Ingles Markets, Incorporated (NASDAQ:IMKTA) Shows Resilience Yet Faces Near-Term Downward Momentum

Ingles Markets presents a mixed picture: underlying cash strength and conservative leverage contrast with multiple technical signals that favor near-term price pressure. Valuation metrics by WMDST classify the stock as under-valued despite weakening year-over-year profitability.

Recent News

Sep 29, 2025 — Board declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.165 per Class A share and $0.15 per Class B share, payable mid‑October. Sep 19–23, 2025 — Board adopted Second Amended and Restated Bylaws updating nomination requirements, officer roles, and indemnification provisions. Aug 26, 2025 — Gamco Investors reduced its stake in Ingles. Oct 21, 2025 — Allspring Global Investments increased its reported holding in the company.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 16.75 indicates little established trend strength; that low ADX reduces conviction behind momentum signals and supports a near‑term range bias against the valuation backdrop.

Directional indicators show DI+ at 25.51 with a recorded peak‑and‑reversal and DI‑ at 17.74 with a dip‑and‑reversal; both patterns align toward bearish directional pressure, which increases the risk of price weakness versus the current valuation level.

MACD sits slightly below its signal line (MACD 1.18 vs signal 1.20) and exhibits a peak‑and‑reversal; that combination signals waning bullish momentum and supports a bearish near‑term bias relative to the company’s undervalued status.

MRO registers positive 31.51, indicating price currently sits above the model target and therefore carries downward pressure toward fair value; the magnitude suggests notable force behind that adjustment toward valuation.

RSI at 58.04 with a peak‑and‑reversal points to recently lost upside momentum while remaining below overbought extremes, consistent with consolidation and potential pullback toward support levels that would better align price with WMDST valuation.

Price sits above the 200‑day average ($64.64) and marginally above short‑term averages (20‑day $72.61, 12‑day EMA $72.65) while the 12‑day EMA shows a peak‑and‑reversal; that layout creates a tension between longer‑term bullish bias and short‑term bearish momentum, favoring sideways to modest downside movement near current levels.

Bollinger band positions place price near the upper‑half of the band range (upper 1σ $74.13, lower 1σ $71.09) and volume trails 10/50/200‑day averages, implying weak participation behind recent moves and limited conviction should momentum attempt continuation.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue reached $1,346,221,519 with net income $26,198,955 and operating income $37,198,425. YoY revenue growth registered -41.081%, while quarter‑over‑quarter revenue growth showed -66.488%; those declines present a meaningful headwind to margin expansion and near‑term earnings leverage.

Gross margin measured 24.315%, up 2.755 percentage points YoY and 4.093 percentage points QoQ, providing some pricing or cost recovery. Operating margin at 2.763% improved 50.245% QoQ but fell -19.281% YoY; EBIT margin at 2.98% rose 62.045% QoQ yet dropped -12.942% YoY. Operating improvements QoQ help support the current WMDST valuation, while YoY deterioration warrants caution.

Return on equity reached 1.644% (ROE QoQ +71.072%, ROE YoY -19.491%), and return on assets 1.037% (QoQ +71.689%, YoY -17.764%), indicating limited profitability against invested capital, though QoQ recovery trends appear constructive relative to recent troughs.

Liquidity presented strong buffers: cash and short‑term investments $336,087,418 with current ratio 3.14 and quick ratio 1.53. Cash conversion cycle at 34.12 days exceeds the industry peer mean of about 4.27 days, indicating a longer working capital cycle versus peers, but ample cash balances mitigate short‑term funding risk.

Leverage remained moderate: total debt $548,154,558, debt‑to‑assets 21.52% (debt‑to‑equity 0.344), and interest coverage ~8.26x. Debt metrics tightened YoY (debt‑to‑assets +30.28% YoY; debt‑to‑equity +29.49% YoY) but coverage stays above the industry peer mean, preserving financial flexibility.

Market multiples show price‑to‑book 0.77, below the industry peer low of 1.10063, and price‑to‑sales 0.912. Free cash flow yield 3.70% sits above the industry peer mean of roughly 0.22%, supporting the WMDST under‑valued stance. Forward P/E equals 52.79, reflecting low forward earnings per share relative to market cap and suggesting elevated multiple risk if earnings fail to recover.

Enterprise multiple registers 20.34, slightly below the industry peer low near 20.61, lending additional context to WMDST’s under‑valued classification while cautioning that multiple compression or earnings weakness could offset that positioning.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-08-07
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2025-11-06
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 297.3 M
 Operating Cash Flow 74.8 M
 Capital Expenditures -29.41 M
 Change In Working Capital 10.6 M
 Dividends Paid -3.07 M
 Cash Flow Delta 38.8 M
 End Period Cash Flow 336.1 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 1.3 B
 Forward Revenue 286.7 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 1.0 B
 Depreciation 30.7 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 30.7 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 1.3 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 327.3 M
 EBITDA 70.8 M
 EBIT 40.1 M
 Operating Income 37.2 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 4.9 M
 Net Interest Income -4.86 M
 Income Before Tax 35.3 M
 Tax Provision 9.1 M
 Tax Rate 25.7 %
 Net Income 26.2 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 26.2 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate
 EPS Actual
 EPS Difference
 EPS Surprise
 Forward EPS 1.18
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 2.5 B
 Intangible Assets
 Net Tangible Assets 1.6 B
 Total Current Assets 947.7 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 336.1 M
 Cash 336.1 M
 Net Receivables 102.3 M
 Inventory 487.5 M
 Long-Term Investments 48.9 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 189.7 M
 Short-Term Debt 17.5 M
 Total Current Liabilities 301.4 M
 Net Debt 181.9 M
 Total Debt 548.2 M
 Total Liabilities 953.3 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 1.6 B
 Retained Earnings 1.6 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 83.91
 Shares Outstanding 18.994 M
 Revenue Per-Share 70.87
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 1.2 B
 Enterprise Value 1.4 B
 Enterprise Multiple 20.338
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -23.115 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 48.144 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 80.109
median: 80.109
mean: 75.639
low: 20.614
IMKTA: 20.338
 EV/R 1.069
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.598
 Asset To Liability 2.672
 Debt To Capital 0.256
 Debt To Assets 0.215
Debt To Assets QoQ -2.479 %
Debt To Assets YoY 3027.907 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.541
mean: 0.278
median: 0.256
IMKTA: 0.215
low: 0.086
 Debt To Equity 0.344
Debt To Equity QoQ -2.262 %
Debt To Equity YoY 2948.936 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 4.44
mean: 0.978
median: 0.802
IMKTA: 0.344
low: 0.127
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 0.77
Price To Book QoQ 0.785 %
Price To Book YoY -14.347 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 11.097
median: 8.869
mean: 8.568
low: 1.101
IMKTA: 0.77
 Price To Earnings (P/E)
Price To Earnings QoQ
Price To Earnings YoY
Price To Earnings IPRWA
 PE/G Ratio
 Price To Sales (P/S) 0.912
Price To Sales QoQ 1.065 %
Price To Sales YoY -9.051 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 6.779
median: 4.488
mean: 4.244
IMKTA: 0.912
low: 0.458
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 52.791
Forward PE/G
Forward P/S 4.282
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 56.85
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.533
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 0.045 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -3.808 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.935
mean: 0.649
median: 0.633
IMKTA: 0.533
low: 0.358
 Receivables Turnover 13.363
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 2.343 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 0.237 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 33.34
mean: 17.57
median: 16.846
low: 14.894
IMKTA: 13.363
 Inventory Turnover 2.082
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 0.193 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -5.791 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 7.944
mean: 2.394
median: 2.183
low: 2.088
IMKTA: 2.082
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 6.828
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 34.116
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -4.346 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 7.179 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA IMKTA: 34.116
high: 23.297
median: 4.591
mean: 4.269
low: -7.085
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 2.083
 CapEx To Revenue -0.022
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.959
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 2.1 B
 Net Invested Capital 2.1 B
 Invested Capital 2.1 B
 Net Tangible Assets 1.6 B
 Net Working Capital 646.3 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 1.115
 Current Ratio 3.144
Current Ratio QoQ -1.3 %
Current Ratio YoY 5.283 %
Current Ratio IPRWA IMKTA: 3.144
high: 1.209
mean: 0.794
median: 0.78
low: 0.768
 Quick Ratio 1.527
Quick Ratio QoQ 4.237 %
Quick Ratio YoY 2.704 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA IMKTA: 1.527
high: 1.043
mean: 0.243
median: 0.221
low: 0.144
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 7.743
 Cost Of Debt 0.655 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 8.26
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 64.594 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -7.212 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 18.889
median: 10.41
mean: 10.217
IMKTA: 8.26
low: 1.825
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.226
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 16.478
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 8.541
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.117
 Dividend Rate 0.16
 Dividend Yield 0.003
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 1.625 %
 Revenue Growth 1.123 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -66.488 %
Revenue Growth YoY -41.081 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 32.348 %
IMKTA: 1.123 %
mean: -5.313 %
low: -8.277 %
median: -8.277 %
 Earnings Growth
Earnings Growth QoQ
Earnings Growth YoY
Earnings Growth IPRWA
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 24.315 %
Gross Margin QoQ 4.093 %
Gross Margin YoY 2.755 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 38.845 %
mean: 25.047 %
median: 24.942 %
IMKTA: 24.315 %
low: 18.813 %
 EBIT Margin 2.98 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 62.045 %
EBIT Margin YoY -12.942 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 4.004 %
median: 4.004 %
mean: 3.903 %
IMKTA: 2.98 %
low: 1.168 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 2.763 %
Return On Sales QoQ 50.245 %
Return On Sales YoY -19.281 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 4.004 %
median: 4.004 %
mean: 3.902 %
IMKTA: 2.763 %
low: 1.678 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 45.4 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 3.696 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 14.25 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -11.895 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA IMKTA: 3.696 %
high: 2.494 %
mean: 0.218 %
median: 0.057 %
low: -2.002 %
 Free Cash Growth 16.776 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -111.356 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -74.634 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 112.5 %
IMKTA: 16.776 %
mean: -80.773 %
median: -93.399 %
low: -232.971 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 1.732
 Cash Flow Margin 5.07 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 2.605
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 1.037 %
Return On Assets QoQ 71.689 %
Return On Assets YoY -17.764 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 3.555 %
mean: 1.735 %
median: 1.715 %
IMKTA: 1.037 %
low: 0.15 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 1.786 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.016
Return On Equity QoQ 71.072 %
Return On Equity YoY -19.491 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.099
mean: 0.057
median: 0.054
IMKTA: 0.016
low: 0.004
 DuPont ROE 1.655 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 1.411 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 56.604 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -113.318 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 9.877 %
mean: 4.082 %
median: 3.948 %
IMKTA: 1.411 %
low: 0.661 %

Six-Week Outlook

Expect consolidation with a bearish tilt over the next six weeks. Technical momentum indicators (DI+/DI‑ peak/dip reversals, MACD below signal, positive MRO) imply downward pressure that could close the gap between price and the WMDST fair‑value signal. Low ADX and subdued volume point toward range‑bound action punctuated by brief downside probes rather than a strong trending move. Key fundamental drivers that could alter this picture include near‑term operating margin recovery or renewed strength in comparable sales; absent such shifts, price likely gravitates toward support structures that align market valuation with underlying cash‑flow metrics.

About Ingles Markets, Incorporated

Ingles Markets, Incorporated (NASDAQ:IMKTA) develops a robust supermarket chain primarily in the southeastern United States, with its headquarters in Asheville, North Carolina. Founded in 1963, Ingles Markets delivers a wide array of grocery products under the Ingles and Sav-Mor brand names. Their offerings include fresh produce, meats, dairy items, frozen foods, and a variety of non-food items such as health and beauty products, along with pharmacies and fuel centers. The company emphasizes quality and community engagement by providing private label products and locally sourced organic goods. Ingles Markets also manages a sophisticated milk processing and packaging facility, distributing organic milk, fruit juices, and bottled water to various retailers and distributors. Ingles Markets enriches the shopping experience with additional services like in-store bakeries, delicatessens, floral departments, and home meal replacement options. By focusing on convenience and customer satisfaction, Ingles Markets continues to serve its communities effectively, offering a comprehensive shopping destination while supporting local connections and sustainability.



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