Plexus Corp. (NASDAQ:PLXS) Strengthens Margins While Momentum Signals Reverse

Plexus shows improving operating profitability and modest free cash generation while WMDST values the stock as fair-valued. Short-term momentum indicators signal a loss of upward bias that could limit immediate upside.

Technical Analysis

Directional Indicators (ADX/DI+/DI-): ADX at 24.1 signals an emerging trend strength rather than a fully established trend; DI+ peaked and reversed, which reads as a bearish development for directional strength, while DI- decreasing registers as bullish pressure easing. Together, these readings imply the recent uptrend lost conviction and leaves room for consolidation that could pressure near-term price appreciation relative to the current fair valuation.

MACD: MACD sits at 2.60 above its signal line at 2.44, which normally signals bullish crossover momentum; the MACD trend shows a peak-and-reversal, which indicates bearish momentum beginning. The coexistence of a current MACD-above-signal state with a peak-and-reversal pattern points to a risk that bullish momentum may fade, tempering near-term upside despite the recent crossover.

MRO (Momentum/Regression Oscillator): MRO at 7.15 registers positive, indicating the market price sits above the model target and implying downside pressure as prices tend toward the target; the magnitude suggests modest pressure to correct toward that model target during the near term.

RSI: RSI at 57.36 with a peak-and-reversal trend signals the relative-strength advance lost steam, supporting an outlook of limited short-term gains and a higher probability of sideways-to-lower movement unless momentum re-accelerates.

Price vs Moving Averages and Volatility: Price closed at $147.28 above the 12-day EMA $144.85 (increasing), the 20-day average $144.60, and the 200-day average $135.89, reflecting a medium-term bullish posture. Short-term volatility measures (42-day beta 2.43 versus 52-week beta 1.24) denote elevated near-term price sensitivity. Volume on the latest session (127,847) runs below the 10-day average (199,007), suggesting recent moves lack broad intraday participation. SuperTrend support sits at $140.20 and the lower Bollinger band near $142.08 provides a nearby technical floor for range-bound scenarios.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability & Margins: Total revenue reached $1,018,308,000. EBIT totaled $52,337,000, producing an EBIT margin of 5.14%. EBIT margin improved 4.62% quarter-over-quarter and rose 31.02% year-over-year, yet the margin sits below the industry peer mean of 16.92% and below the industry peer median of 17.44%, indicating relative room for operating leverage against peers.

Earnings and Cash Flow: GAAP EPS came in at $1.90 versus an estimate of $1.71, yielding an EPS surprise of 11.11%. Forward EPS stands at $1.95 with a forward P/E of 67.42x; the trailing P/E equals 70.14x. Free cash flow totaled $13,168,000, producing a free cash flow yield of 0.37%, below the industry peer mean free cash flow yield of 1.03%. Free cash flow growth shows contraction year-over-year and quarter-over-quarter, reflecting near-term cash conversion strain even as operating cash flow remains positive.

Leverage & Liquidity: Total debt totals $174,085,000 with debt to EBITDA about 2.42x and an interest coverage ratio around 20.93x, indicating conservative leverage and strong coverage. The current ratio stands at 1.58 and the quick ratio at 0.74, both up slightly QoQ, while the cash ratio reads 0.16. Working capital metrics show a cash conversion cycle of 116.82 days, modestly longer than the industry peer mean of 101.07 days, driven by inventory days outstanding near 132 days and receivables of $663,549,000.

Efficiency & Returns: Asset turnover sits at 0.3289, above the industry peer mean of 0.1925, showing relatively efficient use of assets to generate revenue. Return on equity equals 3.18% and return on assets equals 1.46%, both improving QoQ and YoY but remaining modest in absolute terms. Operating margin improved 7.144 percentage points QoQ and over 34.18% YoY, highlighting operational progress without yet translating into higher absolute returns versus peers.

Valuation Summary: P/B equals 2.52x, below the industry peer mean P/B of 6.07x. EV/Revenue and enterprise multiple levels reflect moderate valuation. The current valuation as determined by WMDST rates the stock as fair-valued, given improving margins, modest free cash generation, conservative leverage, and elevated price multiples that leave limited valuation cushion.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-07-23
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2025-10-22
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 310.6 M
 Operating Cash Flow 26.9 M
 Capital Expenditures -13.71 M
 Change In Working Capital -43.26 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta -72.94 M
 End Period Cash Flow 237.6 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 1.0 B
 Forward Revenue 296.9 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 915.0 M
 Depreciation 19.6 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 19.6 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 964.7 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 103.3 M
 EBITDA 71.9 M
 EBIT 52.3 M
 Operating Income 53.6 M
 Interest Income 934.0 K
 Interest Expense 2.5 M
 Net Interest Income -1.57 M
 Income Before Tax 49.8 M
 Tax Provision 4.7 M
 Tax Rate 9.5 %
 Net Income 45.1 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 45.1 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 1.71
 EPS Actual 1.90
 EPS Difference 0.19
 EPS Surprise 11.111 %
 Forward EPS 1.95
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 3.1 B
 Intangible Assets
 Net Tangible Assets 1.4 B
 Total Current Assets 2.4 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 237.6 M
 Cash 237.6 M
 Net Receivables 663.5 M
 Inventory 1.3 B
 Long-Term Investments 27.7 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 722.3 M
 Short-Term Debt 50.7 M
 Total Current Liabilities 1.5 B
 Net Debt
 Total Debt 174.1 M
 Total Liabilities 1.7 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 1.4 B
 Retained Earnings 1.9 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 52.59
 Shares Outstanding 26.985 M
 Revenue Per-Share 37.74
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 3.6 B
 Enterprise Value 3.5 B
 Enterprise Multiple 48.828
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -4.809 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -2.933 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 259.951
mean: 67.481
median: 63.645
PLXS: 48.828
low: -219.031
 EV/R 3.449
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.188
 Asset To Liability 1.841
 Debt To Capital 0.109
 Debt To Assets 0.056
Debt To Assets QoQ -28.68 %
Debt To Assets YoY -31.159 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.807
median: 0.296
mean: 0.258
PLXS: 0.056
low: 0.002
 Debt To Equity 0.123
Debt To Equity QoQ -31.622 %
Debt To Equity YoY -39.829 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 2.082
median: 0.7
mean: 0.648
PLXS: 0.123
low: -0.922
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 2.519
Price To Book QoQ -3.789 %
Price To Book YoY 9.997 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 12.594
mean: 6.071
median: 4.517
PLXS: 2.519
low: -8.439
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 70.145
Price To Earnings QoQ -11.047 %
Price To Earnings YoY -4.323 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 287.529
mean: 89.703
median: 86.325
PLXS: 70.145
low: -168.539
 PE/G Ratio 4.852
 Price To Sales (P/S) 3.511
Price To Sales QoQ -2.774 %
Price To Sales YoY 16.295 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 42.058
mean: 15.297
median: 13.0
PLXS: 3.511
low: 0.0
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 67.419
Forward PE/G 4.663
Forward P/S 12.041
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 2.229
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.329
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 3.314 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 10.375 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.479
PLXS: 0.329
mean: 0.192
median: 0.187
low: 0.001
 Receivables Turnover 1.6
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -1.502 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 7.345 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.906
PLXS: 1.6
mean: 1.504
median: 1.38
low: 0.267
 Inventory Turnover 0.715
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 4.179 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 21.902 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.529
median: 1.085
mean: 1.031
PLXS: 0.715
low: 0.063
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 57.038
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 116.822
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -2.642 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -22.734 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 272.391
PLXS: 116.822
mean: 101.069
median: 88.157
low: -85.228
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 1.159
 CapEx To Revenue -0.013
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.7
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 1.5 B
 Net Invested Capital 1.6 B
 Invested Capital 1.6 B
 Net Tangible Assets 1.4 B
 Net Working Capital 878.6 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.157
 Current Ratio 1.579
Current Ratio QoQ 3.202 %
Current Ratio YoY 7.207 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 7.762
mean: 2.183
median: 2.016
PLXS: 1.579
low: 0.034
 Quick Ratio 0.736
Quick Ratio QoQ 3.342 %
Quick Ratio YoY 14.791 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 7.334
mean: 1.662
median: 1.456
PLXS: 0.736
low: 0.201
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 2.421
 Cost Of Debt 1.087 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 20.926
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 36.309 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 310.223 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 52.785
PLXS: 20.926
median: 17.0
mean: 13.817
low: -130.23
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.036
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 72.508
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 0.645 %
 Revenue Growth 3.891 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 837.59 %
Revenue Growth YoY -711.792 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 79.411 %
mean: 10.073 %
median: 9.438 %
PLXS: 3.891 %
low: -43.951 %
 Earnings Growth 14.458 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -457.341 %
Earnings Growth YoY -90.361 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 200.0 %
median: 26.316 %
mean: 19.052 %
PLXS: 14.458 %
low: -133.333 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 10.143 %
Gross Margin QoQ 1.705 %
Gross Margin YoY 3.216 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 98.998 %
mean: 39.548 %
median: 36.34 %
PLXS: 10.143 %
low: -49.356 %
 EBIT Margin 5.14 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 4.62 %
EBIT Margin YoY 31.022 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 123.871 %
median: 17.436 %
mean: 16.924 %
PLXS: 5.14 %
low: -211.309 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 5.264 %
Return On Sales QoQ 7.144 %
Return On Sales YoY 34.183 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 43.501 %
mean: 16.297 %
median: 15.051 %
PLXS: 5.264 %
low: -352.254 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 13.2 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.368 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -21.03 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -90.658 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 4.857 %
mean: 1.031 %
median: 0.912 %
PLXS: 0.368 %
low: -16.248 %
 Free Cash Growth -20.17 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -48.484 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -126.562 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 364.739 %
median: 50.564 %
mean: 28.296 %
PLXS: -20.17 %
low: -329.708 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.292
 Cash Flow Margin 5.401 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.219
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 1.457 %
Return On Assets QoQ 14.815 %
Return On Assets YoY 86.795 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 17.834 %
median: 2.58 %
mean: 1.822 %
PLXS: 1.457 %
low: -36.426 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 3.293 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.032
Return On Equity QoQ 9.962 %
Return On Equity YoY 60.151 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.433
mean: 0.05
median: 0.047
PLXS: 0.032
low: -0.601
 DuPont ROE 3.256 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 3.033 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 13.298 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -101.134 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 8.434 %
mean: 3.176 %
median: 3.068 %
PLXS: 3.033 %
low: -15.502 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term price action should track technical momentum more than fundamentals. Mixed signals—price above key moving averages but MACD and DI+ showing peak-and-reversal and MRO positive—favor a sideways-to-slightly-lower band trade between the $140 support area (super trend / analyst mean target convergence) and resistance near recent highs around $149–$150. Elevated 42-day beta implies outsized moves on news; lean toward monitoring confirmation of renewed momentum before assuming sustained upside. Analyst mean target sits at $140.37 while the high/low range of reported targets spans $88.25 to $233.26, underscoring divergent external views; given WMDST’s fair-valued determination, expect limited directional conviction absent fresh operational or market catalysts.

About Plexus Corp.

Plexus Corp. (NASDAQ:PLXS) delivers comprehensive electronic manufacturing services across the globe. The company crafts design and development solutions, manages supply chains, and facilitates new product introductions. Additionally, Plexus supports ongoing product sustainability. Serving diverse market sectors, Plexus addresses the needs of the aerospace and defense industries, healthcare and life sciences, industrial and commercial markets, as well as the communications sector. Established in 1979, Plexus maintains its headquarters in Neenah, Wisconsin, and continues to expand its reach both domestically and internationally. Through its integrated approach, Plexus ensures that clients receive tailored solutions that meet their specific requirements, enhancing their operational efficiencies and product innovations.



© 2025 WMDST — The World’s Most Dangerous Swing Trader. All rights reserved.