Toll Brothers, Inc (NYSE:TOL) Sells Multifamily Assets And Targets Near-Term Rebound

Toll Brothers narrows its operational focus toward core luxury homebuilding while freeing capital via asset sales, creating a clearer capital allocation profile. WMDST values the stock as under-valued.

Recent News

On July 26, 2025, Toll Brothers opened Raven Crest, a new luxury townhome community in Summerlin, Nevada. Recently the company agreed to sell its multifamily platform and related assets to Kennedy Wilson for $347 million, transferring interests in completed and developing properties and outsourcing multifamily operations to that buyer.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators (ADX/DI+/DI-): ADX at 16.72 indicates no trend; DI+ registered a peak & reversal, a bearish signal, while DI- shows a dip & reversal, also bearish. Together, the directional indicators temper momentum despite other constructive signs.

MACD: MACD sits at -0.26 and has been increasing; it has crossed above its signal line (-0.47), which constitutes a bullish momentum signal even though the MACD level remains negative.

MRO (Momentum/Regression Oscillator): MRO at -22.05 with a dip & reversal indicates price sits below target and implies upward potential toward that target; the negative value signals upside pressure rather than immediate over-extension.

RSI: RSI at 53.76 and increasing reflects modest bullish momentum with room before overbought territory, supporting measured upside potential into the near term.

Price vs. Moving Averages and Cloud: Current price $136.70 trades above the 200-day average of $119.09 and the 20-day average of $133.75; the 12-day EMA is increasing. The ichimoku cloud shows Senkou A at $139.05 and Senkou B at $129.85, placing price inside the cloud boundaries and suggesting consolidation rather than a clear breakout. SuperTrend lower support sits near $129.19.

Volatility & Volume: 42-day and 52-week volatility at 2% remain subdued; reported volume at 615,379 falls below 10/50/200-day averages, indicating limited conviction behind recent moves and raising the chance of muted follow-through.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability and margins: Operating (EBIT) margin at 16.56% improved QoQ by 0.87 percentage points but fell YoY by 9.14 percentage points. That operating margin sits above the industry peer mean of 4.12% and above the industry peer high of 5.91% for the homebuilding peer set, indicating relatively strong margin performance versus peers.

Revenue and earnings: Total revenue reached $2,945,117,000 with revenue growth listed at 7.52%. Reported EPS came in at $3.73 versus an estimate of $3.60, producing an EPS surprise of 3.61% (EPS difference $0.13). Forward EPS equals $3.655 with a forward P/E around 31.16.

Cash flow and balance sheet: Operating cash flow totaled $370,310,000 and free cash flow $344,863,000, producing a free cash flow yield of 2.90%, above the industry peer mean of 0.46%. Cash and short-term investments equal $852,311,000. The current ratio of 4.14 compares favorably to the industry peer mean of 1.78, signaling ample near-term liquidity.

Leverage and coverage: Debt-to-assets of 21.34% and debt-to-equity of 37.95% sit below industry peer means (debt-to-assets mean 40.67%, debt-to-equity mean 106.35%), while interest coverage near 9.99x exceeds the industry peer mean of 2.15x. The capital structure therefore shows lower leverage and stronger coverage than peers.

Operational efficiency: Asset turnover at 0.206 falls below the industry peer mean of 0.2567, and inventory days outstanding around 495 indicate a capital-intensive inventory profile common in homebuilding. Gross margin at 25.17% sits below the industry peer mean of 32.97%, suggesting product mix or cost structure considerations despite strong operating margin performance.

QoQ / YoY dynamics: Several short-term dynamics show mixed movement: EBIT margin rose QoQ by 0.87 percentage points while declining YoY by 9.14 percentage points; revenue growth displays 7.52% overall but a large sequential decline QoQ (-84.11% as reported), and earnings growth shows 6.57% overall against reported steep QoQ and YoY declines in the provided fields. Cash conversion and retained earnings remain solid, with cash flow to earnings near 72.63%.

Valuation summary: WMDST values the stock as under-valued. Market multiples show a trailing P/E of 31.74 and a forward P/E about 31.16—levels close to the industry peer mean for forward P/E (≈30.14). Enterprise multiple and EV ratios align with a premium multiple justified by margin and liquidity characteristics, while free cash flow yield and below-average leverage support the under-valued assessment.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-07-31
REPORT DATE: 2025-08-19
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2025-11-18
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 761.7 M
 Operating Cash Flow 370.3 M
 Capital Expenditures -25.45 M
 Change In Working Capital -88.74 M
 Dividends Paid -24.26 M
 Cash Flow Delta 176.6 M
 End Period Cash Flow 938.3 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 2.9 B
 Forward Revenue 703.0 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 2.2 B
 Depreciation 22.3 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 22.3 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 2.5 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 741.4 M
 EBITDA 510.1 M
 EBIT 487.7 M
 Operating Income 487.7 M
 Interest Income 7.0 M
 Interest Expense
 Net Interest Income 7.0 M
 Income Before Tax 499.5 M
 Tax Provision 129.9 M
 Tax Rate 26.002 %
 Net Income 369.6 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 369.6 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 3.60
 EPS Actual 3.73
 EPS Difference 0.13
 EPS Surprise 3.611 %
 Forward EPS 3.65
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 14.4 B
 Intangible Assets
 Net Tangible Assets 8.1 B
 Total Current Assets 12.5 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 852.3 M
 Cash 852.3 M
 Net Receivables
 Inventory 11.1 B
 Long-Term Investments 102.5 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 619.6 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 3.0 B
 Net Debt 2.1 B
 Total Debt 3.1 B
 Total Liabilities 6.3 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 8.1 B
 Retained Earnings 9.0 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 83.85
 Shares Outstanding 96.554 M
 Revenue Per-Share 30.50
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 11.9 B
 Enterprise Value 14.1 B
 Enterprise Multiple 27.708
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 1.977 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 20.946 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 36.755
median: 36.755
TOL: 27.708
mean: 21.876
low: -87.482
 EV/R 4.799
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.778
 Asset To Liability 2.29
 Debt To Capital 0.275
 Debt To Assets 0.213
Debt To Assets QoQ 3.392 %
Debt To Assets YoY 2136.583 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.464
median: 0.464
mean: 0.407
low: 0.321
TOL: 0.213
 Debt To Equity 0.379
Debt To Equity QoQ 2.955 %
Debt To Equity YoY 2108.673 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 1.407
median: 1.407
mean: 1.063
low: 0.548
TOL: 0.379
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 1.472
Price To Book QoQ 10.982 %
Price To Book YoY -13.524 %
Price To Book IPRWA TOL: 1.472
high: 1.403
mean: 1.055
median: 1.055
low: 0.944
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 31.745
Price To Earnings QoQ 3.654 %
Price To Earnings YoY -8.578 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 58.679
median: 44.47
TOL: 31.745
mean: 30.518
low: -126.855
 PE/G Ratio 4.831
 Price To Sales (P/S) 4.045
Price To Sales QoQ 5.125 %
Price To Sales YoY -12.547 %
Price To Sales IPRWA TOL: 4.045
high: 2.156
mean: 1.715
low: 1.434
median: 1.434
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 31.165
Forward PE/G 4.743
Forward P/S 16.946
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 1.125
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.206
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 4.611 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 0.478 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.328
mean: 0.257
low: 0.242
median: 0.242
TOL: 0.206
 Receivables Turnover
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Inventory Turnover 0.2
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 6.432 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 1.206 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 1.865
mean: 1.407
median: 1.287
low: 0.562
TOL: 0.2
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO)
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC)
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.311
 CapEx To Revenue -0.009
 CapEx To Depreciation -1.139
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 11.0 B
 Net Invested Capital 11.0 B
 Invested Capital 11.0 B
 Net Tangible Assets 8.1 B
 Net Working Capital 9.5 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.282
 Current Ratio 4.14
Current Ratio QoQ 5.588 %
Current Ratio YoY -0.35 %
Current Ratio IPRWA TOL: 4.14
high: 2.04
mean: 1.782
median: 1.671
low: 1.517
 Quick Ratio 0.47
Quick Ratio QoQ 17.697 %
Quick Ratio YoY -4.592 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 1.055
median: 0.957
mean: 0.943
low: 0.526
TOL: 0.47
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 6.023
 Cost Of Debt 1.204 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 9.986
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 8.46 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -1.905 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA TOL: 9.986
high: 5.757
median: 2.56
mean: 2.146
low: -11.225
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.089
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 28.855
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 15.238
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.066
 Dividend Rate 0.25
 Dividend Yield 0.002
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 1.416 %
 Revenue Growth 7.522 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -84.108 %
Revenue Growth YoY -294.82 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 16.013 %
TOL: 7.522 %
mean: 1.646 %
low: -0.634 %
median: -0.634 %
 Earnings Growth 6.571 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -93.429 %
Earnings Growth YoY -131.472 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA TOL: 6.571 %
high: -25.0 %
median: -25.0 %
mean: -34.906 %
low: -74.576 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 25.174 %
Gross Margin QoQ -2.256 %
Gross Margin YoY -7.449 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 56.443 %
median: 38.516 %
mean: 32.974 %
TOL: 25.174 %
low: 16.745 %
 EBIT Margin 16.56 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 0.871 %
EBIT Margin YoY -9.141 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA TOL: 16.56 %
high: 5.908 %
median: 4.928 %
mean: 4.119 %
low: -5.496 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 16.56 %
Return On Sales QoQ 0.871 %
Return On Sales YoY -9.141 %
Return On Sales IPRWA TOL: 16.56 %
high: 5.65 %
median: 5.65 %
mean: 4.273 %
low: -5.496 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 344.9 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 2.895 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -12.14 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 143.687 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 2.909 %
TOL: 2.895 %
mean: 0.463 %
low: -1.554 %
median: -1.554 %
 Free Cash Growth -0.689 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -99.616 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -98.959 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA TOL: -0.689 %
high: -29.406 %
mean: -114.266 %
low: -167.834 %
median: -167.834 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.933
 Cash Flow Margin 9.115 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.726
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 2.585 %
Return On Assets QoQ 2.013 %
Return On Assets YoY -8.203 %
Return On Assets IPRWA TOL: 2.585 %
high: 0.929 %
median: 0.512 %
mean: 0.45 %
low: -1.361 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 4.286 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.046
Return On Equity QoQ 2.977 %
Return On Equity YoY -9.62 %
Return On Equity IPRWA TOL: 0.046
high: 0.016
median: 0.016
mean: 0.01
low: -0.034
 DuPont ROE 4.608 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 3.27 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 5.928 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -106.771 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA TOL: 3.27 %
high: 1.366 %
median: 1.31 %
mean: 0.81 %
low: -3.406 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term price bias tilts toward measured upside. A MACD crossover above its signal line and a negative MRO imply upside pressure toward fair-value targets, while RSI rising from mid-50s provides momentum without overbought risk. Offsetting those bullish elements, ADX under 20 indicates a lack of trend strength and directional indicators show recent bearish reversals, and volume remains below multi‑week averages—factors that limit the scale and conviction of any advance. The balance of signals suggests modest upside potential with susceptibility to range-bound swings; monitor confirmation via expanding volume and a decisive move above the cloud boundary near $139 to increase the probability of follow-through.

About Toll Brothers, Inc.

Toll Brothers, Inc. (NYSE:TOL) designs and builds luxury residential communities across the United States. The company develops a diverse range of homes, including detached and attached residences, catering to luxury first-time, move-up, empty-nester, active-adult, and second-home buyers. Through its Toll Brothers City Living division, it constructs and markets condominiums in urban settings. Toll Brothers also creates communities featuring recreational amenities such as golf courses, marinas, and country clubs. The company extends its offerings with single-story living and first-floor primary bedroom suite designs. Additionally, Toll Brothers develops, operates, and rents apartments, expanding its footprint in the residential market. To enhance the homebuying experience, the company provides interior fit-out options, including flooring, cabinetry, and smart home technologies. Beyond homebuilding, Toll Brothers owns and operates various subsidiaries involved in architectural and engineering services, mortgage and title services, land development, insurance, and more. Founded in 1967, Toll Brothers maintains its headquarters in Fort Washington, Pennsylvania, and continues to serve a broad spectrum of homebuyers with its comprehensive range of luxury housing solutions.



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