Carpenter Technology Corporation (NYSE:CRS) Poised To Extend Momentum As Fundamentals Strengthen

Short-term momentum favors continuation while elevated valuation creates scope for periodic mean reversion. Technical momentum aligns with improving operating metrics, while cash generation and margin expansion support the near-term narrative.

Recent News

Aug 14, 2025 — Board declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.20 per share, payable Sept. 4, 2025, with record date Aug. 26, 2025. Oct 1, 2025 — Company announced a conference call and webcast scheduled for Oct. 23, 2025 to discuss first-quarter fiscal 2026 results and outlook.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators show bullish strength: ADX at 26.13 signals a strong trend, DI+ at 35.87 trending higher while DI- at 16.27 displays a peak-and-reversal pattern; that configuration supports a bullish directional bias and implies momentum has traction.

MACD registers at 10.15 with a dip-and-reversal pattern and a signal line at 3.00; MACD trading above its signal line constitutes a bullish momentum confirmation and aligns with recent price strength.

MRO at 32.05 sits positive, indicating the market price currently trades above WMDST’s target and therefore carries a technical risk of a corrective move toward fair-value levels.

RSI at 55.65 trending higher confirms momentum without overbought extremes, while the 12-day EMA showing a dip-and-reversal complements the momentum picture and supports near-term upside continuation. Price closed at $318.53, above the 200-day average $226.88 and above the 20-day average $258.79, signaling an environment where upward bias persists but volatility may produce pullbacks.

Bollinger placement places price above the 1x upper band ($291.37) and below the 2x upper band ($323.94), indicating an extended move within a higher-volatility range. SuperTrend lower support near $288.55 offers a structural reference for downside containment over the next several weeks. Beta measures (42-day 1.88, 52-week 1.64) highlight above-market sensitivity to directional moves and episodic volatility.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability and margins present a markedly stronger profile than industry comparators: EBIT at $154,800,000 and EBIT margin at 20.49% exceed the industry peer high of 13.92%, while EBIT margin improved QoQ by 8.01% and expanded YoY by 48.60%, supporting a higher operating earnings base. Operating margin at 20.04% and return on sales at 20.04% reflect the same margin expansion trend.

Earnings per share registered $2.43 against an estimate of $2.16, producing an EPS surprise of 12.5% and an absolute EPS beat of $0.27; that surprise corroborates operating leverage and margin gains. EBITDA reached $190,400,000 and operating cash flow produced $258,100,000, while free cash flow totaled $200,100,000, yielding a free cash flow yield of 1.62% and free cash to net income ratio near 1.79x, indicating robust cash conversion relative to reported net income.

Balance-sheet and liquidity metrics show defensive capacity: cash and short-term investments $315,500,000, current ratio 3.65, quick ratio 2.01, and net debt $379,900,000 produce an interest coverage ratio of 9.86, supporting debt service and dividend coverage. Cash conversion cycle at 165.9 days sits above the industry peer mean of 112.57 days, reflecting working-capital intensity driven by inventory and receivables dynamics. Inventory stands at $793,800,000 with days inventory outstanding 140.36; receivables turnover 1.28 suggests longer collect cycles versus the industry peer mean.

Top-line dynamics show mixed signals: total revenue $755,600,000 with reported revenue growth metrics showing QoQ -46.85% and YoY -76.30% on the one hand, and a shorter-term revenue growth figure at 3.93% on the other; sequential declines in revenue cadence contrast with strong margin expansion, implying profitability gains came via pricing, mix, or productivity. Asset turnover 0.2207 closely matches the industry peer mean of 0.2211, indicating similar capital efficiency.

Valuation carries elevated multiples across metrics: PE ratio 114.35 exceeds the industry peer high of 110.68, price-to-book 6.57 sits slightly above the industry peer high of 6.33, and price-to-sales 16.40 outstrips the industry peer high of 9.68. WMDST values the stock as over-valued, reflecting a premium driven by margin expansion and cash generation that already factors expectations for continued outperformance.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-10-23
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-01-22
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 151.5 M
 Operating Cash Flow 258.1 M
 Capital Expenditures -58.00 M
 Change In Working Capital 102.0 M
 Dividends Paid -10.10 M
 Cash Flow Delta 164.0 M
 End Period Cash Flow 315.5 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 755.6 M
 Forward Revenue 164.6 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 541.6 M
 Depreciation 35.6 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 35.6 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 604.2 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 214.0 M
 EBITDA 190.4 M
 EBIT 154.8 M
 Operating Income 151.4 M
 Interest Income 2.0 M
 Interest Expense 15.7 M
 Net Interest Income -13.70 M
 Income Before Tax 139.1 M
 Tax Provision 27.4 M
 Tax Rate 19.698 %
 Net Income 111.7 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 111.7 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 2.16
 EPS Actual 2.43
 EPS Difference 0.27
 EPS Surprise 12.5 %
 Forward EPS 1.96
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 3.5 B
 Intangible Assets 236.8 M
 Net Tangible Assets 1.7 B
 Total Current Assets 1.8 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 315.5 M
 Cash 315.5 M
 Net Receivables 575.5 M
 Inventory 793.8 M
 Long-Term Investments 118.1 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 267.4 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 483.7 M
 Net Debt 379.9 M
 Total Debt 703.4 M
 Total Liabilities 1.6 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 1.9 B
 Retained Earnings 1.7 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 37.91
 Shares Outstanding 49.707 M
 Revenue Per-Share 15.18
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 12.4 B
 Enterprise Value 12.8 B
 Enterprise Multiple 67.129
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 21.76 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 94.794 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 132.573
CRS: 67.129
mean: 46.272
median: 44.274
low: -57.424
 EV/R 16.916
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.848
 Asset To Liability 2.18
 Debt To Capital 0.272
 Debt To Assets 0.202
Debt To Assets QoQ -3.488 %
Debt To Assets YoY 7455.431 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.521
mean: 0.229
median: 0.225
CRS: 0.202
low: 0.139
 Debt To Equity 0.373
Debt To Equity QoQ -5.487 %
Debt To Equity YoY 6802.963 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 1.328
mean: 0.413
CRS: 0.373
median: 0.253
low: 0.0
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 6.568
Price To Book QoQ 29.895 %
Price To Book YoY 107.749 %
Price To Book IPRWA CRS: 6.568
high: 6.329
mean: 1.72
median: 0.815
low: -1.209
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 114.352
Price To Earnings QoQ 18.771 %
Price To Earnings YoY 101.183 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA CRS: 114.352
high: 110.678
median: 64.714
mean: 47.427
low: -75.639
 PE/G Ratio 6.515
 Price To Sales (P/S) 16.402
Price To Sales QoQ 32.364 %
Price To Sales YoY 154.378 %
Price To Sales IPRWA CRS: 16.402
high: 9.675
mean: 3.334
median: 1.809
low: 0.0
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 116.03
Forward PE/G 6.61
Forward P/S 75.208
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 3.115
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.221
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 1.504 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -10.642 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.605
mean: 0.221
CRS: 0.221
median: 0.203
low: 0.067
 Receivables Turnover 1.283
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 3.043 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -12.972 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 4.436
median: 2.668
mean: 2.555
low: 1.412
CRS: 1.283
 Inventory Turnover 0.669
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 4.085 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -15.724 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 1.342
median: 1.177
mean: 0.981
CRS: 0.669
low: 0.239
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 71.149
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 165.919
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -5.123 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 13.569 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 185.268
CRS: 165.919
mean: 112.574
median: 103.647
low: 24.703
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.59
 CapEx To Revenue -0.077
 CapEx To Depreciation -1.629
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 2.6 B
 Net Invested Capital 2.6 B
 Invested Capital 2.6 B
 Net Tangible Assets 1.7 B
 Net Working Capital 1.3 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.652
 Current Ratio 3.648
Current Ratio QoQ -2.702 %
Current Ratio YoY 6.914 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 5.974
CRS: 3.648
median: 2.891
mean: 2.871
low: 0.116
 Quick Ratio 2.007
Quick Ratio QoQ 6.069 %
Quick Ratio YoY 9.368 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 2.621
CRS: 2.007
median: 1.336
mean: 1.147
low: 0.103
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 3.694
 Cost Of Debt 1.793 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 9.86
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 13.685 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 45.077 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 36.343
CRS: 9.86
mean: 4.93
median: 4.659
low: -25.448
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.444
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 45.59
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 11.059
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.09
 Dividend Rate 0.20
 Dividend Yield 0.001
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 3.718 %
 Revenue Growth 3.934 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -46.845 %
Revenue Growth YoY -76.303 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 14.04 %
median: 4.484 %
CRS: 3.934 %
mean: 2.667 %
low: -25.546 %
 Earnings Growth 17.553 %
Earnings Growth QoQ 32.445 %
Earnings Growth YoY -66.844 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 138.095 %
median: 26.923 %
mean: 18.201 %
CRS: 17.553 %
low: -80.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 28.322 %
Gross Margin QoQ 2.542 %
Gross Margin YoY 18.666 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 29.726 %
CRS: 28.322 %
median: 21.264 %
mean: 18.682 %
low: -9.174 %
 EBIT Margin 20.487 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 8.008 %
EBIT Margin YoY 48.597 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA CRS: 20.487 %
high: 13.916 %
median: 8.359 %
mean: 3.421 %
low: -21.333 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 20.037 %
Return On Sales QoQ 5.636 %
Return On Sales YoY 45.333 %
Return On Sales IPRWA CRS: 20.037 %
high: 16.991 %
median: 8.531 %
mean: 7.265 %
low: -14.431 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 200.1 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 1.615 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 326.121 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -41.358 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 11.512 %
CRS: 1.615 %
median: 0.81 %
mean: -2.639 %
low: -23.281 %
 Free Cash Growth 486.804 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -4275.708 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 277.136 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 604.472 %
CRS: 486.804 %
median: -113.28 %
mean: -115.558 %
low: -731.25 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 1.791
 Cash Flow Margin 28.428 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.923
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 3.262 %
Return On Assets QoQ 14.336 %
Return On Assets YoY 12.716 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 5.623 %
CRS: 3.262 %
median: 1.884 %
mean: 1.138 %
low: -4.299 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 5.155 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.059
Return On Equity QoQ 10.553 %
Return On Equity YoY 2.993 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.096
CRS: 0.059
median: 0.033
mean: 0.02
low: -0.086
 DuPont ROE 6.089 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 4.814 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 10.565 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -108.347 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA CRS: 4.814 %
high: 3.408 %
median: 1.47 %
mean: 1.132 %
low: -4.86 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term momentum favors further upside extension given MACD confirmation, rising DI+, and price trading above key moving averages; expect price to test the region between the 1x and 2x upper Bollinger bands while volatility remains elevated. MRO’s positive reading signals risk for periodic corrective moves toward the SuperTrend support near $288.55 or the 20-day average around $258.79 if profit-taking appears. Robust cash flow and expanded margins reduce downside tail risk, but elevated valuation metrics imply any pullback could present the more pronounced re-rating risk if operational drivers fail to sustain. Monitor short-term momentum readings and support at $288–$259 for evidence of re-acceleration or deeper consolidation over the next six weeks.

About Carpenter Technology Corporation

Carpenter Technology Corporation (NYSE:CRS) manufactures and distributes high-performance specialty metals, serving as a key supplier to industries worldwide. Established in 1889 and headquartered in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, the company operates through two main segments: Specialty Alloys Operations and Performance Engineered Products. Carpenter Technology produces a comprehensive range of specialty alloys, including titanium, stainless steel, alloy steels, and tool steels, alongside advanced powder metals and metal additives. The company’s materials support critical applications across various sectors, such as aerospace, defense, medical, transportation, energy, and industrial markets. By leveraging precision engineering and advanced metallurgical processes, Carpenter Technology ensures that its products meet the stringent specifications required by its global customers. With a strong presence in the United States, Europe, the Asia Pacific, Mexico, and Canada, the company remains committed to advancing material science and delivering high-quality solutions. Carpenter Technology’s extensive experience and dedication to innovation position it as a reliable partner in the development of next-generation technologies and solutions.



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