Landstar System, Inc. (NASDAQ:LSTR) Doubles Down On Capital Returns Amid Margin Compression

Landstar continues returning capital to shareholders even as operating margins and valuation metrics indicate constrained upside. Near-term price action should favor short-term momentum over a sustained re-rating given the current valuation posture.

Recent News

On July 15, 2025 the company announced timing for its second-quarter 2025 results release and conference call after market close on July 29, 2025, directing investors to a webcast for the update.

Technical Analysis

Directional indicators show emerging trend strength: ADX at 22.76 signals an emerging trend, while DI+ has staged a dip-and-reversal and DI- sits at 22.72 and is decreasing; that combination implies bullish directional pressure that supports a near-term price lift despite the stock’s stretched valuation.

MACD stands at -2.31 with a dip-and-reversal trend, indicating developing bullish momentum from a negative base; no confirmed MACD crossover above the signal line exists yet, so momentum requires follow-through before signaling a durable shift.

MRO reads -29.73, which by the oscillator’s logic implies the price sits below the implied target and carries upside potential toward the model target; this technical divergence contrasts with the formal valuation classification and suggests tactical upside pressure rather than a structural re-rating.

RSI at 44.29 with a dip-and-reversal shows the indicator recovering from a short-term pullback; the reading leaves room for further momentum without overbought constraints, supporting a tactical bounce scenario consistent with the directional indicators.

Price dynamics show mixed time-frame structure: the close at $123.87 trades below the 200‑day average of $144.15 and below the 50‑day average of $128.88, while it sits above the 20‑day average of $122.76 and near the 12‑day EMA of $123.29 (12‑day EMA trending as a dip‑and‑reversal). Short-term moving averages suggest improving momentum, while longer-term averages retain downward bias, aligning with a near-term bounce inside a longer-term consolidation.

Bollinger bands center roughly between $120.72 and $124.80 for one standard deviation; the close sits near the upper band, and short‑term realized volatility measures remain modest. Short-term beta (42‑day) of 1.46 implies elevated recent volatility versus the lower 52‑week beta of 0.81, so intraday swings may outpace longer-term directional risk.

Volume at 423,834 slightly exceeds the 10‑day and 50‑day averages, supporting the recent uptick in price and reinforcing the case for a short-term rebound rather than an immediate trend reversal to the upside.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Earnings and revenue: the company reported EPS of $1.20 versus an estimate of $1.17, a positive surprise of $0.03 or 2.56%, on total revenue of $1,211,383,000. Net income registered at $41,893,000. Those results and accompanying capital-return disclosures came in the company’s late‑July reporting.

Margins and growth: EBIT/operating margin stands at 4.34%, representing a 39.58% QoQ improvement and a -17.50% YoY decline; YoY revenue growth measured 10.87% while the reported QoQ revenue change reads -208.73% (per the supplied QoQ figure). Operating leverage shows up in improving short‑term margins versus the prior quarter but year‑over‑year margin compression persists, constraining valuation support.

Cash flow and balance sheet: operating cash flow totaled $7,138,000 with free cash flow of $4,657,000; cash and short‑term investments equal $426,172,000 and cash conversion ratio registers about 195.95%. Debt remains light: total debt at $143,565,000 produces a debt‑to‑assets ratio near 8.45% and debt‑to‑equity near 15.57%, leaving capacity for continued buybacks or dividend funding.

Returns and payout: return on equity sits at 4.55% and return on assets at 2.45%. Dividend payout ratio measures 33.22% with a dividend yield around 0.29% and dividend coverage near 3.01, indicating the company funds payouts comfortably from earnings and cash generation.

Valuation context: P/E runs at 117.54 with forward P/E about 83.41, price‑to‑book near 5.13 and price‑to‑sales about 3.90. The current valuation classification from WMDST labels the stock as over‑valued; those multiples sit above the industry peer mean for several metrics while approaching higher peer values on some ratios, leaving little margin for multiple expansion absent clear margin restoration or faster top‑line acceleration.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-07-29
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2025-10-27
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 417.4 M
 Operating Cash Flow 7.1 M
 Capital Expenditures -2.48 M
 Change In Working Capital -45.44 M
 Dividends Paid -13.92 M
 Cash Flow Delta -58.18 M
 End Period Cash Flow 359.2 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 1.2 B
 Forward Revenue 425.2 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 1.1 B
 Depreciation 12.1 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 12.1 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 1.2 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 158.3 M
 EBITDA 64.7 M
 EBIT 52.6 M
 Operating Income 52.6 M
 Interest Income -698.00 K
 Interest Expense
 Net Interest Income -698.00 K
 Income Before Tax 55.6 M
 Tax Provision 13.7 M
 Tax Rate 24.6 %
 Net Income 41.9 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 41.9 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 1.17
 EPS Actual 1.20
 EPS Difference 0.03
 EPS Surprise 2.564 %
 Forward EPS 1.70
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 1.7 B
 Intangible Assets 41.4 M
 Net Tangible Assets 880.4 M
 Total Current Assets 1.2 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 426.2 M
 Cash 359.2 M
 Net Receivables 717.2 M
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments 133.4 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 401.8 M
 Short-Term Debt 58.1 M
 Total Current Liabilities 619.1 M
 Net Debt
 Total Debt 143.6 M
 Total Liabilities 777.8 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 921.8 M
 Retained Earnings 2.9 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 26.38
 Shares Outstanding 34.654 M
 Revenue Per-Share 34.66
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 4.7 B
 Enterprise Value 4.4 B
 Enterprise Multiple 68.745
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -31.018 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -8.404 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 117.168
LSTR: 68.745
mean: 36.818
median: 35.56
low: -30.584
 EV/R 3.672
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.844
 Asset To Liability 2.185
 Debt To Capital 0.135
 Debt To Assets 0.084
Debt To Assets QoQ -5.451 %
Debt To Assets YoY 154.045 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.783
mean: 0.176
LSTR: 0.084
low: 0.001
median: 0.001
 Debt To Equity 0.156
Debt To Equity QoQ -5.457 %
Debt To Equity YoY 167.09 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 2.837
mean: 0.659
LSTR: 0.156
low: 0.001
median: 0.001
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 5.132
Price To Book QoQ -6.501 %
Price To Book YoY -19.335 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 8.353
median: 6.315
mean: 5.253
LSTR: 5.132
low: 0.126
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 117.541
Price To Earnings QoQ -31.652 %
Price To Earnings YoY -3.135 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 119.028
LSTR: 117.541
mean: 34.638
median: 9.189
low: -53.415
 PE/G Ratio 4.467
 Price To Sales (P/S) 3.905
Price To Sales QoQ -11.899 %
Price To Sales YoY -24.866 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 7.153
LSTR: 3.905
median: 3.686
mean: 3.484
low: 0.371
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 83.408
Forward PE/G 3.169
Forward P/S 11.031
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 9.142
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.709
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 8.607 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 1.356 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.784
LSTR: 0.709
mean: 0.195
median: 0.076
low: 0.02
 Receivables Turnover 1.706
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 2.637 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 0.83 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.919
median: 2.058
mean: 1.978
LSTR: 1.706
low: 0.633
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 53.498
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC)
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 1.96
 CapEx To Revenue -0.002
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.204
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 921.8 M
 Net Invested Capital 980.0 M
 Invested Capital 980.0 M
 Net Tangible Assets 880.4 M
 Net Working Capital 618.2 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.688
 Current Ratio 1.998
Current Ratio QoQ -1.443 %
Current Ratio YoY -7.958 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 2.152
LSTR: 1.998
median: 1.277
mean: 1.233
low: 0.018
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 2.219
 Cost Of Debt 0.594 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 44.954
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 46.704 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 16.913 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA LSTR: 44.954
high: 26.617
mean: 12.607
median: 7.983
low: -0.25
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.084
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 35.986
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 3.01
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.332
 Dividend Rate 0.40
 Dividend Yield 0.003
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -0.963 %
 Revenue Growth 5.109 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -208.725 %
Revenue Growth YoY 10.872 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 19.971 %
median: 19.971 %
mean: 10.93 %
LSTR: 5.109 %
low: -1.508 %
 Earnings Growth 26.316 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -174.942 %
Earnings Growth YoY 117.111 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 119.608 %
LSTR: 26.316 %
mean: 6.237 %
median: -3.788 %
low: -21.429 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 13.068 %
Gross Margin QoQ 1.02 %
Gross Margin YoY -0.351 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 24.885 %
mean: 18.233 %
median: 17.813 %
LSTR: 13.068 %
low: 0.618 %
 EBIT Margin 4.338 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 39.575 %
EBIT Margin YoY -17.497 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 35.181 %
median: 35.181 %
mean: 22.867 %
LSTR: 4.338 %
low: -0.141 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 4.338 %
Return On Sales QoQ 39.575 %
Return On Sales YoY -17.497 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 20.411 %
mean: 9.153 %
median: 8.586 %
LSTR: 4.338 %
low: 0.629 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 4.7 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.098 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -90.693 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -84.639 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 4.61 %
median: 0.343 %
LSTR: 0.098 %
mean: 0.022 %
low: -8.76 %
 Free Cash Growth -91.343 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 8404.935 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 75.158 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 128.824 %
mean: -77.144 %
LSTR: -91.343 %
median: -138.253 %
low: -294.67 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.111
 Cash Flow Margin 4.312 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.247
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 2.453 %
Return On Assets QoQ 45.234 %
Return On Assets YoY -18.397 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 4.26 %
median: 2.928 %
LSTR: 2.453 %
mean: 2.435 %
low: -0.899 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 4.864 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.045
Return On Equity QoQ 41.943 %
Return On Equity YoY -13.56 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.085
mean: 0.046
LSTR: 0.045
median: 0.032
low: -0.088
 DuPont ROE 4.522 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 4.042 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 48.33 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -137.045 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 8.045 %
LSTR: 4.042 %
mean: 3.035 %
median: 2.562 %
low: -0.61 %

Six-Week Outlook

Expect swing traders to favor short-term momentum plays: technical indicators—DI+ reversal, MACD recovery, RSI rebound and MRO downside reading—support a tactical bounce toward near‑term resistance around the supertrend upper band near $128.46 and the 50‑day average near $128.88. Persistence above the 20‑ to 50‑day range would signal momentum extension; failure to hold those intra‑range supports would resume pressure toward the lower Bollinger band and the 52‑week low. Given the WMDST valuation classification and elevated P/E, treat rallies as momentum opportunities rather than indications of a durable re-rating.

About Landstar System, Inc.

Landstar System, Inc. (NASDAQ:LSTR) delivers integrated transportation management solutions across the United States, Canada, Mexico, and internationally. The company operates through two main segments: Transportation Logistics and Insurance. The Transportation Logistics segment provides an extensive range of services, including truckload and less-than-truckload transportation, rail intermodal, air and ocean cargo, expedited delivery, and specialized heavy-haul services. It also facilitates cross-border transportation between the U.S., Canada, and Mexico, and handles project cargo and customs brokerage. Landstar serves diverse industries such as automotive, consumer durables, building products, metals, chemicals, foodstuffs, heavy machinery, retail, electronics, and military equipment. In the Insurance segment, Landstar offers risk and claims management services, along with reinsurance for its independent contractors. The company markets its services through a network of independent commission sales agents and third-party capacity providers. Established in 1991, Landstar System, Inc. maintains its headquarters in Jacksonville, Florida, and continues to support a wide array of industries with its comprehensive transportation and logistics solutions.



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