Pinnacle Financial Partners Inc. (NASDAQ:PNFP) Accelerates Southeast Expansion Through Synovus Merger; Near-Term Momentum Weakens

Pinnacle Financial Partners projects material franchise expansion after announcing a combination with Synovus, while technical indicators point toward near-term downside pressure. Fundamental metrics present modest earnings strength but valuation measures sit above several peer averages.

Recent News

On July 24, 2025 Pinnacle disclosed a definitive all‑stock transaction to combine with Synovus Financial Corp. in an $8.6 billion deal intended to create a larger Southeastern regional bank; the companies projected transaction close in the first quarter of 2026. On August 21, 2025 the two firms published the executive leadership lineup expected to run the combined company upon closing.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 14.31 indicates no dominant trend, implying price action may remain rangebound and sensitive to event-driven volatility tied to the merger timeline.

DI+ at 19.97 shows a decreasing pattern while DI- at 26.84 registers a dip & reversal; both directional indicators convey a bearish directional bias for the near term.

MACD at -0.80 with a declining MACD_trend and a signal line at -0.51 places momentum below its signal; the negative, decreasing MACD signals ongoing bearish momentum until a MACD rise above the signal line occurs.

MRO at 20.48 with a peak & reversal indicates price sits above the model target and suggests mean reversion pressure toward lower prices in coming weeks.

RSI at 45.6 with a decreasing trend reflects losing short-term strength without oversold breadth, supporting the case for choppy downward drift rather than an immediate capitulation.

Price closed at $92.26, trading below the 20‑day average ($95.07), the 50‑day average ($94.21), the 12‑day EMA ($94.66, decreasing) and the 200‑day average ($105.70). Ichimoku Tenkan and Kijun lines (95.17 and 95.91) lie above the last close and the cloud components (Senkou A 96.57, Senkou B 101.91) sit well above price, reinforcing a below‑cloud posture that favors downward pressure.

Bollinger lower bands place the close below the 1x lower band ($93.51) but above the 2x lower band ($91.95), indicating price trades near the lower volatility envelope and leaving room for short-term mean reversion or continuation lower if selling resumes.

Volume at 1,147,893 edged above the 10‑day average (1,006,416) while remaining below the 50‑day average (1,517,673), suggesting episodic interest but no sustained accumulation signal ahead of the merger close.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Earnings reported diluted EPS of $2.00 versus an estimate of $1.91, delivering a $0.09 beat and an EPS surprise of 4.71%, which supports the company’s short‑term earnings resilience.

Total revenue totaled $443,402,000 with net income of $158,540,000; return on assets equaled 0.291% and return on equity equaled 2.469%, values that sit in line with the industry peer mean for ROA (0.286%) and slightly below the industry peer mean for ROE (2.702%).

Price multiples present a mixed picture: P/E at 54.53 stands above the industry peer mean (44.33) and the P/B ratio at 1.21 sits near the industry peer mean (1.256) and slightly above the industry peer median (1.19183). PEG at 4.20 sits below the reported industry peer mean for PEG (4.6368) but remains elevated in absolute terms, consistent with a premium built into growth expectations.

QoQ and YoY movements warrant attention: P/B ratio fell about 7.73% quarter‑over‑quarter and rose about 17.62% year‑over‑year; P/E fell about 2.98% QoQ and dropped about 55.95% YoY; price‑to‑sales fell about 13.96% QoQ and about 9.27% YoY. Revenue growth measures show an 8.84% baseline growth rate, revenue growth QoQ recorded roughly 111.06% while revenue growth YoY registered -155.75% on the provided figures; present those figures with caution given magnitude differences among reporting periods.

Free cash flow totaled $243,693,000 and produced a free cash flow yield of 3.14%, above the industry peer mean free cash flow yield of 2.41%, while free cash flow growth showed positive YoY movement. Dividend metrics indicate a dividend payout ratio of 14.34% and a dividend yield of 0.29%, supported by a dividend coverage ratio near 6.97.

Balance sheet metrics show total assets of $54,801,451,000, total equity of $6,420,111,000, and a debt‑to‑equity of 0.343. Asset turnover at 0.813% stands slightly below the industry peer mean (0.998%), consistent with a banking business model that relies more on net interest and fee margins than rapid asset turns.

WMDST values the stock as fair‑valued under current assumptions, with valuation reflecting merger‑driven premium expectations alongside elevated multiples versus peers.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-07-15
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2025-10-13
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 3.9 B
 Operating Cash Flow 261.7 M
 Capital Expenditures -18.04 M
 Change In Working Capital 61.3 M
 Dividends Paid -22.74 M
 Cash Flow Delta -888.74 M
 End Period Cash Flow 3.0 B
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 443.4 M
 Forward Revenue 103.4 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue
 Depreciation 27.9 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 27.9 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit
 EBITDA
 EBIT
 Operating Income
 Interest Income 694.8 M
 Interest Expense 315.2 M
 Net Interest Income 379.5 M
 Income Before Tax 194.3 M
 Tax Provision 35.8 M
 Tax Rate 18.4 %
 Net Income 158.5 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 158.5 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 1.91
 EPS Actual 2.00
 EPS Difference 0.09
 EPS Surprise 4.712 %
 Forward EPS 1.91
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 54.8 B
 Intangible Assets 1.9 B
 Net Tangible Assets 4.8 B
 Total Current Assets
 Cash and Short-Term Investments
 Cash 2.9 B
 Net Receivables 219.4 M
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 49.2 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities
 Net Debt
 Total Debt 2.2 B
 Total Liabilities 48.2 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 6.4 B
 Retained Earnings 3.4 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 82.84
 Shares Outstanding 77.548 M
 Revenue Per-Share 5.72
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 7.8 B
 Enterprise Value 10.0 B
 Enterprise Multiple
Enterprise Multiple QoQ
Enterprise Multiple YoY
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA
 EV/R 22.455
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 8.536
 Asset To Liability 1.138
 Debt To Capital 0.255
 Debt To Assets 0.04
Debt To Assets QoQ -5.703 %
Debt To Assets YoY 798.881 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.165
median: 0.063
mean: 0.06
PNFP: 0.04
low: 0.001
 Debt To Equity 0.343
Debt To Equity QoQ -6.167 %
Debt To Equity YoY 824.865 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 1.774
mean: 0.61
median: 0.553
PNFP: 0.343
low: -0.158
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 1.208
Price To Book QoQ -7.731 %
Price To Book YoY 17.619 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 2.06
mean: 1.256
PNFP: 1.208
median: 1.192
low: 0.014
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 54.526
Price To Earnings QoQ -2.982 %
Price To Earnings YoY -55.953 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 85.266
PNFP: 54.526
mean: 44.334
median: 43.985
low: 29.155
 PE/G Ratio 4.196
 Price To Sales (P/S) 17.489
Price To Sales QoQ -13.962 %
Price To Sales YoY -9.269 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 24.824
PNFP: 17.489
mean: 13.174
median: 12.551
low: 0.128
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 55.57
Forward PE/G 4.277
Forward P/S 75.024
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.008
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 6.553 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 25.851 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.016
mean: 0.01
median: 0.01
PNFP: 0.008
low: 0.006
 Receivables Turnover 2.015
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 7.522 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 39.736 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 4.258
mean: 2.541
median: 2.527
PNFP: 2.015
low: 0.746
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 45.276
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC)
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio
 CapEx To Revenue -0.041
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.648
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 8.8 B
 Net Invested Capital 8.6 B
 Invested Capital 8.6 B
 Net Tangible Assets 4.8 B
 Net Working Capital
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio
 Current Ratio
Current Ratio QoQ
Current Ratio YoY
Current Ratio IPRWA
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA
 Cost Of Debt 11.397 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO)
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 6.973
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.143
 Dividend Rate 0.29
 Dividend Yield 0.003
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 1.008 %
 Revenue Growth 8.837 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 111.058 %
Revenue Growth YoY -155.75 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 19.743 %
PNFP: 8.837 %
mean: 3.894 %
median: 3.469 %
low: -10.94 %
 Earnings Growth 12.994 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -289.915 %
Earnings Growth YoY -122.234 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 66.667 %
mean: 14.149 %
median: 13.433 %
PNFP: 12.994 %
low: -44.444 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin
Gross Margin QoQ
Gross Margin YoY
Gross Margin IPRWA
 EBIT Margin
EBIT Margin QoQ
EBIT Margin YoY
EBIT Margin IPRWA
 Return On Sales (ROS)
Return On Sales QoQ
Return On Sales YoY
Return On Sales IPRWA
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 243.7 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 3.143 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -704.423 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 227.055 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 8.216 %
PNFP: 3.143 %
mean: 2.409 %
median: 2.071 %
low: -4.487 %
 Free Cash Growth -666.254 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 510.632 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 889.609 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 603.019 %
median: 1.088 %
mean: -26.154 %
low: -480.617 %
PNFP: -666.254 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 1.537
 Cash Flow Margin 41.831 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.17
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.05
 Return On Assets (ROA) 0.291 %
Return On Assets QoQ 10.646 %
Return On Assets YoY 169.444 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 0.612 %
PNFP: 0.291 %
mean: 0.286 %
median: 0.276 %
low: -0.094 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.025
Return On Equity QoQ 11.216 %
Return On Equity YoY 176.794 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.044
median: 0.028
mean: 0.027
PNFP: 0.025
low: -0.015
 DuPont ROE 2.487 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC)
Return On Invested Capital QoQ
Return On Invested Capital YoY
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA

Six-Week Outlook

Technical setup favors lower or sideways price action unless momentum indicators improve. Watch for MACD to halt its decline and cross above the signal line as a necessary technical condition for near‑term bullish rotation; absent that, MRO and DI measures signal continued downside pressure. Price sits below key moving averages and beneath the ichimoku cloud, so expect volatility around the lower Bollinger band area with event‑driven spikes tied to merger developments and regulatory milestones.

Fundamental context provides supportive earnings and cash‑flow metrics that limit downside magnitude, while valuation multiples sit above peer averages and could compress if merger sentiment cools. For swing traders, prioritize monitoring momentum confirmation and headline flow around the Synovus combination rather than relying on long‑term valuation to drive short‑term moves.

About Pinnacle Financial Partners Inc.

Pinnacle Financial Partners, Inc. (NASDAQ:PNFP) serves as the bank holding company for Pinnacle Bank, delivering a comprehensive range of banking products and services across the United States. The company caters to individuals, businesses, and professional entities by accepting various deposit types, such as savings, checking, money market, and certificate of deposit accounts. Pinnacle Financial Partners enhances client financial management with treasury services including online wire origination, ACH services, and merchant card acceptance. The firm extends credit solutions through equipment and working capital loans, commercial real estate loans, and a variety of secured and unsecured loans, including lines of credit and residential mortgages. Pinnacle also offers credit card options for both consumers and businesses. Beyond traditional banking, the company provides investment products, brokerage, and advisory services, alongside fiduciary and investment management solutions. Clients benefit from personal trust, estate administration, and retirement account services. Additionally, Pinnacle supports insurance needs, particularly in property and casualty, and offers merger and acquisition advisory services. The company facilitates convenient banking through telephone, online, and mobile platforms, ensuring seamless access to financial resources. Headquartered in Nashville, Tennessee, Pinnacle Financial Partners, Inc. has been serving its clients since 2000.



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