NICE Ltd. (NASDAQ:NICE) Extends Cloud Momentum, Near-Term Price Pressure Expected

NICE shows continued cloud revenue strength and strong profitability, while momentum indicators signal near-term downside pressure alongside mean-reversion potential.

Recent News

On July 15, 2025 NICE reported that its Evidencentral platform surpassed support for over 37 million active criminal cases and 240 million digital evidence items. On August 21, 2025 the company announced CEO Scott Russell’s participation in Citi’s Global TMT Conference. On September 24, 2025 NICE scheduled a Capital Markets Day for November 17, 2025 to present strategy and the CX Innovation Roadmap.

Technical Analysis

ADX & Directional Indicators: ADX at 14.6 signals no established trend; directional indicators show weakness: DI+ has peaked and reversed while DI- has dipped and reversed, both pointing toward bearish directional pressure that increases near-term downside bias and weighs against sustained breakout scenarios.

MACD: MACD stands at -0.07 with the MACD line below its signal (0.03) after a peak-and-reverse, indicating bearish momentum and limited upside from current momentum conditions.

MRO: MRO at -14.63 sits below zero, indicating price sits below a model target and implying potential upside from mean reversion; the MRO peak-and-reverse note supports the case for a corrective rebound rather than trend continuation.

RSI: RSI at 45.73 with a peak-and-reverse signals falling momentum without reaching classical oversold territory, consistent with momentum-driven weakness but leaving scope for a bounce if buying interest returns.

Price Versus Moving Averages & Bands: Last close $139.19 trades below the 20-day average ($147.01) and the 200-day average ($158.26), placing price beneath near- and long-term averages. Price sits below the 1x Bollinger lower band ($142.67), signaling elevated short-term dispersion and a setup prone to mean reversion toward the moving averages rather than trend breakout. Ichimoku short-term lines (Tenkan $145.58; Kijun $144.07) both lie above the close, reinforcing short-term resistance into the mid-$140s.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Revenue & Growth: Total revenue $726.7M with YoY revenue growth of approximately 3.91%. Quarterly revenue change shows a contraction on the quarter-over-quarter metric. Cloud revenue growth reported in company communications reached double-digit year-over-year levels for the cloud segment, supporting cloud-led momentum noted in corporate announcements.

Profitability & Margins: Operating (EBIT) margin equals 22.10%, up ~13.97 percentage points year-over-year and higher QoQ by ~4.43 percentage points. That operating margin sits below the industry peer mean of 34.27% and below the industry peer median of 43.47%, yet reflects recent margin expansion that contributes positively to valuation.

Earnings & Cash Flow: GAAP EPS $3.01 versus estimate $2.99 produced a small EPS surprise of ~0.67%. Net income $187.4M and operating cash flow $61.3M yield a cash-flow-to-earnings ratio above 100% (≈115.53%), while cash and short-term investments total $1.632B, supporting balance-sheet flexibility. Free cash flow $38.6M produces a free-cash-flow yield of ~0.39%, marginally below the industry peer mean of ~0.53%.

Leverage & Liquidity: Debt-to-assets at ~10.15% and debt-to-equity at ~14.45% sit below the industry peer means, indicating lighter leverage; the current ratio of 1.83x sits above the industry peer mean of 1.69x, reflecting a conservative near-term liquidity profile.

Valuation Snapshot: Price-to-earnings near 52.90x with price-to-book about 2.64x, while enterprise multiple measures ~42.69. WMDST values the stock as under-valued; that valuation reflects a mix of above-peer profitability expansion, strong cash reserves, modest top-line growth, and expectations embedded in forward metrics and company guidance.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-08-14
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2025-11-12
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 471.6 M
 Operating Cash Flow 61.3 M
 Capital Expenditures -22.72 M
 Change In Working Capital -200.22 M
 Dividends Paid
 Cash Flow Delta 65.0 M
 End Period Cash Flow 536.6 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 726.7 M
 Forward Revenue 182.1 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 241.6 M
 Depreciation 44.6 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 44.6 M
 Research and Development 89.8 M
 Total Operating Expenses 566.1 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 485.1 M
 EBITDA 205.2 M
 EBIT 160.6 M
 Operating Income 160.6 M
 Interest Income 14.8 M
 Interest Expense
 Net Interest Income 14.8 M
 Income Before Tax 175.4 M
 Tax Provision -11.99 M
 Tax Rate 23.0 %
 Net Income 187.4 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 187.4 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 2.99
 EPS Actual 3.01
 EPS Difference 0.02
 EPS Surprise 0.669 %
 Forward EPS 3.04
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 5.3 B
 Intangible Assets 2.1 B
 Net Tangible Assets 1.7 B
 Total Current Assets 2.5 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 1.6 B
 Cash 535.0 M
 Net Receivables 681.0 M
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments 217.2 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 81.6 M
 Short-Term Debt 459.6 M
 Total Current Liabilities 1.4 B
 Net Debt
 Total Debt 539.0 M
 Total Liabilities 1.6 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 3.7 B
 Retained Earnings
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 60.43
 Shares Outstanding 61.743 M
 Revenue Per-Share 11.77
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 9.9 B
 Enterprise Value 8.8 B
 Enterprise Multiple 42.694
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -8.014 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -22.886 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 634.148
mean: 91.301
median: 82.154
NICE: 42.694
low: -577.222
 EV/R 12.056
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.423
 Asset To Liability 3.364
 Debt To Capital 0.126
 Debt To Assets 0.102
Debt To Assets QoQ -1.399 %
Debt To Assets YoY 3834.884 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 1.095
mean: 0.161
NICE: 0.102
median: 0.098
low: 0.002
 Debt To Equity 0.144
Debt To Equity QoQ -6.14 %
Debt To Equity YoY 3721.693 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 3.008
mean: 0.299
median: 0.176
NICE: 0.144
low: -0.874
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 2.641
Price To Book QoQ -7.251 %
Price To Book YoY -20.485 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 34.07
mean: 12.083
median: 10.727
NICE: 2.641
low: -16.218
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 52.899
Price To Earnings QoQ -3.639 %
Price To Earnings YoY -22.772 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 564.562
mean: 139.202
median: 130.187
NICE: 52.899
low: -357.639
 PE/G Ratio 1.063
 Price To Sales (P/S) 13.559
Price To Sales QoQ -4.729 %
Price To Sales YoY -21.494 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 113.355
median: 48.199
mean: 45.73
NICE: 13.559
low: 1.219
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 53.8
Forward PE/G 1.081
Forward P/S 54.106
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 2.214
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.138
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ 3.646 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 4.772 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.416
NICE: 0.138
mean: 0.13
median: 0.129
low: 0.0
 Receivables Turnover 1.098
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 0.889 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY -4.591 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 4.687
mean: 1.421
median: 1.257
NICE: 1.098
low: 0.131
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 83.137
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC)
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 0.63
 CapEx To Revenue -0.031
 CapEx To Depreciation -0.509
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 3.7 B
 Net Invested Capital 4.2 B
 Invested Capital 4.2 B
 Net Tangible Assets 1.7 B
 Net Working Capital 1.2 B
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 1.18
 Current Ratio 1.834
Current Ratio QoQ 14.864 %
Current Ratio YoY -25.208 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 9.787
NICE: 1.834
mean: 1.694
median: 1.353
low: 0.079
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 2.627
 Cost Of Debt 0.377 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 60.946
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 8.384 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 24.66 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 181.115
NICE: 60.946
median: 54.034
mean: 37.759
low: -203.84
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.157
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 27.727
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio
 Dividend Payout Ratio
 Dividend Rate
 Dividend Yield
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 1.486 %
 Revenue Growth 3.788 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -227.671 %
Revenue Growth YoY 390.674 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 32.808 %
median: 9.099 %
mean: 6.949 %
NICE: 3.788 %
low: -28.474 %
 Earnings Growth 49.751 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -1101.631 %
Earnings Growth YoY 2038.908 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 157.143 %
NICE: 49.751 %
median: 5.491 %
mean: 4.708 %
low: -200.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 66.754 %
Gross Margin QoQ -0.151 %
Gross Margin YoY 0.886 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 91.297 %
mean: 72.331 %
median: 68.585 %
NICE: 66.754 %
low: 33.069 %
 EBIT Margin 22.098 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 4.428 %
EBIT Margin YoY 13.966 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 74.313 %
median: 43.473 %
mean: 34.27 %
NICE: 22.098 %
low: -124.558 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 22.098 %
Return On Sales QoQ 4.428 %
Return On Sales YoY 13.966 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 76.082 %
median: 44.901 %
mean: 34.03 %
NICE: 22.098 %
low: -115.372 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 38.6 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 0.392 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -85.241 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY -69.612 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 6.936 %
median: 0.694 %
mean: 0.529 %
NICE: 0.392 %
low: -8.108 %
 Free Cash Growth -85.412 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -586.789 %
Free Cash Growth YoY 143.284 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 278.713 %
median: 25.957 %
mean: 12.327 %
NICE: -85.412 %
low: -316.997 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.206
 Cash Flow Margin 29.793 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.155
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 3.556 %
Return On Assets QoQ 44.788 %
Return On Assets YoY 55.081 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 18.439 %
median: 4.609 %
mean: 3.905 %
NICE: 3.556 %
low: -24.058 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 4.09 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.05
Return On Equity QoQ 35.977 %
Return On Equity YoY 49.896 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.214
median: 0.079
mean: 0.07
NICE: 0.05
low: -0.337
 DuPont ROE 5.183 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 2.951 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 0.034 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -142.601 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 14.979 %
median: 7.176 %
mean: 5.598 %
NICE: 2.951 %
low: -13.978 %

Six-Week Outlook

Momentum indicators favor downside over the coming six weeks: the ADX shows no trend, DI+ peaked and reversed, DI- dipped and reversed, MACD turned negative after a peak, and RSI dropped from higher levels. Together these signals bias price toward further short-term weakness. Countervailing forces include a negative MRO (price below modeled target) and a close below the 1x Bollinger lower band, both implying material mean-reversion potential into the mid-$140s and toward the 20-day average if sellers exhaust. Traders should expect price to remain under pressure while momentum remains negative, with tactical rebounds possible on intraday oversold reads rather than the start of a new upward trend.

About NICE Ltd.

NICE Ltd. (NASDAQ:NICE) develops advanced cloud platforms for AI-driven digital business solutions on a global scale. The company offers CXone, a cloud-native open platform designed to enhance customer experience management. Enlighten, their AI engine, serves the customer engagement market by enabling smart self-service solutions that address consumer needs effectively. NICE Ltd. also creates journey orchestration solutions, empowering organizations to connect and route customers efficiently using real-time AI-based routing. In addition to customer engagement, NICE Ltd. provides solutions for recording both structured and unstructured customer interaction and transaction data. Their NICE Evidencentral platform supports digital evidence management for public safety, emergency communications, law enforcement, and criminal justice agencies. For financial crime and compliance, NICE Ltd. offers X-Sight, an open AI-cloud platform, and Xceed, a comprehensive cloud platform for AML and fraud prevention tailored for small and mid-sized organizations. The company delivers data intelligence solutions that transform raw data into actionable intelligence, aiding in the detection and prevention of financial crimes. Founded in 1986 and headquartered in Ra’anana, Israel, NICE Ltd. continues to innovate in AI and analytics technologies to support compliance and anti-money laundering efforts.



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