Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc (NYSE:REXR) Poised To Extend Upswing As Momentum Strengthens

Rexford Industrial shows constructive price behavior alongside a fair-valued market appraisal, supporting a cautiously constructive near-term posture. Underlying profitability metrics contrast with compressed cash-generation and elevated market multiples.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 24.26 signals an emerging directional environment; DI+ increasing while DI- shows a peak & reversal, together biasing directional readings in favor of upside continuation relative to the current valuation.

MACD sits at 0.58, above its signal line of 0.43, and the MACD trend is increasing; the cross above the signal line constitutes a bullish momentum signal that aligns with a near-term upward bias in price action.

MRO at -12.02 places the market price below the computed target, implying mean-reversion pressure that favors price appreciation toward fair-value benchmarks if momentum persists.

RSI at 57.01 with a peak & reversal trend indicates recent loss of upward conviction and suggests the upside advance could stall without fresh buying interest.

Price trades above the 20-day ($42.01), 50-day ($41.16) and 200-day ($37.58) averages; the 12-day EMA sits at $42.50 and is rising, reinforcing short-to-intermediate bullish alignment between price and moving averages relative to the current valuation.

Price near the upper Bollinger band (upper 1x = $43.53) and the SuperTrend lower support at $41.66 frame a tight near-term range; volume at ~2.35M sits below recent averages, suggesting any breakout needs higher conviction to sustain.

 


Fundamental Analysis

EBIT stands at $147,095,000 with an EBIT margin of 58.95%, above the industry peer mean of 41.84% and inside the industry peer range of 5.49%–89.38%, reflecting stronger operating profitability on reported revenue of $249,507,000.

EPS actual of $0.25 missed the $0.30 estimate, a negative surprise of -16.67%, while forward EPS of $0.3275 implies modest earnings growth expectations embedded in current market pricing.

Revenue growth reads -1.102% and revenue growth year-over-year provided as -110.049%; quarter-on-quarter revenue growth shows a decline of -128.498%. These figures indicate top-line contraction in the near periods reported and warrant monitoring relative to asset utilization trends.

Free cash flow stands at $44,961,000 producing a free cash flow yield of 0.51%, below the industry peer mean of 1.45%, while operating cash flow of $128,157,000 and an operating margin of 41.39% align closely with the industry peer mean operating margin of 41.35%.

Balance-sheet metrics show total debt of $3,347,575,000 with debt-to-assets at 25.59%, below the industry peer mean of 41.51%, and an interest coverage ratio of 5.51, above the industry peer mean of 4.29%, indicating comparatively conservative leverage and stronger near-term interest coverage.

Market multiples present a mixed picture: P/E of 124.05 and forward P/E of 108.92 reflect elevated earnings multiples, while the P/B ratio of 1.03 sits below the industry peer mean of 2.01. Dividend yield at 1.21% pairs with a dividend payout ratio of 92.57% and a dividend coverage ratio of 1.08, showing distributions close to reported distributable earnings.

WMDST values the stock as fair-valued. That valuation aligns with high profitability margins and conservative leverage on one hand, and compressed free cash flow yield plus high earnings multiples on the other, producing a mixed fundamental backdrop for near-term performance.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-10-15
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2026-01-14
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 554.7 M
 Operating Cash Flow 128.2 M
 Capital Expenditures -83.20 M
 Change In Working Capital -19.45 M
 Dividends Paid -107.69 M
 Cash Flow Delta 6.5 M
 End Period Cash Flow 561.2 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 249.5 M
 Forward Revenue 41.6 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 55.3 M
 Depreciation 71.2 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 65.4 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 146.2 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 194.2 M
 EBITDA 218.3 M
 EBIT 147.1 M
 Operating Income 103.3 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 26.7 M
 Net Interest Income -26.70 M
 Income Before Tax 120.4 M
 Tax Provision
 Tax Rate 21.0 %
 Net Income 116.3 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 120.4 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.30
 EPS Actual 0.25
 EPS Difference -0.05
 EPS Surprise -16.667 %
 Forward EPS 0.33
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 13.1 B
 Intangible Assets 174.2 M
 Net Tangible Assets 8.7 B
 Total Current Assets 877.5 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 431.1 M
 Cash 431.1 M
 Net Receivables 186.6 M
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments 15.8 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 124.8 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 406.7 M
 Net Debt 2.9 B
 Total Debt 3.3 B
 Total Liabilities 3.9 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 8.7 B
 Retained Earnings -462.31 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 36.68
 Shares Outstanding 236.695 M
 Revenue Per-Share 1.05
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 8.9 B
 Enterprise Value 11.8 B
 Enterprise Multiple 54.135
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -14.264 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 1.454 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 86.153
median: 83.413
mean: 79.058
REXR: 54.135
low: -6.22
 EV/R 47.361
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.507
 Asset To Liability 3.367
 Debt To Capital 0.278
 Debt To Assets 0.256
Debt To Assets QoQ 0.035 %
Debt To Assets YoY 4545.009 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.804
median: 0.442
mean: 0.415
REXR: 0.256
low: 0.126
 Debt To Equity 0.386
Debt To Equity QoQ -0.406 %
Debt To Equity YoY 4357.803 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 2.079
mean: 1.075
median: 0.894
REXR: 0.386
low: 0.157
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 1.025
Price To Book QoQ -1.844 %
Price To Book YoY -17.554 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 3.302
mean: 2.008
median: 1.905
REXR: 1.025
low: 0.555
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 124.052
Price To Earnings QoQ -2.689 %
Price To Earnings YoY 2.169 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 175.15
mean: 143.504
median: 131.315
REXR: 124.052
low: -111.883
 PE/G Ratio 5.955
 Price To Sales (P/S) 35.672
Price To Sales QoQ -0.36 %
Price To Sales YoY -13.403 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 51.764
median: 42.193
mean: 41.064
REXR: 35.672
low: 2.569
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 108.917
Forward PE/G 5.228
Forward P/S 214.137
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -40.979
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.019
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -2.754 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -0.677 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.082
mean: 0.035
median: 0.029
low: 0.021
REXR: 0.019
 Receivables Turnover 1.345
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -3.524 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -13.259 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 6.709
median: 6.709
mean: 4.628
REXR: 1.345
low: 0.855
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 67.854
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC)
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.53
 CapEx To Revenue -0.333
 CapEx To Depreciation -1.169
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 12.2 B
 Net Invested Capital 12.0 B
 Invested Capital 12.0 B
 Net Tangible Assets 8.7 B
 Net Working Capital 470.8 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 1.06
 Current Ratio 2.158
Current Ratio QoQ 4.441 %
Current Ratio YoY 133.427 %
Current Ratio IPRWA REXR: 2.158
high: 1.768
mean: 1.046
median: 0.614
low: 0.126
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 15.336
 Cost Of Debt 0.63 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 5.509
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 48.347 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 36.784 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 14.255
REXR: 5.509
mean: 4.291
median: 3.564
low: 0.348
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.4
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 220.288
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 1.08
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.926
 Dividend Rate 0.45
 Dividend Yield 0.012
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -0.048 %
 Revenue Growth -1.102 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -128.498 %
Revenue Growth YoY -110.049 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 5.422 %
median: 2.066 %
mean: 2.058 %
low: 0.172 %
REXR: -1.102 %
 Earnings Growth 20.833 %
Earnings Growth QoQ 87.499 %
Earnings Growth YoY -43.751 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 145.161 %
REXR: 20.833 %
median: -3.175 %
mean: -4.465 %
low: -166.667 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 77.837 %
Gross Margin QoQ -0.332 %
Gross Margin YoY -0.403 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 89.081 %
REXR: 77.837 %
median: 74.683 %
mean: 73.931 %
low: 68.464 %
 EBIT Margin 58.954 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 46.772 %
EBIT Margin YoY 22.398 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 89.376 %
REXR: 58.954 %
mean: 41.844 %
median: 41.1 %
low: 5.489 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 41.389 %
Return On Sales QoQ 3.042 %
Return On Sales YoY -14.07 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 47.886 %
REXR: 41.389 %
mean: 41.347 %
median: 39.159 %
low: 8.342 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 45.0 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.505 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -37.884 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 198.817 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 6.392 %
mean: 1.447 %
median: 1.237 %
REXR: 0.505 %
low: -1.258 %
 Free Cash Growth -38.748 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -123.729 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -44.068 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 61.894 %
mean: 12.929 %
median: 7.626 %
low: -30.341 %
REXR: -38.748 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.386
 Cash Flow Margin 65.133 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.397
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 0.889 %
Return On Assets QoQ 60.759 %
Return On Assets YoY 33.483 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 3.919 %
mean: 0.994 %
REXR: 0.889 %
median: 0.731 %
low: -0.408 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 1.161 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.013
Return On Equity QoQ 62.819 %
Return On Equity YoY 27.863 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.071
mean: 0.027
median: 0.015
REXR: 0.013
low: -0.041
 DuPont ROE 1.343 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 0.966 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 90.533 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -100.616 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 2.796 %
mean: 1.534 %
median: 1.031 %
REXR: 0.966 %
low: 0.176 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term price bias leans constructive if momentum indicators sustain: the MACD cross above its signal line and rising short-term EMAs favor further upside toward nearby resistance bands, while MRO below zero supports mean-reversion potential toward fair-value. Offsetting this, RSI peak & reversal and subdued volume raise the odds of ephemeral rallies that require renewed participation to extend.

Monitor momentum and volume for confirmation; weakness in MACD or a renewed rise in DI- would shift the near-term profile toward consolidation. On the fundamental side, persistent pressure in revenue growth and limited free cash flow yield argue for measured expectations over the coming six weeks despite above-average operating margins and conservative leverage.

About Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc.

Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. (NYSE:REXR) invests in, operates, and redevelops industrial properties across infill Southern California, a region recognized as the fourth largest industrial market globally. The company leverages a distinctive strategy to unlock internal and external growth opportunities through proprietary value creation and asset management capabilities. Rexford Industrial’s portfolio includes 424 properties, encompassing approximately 50.3 million rentable square feet. This portfolio supports a diverse and stable tenant base, ensuring consistent demand in a market characterized by high demand and limited supply. As a real estate investment trust (REIT), Rexford Industrial Realty trades on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker REXR and holds a position in the S&P MidCap 400 Index. The company’s strategic investments and operations within this prime industrial market underscore its commitment to delivering value and growth.



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