J.Jill, Inc. (NYSE:JILL) Declares Dividend While Indicators Point To Short-Term Pressure

J.Jill announced corporate actions that reinforce cash generation, while technical momentum signals and moving-average position suggest limited upside near term. Fundamentals show resilient margins and free cash flow that underwrite the declared payout and the WMDST under-valued determination.

Recent News

August 27, 2025 — Board declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.08 per share payable October 1, 2025, to holders of record on September 17, 2025. August 20, 2025 — Company scheduled second-quarter fiscal 2025 results for release before market open on September 3, 2025 and announced a management-hosted conference call for that date.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 26.59 indicates a meaningful trend strength; paired with a falling DI+ (18.8) and a rising DI- (14.75) the directional bias tilts bearish, signaling the current trend strength favors downside pressure relative to the recent valuation level.

MACD sits at 0.10 below its signal line at 0.30 and shows a decreasing MACD_trend, indicating bearish momentum that aligns with the directional indicators and suggests limited near-term bullish follow-through.

MRO at -7.49 reads negative, which signals the price sits below the model target and therefore carries potential for upward mean reversion; that potential contrasts with momentum indicators and implies any bounce could remain choppy until momentum improves.

RSI at 52.91 with a decreasing trend signals waning momentum from neutral levels rather than clear overbought/oversold extremes, supporting a view of consolidation unless other momentum indicators reverse.

Price relationships add context: last close $16.74 sits below the 20-day average $17.70, below the 50-day average $16.84, and well below the 200-day average $19.02, placing the stock near short-term support and under longer-term resistance levels; the SuperTrend upper at $18.16 and the 1x Bollinger upper at $18.36 act as nearby resistance bands.

Volatility and volume tilt toward lower participation: 42-day beta 2.35 signals elevated short-term sensitivity to market moves while the most recent volume (57,327) runs below the 10-day average (69,398) and the 50-/200-day averages, implying moves lack broad conviction.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability and cash flow present a constructive fiscal picture. EBIT of $17,281,000 and an EBIT margin of 11.22% contrast with the industry peer mean EBIT margin of 10.70% and fall slightly short of the industry peer median of 12.16%; quarter-over-quarter EBIT margin fell by 11.37% while year-over-year EBIT margin rose by 16.22%, indicating recent margin compression from the prior quarter but improvement versus the prior year.

Net income $10,515,000 and EPS actual $0.81 beat the estimate $0.75 by $0.06, an EPS surprise of 8.0%, which supports current earnings resilience despite softer top-line momentum.

Free cash flow $16,610,000 yields 6.74% and free cash flow to net income sits at 157.97%, reinforcing strong cash conversion versus earnings. Operating cash flow $19,362,000 and end-period cash $45,523,000 underpin liquidity; cash conversion ratio stands at 11.67% and cash ratio at 38.85%.

Leverage metrics show heavier debt load: total debt $222,485,000 produces debt-to-equity 1.83 and debt-to-EBITDA ~9.85x, while interest coverage stands at 6.32x, below the industry peer mean interest coverage of 16.81x; these figures indicate meaningful leverage relative to peer coverage levels and merit monitoring alongside cash generation.

Top-line growth reads mixed: headline revenue growth registers 0.24% while reported revenue growth year-over-year shows a decline of 106.08% year-over-year; quarter-over-quarter revenue change shows a sharp decline as well. Inventory ended at $55,268,000 with days inventory outstanding ~122 days and a cash conversion cycle ~30 days.

Valuation context: price-to-earnings ~19.93, forward P/E ~17.21, enterprise multiple ~18.74, price-to-book ~2.03 (below the industry peer mean P/B of 3.80 and below the industry peer median of 3.34). WMDST values the stock as under-valued, a stance supported by positive free cash flow yield and the recent dividend declaration, but tempered by elevated leverage and mixed revenue momentum.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-07-31
REPORT DATE: 2025-09-03
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2025-12-02
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 31.6 M
 Operating Cash Flow 19.4 M
 Capital Expenditures -2.75 M
 Change In Working Capital -1.93 M
 Dividends Paid -1.22 M
 Cash Flow Delta 14.3 M
 End Period Cash Flow 45.9 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 154.0 M
 Forward Revenue 52.1 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 48.6 M
 Depreciation 5.3 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 5.3 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 137.2 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 105.4 M
 EBITDA 22.6 M
 EBIT 17.3 M
 Operating Income 16.8 M
 Interest Income 498.0 K
 Interest Expense 2.7 M
 Net Interest Income -2.23 M
 Income Before Tax 14.5 M
 Tax Provision 4.0 M
 Tax Rate 27.722 %
 Net Income 10.5 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 10.5 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.75
 EPS Actual 0.81
 EPS Difference 0.06
 EPS Surprise 8.0 %
 Forward EPS 0.94
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 436.5 M
 Intangible Assets 118.4 M
 Net Tangible Assets 3.1 M
 Total Current Assets 130.4 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 45.5 M
 Cash 45.5 M
 Net Receivables 6.5 M
 Inventory 55.3 M
 Long-Term Investments 7.4 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 47.2 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 117.2 M
 Net Debt 24.5 M
 Total Debt 222.5 M
 Total Liabilities 315.0 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 121.5 M
 Retained Earnings -114.44 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 7.95
 Shares Outstanding 15.227 M
 Revenue Per-Share 10.08
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 246.4 M
 Enterprise Value 423.4 M
 Enterprise Multiple 18.744
Enterprise Multiple QoQ 0.307 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -0.625 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 105.517
mean: 49.459
median: 48.494
JILL: 18.744
low: -11.538
 EV/R 2.749
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 3.593
 Asset To Liability 1.386
 Debt To Capital 0.647
 Debt To Assets 0.51
Debt To Assets QoQ -1.968 %
Debt To Assets YoY 4454.87 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 1.051
JILL: 0.51
mean: 0.418
median: 0.345
low: 0.22
 Debt To Equity 1.831
Debt To Equity QoQ -8.901 %
Debt To Equity YoY 3681.784 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 4.701
JILL: 1.831
mean: 1.2
median: 0.879
low: -2.166
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 2.028
Price To Book QoQ -15.748 %
Price To Book YoY -54.327 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 8.446
mean: 3.797
median: 3.339
JILL: 2.028
low: -4.028
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 19.93
Price To Earnings QoQ -0.545 %
Price To Earnings YoY -38.627 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 151.774
median: 72.682
mean: 65.226
JILL: 19.93
low: -89.111
 PE/G Ratio -2.505
 Price To Sales (P/S) 1.6
Price To Sales QoQ -8.794 %
Price To Sales YoY -38.089 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 10.893
mean: 4.55
median: 4.295
JILL: 1.6
low: 0.22
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 17.211
Forward PE/G -2.164
Forward P/S 4.71
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage -47.195
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.354
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -1.932 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -4.767 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.608
JILL: 0.354
median: 0.345
mean: 0.324
low: 0.109
 Receivables Turnover 19.433
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ -9.004 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 0.03 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 90.77
JILL: 19.433
mean: 18.393
median: 15.181
low: 0.289
 Inventory Turnover 0.84
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ 18.244 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY -3.063 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 1.735
mean: 0.968
JILL: 0.84
median: 0.749
low: 0.364
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 4.696
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 30.304
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ 6.221 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY 20.539 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 351.932
median: 82.267
mean: 72.432
JILL: 30.304
low: 12.498
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 11.67
 CapEx To Revenue -0.018
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.519
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 191.5 M
 Net Invested Capital 191.5 M
 Invested Capital 191.5 M
 Net Tangible Assets 3.1 M
 Net Working Capital 13.2 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.389
 Current Ratio 1.113
Current Ratio QoQ 12.848 %
Current Ratio YoY 25.656 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 2.461
mean: 1.523
median: 1.503
JILL: 1.113
low: 0.784
 Quick Ratio 0.641
Quick Ratio QoQ 28.748 %
Quick Ratio YoY 44.395 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 1.528
JILL: 0.641
mean: 0.591
median: 0.554
low: 0.063
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 9.851
 Cost Of Debt 0.883 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 6.323
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -9.331 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 57.086 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 52.0
median: 17.949
mean: 16.809
JILL: 6.323
low: -12.777
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.23
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 96.529
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 8.619
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.116
 Dividend Rate 0.08
 Dividend Yield 0.005
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 0.834 %
 Revenue Growth 0.236 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -96.873 %
Revenue Growth YoY -106.078 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 40.558 %
mean: 7.909 %
median: 7.654 %
JILL: 0.236 %
low: -12.613 %
 Earnings Growth -7.955 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -104.546 %
Earnings Growth YoY -42.909 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 285.714 %
mean: 17.938 %
median: 8.108 %
JILL: -7.955 %
low: -225.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 68.419 %
Gross Margin QoQ -4.757 %
Gross Margin YoY -2.906 %
Gross Margin IPRWA JILL: 68.419 %
high: 62.634 %
median: 39.15 %
mean: 36.945 %
low: 10.882 %
 EBIT Margin 11.222 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -11.366 %
EBIT Margin YoY 16.218 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 18.428 %
median: 12.163 %
JILL: 11.222 %
mean: 10.695 %
low: -2.672 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 10.902 %
Return On Sales QoQ -13.893 %
Return On Sales YoY 12.904 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 18.428 %
median: 12.163 %
JILL: 10.902 %
mean: 10.235 %
low: -3.764 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 16.6 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 6.741 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ 595.666 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 91.343 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 7.329 %
JILL: 6.741 %
mean: 1.855 %
median: 1.175 %
low: -2.178 %
 Free Cash Growth 535.911 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -8.48 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -2134.513 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA JILL: 535.911 %
high: 301.719 %
median: -86.123 %
mean: -95.925 %
low: -534.848 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 1.58
 Cash Flow Margin 17.49 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 2.561
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.03
 Return On Assets (ROA) 2.419 %
Return On Assets QoQ -12.004 %
Return On Assets YoY 23.23 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 4.767 %
median: 3.138 %
mean: 2.722 %
JILL: 2.419 %
low: -1.307 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 5.411 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.087
Return On Equity QoQ -17.123 %
Return On Equity YoY -4.523 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.115
JILL: 0.087
mean: 0.07
median: 0.068
low: -0.041
 DuPont ROE 9.007 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 6.522 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -13.214 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -114.418 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 11.206 %
JILL: 6.522 %
mean: 6.299 %
median: 5.305 %
low: -1.999 %

Six-Week Outlook

Expect a consolidation regime with a bearish momentum overlay in the coming six weeks: technical momentum remains negative and price sits under key short- and long-term moving averages, while MRO and healthy free cash flow create scope for intermittent rebounds. Monitor MACD for a dip-and-reverse and DI+ for a renewed increase as the clearest signals that momentum may shift; a sustained move above short-term averages and the SuperTrend upper would signal a change in near-term bias. Elevated short-term beta implies any directional move may produce outsized intraday volatility.

About J.Jill, Inc.

J.Jill, Inc. (NYSE:JILL) is a distinguished omnichannel retailer specializing in women’s apparel, footwear, and accessories. With a rich heritage dating back to 1959, J.Jill has built a reputation for offering stylish, comfortable, and versatile fashion options tailored for the modern woman. Headquartered in Quincy, Massachusetts, the company seamlessly integrates its retail presence across the United States with a robust online platform and engaging catalog offerings, ensuring a cohesive shopping experience. J.Jill’s product line includes an array of clothing, from casual wear to elegant pieces, complemented by a curated selection of footwear, scarves, and jewelry. The brand is celebrated for its commitment to quality, fit, and timeless design, catering to a diverse clientele seeking both style and comfort. By prioritizing customer satisfaction and leveraging its multi-channel approach, J.Jill continues to foster a loyal customer base while expanding its reach in the competitive retail landscape. Through its dedication to empowering women with fashion that fits their lifestyle, J.Jill remains a beloved name in women’s apparel.



© 2025 WMDST — The World’s Most Dangerous Swing Trader. All rights reserved.