expenditures totaled $48,126,000 with capex-to-revenue of -2.54% and a cash balance of $169,195,000. Asset-to-equity sits at 3.39, reflecting a capital structure with material leverage and invested capital of $2,260,888,000.

Return metrics: Return on equity at 5.18% exceeds the industry peer mean of 2.85% and return on assets at 1.56% sits slightly above the industry peer mean, indicating modest efficiency given current asset base and leverage.

Valuation summary: WMDST values the stock as under-valued. Market capitalization stands near $1.38 billion and enterprise value near $2.79 billion, producing an enterprise multiple of 20.94, below the industry peer mean of 30.36. Price-to-earnings at 17.38 and price-to-book near 1.20 both sit below industry peer means and medians, while free cash flow yield at 6.19% and a forward P/E around 33.18 provide mixed signals but overall support WMDST’s under-valued determination.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-08-05
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2025-11-04
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 134.1 M
 Operating Cash Flow 133.6 M
 Capital Expenditures -48.13 M
 Change In Working Capital 122.9 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 35.5 M
 End Period Cash Flow 169.5 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 1.9 B
 Forward Revenue 250.5 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 1.6 B
 Depreciation 34.7 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 34.7 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 1.8 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 265.2 M
 EBITDA 133.2 M
 EBIT 98.5 M
 Operating Income 88.2 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 22.1 M
 Net Interest Income -22.11 M
 Income Before Tax 76.3 M
 Tax Provision 16.9 M
 Tax Rate 22.119 %
 Net Income 59.5 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 59.5 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.90
 EPS Actual 1.54
 EPS Difference 0.64
 EPS Surprise 71.111 %
 Forward EPS 0.62
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 3.9 B
 Intangible Assets 138.3 M
 Net Tangible Assets 1.0 B
 Total Current Assets 1.7 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 169.2 M
 Cash 169.2 M
 Net Receivables 386.5 M
 Inventory 1.0 B
 Long-Term Investments 315.8 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 438.7 M
 Short-Term Debt 4.7 M
 Total Current Liabilities 1.2 B
 Net Debt 943.3 M
 Total Debt 1.6 B
 Total Liabilities 2.7 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 1.1 B
 Retained Earnings 245.6 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 22.27
 Shares Outstanding 50.759 M
 Revenue Per-Share 36.71
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 1.4 B
 Enterprise Value 2.8 B
 Enterprise Multiple 20.936
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -80.411 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 22.78 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 75.659
mean: 30.364
median: 28.835
PARR: 20.936
low: -7.608
 EV/R 1.472
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 3.392
 Asset To Liability 1.418
 Debt To Capital 0.579
 Debt To Assets 0.405
Debt To Assets QoQ -6.903 %
Debt To Assets YoY 38082.075 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.609
PARR: 0.405
mean: 0.236
median: 0.212
low: 0.002
 Debt To Equity 1.373
Debt To Equity QoQ -6.455 %
Debt To Equity YoY 41628.875 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 1.807
PARR: 1.373
mean: 0.725
median: 0.442
low: 0.002
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 1.202
Price To Book QoQ 75.522 %
Price To Book YoY 1.204 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 3.756
median: 1.768
mean: 1.552
PARR: 1.202
low: 0.005
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 17.381
Price To Earnings QoQ -212.233 %
Price To Earnings YoY -67.766 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 185.623
mean: 52.011
median: 48.382
PARR: 17.381
low: -96.671
 PE/G Ratio -0.047
 Price To Sales (P/S) 0.729
Price To Sales QoQ 67.092 %
Price To Sales YoY -2.164 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 30.921
mean: 6.059
median: 5.84
PARR: 0.729
low: 0.012
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 33.178
Forward PE/G -0.09
Forward P/S 5.423
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -86.71
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.495
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 7.565 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -5.414 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA PARR: 0.495
high: 0.396
median: 0.165
mean: 0.148
low: 0.002
 Receivables Turnover 4.913
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 10.135 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 13.811 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 5.091
PARR: 4.913
mean: 1.934
median: 1.804
low: 0.322
 Inventory Turnover 1.55
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 4.344 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 2.821 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 23.002
mean: 3.301
median: 2.469
PARR: 1.55
low: 0.051
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 18.575
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 54.358
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -1.377 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -4.936 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 82.233
PARR: 54.358
median: 6.538
mean: 2.31
low: -110.2
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 3.695
 CapEx To Revenue -0.025
 CapEx To Depreciation -1.386
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 2.3 B
 Net Invested Capital 2.3 B
 Invested Capital 2.3 B
 Net Tangible Assets 1.0 B
 Net Working Capital 512.4 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.14
 Current Ratio 1.424
Current Ratio QoQ -8.576 %
Current Ratio YoY -12.722 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 5.453
PARR: 1.424
median: 1.249
mean: 1.198
low: 0.329
 Quick Ratio 0.562
Quick Ratio QoQ 3.779 %
Quick Ratio YoY -5.224 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 3.791
mean: 0.938
median: 0.919
PARR: 0.562
low: 0.247
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 11.84
 Cost Of Debt 1.073 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 4.454
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -729.958 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 98.969 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 22.447
mean: 6.96
median: 6.558
PARR: 4.454
low: -20.714
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.114
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 24.282
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 3.791 %
 Revenue Growth 8.504 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -278.731 %
Revenue Growth YoY 359.924 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 39.248 %
PARR: 8.504 %
median: -3.774 %
mean: -5.024 %
low: -35.032 %
 Earnings Growth -370.175 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -2049.623 %
Earnings Growth YoY 1177.082 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 122.222 %
median: -21.739 %
mean: -23.683 %
low: -180.0 %
PARR: -370.175 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 14.009 %
Gross Margin QoQ 63.963 %
Gross Margin YoY 31.38 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 82.166 %
mean: 24.887 %
median: 22.581 %
PARR: 14.009 %
low: -39.892 %
 EBIT Margin 5.2 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -687.571 %
EBIT Margin YoY 129.378 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 95.08 %
mean: 17.209 %
median: 13.652 %
PARR: 5.2 %
low: -39.515 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 4.66 %
Return On Sales QoQ -626.554 %
Return On Sales YoY 105.558 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 90.781 %
mean: 13.924 %
median: 11.212 %
PARR: 4.66 %
low: -39.515 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 85.5 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 6.19 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -211.351 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -323.87 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 8.634 %
PARR: 6.19 %
median: 1.276 %
mean: 1.26 %
low: -11.931 %
 Free Cash Growth -301.861 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 815.924 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -81.019 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 300.833 %
mean: -3.056 %
median: -24.008 %
PARR: -301.861 %
low: -448.718 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 1.437
 Cash Flow Margin 7.293 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 2.322
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.02
 Return On Assets (ROA) 1.555 %
Return On Assets QoQ -293.89 %
Return On Assets YoY 221.281 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 4.797 %
PARR: 1.555 %
mean: 1.197 %
median: 0.982 %
low: -3.385 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 3.663 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.052
Return On Equity QoQ -289.393 %
Return On Equity YoY 251.766 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.111
PARR: 0.052
mean: 0.029
median: 0.027
low: -0.087
 DuPont ROE 5.261 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 3.391 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -709.892 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -117.665 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 6.932 %
PARR: 3.391 %
mean: 2.634 %
median: 2.373 %
low: -4.078 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term directional forces favor upside continuation so long as directional indicators hold: DI+ and MACD both increasing support further gains, and price sits above short- and medium-term averages. However, the positive MRO indicates price currently sits above the oscillator’s target, creating elevated mean-reversion risk if momentum stalls. Price proximity to the upper Bollinger region and below-average trading volume suggest rallies need higher participation to extend convincingly. Leverage metrics and interest coverage warrant attention if macro or commodity dynamics shift, since capital structure amplifies sensitivity to margin compressions.

Overall, expect a market environment where project-related newsflow (renewables JV execution and the Wyoming refinery acquisition) drives episodic upside, while technical overextension signals and the MRO profile increase the likelihood of intermittent pullbacks. Active traders should watch trend-confirmation indicators and participation metrics for evidence that the emerging uptrend can sustain toward the analyst consensus price mean near $45.79.

About Par Pacific Holdings, Inc.

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:PARR) manages a diverse portfolio of energy and infrastructure businesses. Through its Refining segment, the company operates refineries that produce gasoline, distillate, asphalt, and other products, primarily serving markets in Kapolei, Hawaii; Newcastle, Wyoming; Tacoma, Washington; and Billings, Montana. The Retail segment runs fuel retail outlets, offering gasoline, diesel, and merchandise under the Hele, 76, and nomnom brands in Hawaii, as well as in Washington and Idaho. In its Logistics segment, Par Pacific Holdings owns and operates a network of terminals, pipelines, marine vessels, and storage facilities. These assets facilitate the distribution of ethanol, petroleum, and refined products across Hawaii, the U.S. West Coast, Washington, the Dakotas, and Wyoming. Additionally, the company maintains a jet fuel storage facility and pipeline servicing Ellsworth Air Force Base in South Dakota. Par Pacific Holdings also controls a marine terminal, a rail loading terminal, a truck rack, and a proprietary pipeline supporting Joint Base Lewis McChord. Established in 1984 and headquartered in Houston, Texas, the company previously operated under the name Par Petroleum Corporation until 2015.



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