Newmont Corporation (NYSE:NEM) Accelerates Portfolio Simplification, Cash Returns Ahead

Newmont moves decisively to free cash and tighten costs while a planned leadership change introduces near-term volatility.

Recent News

On September 19, 2025, Newmont sold its entire 43 million-share stake in Orla Mining for roughly $439 million as part of a divestiture program to unlock cash and focus on Tier‑1 assets.

On September 29, 2025, Newmont announced CEO Tom Palmer will retire effective December 31, 2025, with COO Natascha Viljoen named successor and an interim CFO in place; the move follows recent executive changes.

Late August reporting highlighted a company-wide cost reduction program targeting material AISC savings and potential workforce reductions aimed at lowering unit costs.

On August 29, 2025, Newmont filed notice of 19 permanent position reductions at its Colorado headquarters and technical facility as part of prior cost actions.

On September 19, 2025, Newmont recorded a first gold pour at the Ahafo North project in Ghana, a milestone toward planned commercial production in 4Q25.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 31.24 indicates a strong directional market environment; strength favors the dominant directional pressure rather than implying direction by itself. With DI+ at 29.42 trending lower and DI‑ at 26.69 trending higher, directional indicators point toward bearish directional pressure against the stock’s short-term momentum.

MACD sits at 1.53 below the signal line at 2.91 and shows a peak‑and‑reversal pattern, signaling bearish momentum and declining impulse in recent sessions.

MRO reads 6.08 and trends down; the positive value indicates price stands above the WMDST target, creating technical pressure for a pullback toward intrinsic valuation levels.

RSI at 63.54 and decreasing signals waning bullish breadth below overbought territory, consistent with the MACD and directional indicators suggesting diminishing upside momentum.

Price relationships reinforce a short‑term concession: the close at $78.63 sits beneath the 20‑day average of $88.60 and the 50‑day average of $81.20, while remaining above the 200‑day average of $59.16. The 12‑day EMA peaked then reversed, aligning with near‑term weakness despite longer‑term support from the 200‑day average.

Volume registered at 23,042,327, exceeding the 10‑day average of 15,315,643 and the 200‑day average of 11,982,291, indicating elevated participation during the recent move and increasing the odds of a meaningful short‑term re‑test of moving averages or the WMDST target mean of $80.18.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability shows pronounced strength: EBIT at $3,183,000,000 and EBIT margin at 59.87%, above the industry peer range high of 54.42%, signaling outsized operating conversion versus peers. QoQ EBIT margin expanded +17.62% and YoY expanded +131.36%, underscoring recent margin improvement on a reported basis.

Cash generation remains robust: operating cash flow $2,384,000,000, free cash flow $1,710,000,000, and cash plus short‑term investments $6,653,000,000. Free cash flow yield stands at 2.44%, above the industry peer mean of 0.72%, supporting the company’s ability to fund buybacks, dividends, and deleveraging.

Leverage and coverage metrics appear conservative: total debt $7,607,000,000, net debt $947,000,000, debt‑to‑EBITDA ~2.00, and interest coverage ~4,896.92% (interest coverage ratio 48.97), indicating ample ability to service obligations after the recent divestments.

Valuation multiples present a mixed picture: trailing P/E 38.93 with forward P/E 55.35 and price/book 2.18, while price/ sales sits at 13.17. Price target mean registers at $80.18 versus the close at $78.63, and WMDST classifies the equity as under‑valued on the firm’s intrinsic framework.

Operational efficiency and returns show modest levels: return on equity 6.42% and return on assets 3.72%. Revenue trends require attention—YoY revenue growth registered ‑34.95% and QoQ revenue growth registered ‑153.95%—reflecting period timing or portfolio reclassification effects that reduce top‑line comparability and warrant monitoring on subsequent reports.

Capital allocation metrics complement the cash profile: dividend yield 0.40% with a dividend payout ratio 13.54% and dividend coverage ~738.71%, leaving capacity for buybacks or further balance sheet repair following asset sales.

WMDST valuation stance: WMDST values the stock as under‑valued, citing strong margin conversion, meaningful free cash flow generation, low net debt, and the company’s active divestiture program that should accelerate cash redeployment toward shareholder returns or core project funding.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-10-23
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-01-22
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 4.7 B
 Operating Cash Flow 2.4 B
 Capital Expenditures -674.00 M
 Change In Working Capital 156.0 M
 Dividends Paid -279.00 M
 Cash Flow Delta 1.5 B
 End Period Cash Flow 6.2 B
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 5.3 B
 Forward Revenue 679.9 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 2.6 B
 Depreciation 620.0 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 620.0 M
 Research and Development 40.0 M
 Total Operating Expenses 2.9 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 2.7 B
 EBITDA 3.8 B
 EBIT 3.2 B
 Operating Income 2.4 B
 Interest Income 54.0 M
 Interest Expense 65.0 M
 Net Interest Income -11.00 M
 Income Before Tax 3.1 B
 Tax Provision 1.1 B
 Tax Rate 35.0 %
 Net Income 2.1 B
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 2.1 B
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 1.44
 EPS Actual 1.71
 EPS Difference 0.27
 EPS Surprise 18.75 %
 Forward EPS 0.96
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 55.2 B
 Intangible Assets 2.7 B
 Net Tangible Assets 29.5 B
 Total Current Assets 10.4 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 6.7 B
 Cash 6.2 B
 Net Receivables 637.0 M
 Inventory 2.3 B
 Long-Term Investments 3.6 B
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 742.0 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 4.7 B
 Net Debt 947.0 M
 Total Debt 7.6 B
 Total Liabilities 22.9 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 32.1 B
 Retained Earnings 1.4 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 29.17
 Shares Outstanding 1.101 B
 Revenue Per-Share 4.83
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 70.0 B
 Enterprise Value 71.0 B
 Enterprise Multiple 18.657
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 4.37 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -28.91 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 194.158
mean: 62.479
median: 27.42
NEM: 18.657
low: -189.617
 EV/R 13.345
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.718
 Asset To Liability 2.411
 Debt To Capital 0.192
 Debt To Assets 0.138
Debt To Assets QoQ -4.13 %
Debt To Assets YoY 7274.332 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.485
NEM: 0.138
mean: 0.138
median: 0.108
low: 0.0
 Debt To Equity 0.237
Debt To Equity QoQ -7.309 %
Debt To Equity YoY 6591.808 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 1.426
mean: 0.256
NEM: 0.237
median: 0.214
low: 0.0
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 2.18
Price To Book QoQ 28.728 %
Price To Book YoY 32.757 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 12.847
mean: 3.415
median: 3.36
NEM: 2.18
low: 0.467
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 38.934
Price To Earnings QoQ 3.035 %
Price To Earnings YoY -33.114 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 199.465
mean: 41.291
NEM: 38.934
median: 34.137
low: -190.951
 PE/G Ratio 2.704
 Price To Sales (P/S) 13.165
Price To Sales QoQ 24.649 %
Price To Sales YoY 20.135 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 25.697
NEM: 13.165
median: 12.226
mean: 11.854
low: 0.608
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 55.346
Forward PE/G 3.843
Forward P/S 102.952
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 4.051
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.096
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 7.268 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 21.145 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.462
mean: 0.173
median: 0.166
NEM: 0.096
low: 0.005
 Receivables Turnover 6.978
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 35.306 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 37.667 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 30.072
NEM: 6.978
mean: 4.683
median: 2.662
low: 1.305
 Inventory Turnover 1.152
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -4.661 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -10.688 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.589
NEM: 1.152
mean: 1.049
median: 0.897
low: 0.34
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 13.077
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 64.45
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ 7.441 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -2.19 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 126.513
mean: 76.966
median: 73.828
NEM: 64.45
low: -49.475
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.928
 CapEx To Revenue -0.127
 CapEx To Depreciation -1.087
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 39.2 B
 Net Invested Capital 39.2 B
 Invested Capital 39.2 B
 Net Tangible Assets 29.5 B
 Net Working Capital 5.7 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 1.425
 Current Ratio 2.227
Current Ratio QoQ 12.499 %
Current Ratio YoY 5.749 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 16.134
mean: 2.869
median: 2.681
NEM: 2.227
low: 0.014
 Quick Ratio 1.741
Quick Ratio QoQ 11.75 %
Quick Ratio YoY 0.598 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 2.842
NEM: 1.741
median: 1.585
mean: 1.522
low: 0.525
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 2.0
 Cost Of Debt 0.542 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 48.969
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 51.709 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 342.83 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 65.805
NEM: 48.969
mean: 14.03
median: 9.957
low: -124.147
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.625
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 25.576
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 7.387
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.135
 Dividend Rate 0.25
 Dividend Yield 0.004
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -0.638 %
 Revenue Growth 6.128 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -153.948 %
Revenue Growth YoY -34.954 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 87.493 %
mean: 14.148 %
median: 7.995 %
NEM: 6.128 %
low: -50.608 %
 Earnings Growth 14.4 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -234.404 %
Earnings Growth YoY -53.412 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 425.0 %
mean: 116.944 %
median: 100.0 %
NEM: 14.4 %
low: -166.667 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 50.705 %
Gross Margin QoQ 9.922 %
Gross Margin YoY 35.767 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 82.056 %
NEM: 50.705 %
mean: 29.499 %
median: 14.848 %
low: -39.531 %
 EBIT Margin 59.865 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 17.618 %
EBIT Margin YoY 131.362 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA NEM: 59.865 %
high: 54.417 %
mean: 20.806 %
median: 5.959 %
low: -119.363 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 45.458 %
Return On Sales QoQ -10.688 %
Return On Sales YoY 75.683 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 49.338 %
NEM: 45.458 %
mean: 20.808 %
median: 10.868 %
low: -67.951 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1.7 B
 Free Cash Flow Yield 2.443 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 7.29 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 87.634 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 3.837 %
NEM: 2.443 %
mean: 0.721 %
median: 0.38 %
low: -6.393 %
 Free Cash Growth 41.909 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -259.078 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -104.418 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 496.661 %
NEM: 41.909 %
median: -55.152 %
mean: -82.969 %
low: -451.584 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.83
 Cash Flow Margin 54.918 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.417
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 3.724 %
Return On Assets QoQ 10.145 %
Return On Assets YoY 142.29 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 5.442 %
NEM: 3.724 %
median: 1.721 %
mean: 1.712 %
low: -25.167 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 6.304 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.064
Return On Equity QoQ 6.048 %
Return On Equity YoY 121.082 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.133
NEM: 0.064
mean: 0.031
median: 0.03
low: -0.328
 DuPont ROE 6.506 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 5.27 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 8.236 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -114.377 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 10.141 %
NEM: 5.27 %
mean: 3.512 %
median: 2.729 %
low: -12.344 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near term, technical indicators suggest a bias toward consolidation or modest retracement: directional indicators and MACD show bearish short‑term momentum, MRO signals price above WMDST target, and the 20‑day average remains above the close. Elevated volume around recent news increases the likelihood of a pronounced short‑term reaction to operational or corporate updates.

Fundamental catalysts over the next six weeks include continued divestiture proceeds, Ahafo North ramp milestones, and leadership transition headlines; cash releases from asset sales and any capital‑allocation announcements could counterbalance technical pressure and re‑align market pricing with the WMDST valuation baseline.

Expect price action to oscillate between the $50.77 low analyst target and the $141.97 high target band issued by analysts, with the WMDST mean target at $80.18 serving as a near‑term valuation anchor while management executes on cost and portfolio simplification plans.

About Newmont Corporation

Newmont Corporation (NYSE:NEM) produces and explores gold, positioning itself as a leading player in the global mining industry. The company also investigates and extracts other valuable minerals, including copper, silver, zinc, and lead. Headquartered in Denver, Colorado, Newmont operates a diverse portfolio of assets and projects across multiple continents. Its operations span the United States, Canada, Mexico, and the Dominican Republic in North America, as well as Peru, Suriname, Argentina, and Chile in South America. In the Asia-Pacific region, Newmont maintains a presence in Australia, Papua New Guinea, and Fiji. Additionally, the company extends its reach into Africa with operations in Ghana. Founded in 1916, Newmont leverages its extensive experience and expertise to manage and develop large-scale mining projects. The company remains committed to sustainable and responsible mining practices, ensuring environmental stewardship and community engagement in all its operational regions. Through strategic exploration and production activities, Newmont aims to deliver long-term value to its stakeholders.



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