Coterra Energy Inc. (NYSE:CTRA) Strengthens Permian Position While Near-Term Momentum Builds

Coterra enters the second half of 2025 with strengthened Permian acreage and operational momentum, underpinned by recent commercial contracts and a neutral-to-constructive technical posture. Fundamentals show durable margins and positive earnings surprise that shape the near-term outlook.

Recent News

On July 8, 2025 the company scheduled its second-quarter 2025 results conference call for August 5, 2025 to discuss quarterly results and guidance. On August 28, 2025 Coterra announced management will participate in a Barclays CEO Energy-Power Conference fireside chat on September 4, 2025. On August 4, 2025 Coterra disclosed a multi-year supply agreement to deliver 50 million cubic feet per day to the proposed CPV Basin Ranch Energy Center beginning in 2028.

Technical Analysis

ADX at 9.83 indicates no prevailing trend in price strength; directional measures show near parity between positive and negative directional indicators, with DI+ increasing and DI- showing a peak & reversal, which together suggest a nascent shift toward buying pressure but without trend conviction.

MACD reads -0.08 with a dip & reversal and its signal line at -0.06; the MACD pattern shows bullish momentum emerging from a negative position, though the MACD remains below the signal line and therefore lacks a confirmed crossover signal.

MRO at -17.62 with a dip & reversal indicates the price sits below WMDST’s target and carries bullish potential as the oscillator moves upward from negative territory; the magnitude implies moderate mean-reversion potential toward fair value.

RSI at 48.48 with an increasing trend points to neutral momentum shifting slightly higher, consistent with a consolidation that could resolve higher if buying volume persists.

Price versus averages: the close at $23.96 sits above the 20-day and 50-day averages (~$23.85–$23.87) yet below the 200-day average ($25.28), implying short-term optimism inside a longer-term range-bound context; the 12-day EMA shows a dip & reversal consistent with recent price stabilization.

Bollinger bands compress (upper ~ $24.33, lower ~ $23.38), and elevated volume relative to 10- and 50-day averages supports the recent pickup in activity; 42-day beta at 0.05 and 52-week beta at 0.72 indicate muted market sensitivity versus the broader market.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Coterra reported EPS of $0.48 versus an estimate of $0.45, producing an EPS surprise of 6.67%. Operating income of $704,000,000 and EBITDA of $1,291,000,000 support operating leverage while net income from continuing operations reached $511,000,000. WMDST values the stock as fair-valued based on the provided metrics.

Margins show strength: operating margin at 35.83% and EBIT margin at 36.44%, with YoY improvement of 44.73% on the EBIT margin and operating margin YoY growth of 42.30%. The company’s gross margin at 44.94% improved YoY by 34.39%, supporting cash-flow generation (operating cash flow $936,000,000; free cash flow $296,000,000) and a free cash flow yield of 1.59% with YoY expansion in free cash flow yield of 301.51%.

Capital structure and liquidity: total debt $4,389,000,000 with net debt $3,983,000,000, debt/EBITDA about 3.40x and interest coverage roughly 12.34x, reflecting manageable interest burden. Current ratio at 1.13 and quick ratio at 1.08 improved QoQ, while cash and short-term investments total $192,000,000.

Valuation multiples present a mixed picture: trailing P/E at 52.02 and forward P/E at 44.07 sit above the industry peer mean P/E but the P/B ratio at 1.28 falls slightly below the industry peer mean of 1.55. Enterprise multiple stands near 17.63 with WMDST labeling valuation fair-valued. Growth metrics show revenue growth of 3.20% YoY but revenue growth YoY metric in the file indicates a large negative figure; earnings growth displays a YoY improvement of 45.71% while QoQ dynamics in revenue and free cash flow remain contractionary, requiring monitoring.

Dividend coverage appears acceptable with a dividend payout ratio of 32.88% and dividend coverage of 3.04, supporting the declared quarterly dividend of $0.22 per share within current cash-flow metrics. When industry peer mean and median values exist for a metric, Coterra’s EBIT margin sits above the industry peer mean and median, while the P/B ratio sits below the industry peer mean. Do not infer performance beyond those comparisons.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-08-04
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2025-11-03
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 221.0 M
 Operating Cash Flow 936.0 M
 Capital Expenditures -640.00 M
 Change In Working Capital -12.00 M
 Dividends Paid -168.00 M
 Cash Flow Delta -5.00 M
 End Period Cash Flow 216.0 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 2.0 B
 Forward Revenue 427.4 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 1.1 B
 Depreciation 39.0 M
 Depreciation and Amortization 39.0 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 1.3 B
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 883.0 M
 EBITDA 1.3 B
 EBIT 716.0 M
 Operating Income 704.0 M
 Interest Income 8.0 M
 Interest Expense 58.0 M
 Net Interest Income -51.00 M
 Income Before Tax 658.0 M
 Tax Provision 147.0 M
 Tax Rate 22.3 %
 Net Income 511.0 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 511.0 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.45
 EPS Actual 0.48
 EPS Difference 0.03
 EPS Surprise 6.667 %
 Forward EPS 0.58
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 24.0 B
 Intangible Assets
 Net Tangible Assets 14.6 B
 Total Current Assets 1.5 B
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 192.0 M
 Cash 192.0 M
 Net Receivables 860.0 M
 Inventory 57.0 M
 Long-Term Investments 122.0 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 132.0 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 1.4 B
 Net Debt 4.0 B
 Total Debt 4.4 B
 Total Liabilities 9.4 B
EQUITY
 Total Equity 14.6 B
 Retained Earnings 6.5 B
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 19.07
 Shares Outstanding 763.261 M
 Revenue Per-Share 2.57
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 18.6 B
 Enterprise Value 22.8 B
 Enterprise Multiple 17.633
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -12.555 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -27.683 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 75.659
mean: 30.43
median: 28.835
CTRA: 17.633
low: -7.608
 EV/R 11.585
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 1.648
 Asset To Liability 2.544
 Debt To Capital 0.232
 Debt To Assets 0.183
Debt To Assets QoQ -3.067 %
Debt To Assets YoY 560.925 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.609
mean: 0.236
median: 0.212
CTRA: 0.183
low: 0.002
 Debt To Equity 0.302
Debt To Equity QoQ -5.152 %
Debt To Equity YoY 583.277 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 1.807
mean: 0.728
median: 0.477
CTRA: 0.302
low: 0.002
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 1.276
Price To Book QoQ -10.109 %
Price To Book YoY -14.215 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 3.756
median: 1.768
mean: 1.554
CTRA: 1.276
low: 0.005
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 52.018
Price To Earnings QoQ 57.534 %
Price To Earnings YoY -26.485 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 185.623
CTRA: 52.018
mean: 51.995
median: 48.382
low: -96.671
 PE/G Ratio -1.3
 Price To Sales (P/S) 9.449
Price To Sales QoQ -10.867 %
Price To Sales YoY -38.01 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 30.921
CTRA: 9.449
mean: 6.038
median: 5.84
low: 0.012
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 44.068
Forward PE/G -1.102
Forward P/S 43.442
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 0.131
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.082
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -1.867 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY 34.564 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 0.422
median: 0.165
mean: 0.154
CTRA: 0.082
low: 0.002
 Receivables Turnover 2.183
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 0.91 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 14.921 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 6.047
CTRA: 2.183
mean: 1.938
median: 1.804
low: 0.322
 Inventory Turnover 18.982
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ -2.338 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY 8.824 %
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 20.578
CTRA: 18.982
mean: 3.165
median: 2.469
low: 0.051
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 41.794
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC) 34.41
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ -7.249 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY -24.401 %
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA high: 82.233
CTRA: 34.41
median: 6.538
mean: 2.125
low: -110.2
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 11.559
 CapEx To Revenue -0.326
 CapEx To Depreciation -16.41
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 18.7 B
 Net Invested Capital 18.7 B
 Invested Capital 18.7 B
 Net Tangible Assets 14.6 B
 Net Working Capital 170.0 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.142
 Current Ratio 1.126
Current Ratio QoQ 25.187 %
Current Ratio YoY -19.796 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 5.453
median: 1.249
mean: 1.198
CTRA: 1.126
low: 0.329
 Quick Ratio 1.084
Quick Ratio QoQ 25.442 %
Quick Ratio YoY -21.285 %
Quick Ratio IPRWA high: 3.791
CTRA: 1.084
mean: 0.937
median: 0.919
low: 0.247
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 3.4
 Cost Of Debt 1.011 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 12.345
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ -3.042 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY 50.453 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 22.447
CTRA: 12.345
mean: 6.924
median: 6.558
low: -20.714
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.457
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 12.58
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 3.042
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.329
 Dividend Rate 0.22
 Dividend Yield 0.009
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 0.129 %
 Revenue Growth 3.204 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -91.219 %
Revenue Growth YoY -128.341 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 43.755 %
CTRA: 3.204 %
median: -3.774 %
mean: -5.063 %
low: -35.032 %
 Earnings Growth -40.0 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -163.226 %
Earnings Growth YoY 45.714 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 122.222 %
median: -21.739 %
mean: -23.562 %
CTRA: -40.0 %
low: -180.0 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 44.936 %
Gross Margin QoQ -5.25 %
Gross Margin YoY 34.386 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 82.166 %
CTRA: 44.936 %
mean: 24.771 %
median: 22.581 %
low: -39.892 %
 EBIT Margin 36.438 %
EBIT Margin QoQ -2.694 %
EBIT Margin YoY 44.727 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 95.08 %
CTRA: 36.438 %
mean: 17.097 %
median: 13.652 %
low: -39.515 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 35.827 %
Return On Sales QoQ -4.326 %
Return On Sales YoY 42.301 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 90.781 %
CTRA: 35.827 %
mean: 13.798 %
median: 10.832 %
low: -39.515 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 296.0 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 1.594 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -49.332 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 301.511 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 8.634 %
CTRA: 1.594 %
median: 1.276 %
mean: 1.26 %
low: -11.931 %
 Free Cash Growth -53.386 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ -122.794 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -33.808 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 300.833 %
mean: -16.045 %
median: -24.008 %
CTRA: -53.386 %
low: -616.098 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 0.579
 Cash Flow Margin 31.45 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 1.209
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 2.132 %
Return On Assets QoQ -5.83 %
Return On Assets YoY 102.085 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 4.797 %
CTRA: 2.132 %
mean: 1.191 %
median: 0.982 %
low: -3.385 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 3.164 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.035
Return On Equity QoQ -3.225 %
Return On Equity YoY 107.874 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.111
CTRA: 0.035
mean: 0.029
median: 0.027
low: -0.087
 DuPont ROE 3.551 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 2.969 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ -1.884 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -108.817 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 6.932 %
CTRA: 2.969 %
mean: 2.632 %
median: 2.373 %
low: -4.078 %

Six-Week Outlook

Technical indicators suggest consolidation with a slight bullish tilt: DI+ increasing and DI- peak & reversal, MACD dip & reversal, and MRO rising from negative territory together favor consolidation resolving toward recent resistance rather than fresh breakdown, but ADX under 20 limits trend conviction. Price currently trades modestly above short-term moving averages yet below the 200-day average, so expect range-bound action with a bias toward upside on improved daily momentum and volume. Fundamental backdrops—robust margins, positive EPS surprise, and a supply contract—reduce downside asymmetry but valuation metrics and QoQ cash-flow softness temper acceleration. Monitor volume and any confirmed MACD crossover or a sustained break above the 200-day average for clearer directional resolution.

About Coterra Energy Inc.

Coterra Energy Inc. (NYSE:CTRA) explores, develops, and produces oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids within the United States. Headquartered in Houston, Texas, Coterra strategically manages extensive acreage across key U.S. basins, including the Marcellus Shale in Pennsylvania, the Permian Basin in West Texas and Southeast New Mexico, and the Anadarko Basin in Oklahoma. These areas are known for their abundant hydrocarbon resources, enabling Coterra to efficiently extract and supply energy. Beyond extraction, Coterra implements comprehensive natural gas and saltwater gathering and disposal systems in Texas, emphasizing sustainable and environmentally conscious operations. The company’s diverse customer base includes industrial entities, local distribution companies, and major energy corporations, highlighting its integral role in the energy supply chain. Since its founding in 1989, Coterra Energy has prioritized innovation and operational excellence, driving growth and value creation. With a commitment to responsible energy production and a robust asset portfolio, Coterra positions itself to address the evolving energy needs of the future.



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