Ouster, Inc. (NYSE:OUST) Slides Into Near-Term Consolidation Ahead Of Rebound

Momentum shows mixed signals while underlying revenue and cash metrics support a constructive medium-term stance. Near-term price action should resolve around current support and the recent momentum inflection.

Recent News

On September 7, 2025, an industry analysis noted expanded deployments of Ouster’s Gemini and BlueCity platforms, highlighted progress on custom silicon and solid‑state digital flash sensors, and repeated earlier Department of Defense approval for Ouster’s OS1 under the Blue UAS framework; the piece also described growing software‑attached bookings and wider smart‑infrastructure adoption.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators (ADX / DI+ / DI-): ADX at 19.32 registers no trend, which reduces conviction for a sustained breakout or breakdown; DI+ shows a dip & reversal while DI- shows a dip & reversal, creating a mixed directional picture that supports consolidation rather than a clean trend extension.

MACD: MACD registers 0.90 with a peak & reversal trend, signaling momentum has begun to soften, yet MACD remains above its 0.57 signal line, which provides a short‑term bullish signal that could support a relief bounce inside the current range.

MRO (Momentum/Regression Oscillator): MRO at 22.7 sits positive, indicating price currently trades above the model target and carries potential for a corrective move downward; the MRO trend shows a peak & reversal, reinforcing a near‑term easing of upward pressure.

RSI and breadth: RSI at 54.4 with a dip & reversal implies resumed upward momentum from a neutral level rather than extended overbought conditions, compatible with range‑bound trading and selective strength toward the upper band.

Price versus averages and bands: Price closed at $31.52, above the 200‑day average of $17.66, which signals long‑term outperformance; short‑term EMAs show a recent peak & reversal (12‑day EMA at $31.88), placing immediate bias toward consolidation. SuperTrend lower support sits at $31.41, offering a nearby structural floor while Bollinger upper and lower 1× bands at $34.18 and $27.30 bracket the short‑term trading band.

Volume and volatility: Daily volume of 3.4M exceeds the 10‑day average of 3.10M and the 50‑day average of 2.93M, indicating active participation during recent range action; volatility measures (42‑day beta 4.61, 52‑week beta 2.31) signal elevated sensitivity to news and catalysts, which raises near‑term risk even as technicals lean toward consolidation.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue and margins: Total revenue registers $35,049,000 with YoY revenue growth of 83.71% and QoQ change of -12.25%, showing strong annual expansion alongside short‑term variability in sales cadence. Gross margin stands at 45.20% with YoY improvement of 34.09%, which supports higher operating leverage potential if revenue growth sustains.

Profitability and operating metrics: EBIT equals -$24,228,000, producing an EBIT margin of -69.13%; QoQ change in EBIT margin improved by 3.37% while YoY the margin declined by 18.90%. The EBIT margin sits well below the industry peer mean of 17.07% and median of 17.44%, indicating current operating losses relative to typical peer profitability despite margin improvement at the gross level.

Cash, liquidity, and leverage: Cash totals $76,120,000 and cash and short‑term investments reach $226,505,000, producing a cash ratio of 2.63 and a quick ratio of 3.01; current ratio stands at 3.17, which signals ample short‑term liquidity. Total debt measures $17,654,000 with debt‑to‑assets near 5.49% and debt‑to‑equity about 7.99%, reflecting a light leverage profile that supports investment in product development.

Cash flow and capital allocation: Free cash flow totals -$2,198,000 with free cash flow yield near -0.17% and free cash growth negative, while operating cash flow registers -$1,309,000; cash conversion ratio sits at 18.73%, and positive cash flow delta of $22,137,000 over the period suggests improving cash generation despite negative free cash flow this quarter.

Valuation context: Price‑to‑book at 5.97 sits roughly in line with the industry peer mean of 6.05; price‑to‑sales at 37.66 stands above the industry peer mean of 15.15, and forward PE remains negative. WMDST values the stock as under‑valued based on the firm’s revenue growth, gross margin expansion, and ample liquidity despite persistent operating losses.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-08-07
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2025-11-06
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 56.5 M
 Operating Cash Flow -1.31 M
 Capital Expenditures -889.00 K
 Change In Working Capital 2.2 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 22.1 M
 End Period Cash Flow 78.7 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 35.0 M
 Forward Revenue 12.5 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 19.2 M
 Depreciation 3.1 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 3.1 M
 Research and Development 17.1 M
 Total Operating Expenses 61.9 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 15.8 M
 EBITDA -21.11 M
 EBIT -24.23 M
 Operating Income -26.82 M
 Interest Income 2.6 M
 Interest Expense
 Net Interest Income 2.6 M
 Income Before Tax -24.23 M
 Tax Provision -3.62 M
 Tax Rate 14.9 %
 Net Income -20.61 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations -20.61 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate -0.20
 EPS Actual -0.26
 EPS Difference -0.06
 EPS Surprise -30.0 %
 Forward EPS -0.51
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 321.8 M
 Intangible Assets 15.6 M
 Net Tangible Assets 205.4 M
 Total Current Assets 273.2 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 226.5 M
 Cash 76.1 M
 Net Receivables 15.4 M
 Inventory 13.9 M
 Long-Term Investments 3.6 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 12.8 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 86.1 M
 Net Debt
 Total Debt 17.7 M
 Total Liabilities 100.8 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 221.0 M
 Retained Earnings -955.70 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 4.11
 Shares Outstanding 57.800 M
 Revenue Per-Share 0.65
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 1.3 B
 Enterprise Value 1.1 B
 Enterprise Multiple -52.641
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 227.874 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 175.149 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 259.951
mean: 67.684
median: 63.645
OUST: -52.641
low: -171.742
 EV/R 31.698
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.456
 Asset To Liability 3.193
 Debt To Capital 0.074
 Debt To Assets 0.055
Debt To Assets QoQ -22.32 %
Debt To Assets YoY 17.001 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.807
median: 0.296
mean: 0.257
OUST: 0.055
low: 0.002
 Debt To Equity 0.08
Debt To Equity QoQ -29.275 %
Debt To Equity YoY -6.19 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 2.082
median: 0.69
mean: 0.646
OUST: 0.08
low: -0.922
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 5.971
Price To Book QoQ 122.468 %
Price To Book YoY 89.257 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 12.594
mean: 6.046
OUST: 5.971
median: 4.517
low: -8.439
 Price To Earnings (P/E) -78.277
Price To Earnings QoQ 292.296 %
Price To Earnings YoY 263.521 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 287.529
mean: 90.022
median: 86.325
OUST: -78.277
low: -168.539
 PE/G Ratio 4.853
 Price To Sales (P/S) 37.657
Price To Sales QoQ 172.603 %
Price To Sales YoY 88.812 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 42.058
OUST: 37.657
mean: 15.149
median: 13.0
low: 0.0
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E -27.495
Forward PE/G 1.705
Forward P/S 113.179
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 1.489
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.119
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -0.91 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 38.014 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.479
mean: 0.194
median: 0.187
OUST: 0.119
low: 0.001
 Receivables Turnover 2.106
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 15.66 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 3.621 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.906
OUST: 2.106
mean: 1.503
median: 1.38
low: 0.267
 Inventory Turnover 1.324
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 8.996 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 49.964 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.529
OUST: 1.324
median: 1.08
mean: 1.028
low: 0.063
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 43.334
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 57.241
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -36.633 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -51.734 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 272.391
mean: 101.316
median: 88.157
OUST: 57.241
low: -85.228
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.187
 CapEx To Revenue -0.025
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.285
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 221.0 M
 Net Invested Capital 221.0 M
 Invested Capital 221.0 M
 Net Tangible Assets 205.4 M
 Net Working Capital 187.1 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 2.631
 Current Ratio 3.174
Current Ratio QoQ 23.348 %
Current Ratio YoY -6.719 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 7.762
OUST: 3.174
mean: 2.176
median: 2.016
low: 0.034
 Quick Ratio 3.012
Quick Ratio QoQ 25.761 %
Quick Ratio YoY -4.06 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 7.334
OUST: 3.012
mean: 1.651
median: 1.456
low: 0.201
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA -0.836
 Cost Of Debt 0.0 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio -0.131
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 55.208
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 19.827 %
 Revenue Growth 7.407 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -12.25 %
Revenue Growth YoY 83.705 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 79.411 %
mean: 10.035 %
median: 9.438 %
OUST: 7.407 %
low: -43.951 %
 Earnings Growth -16.129 %
Earnings Growth QoQ 29.032 %
Earnings Growth YoY 343.592 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 200.0 %
median: 26.316 %
mean: 19.123 %
OUST: -16.129 %
low: -133.333 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 45.2 %
Gross Margin QoQ 9.395 %
Gross Margin YoY 34.089 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 98.998 %
OUST: 45.2 %
mean: 39.321 %
median: 36.34 %
low: -49.356 %
 EBIT Margin -69.126 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 3.369 %
EBIT Margin YoY -18.903 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 123.871 %
median: 17.436 %
mean: 17.072 %
OUST: -69.126 %
low: -211.309 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) -76.527 %
Return On Sales QoQ 14.436 %
Return On Sales YoY -10.221 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 43.501 %
mean: 16.469 %
median: 15.051 %
OUST: -76.527 %
low: -352.254 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) -2.20 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield -0.167 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -86.141 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -95.915 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 4.857 %
mean: 1.029 %
median: 0.912 %
OUST: -0.167 %
low: -16.248 %
 Free Cash Growth -59.529 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -267.99 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -128.384 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 364.739 %
median: 41.218 %
mean: 28.158 %
OUST: -59.529 %
low: -329.708 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.107
 Cash Flow Margin -32.112 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 0.546
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) -6.982 %
Return On Assets QoQ -13.632 %
Return On Assets YoY -8.216 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 17.834 %
median: 2.39 %
mean: 1.842 %
OUST: -6.982 %
low: -36.426 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) -10.277 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) -0.093
Return On Equity QoQ -28.871 %
Return On Equity YoY -33.345 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.433
mean: 0.05
median: 0.047
OUST: -0.093
low: -0.601
 DuPont ROE -10.598 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) -9.325 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -9.157 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -187.076 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 8.434 %
mean: 3.209 %
median: 3.068 %
OUST: -9.325 %
low: -15.502 %

Six-Week Outlook

Expect range‑bound action while indicators resolve: mixed DI and a sub‑20 ADX imply limited trend conviction, MACD momentum shows early softening even as the MACD line sits above its signal, and MRO signals potential for a corrective pullback from the current premium to model targets. Strong gross margins and a large cash reserve reduce financing risk and support upside should commercial deployments or software‑attached bookings accelerate. Elevated short‑term volatility and high beta increase sensitivity to headlines and quarterly catalysts; near‑term price should oscillate between the SuperTrend support near $31.41 and resistance around the 1× Bollinger upper band near $34.18 until momentum reasserts directional strength.

About Ouster, Inc.

Ouster, Inc. (NYSE:OUST) develops cutting-edge lidar sensors tailored for a variety of industries, including automotive, industrial, robotics, and smart infrastructure across the Americas, Asia-Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. The company’s product line features high-resolution scanning and solid-state digital lidar sensors, alongside analog lidar sensors and comprehensive software solutions. Ouster’s offerings include the Ouster Sensor, a versatile scanning sensor, and the Digital Flash, a solid-state flash sensor designed for precision and reliability. Additionally, the company provides surround-view lidar sensors such as the Ouster Gemini, a perception platform optimized for smart infrastructure applications. The Blue City solution, powered by Gemini, enhances traffic operations, planning, and safety. Headquartered in San Francisco, California, Ouster, Inc. continues to innovate in the field of lidar technology, delivering solutions that enhance efficiency and safety across multiple sectors.



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