Atkore Inc. (NYSE:ATKR) Poised For Near-Term Recovery As Strategic Review Accelerates

Atkore shows momentum pickup amid corporate portfolio actions and resilient cash metrics; upcoming strategic steps could catalyze re-rating over the next several weeks.

Recent News

08/05/2025: Atkore reported third-quarter fiscal 2025 results with consolidated net sales of $735.0 million (down 10.6% YoY), net income of $43.0 million, and Adjusted EBITDA of $99.9 million; management noted a decision by CEO Bill Waltz to retire and announced a $0.33 quarterly dividend approved July 30, 2025. 09/09/2025: the company confirmed CFO John Deitzer and VP Matt Kline would attend the RBC Global Industrials Conference in mid-September. 09/29/2025: Atkore announced a strategic review focused on its core electrical infrastructure portfolio, including potential sales of certain non-core assets (HDPE business noted) and identified cost-reduction actions and facility consolidations.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 15.71 indicates no trend strength, implying price action depends on momentum signals rather than an established directional trend; that supports a near-term outlook driven by momentum and catalysts rather than a sustained trend extension.

DI+ recorded at 24.00 with a peak-and-reverse reading signals a bearish directional shift from earlier strength; DI- at 18.23 and decreasing signals bullish pressure from the downside indicator. These opposing directional signals create a directional conflict that places emphasis on momentum confirmation for short-term direction.

MACD sits at 0.50, is increasing, and trades above its signal line (-0.04), which constitutes a bullish momentum signal; this momentum alignment supports upside potential in the near term if sustained.

MRO equals -7.8 (negative) and is increasing; price sits below the MRO target which implies upside potential as the oscillator moves toward zero, while the improving MRO trend suggests that pressure toward that upside is building.

RSI at 50.89 and increasing shows momentum shifting upward from neutral territory without overbought readings, supporting a scenario where buy-side momentum can extend without a short-term exhaustion signal.

Price relationships: closing price $63.69 trades above the 12-day EMA ($62.38), 20-day average ($61.69) and 50-day average ($61.43), but below the 200-day average ($67.27). The 12-day EMA increasing reinforces near-term upward bias, while the 200-day gap signals that any sustained recovery needs broader conviction to reassert a longer-term uptrend.

Bollinger structure places the close slightly above the 1x upper band ($63.53), implying near-term volatility skewed to the upside but still inside the 2x band range. Ichimoku short-term lines (Tenkan $61.92, Kijun $60.59) sit beneath price, providing immediate support levels near those values; SuperTrend lower support at $60.01 provides an additional technical floor.

Volume at 452,293 sits below the 10-day average (708,727) and below the 50-day and 200-day averages, suggesting the current move lacks broad volume confirmation; 42-day beta of 2.73 points to above-average short-term volatility relative to the market, elevating amplitude of potential swings.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Total revenue for the period stands at $735,045,000 with YoY revenue growth of 27.81% and QoQ revenue change of -21.72%; the YoY increase indicates underlying top-line strength year-over-year, while the QoQ contraction reflects recent seasonality or pricing shifts.

Gross margin equals 23.41%, down YoY by 31.17 percentage points, and below the industry peer mean gross margin of 42.81% and median 40.86%; lower gross margin reflects $100.5 million of lower average selling prices recorded in the quarter and higher freight costs, pressuring operating profitability.

Operating margin at 8.68% and EBIT margin at 8.70% sit below the industry peer mean (operating margin mean 19.546%, EBIT margin mean 18.975%) and median levels; profitability compressed versus peers, though still positive in absolute terms.

Net income totaled $42,962,000 with EPS actual $1.63 versus estimate $1.58, producing an EPS surprise of 3.17%, which signals modest beat relative to expectations despite lower margins and impaired results in the period.

Balance-sheet and liquidity metrics display strength in current assets: current ratio 3.09 and quick ratio 2.08 provide ample near-term liquidity versus the industry peer mean current ratio of 1.423 (current ratio notably above peer mean and median). Cash and short-term investments equal $331,017,000 and operating cash flow stands at $31,418,000; free cash flow $10,133,000 with a free cash flow yield of 0.46% sits below the industry peer mean of 1.428%.

Leverage: total debt $936,092,000, net debt $433,370,000, debt-to-equity 63.87% which lies slightly below the peer mean of 67.31% and median of 74.83%—leverage sits within reasonable bounds versus peers. Interest coverage at 7.21 times below the peer mean of 12.99 times but at an absolute level that covers interest expense.

Efficiency and returns show asset turnover at 0.2545 (above peer mean 0.1554), return on assets 1.49% and return on equity 2.93%, both below peer mean levels; operating leverage measure and cash conversion cycle (113.47 days) indicate working-capital intensity remains elevated.

Valuation context: forward EPS $2.93 and forward PE 22.87 contrast with reported PE 44.04 and industry peer mean PE much higher; price-to-book ratio 1.49 sits below the industry peer mean of 4.23. WMDST values the stock as under-valued based on the combination of discounted multiples and the company’s liquidity profile, even as margins and free-cash dynamics lag peer averages.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-08-05
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2025-11-03
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 330.4 M
 Operating Cash Flow 31.4 M
 Capital Expenditures -21.29 M
 Change In Working Capital -60.00 M
 Dividends Paid -11.11 M
 Cash Flow Delta 632.0 K
 End Period Cash Flow 331.0 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 735.0 M
 Forward Revenue 421.8 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 563.0 M
 Depreciation 36.1 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 36.1 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 671.3 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 172.1 M
 EBITDA 100.1 M
 EBIT 64.0 M
 Operating Income 63.8 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense 8.9 M
 Net Interest Income -8.87 M
 Income Before Tax 55.1 M
 Tax Provision 12.1 M
 Tax Rate 22.0 %
 Net Income 43.0 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 43.0 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 1.58
 EPS Actual 1.63
 EPS Difference 0.05
 EPS Surprise 3.165 %
 Forward EPS 2.93
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 2.9 B
 Intangible Assets 522.8 M
 Net Tangible Assets 943.0 M
 Total Current Assets 1.6 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 331.0 M
 Cash 331.0 M
 Net Receivables 553.9 M
 Inventory 513.8 M
 Long-Term Investments 9.2 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 225.9 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 509.3 M
 Net Debt 433.4 M
 Total Debt 936.1 M
 Total Liabilities 1.5 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 1.5 B
 Retained Earnings 954.6 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 43.55
 Shares Outstanding 33.656 M
 Revenue Per-Share 21.84
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 2.2 B
 Enterprise Value 2.8 B
 Enterprise Multiple 27.869
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -121.122 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY 19.441 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 176.021
median: 72.513
mean: 71.728
ATKR: 27.869
low: -52.961
 EV/R 3.794
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.99
 Asset To Liability 2.01
 Debt To Capital 0.39
 Debt To Assets 0.321
Debt To Assets QoQ -2.471 %
Debt To Assets YoY 3614.005 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.735
median: 0.346
ATKR: 0.321
mean: 0.289
low: 0.005
 Debt To Equity 0.639
Debt To Equity QoQ -4.262 %
Debt To Equity YoY 3794.268 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 1.119
median: 0.748
mean: 0.673
ATKR: 0.639
low: -0.022
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 1.49
Price To Book QoQ -4.4 %
Price To Book YoY -54.152 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 9.043
mean: 4.234
median: 3.746
ATKR: 1.49
low: -0.411
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 44.043
Price To Earnings QoQ 37.541 %
Price To Earnings YoY 18.279 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 201.347
mean: 95.597
median: 87.249
ATKR: 44.043
low: -26.525
 PE/G Ratio -2.191
 Price To Sales (P/S) 2.971
Price To Sales QoQ -5.154 %
Price To Sales YoY -51.853 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 40.481
mean: 16.745
median: 16.349
ATKR: 2.971
low: 0.28
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 22.869
Forward PE/G -1.138
Forward P/S 5.178
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -44.187
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.254
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 5.554 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -7.492 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.44
ATKR: 0.254
mean: 0.155
median: 0.118
low: 0.019
 Receivables Turnover 1.434
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -3.512 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -11.715 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 3.248
mean: 1.641
median: 1.568
ATKR: 1.434
low: 0.086
 Inventory Turnover 1.088
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 10.294 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 14.015 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 2.85
ATKR: 1.088
median: 1.027
mean: 1.017
low: 0.026
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 63.629
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 113.466
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -0.148 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -0.422 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 317.233
ATKR: 113.466
mean: 102.268
median: 100.095
low: -23.304
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.691
 CapEx To Revenue -0.029
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.589
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 2.2 B
 Net Invested Capital 2.2 B
 Invested Capital 2.2 B
 Net Tangible Assets 943.0 M
 Net Working Capital 1.1 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.65
 Current Ratio 3.09
Current Ratio QoQ 2.232 %
Current Ratio YoY -5.325 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 12.505
ATKR: 3.09
mean: 1.423
median: 1.06
low: 0.411
 Quick Ratio 2.081
Quick Ratio QoQ 4.939 %
Quick Ratio YoY 2.373 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 10.835
ATKR: 2.081
mean: 0.936
median: 0.72
low: 0.363
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 9.354
 Cost Of Debt 0.737 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 7.209
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -202.237 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -57.304 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 29.743
mean: 12.991
median: 9.341
ATKR: 7.209
low: -10.534
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio -0.03
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 41.564
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 3.868
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.259
 Dividend Rate 0.33
 Dividend Yield 0.005
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 2.012 %
 Revenue Growth 4.748 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -21.715 %
Revenue Growth YoY 27.806 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 85.552 %
mean: 6.013 %
ATKR: 4.748 %
median: 2.73 %
low: -70.165 %
 Earnings Growth -20.098 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -179.903 %
Earnings Growth YoY 192.846 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 123.077 %
median: 15.102 %
mean: 11.595 %
ATKR: -20.098 %
low: -44.651 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 23.408 %
Gross Margin QoQ -11.266 %
Gross Margin YoY -31.165 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 94.66 %
mean: 42.809 %
median: 40.858 %
ATKR: 23.408 %
low: -8.379 %
 EBIT Margin 8.702 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -204.831 %
EBIT Margin YoY -57.377 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 57.92 %
mean: 18.975 %
median: 18.208 %
ATKR: 8.702 %
low: -24.26 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 8.675 %
Return On Sales QoQ -204.505 %
Return On Sales YoY -57.509 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 57.92 %
median: 19.943 %
mean: 19.546 %
ATKR: 8.675 %
low: -22.305 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 10.1 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.464 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -84.12 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -67.778 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 12.901 %
mean: 1.428 %
median: 1.305 %
ATKR: 0.464 %
low: -14.521 %
 Free Cash Growth -84.223 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -189.445 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -423.947 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 534.416 %
mean: 236.383 %
median: 185.965 %
ATKR: -84.223 %
low: -312.195 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.236
 Cash Flow Margin -2.052 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings -0.351
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 1.487 %
Return On Assets QoQ -186.453 %
Return On Assets YoY -63.986 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 7.793 %
median: 2.133 %
mean: 1.999 %
ATKR: 1.487 %
low: -9.75 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 2.656 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.029
Return On Equity QoQ -182.587 %
Return On Equity YoY -62.918 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.26
mean: 0.047
median: 0.035
ATKR: 0.029
low: -0.14
 DuPont ROE 2.988 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 2.237 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -211.072 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -104.744 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 10.37 %
mean: 3.092 %
median: 3.017 %
ATKR: 2.237 %
low: -6.012 %

Six-Week Outlook

Directional posture over the next six weeks centers on momentum confirmation. With ADX below 20, trend strength lacks conviction, placing emphasis on MACD’s bullish cross and the negative-but-improving MRO to drive a short-term recovery scenario. Price trading above short-term averages and Ichimoku short lines provides technical support near $61–$62 and the SuperTrend floor at $60.01. Fundamental catalysts include the company’s strategic-review announcements and the CEO transition; those events can accelerate re-rating if buyers respond to potential asset-sale clarity or cost reductions. Elevated short-term volatility (42-day beta 2.73) suggests larger intrarange swings; absent fresh volume-confirmed momentum, price action will likely oscillate between near-term support near $60 and resistance toward the 200-day average at $67.27 while the strategic process unfolds.

About Atkore Inc.

Atkore International Group Inc. (NYSE:ATKR) designs and manufactures a comprehensive range of infrastructure solutions crucial for electrical and mechanical applications. Headquartered in Harvey, Illinois, Atkore delivers products that include electrical conduits, cables, and installation accessories, serving a wide array of sectors such as construction, industrial maintenance, healthcare, and alternative power generation. The company markets its extensive product line under reputable brands like Allied Tube & Conduit, AFC Cable Systems, and Unistrut, ensuring reliability and protection for critical infrastructure projects. Atkore’s offerings support the needs of electrical, industrial, and mechanical contractors, as well as original equipment manufacturers, by providing essential components for the development and maintenance of infrastructure. With a history dating back to 1959, Atkore continually adapts its solutions to meet the evolving demands of its diverse clientele. The company’s commitment to quality and innovation has established it as a trusted partner in the infrastructure sector, consistently delivering products that enhance efficiency and drive progress across various markets.



© 2025 WMDST — The World’s Most Dangerous Swing Trader. All rights reserved.