Kforce Inc. (NASDAQ:KFRC) Deploys Buyback Plan, Poised For Near-Term Revaluation

Buyback activity and conservative cash-generation metrics support a cautiously constructive near-term view for the stock. Valuation indicators and momentum signals provide mixed directional bias over the coming weeks.

Recent News

On September 12, 2025, Kforce filed an 8-K disclosing a Rule 10b5-1 corporate stock trading plan to repurchase shares, allowing repurchases to commence no earlier than September 16, 2025 and continue through November 5, 2025. The company also announced participation in investor conferences in September 2025 to engage with stakeholders and present strategic priorities.

Technical Analysis

ADX / DI+ / DI-: ADX at 25.84 indicates a strong trend environment. DI+ shows a peak-and-reversal, which reads bearish; DI- is decreasing, which reads bullish. The mixed directional signals suggest trend strength exists but directional conviction remains contested, implying any directional move may require confirmatory momentum.

MACD: MACD equals -0.96 with the signal at -1.12; MACD has crossed above its signal line and the MACD trend shows increasing momentum. That crossover represents bullish momentum developing from a negative base, aligning with the potential for a price rebound into the short term.

MRO (Momentum/Regression Oscillator): MRO at -27.18 sits negative, indicating price below model target and therefore a statistical tendency for upward pressure; the MRO trend increases, reinforcing potential mean-reversion toward intrinsic target levels.

RSI: RSI at 41.07 with a peak-and-reversal pattern reads bearish on relative strength, signaling limited upside momentum without further buying interest to shift the oscillator above neutral levels.

Price vs. Moving Averages and Bands: Last close $29.98 trades below the 50-day average ($33.29) and the 200-day average ($43.59), with a 20-day average of $30.31 and the 12-day EMA trending downward. Price sits just above the lower Bollinger boundary ($29.80). The proximity to the lower band combined with a negative short EMA indicates short-term downside pressure but a technical setup for a bounce if volume and momentum pick up.

Volume & Volatility: Current volume (214,575) runs below the 10-day average (303,866) while 42-day volatility equals 3%; subdued volume with low volatility reduces the probability of an immediate, sustained breakout absent a catalyst such as accelerated repurchase activity.

 


Fundamental Analysis

Profitability: Operating (EBIT) margin equals 4.45%. QoQ operating margin increased by 26.36%, while YoY operating margin declined by 19.46%. The current margin sits below the industry peer mean of 17.22% and the industry peer median of 20.46%, indicating compressed operating leverage relative to peers despite the recent QoQ uplift.

Revenue & Growth: Total revenue $334,316,000 with revenue growth of 1.30% YoY and a reported revenue growth QoQ of -132.47% (as provided). Earnings growth stands at 31.11% while earnings growth QoQ declined by 224.44% and YoY rose 6.145%. These patterns show modest top-line expansion alongside fluctuating short-term quarterly dynamics.

Cash Flow & Capital Allocation: Operating cash flow $18,365,000 and free cash flow $14,224,000 yield a free cash flow yield of 2.04%, above the industry peer mean free cash flow yield of 1.18%. Cash conversion ratio equals 2.945 and free cash flow to net income equals 1.36x, reflecting effective conversion of earnings into cash. Dividend yield equals 0.99% with a payout ratio of 66.04% and dividend coverage of 1.51x.

Balance Sheet and Leverage: Current ratio sits at 2.04x, providing ample near-term liquidity versus the industry peer mean current ratio of 1.17x. Total debt $86,416,000 produces a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.64; debt-to-EBITDA equals 5.31. Interest coverage stands at 14.25x, indicating interest obligations remain well-covered by operating earnings.

Valuation Metrics: Trailing PE equals 72.88x while forward PE equals 59.82x; the PE sits below the industry peer mean of 154.55 and the industry peer median of 129.67. Price-to-book equals 5.19x, slightly below the industry peer mean of 5.43 and below the industry peer median of 6.08. WMDST values the stock as under-valued, supported by positive free cash flow yield relative to the peer mean and management’s renewed repurchase activity.

MOST-RECENT QUARTERLY REPORT
REPORT PERIOD ENDING: 2025-06-30
REPORT DATE: 2025-07-28
NEXT REPORT DATE: 2025-10-27
CASH FLOW  Begin Period Cash Flow 444.0 K
 Operating Cash Flow 18.4 M
 Capital Expenditures -4.14 M
 Change In Working Capital 4.3 M
 Dividends Paid -6.90 M
 Cash Flow Delta 2.0 M
 End Period Cash Flow 2.5 M
 
INCOME STATEMENT REVENUE
 Total Revenue 334.3 M
 Forward Revenue 105.7 M
COSTS
 Cost Of Revenue 243.7 M
 Depreciation 660.0 K
 Depreciation and Amortization 1.4 M
 Research and Development
 Total Operating Expenses 319.4 M
PROFITABILITY
 Gross Profit 90.6 M
 EBITDA 16.3 M
 EBIT 14.9 M
 Operating Income 14.9 M
 Interest Income
 Interest Expense
 Net Interest Income
 Income Before Tax 13.9 M
 Tax Provision 3.4 M
 Tax Rate 24.605 %
 Net Income 10.4 M
 Net Income From Continuing Operations 10.4 M
EARNINGS
 EPS Estimate 0.59
 EPS Actual 0.59
 EPS Difference 0.00
 EPS Surprise -0.73 %
 Forward EPS 0.71
 
BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
 Total Assets 373.6 M
 Intangible Assets 65.1 M
 Net Tangible Assets 69.3 M
 Total Current Assets 222.9 M
 Cash and Short-Term Investments 2.5 M
 Cash 2.5 M
 Net Receivables 209.9 M
 Inventory
 Long-Term Investments 57.0 M
LIABILITIES
 Accounts Payable 45.6 M
 Short-Term Debt
 Total Current Liabilities 109.3 M
 Net Debt 67.5 M
 Total Debt 86.4 M
 Total Liabilities 239.2 M
EQUITY
 Total Equity 134.4 M
 Retained Earnings 550.1 M
VALUATION & PER-SHARE METRICS EQUITY & PER-SHARE METRICS
 Book Value Per-Share 7.22
 Shares Outstanding 18.611 M
 Revenue Per-Share 17.96
VALUATION
 Market Capitalization 697.3 M
 Enterprise Value 781.2 M
 Enterprise Multiple 47.994
Enterprise Multiple QoQ -38.474 %
Enterprise Multiple YoY -16.06 %
Enterprise Multiple IPRWA high: 171.369
mean: 95.986
median: 72.34
KFRC: 47.994
low: -118.296
 EV/R 2.337
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Asset To Equity 2.78
 Asset To Liability 1.562
 Debt To Capital 0.391
 Debt To Assets 0.231
Debt To Assets QoQ 5.237 %
Debt To Assets YoY 2378.885 %
Debt To Assets IPRWA high: 0.943
mean: 0.245
KFRC: 0.231
median: 0.147
low: 0.012
 Debt To Equity 0.643
Debt To Equity QoQ 9.658 %
Debt To Equity YoY 3065.337 %
Debt To Equity IPRWA high: 2.453
KFRC: 0.643
mean: 0.545
median: 0.225
low: 0.013
PRICE-BASED VALUATION
 Price To Book (P/B) 5.187
Price To Book QoQ -23.91 %
Price To Book YoY -28.685 %
Price To Book IPRWA high: 12.431
median: 6.075
mean: 5.428
KFRC: 5.187
low: 0.627
 Price To Earnings (P/E) 72.878
Price To Earnings QoQ -33.03 %
Price To Earnings YoY -12.623 %
Price To Earnings IPRWA high: 226.006
mean: 154.548
median: 129.666
KFRC: 72.878
low: -61.189
 PE/G Ratio 2.343
 Price To Sales (P/S) 2.086
Price To Sales QoQ -26.849 %
Price To Sales YoY -38.681 %
Price To Sales IPRWA high: 47.117
mean: 28.398
median: 20.173
KFRC: 2.086
low: 0.602
FORWARD MULTIPLES
Forward P/E 59.823
Forward PE/G 1.923
Forward P/S 6.597
EFFICIENCY OPERATIONAL
 Operating Leverage 21.552
ASSET & SALES
 Asset Turnover Ratio 0.901
Asset Turnover Ratio QoQ -0.859 %
Asset Turnover Ratio YoY -7.796 %
Asset Turnover Ratio IPRWA KFRC: 0.901
high: 0.495
mean: 0.143
median: 0.101
low: 0.019
 Receivables Turnover 1.553
Receivables Turnover Ratio QoQ 2.667 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio YoY 1.94 %
Receivables Turnover Ratio IPRWA high: 4.437
median: 1.666
mean: 1.594
KFRC: 1.553
low: 0.685
 Inventory Turnover
Inventory Turnover Ratio QoQ
Inventory Turnover Ratio YoY
Inventory Turnover Ratio IPRWA
 Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) 58.739
CASH CYCLE
 Cash Conversion Cycle Days (CCC)
Cash Conversion Cycle Days QoQ
Cash Conversion Cycle Days YoY
Cash Conversion Cycle Days IPRWA
CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
 Cash Conversion Ratio 2.945
 CapEx To Revenue -0.012
 CapEx To Depreciation -6.274
 
CAPITAL, LIQUIDITY & COVERAGE CAPITAL STRUCTURE
 Total Capital 204.4 M
 Net Invested Capital 204.4 M
 Invested Capital 204.4 M
 Net Tangible Assets 69.3 M
 Net Working Capital 113.5 M
LIQUIDITY
 Cash Ratio 0.023
 Current Ratio 2.038
Current Ratio QoQ -1.289 %
Current Ratio YoY -12.35 %
Current Ratio IPRWA high: 8.802
KFRC: 2.038
mean: 1.167
median: 0.79
low: 0.417
 Quick Ratio
Quick Ratio QoQ
Quick Ratio YoY
Quick Ratio IPRWA
COVERAGE & LEVERAGE
 Debt To EBITDA 5.309
 Cost Of Debt 0.942 %
 Interest Coverage Ratio 14.247
Interest Coverage Ratio QoQ 28.003 %
Interest Coverage Ratio YoY -24.426 %
Interest Coverage Ratio IPRWA high: 38.382
KFRC: 14.247
median: 11.086
mean: 8.639
low: -21.373
 Operating Cash Flow Ratio 0.232
TIMING / LIQUIDITY
 Days Payables Outstanding (DPO) 16.672
DIVIDENDS
 Dividend Coverage Ratio 1.514
 Dividend Payout Ratio 0.66
 Dividend Rate 0.37
 Dividend Yield 0.01
PERFORMANCE GROWTH
 Asset Growth Rate 1.479 %
 Revenue Growth 1.299 %
Revenue Growth QoQ -132.467 %
Revenue Growth YoY 3.177 %
Revenue Growth IPRWA high: 32.288 %
KFRC: 1.299 %
median: 0.931 %
mean: -0.305 %
low: -18.439 %
 Earnings Growth 31.111 %
Earnings Growth QoQ -224.444 %
Earnings Growth YoY 6.145 %
Earnings Growth IPRWA high: 141.176 %
KFRC: 31.111 %
mean: 4.837 %
median: -9.375 %
low: -117.647 %
MARGINS
 Gross Margin 27.114 %
Gross Margin QoQ 1.387 %
Gross Margin YoY -2.387 %
Gross Margin IPRWA high: 89.341 %
median: 63.601 %
mean: 60.911 %
KFRC: 27.114 %
low: 1.685 %
 EBIT Margin 4.453 %
EBIT Margin QoQ 26.362 %
EBIT Margin YoY -19.461 %
EBIT Margin IPRWA high: 24.209 %
median: 20.455 %
mean: 17.219 %
KFRC: 4.453 %
low: -41.816 %
 Return On Sales (ROS) 4.453 %
Return On Sales QoQ 26.362 %
Return On Sales YoY -19.461 %
Return On Sales IPRWA high: 24.668 %
median: 20.221 %
mean: 18.143 %
KFRC: 4.453 %
low: -31.925 %
CASH FLOW
 Free Cash Flow (FCF) 14.2 M
 Free Cash Flow Yield 2.04 %
Free Cash Flow Yield QoQ -592.754 %
Free Cash Flow Yield YoY 38.681 %
Free Cash Flow Yield IPRWA high: 8.815 %
KFRC: 2.04 %
mean: 1.179 %
median: 0.7 %
low: -2.825 %
 Free Cash Growth -464.718 %
Free Cash Growth QoQ 296.629 %
Free Cash Growth YoY -902.774 %
Free Cash Growth IPRWA high: 193.85 %
median: 98.299 %
mean: 47.128 %
KFRC: -464.718 %
low: -688.42 %
 Free Cash To Net Income 1.361
 Cash Flow Margin 7.597 %
 Cash Flow To Earnings 2.431
VALUE & RETURNS
 Economic Value Added 0.04
 Return On Assets (ROA) 2.817 %
Return On Assets QoQ 25.535 %
Return On Assets YoY -27.472 %
Return On Assets IPRWA high: 4.179 %
KFRC: 2.817 %
median: 1.718 %
mean: 1.482 %
low: -6.317 %
 Return On Capital Employed (ROCE) 5.633 %
 Return On Equity (ROE) 0.078
Return On Equity QoQ 31.723 %
Return On Equity YoY -8.521 %
Return On Equity IPRWA high: 0.144
KFRC: 0.078
mean: 0.026
median: 0.025
low: -0.317
 DuPont ROE 7.669 %
 Return On Invested Capital (ROIC) 5.491 %
Return On Invested Capital QoQ 30.552 %
Return On Invested Capital YoY -98.763 %
Return On Invested Capital IPRWA high: 6.29 %
KFRC: 5.491 %
median: 2.288 %
mean: 2.176 %
low: -4.278 %

Six-Week Outlook

Expect a two-phase market response: initial support from the announced Rule 10b5-1 repurchase plan can compress downside and foster episodic buying interest, while mixed technical signals constrain momentum continuation. Momentum indicators provide an early bullish tilt—MACD crossover and negative MRO argue for mean-reversion—yet RSI peak reversal and price below medium- and long-term averages suggest any advance may remain capped without expanding volume. Monitor repurchase execution cadence and near-term conference disclosures as catalysts that could shift volume and confirm direction; absent such catalysts, expect limited-range consolidation near the lower Bollinger band with episodic rebounds toward short-term resistance near $32.00–$33.50 and longer-term mean reversion contingent on stronger breadth and sustained cash-flow improvement.

About Kforce Inc.

Kforce Inc. (NASDAQ:KFRC) delivers professional staffing services and solutions from its headquarters in Tampa, Florida. Since its inception in 1962, Kforce has established itself in the U.S. market by linking top-tier talent with organizations across various sectors. The company operates through two main segments: Technology and Finance & Accounting (FA). In the Technology segment, Kforce provides advanced talent solutions in information technology, addressing areas such as systems architecture, data management, analytics, artificial intelligence, and cybersecurity. The company serves industries including financial services, communications, insurance, retail, and technology, offering customized solutions to meet specific IT requirements. The Finance & Accounting segment focuses on delivering specialized talent for financial planning, business intelligence, general and transactional accounting, and taxation. This segment also supports roles in loan servicing, customer support, and administrative functions, catering to industries such as healthcare, manufacturing, and business services. Kforce commits to aligning organizations with skilled professionals who drive success, leveraging their strategic approach and industry expertise. This dedication positions Kforce as a reliable partner in navigating the evolving landscape of staffing and talent acquisition.



© 2025 WMDST — The World’s Most Dangerous Swing Trader. All rights reserved.