Docebo Inc. (NASDAQ:DCBO) Accelerates AI Transformation While Near-Term Technical Pressure Persists

Docebo advances its AI-first product roadmap and maintains a fair-valued standing, while shorter-term technical indicators point to selling pressure that could compress near-term price action. Fundamental strength in revenue growth and cash generation contrasts with below-peer operating margins.

Recent News

On July 30, 2025 Docebo announced management participation at a slate of investor conferences in August and September, including Oppenheimer’s Technology, Internet & Comms event, Canaccord Growth Conference, and Citi’s Global TMT Conference; the release noted webcasts and investor-access details for presentations.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 26.27 indicates a strong trend environment; the directional indicators show DI+ at 12.74 decreasing and DI- at 29.39 increasing, which signals directional pressure skewed toward sellers and reinforces a bearish near-term bias.

MACD sits at -0.74 and trends downward while remaining below its signal line (-0.42), indicating continuing bearish momentum rather than a bullish momentum reversal; this limits conviction for a sustained near-term advance until MACD rises above the signal line.

MRO reads -35.26 and trends lower; the negative value implies the price sits below the model target and therefore carries potential upward mean-reversion pressure, but the deep negative reading also reflects significant deviation from the target that would require a technical catalyst to resolve.

RSI at 45.09 and trending lower denotes weakening momentum without extreme oversold conditions, suggesting room for additional downside before a high-probability reversal signal emerges.

Price sits below short-, medium-, and long-term averages: the close at $27.24 falls under the 20-day ($29.00), 50-day ($30.31) and 200-day ($32.89) averages, with the 12-day EMA ($28.48) trending down — collectively implying the path of least resistance remains lower until price reclaims a series of moving averages.

Ichimoku components place the price beneath Senkou A ($31.10) and Senkou B ($29.75), and the latest close lies below the lower Bollinger 1σ band ($27.54), signaling downside pressure with a nearby lower-band mean-reversion possibility near $26.07 (lower 2σ).

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue totaled $60,732,000 with YoY revenue growth of 86.71% and quarter-over-quarter revenue growth of 1,241.61%, indicating rapid top-line expansion from recent comparisons. Gross profit reached $49,148,000 with a gross margin of 80.93%, a level above the industry peer mean of 72.321% and near the industry peer median of 68.585%.

Operating income at $5,082,000 produced an operating margin of 8.37%, and EBIT of $4,709,000 yields an EBIT margin of 7.75%, both below the industry peer mean (operating margin mean 34.016%, EBIT margin mean 34.255%) and industry peer median levels; margins trail typical peer profitability despite strong top-line growth.

Net income from continuing operations reached $3,076,000 and diluted EPS came in at $0.29 versus an estimate of $0.22, an EPS surprise of 31.82%. Forward EPS sits at $0.255 with a forward P/E around 113.97x, while trailing P/E reads roughly 102.21x—valuation multiples that reflect growth expectations despite compressed operating margins.

Cash and equivalents total $64,575,000 with operating cash flow of $6,244,000 and free cash flow of $5,956,000; free cash flow yield near 0.69% exceeds the industry peer mean of roughly 0.53% and aligns with the industry peer median of ~0.69%, indicating cash conversion roughly in line with peers even as free cash growth slowed modestly QoQ.

Leverage remains light: total debt $1,374,000 produces a debt-to-assets of 0.80%, well below the industry peer mean of 16.12%. Return on equity at 8.87% sits above the industry peer mean of 6.97% and slightly above the industry peer median of 7.93%, showing modest capital return despite negative retained earnings carried on the balance sheet.

Valuation summary: the current valuation as determined by WMDST registers as fair-valued, reflecting high revenue growth and solid cash generation but offset by compressed operating margins and elevated market multiples (P/E and PS ratios).

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-08-08
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2025-11-07
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 91.9 M
 Operating Cash Flow 6.2 M
 Capital Expenditures -288.00 K
 Change In Working Capital -948.00 K
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta -27.30 M
 End Period Cash Flow 64.6 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 60.7 M
 Forward Revenue 36.2 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 11.6 M
 Depreciation
 Depreciation and Amortization 847.0 K
 Research and Development 12.7 M
 Total Operating Expenses 55.6 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 49.1 M
 EBITDA 5.6 M
 EBIT 4.7 M
 Operating Income 5.1 M
 Interest Income 568.0 K
 Interest Expense 26.0 K
 Net Interest Income 542.0 K
 Income Before Tax 4.7 M
 Tax Provision 1.6 M
 Tax Rate 34.316 %
 Net Income 3.1 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 3.1 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.22
 EPS Actual 0.29
 EPS Difference 0.07
 EPS Surprise 31.818 %
 Forward EPS 0.26
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 171.2 M
 Intangible Assets 15.9 M
 Net Tangible Assets 18.8 M
 Total Current Assets 136.0 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 64.6 M
 Cash 64.6 M
 Net Receivables 39.8 M
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 39.5 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 131.1 M
 Net Debt
 Total Debt 1.4 M
 Total Liabilities 136.5 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 34.7 M
 Retained Earnings -219.78 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 1.20
 Shares Outstanding 28.789 M
 Revenue Per-Share 2.11
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 870.1 M
 Enterprise Value 806.9 M
 Enterprise Multiple 145.221
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -48.734 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -19.531 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 634.148
DCBO: 145.221
mean: 91.214
median: 82.154
low: -577.222
 EV/R 13.285
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 4.937
 Asset To Liability 1.254
 Debt To Capital 0.038
 Debt To Assets 0.008
Debt To Assets QoQ 41.197 %
Debt To Assets YoY -25.117 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 1.095
mean: 0.161
median: 0.098
DCBO: 0.008
low: 0.002
 Debt To Equity 0.04
Debt To Equity QoQ 84.921 %
Debt To Equity YoY -9.628 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 3.008
mean: 0.299
median: 0.176
DCBO: 0.04
low: -0.874
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 25.085
Price To Book QoQ 32.42 %
Price To Book YoY -9.549 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 34.07
DCBO: 25.085
mean: 12.066
median: 10.727
low: -16.218
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 102.213
Price To Earnings QoQ -16.707 %
Price To Earnings YoY -60.634 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 564.562
mean: 139.073
median: 130.187
DCBO: 102.213
low: -357.639
 PE/G Ratio 13.8
 Price To Sales (P/S) 14.326
Price To Sales QoQ -17.361 %
Price To Sales YoY -35.454 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 113.355
median: 48.199
mean: 45.684
DCBO: 14.326
low: 1.219
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 113.97
Forward PE/G 15.387
Forward P/S 24.011
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 16.207
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.329
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 11.595 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 7.608 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.416
DCBO: 0.329
mean: 0.13
median: 0.129
low: 0.0
 Receivables Turnover 1.467
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 5.284 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 3.481 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 4.687
DCBO: 1.467
mean: 1.421
median: 1.257
low: 0.131
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 62.204
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC)
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 12.284
 CapEx To Revenue -0.005
 CapEx To Depreciation 0.0
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 34.7 M
 Net Invested Capital 34.7 M
 Invested Capital 34.7 M
 Net Tangible Assets 18.8 M
 Net Working Capital 4.9 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.493
 Current Ratio 1.038
Current Ratio QoQ -9.829 %
Current Ratio YoY -6.786 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 9.787
mean: 1.695
median: 1.353
DCBO: 1.038
low: 0.079
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 0.247
 Cost Of Debt 1.368 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 181.115
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 135.116 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 65.402 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA DCBO: 181.115
high: 155.372
median: 54.034
mean: 37.776
low: -203.84
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.097
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 293.317
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate -13.376 %
 Revenue Growth 5.997 %
Revenue Growth QoQ 1241.611 %
Revenue Growth YoY 86.706 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 32.808 %
median: 9.099 %
mean: 6.945 %
DCBO: 5.997 %
low: -28.474 %
 Earnings Growth 7.407 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -125.588 %
Earnings Growth YoY -162.958 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 157.143 %
DCBO: 7.407 %
median: 5.491 %
mean: 4.775 %
low: -200.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 80.926 %
Gross Margin QoQ 1.016 %
Gross Margin YoY 0.321 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 91.297 %
DCBO: 80.926 %
mean: 72.321 %
median: 68.585 %
low: 33.069 %
 EBIT Margin 7.754 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 86.036 %
EBIT Margin YoY -21.732 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 74.313 %
median: 43.473 %
mean: 34.255 %
DCBO: 7.754 %
low: -124.558 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 8.368 %
Return On Sales QoQ 100.768 %
Return On Sales YoY -15.534 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 76.082 %
median: 44.901 %
mean: 34.016 %
DCBO: 8.368 %
low: -115.372 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 6.0 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.685 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -11.039 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 24.545 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 6.936 %
median: 0.694 %
DCBO: 0.685 %
mean: 0.528 %
low: -8.108 %
 Free Cash Growth -22.113 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 16.421 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 4.144 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 278.713 %
median: 25.957 %
mean: 12.178 %
DCBO: -22.113 %
low: -316.997 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 1.936
 Cash Flow Margin 20.994 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 4.145
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 1.668 %
Return On Assets QoQ 119.763 %
Return On Assets YoY -38.427 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 18.439 %
median: 4.609 %
mean: 3.905 %
DCBO: 1.668 %
low: -24.058 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 11.731 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.089
Return On Equity QoQ 215.51 %
Return On Equity YoY -19.846 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.214
DCBO: 0.089
median: 0.079
mean: 0.07
low: -0.337
 DuPont ROE 7.062 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 8.918 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 213.132 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -251.05 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 14.979 %
DCBO: 8.918 %
median: 7.176 %
mean: 5.594 %
low: -13.978 %

Six-Week Outlook

Near-term price bias tilts lower as directional indicators and momentum metrics continue to favor sellers; expect consolidation inside the $26–$31 band while momentum indicators work to resolve. The negative MRO implies potential for mean reversion toward model targets if a momentum crossover occurs, but a MACD recovery above its signal line and reclaiming the 20-day average would provide a clearer pathway for upside. Conversely, failure to hold the lower Bollinger band near $26 could prompt additional downside toward the 52-week low region. Monitor momentum crossovers and moving-average reclamation for signals that would materially alter the six-week outlook.

About Docebo Inc.

Docebo Inc. (NASDAQ:DCBO) develops a comprehensive AI-driven learning management system designed to enhance organizational training and development. Headquartered in Toronto, Canada, Docebo delivers a cloud-based learning suite that facilitates educational experiences for internal teams, partners, and clients. The core of Docebo’s offerings, the Docebo Learn LMS, enables administrators to create and manage personalized learning experiences. The platform includes Docebo Shape, which utilizes AI to convert resources into engaging, multilingual microlearning content. Docebo Content provides access to a wide range of pre-made learning materials, while Docebo Learning Impact offers insights to measure and improve training effectiveness. Docebo ensures seamless integration within existing technology environments through solutions like Docebo Connect and Docebo Flow. Furthermore, specialized products such as Docebo for Salesforce and Docebo for Microsoft Teams embed learning directly into these popular platforms, increasing accessibility and user engagement. Since its founding in 2005, Docebo has consistently advanced the way organizations approach continuous learning and knowledge sharing in the workplace.



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